Alert archive / Wisconsin / Beach Hazards Statements in 2025

Beach Hazards Statement 3, NWS Green Bay, WI

June 20, 2025Door County, Kewaunee County, Manitowoc County, Wisconsin

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this beach hazards statement at Jun 20, 2025, 5:03 AM CDT for Door County, Kewaunee County, Manitowoc County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Jun 21, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2025, 5:03 AM CDT (10:03 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 21, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS Green Bay, WI

Counties Door County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 46 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2025-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 537 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2025-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
537 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1857 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

838 
WHUS43 KGRB 201003
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
503 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ022-040-050-201815-
/O.NEW.KGRB.BH.S.0003.250621T0900Z-250623T1800Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
503 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents expected.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

JLA
11 follow-up statements
186 
WHUS43 KGRB 201725
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1225 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ022-040-050-210900-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.250621T0900Z-250623T1800Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
1225 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents expected.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties. 

* WHEN...From late tonight through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
292 
WHUS43 KGRB 210200
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
900 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ022-040-050-211000-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.250621T0900Z-250623T1800Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
900 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents expected.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM CDT Saturday through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
120 
WHUS43 KGRB 210808
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
308 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

WIZ022-040-050-211615-
/O.EXT.KGRB.BH.S.0003.250621T0900Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
308 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents expected.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
125 
WHUS43 KGRB 211550
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1050 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

WIZ022-040-050-220000-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
1050 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents expected.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
625 
WHUS43 KGRB 212235
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
535 PM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

WIZ022-040-050-220645-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
535 PM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
282 
WHUS43 KGRB 220311
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1011 PM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

WIZ022-040-050-221115-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
1011 PM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
150 
WHUS43 KGRB 220740
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
240 AM