Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Twin Cities, MN

245 
WWUS53 KMPX 022245
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
545 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNC127-022255-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-250602T2315Z/
Redwood MN-
545 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN REDWOOD 
COUNTY...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area. 
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 4474 9497 4478 9450 4463 9450 4463 9447
      4446 9443 4447 9481 4448 9481 4448 9482
      4449 9483 4449 9485 4450 9487 4451 9487
      4451 9488 4452 9488 4451 9489 4452 9489
      4452 9490 4453 9493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 258DEG 24KT 4465 9499

$$


MNC129-143-022315-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-250602T2315Z/
Renville MN-Sibley MN-
545 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT 
FOR SOUTHEASTERN RENVILLE AND WESTERN SIBLEY COUNTIES...

At 545 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles southeast 
of Bird Island, or 16 miles northeast of Redwood Falls, moving east 
at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
         wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Fairfax, Hector, Gibbon, Buffalo Lake and Franklin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Anyone outdoors should move to shelter inside a well-built structure 
and stay away from windows. This storm is capable of producing 
dangerous hail and damaging winds.

&&

LAT...LON 4474 9497 4478 9450 4463 9450 4463 9447
      4446 9443 4447 9481 4448 9481 4448 9482
      4449 9483 4449 9485 4450 9487 4451 9487
      4451 9488 4452 9488 4451 9489 4452 9489
      4452 9490 4453 9493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 262DEG 27KT 4465 9498

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

NDC

608 
WWUS53 KMPX 022302
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
602 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNC129-143-022315-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-250602T2315Z/
Renville MN-Sibley MN-
602 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT 
FOR SOUTHEASTERN RENVILLE AND WESTERN SIBLEY COUNTIES...

At 602 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Buffalo Lake, 
or 20 miles southwest of Hutchinson, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
         to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Fairfax, Gibbon, Buffalo Lake and Franklin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from 
windows. This storm is capable of producing damaging winds and large 
hail.

&&

LAT...LON 4466 9496 4478 9450 4463 9450 4463 9447
      4446 9443 4447 9481 4448 9481 4448 9482
      4449 9483 4449 9485 4450 9485 4450 9487
      4451 9487 4451 9488 4452 9488 4451 9489
      4452 9489 4453 9493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 262DEG 27KT 4466 9482

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

NDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
306 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Ongoing storms continue through this evening, with primary
  hazards being severe winds and localized hail.

- Degraded air quality due to Canadian wildfire smoke through
  tomorrow.

- Warming trend continues, with highs in the lower 90s Monday
  afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

True-color satellite shows today's weather story quite well,
with pockets of dense smoke out ahead of convection east of the
MN/Dakotas border region this afternoon. Across the region, we
have widespread temperatures in the 80s and even some low to mid
90s out west (Madison, MN peaked at 95 already!) combined with
dewpoints in the upper 50s. Despite the dry boundary layer, mid-
level lapse rates around 7 C/km and a tongue of MUCAPE values
approaching 2000+ J/kg are expected to be enough to support a
few instances of severe hail and wind across western and central
MN this afternoon. Not to mention, winds are already quite
gusty out ahead of the front, the inverted-V soundings on top of
that would suggest any better organized storms will certainly
be capable of producing damaging wind gusts.

As of 230PM, an ongoing broken line of cells is moving quickly
through west-central MN. Reports of downed trees and multiple
measured gusts above 58 mph support the idea that our main
threat today will be damaging wind gusts. A Severe Thunderstorm
Watch is in effect until 7pm, primarily for this specific
segment as it moves east. Confidence is low with long it will be
able to hold on given the limited instability to the east, but
the ongoing convection could be enough to modify the near-storm
environment and persist through the entirety of the Watch area.

As far as timing goes, the line of storms will approach eastern
MN (including the Twin Cities metro) this evening around 6-7pm.
We expect the storms to weaken the further east they travel
based on the less favorable storm environment that they'll be
moving into. At the same time, development on the southern
portion of the line will likely occur through the afternoon.
Primary threats will continue to be damaging winds and large
hail for any of this future development. The most favorable
environment continues to be highlighted well by the convective
outlook by SPC, with those within the Slight risk (level 2 of 5)
in the best region for the aforementioned future development.

By later this evening, hi-res models show the front stalling out
in a southwest to northeast orientation with training showers
and general thunderstorms leading to a localized flooding risk.
The WPC's ERO highlights this with the marginal risk area
through tomorrow. Any severe potential should be well south and
east, by the rain will continue through early tomorrow
afternoon. Skies should clear quickly after the rain exits east,
but the downward mixing behind the front is expected to return
our smoky/hazy conditions.

Wednesday through this Weekend... The upper level pattern
becomes a bit more muted to end the week, with mainly
northwest or zonal flow over the Northern Plains. The latest NBM
shows on and off shower chances through Friday, which is a
result of some models producing one or more weak shortwaves. The
best signal looks to be towards the end of the weekend into
early next week when a more potent mid level low tracks across
the US/Canada border. Outside of those chances for precipitation,
the weather looks to remain relatively quiet with highs near
the upper 70s each day and winds generally at or below 10 mph.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Winds start S/SW but will shift to the NW behind the cold
front.Showers and thunderstorms will develop along a cold front
across western MN this afternoon and trek east this evening.
MVFR cigs are possible behind the front tonight. I've kept
PROB30s at locations with lower confidence of -TSRA. Showers
will continue into Tuesday with the exception of AXN/STC where
they'll dry out tonight. Added mention of FU for surface
wildfire smoke tonight into Tuesday for most sites. Confidence
is high that we'll see surface smoke arrive behind the
front/showers. There is some uncertainty on how low vsbys will
get. Upstream sites across NW MN suggest MVFR is likely, IFR is
possible. For now I've kept them on the higher end until we get
a better handle on how widespread the vsby impacts will be.
Showers taper off by end of TAF period for MN sites.

KMSP... Showers are likely after 01Z this evening, with a low
risk of some TS from 01-03Z. I have maintained a prob30 for -TSRA
for that period. I've added Smoke/FU Tuesday afternoon but we
may need to push the timing earlier due to uncertainties with
-SHRA timing Tuesday morning.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
WED...VFR. Wind N to NE 5-10kts.
THU...VFR. Wind NE 5-10kts.
FRI...VFR. Wind NE 5-10kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...BED
AVIATION...BPH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
333 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
032045-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
333 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Ongoing thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. A few strong to
severe storms are possible across western Minnesota this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Areas of wildfire smoke will continue to degrade air quality. An
Air Quality Alert is in effect through Tuesday afternoon in
western Wisconsin and through Wednesday morning in Minnesota.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
345 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNZ049-055>058-022115-
Kandiyohi MN-Chippewa MN-Meeker MN-Swift MN-Stearns MN-
345 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT KANDIYOHI...
NORTHWESTERN MEEKER...CHIPPEWA...SOUTHEASTERN SWIFT AND SOUTHWESTERN
STEARNS COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

At 345 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from 7 miles west of Paynesville to 9 miles
north of Montevideo, or extending from 20 miles northeast of Willmar
to 9 miles north of Montevideo, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Willmar, Montevideo, Litchfield, Cold Spring, Benson, Paynesville,
  Richmond, Clara City, New London, Spicer, Atwater, Raymond,
  Kerkhoven, Grove City, Prinsburg, Maynard, Murdock, Green Lake,
  Forest City and Manannah.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4495 9579 4530 9574 4549 9447 4502 9443
      4489 9565 4490 9567 4491 9568 4490 9569
      4491 9572 4492 9572 4494 9574 4495 9576
      4494 9576 4495 9577 4494 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 248DEG 26KT 4539 9486 4510 9540 4508 9566

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

NDC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
415 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNZ057-058-065-066-022145-
Kandiyohi MN-McLeod MN-Meeker MN-Renville MN-
415 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN MEEKER...WEST
CENTRAL MCLEOD...KANDIYOHI AND NORTHEASTERN RENVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL
445 PM CDT...

At 415 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from 9 miles northwest of Willmar to over
Bird Island, or extending from 9 miles northwest of Willmar to 18
miles northeast of Redwood Falls, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Willmar, Olivia, New London, Spicer, Hector, Atwater, Bird Island,
  Buffalo Lake, Grove City, Cosmos, Green Lake, Pennock, Kandiyohi,
  Lakeside, Norway Lake, Lake Lillian, Blomkest, Thorpe, Svea and
  Regal.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4489 9508 4497 9510 4526 9525 4533 9526
      4541 9495 4541 9476 4533 9476 4533 9469
      4510 9456 4474 9444 4467 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 250DEG 36KT 4525 9512 4500 9497 4473 9486

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 TO 55 MPH

NDC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
441 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNZ057-065-022200-
Kandiyohi MN-Renville MN-
441 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN KANDIYOHI AND
NORTHWESTERN RENVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 5 PM CDT...

At 441 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Renville, or 20 miles northwest of Redwood Falls, moving northeast
at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Olivia, Renville, Sacred Heart, Prinsburg and Danube.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4485 9540 4489 9532 4489 9525 4493 9525
      4499 9513 4481 9497 4470 9527
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 238DEG 35KT 4480 9528

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

NDC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
513 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     Hail             1 ENE Olivia            44.78N 94.98W
06/02/2025  M1.25 Inch       Renville           MN   Trained Spotter

&&

MED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
519 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Prinsburg               44.94N 95.19W
06/02/2025                   Kandiyohi          MN   Emergency Mngr

            Report of damage to a metal outbuilding.

&&

MED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
524 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

MNZ073-074-022300-
Brown MN-Redwood MN-
524 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN BROWN AND SOUTHEASTERN
REDWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM CDT...

At 524 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Springfield, or 24 miles south of Redwood Falls,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Sleepy Eye, Springfield, Sanborn, Evan and Cobden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4420 9522 4420 9523 4445 9484 4425 9465
      4411 9496 4411 9510 4420 9510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 236DEG 28KT 4419 9509

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

NDC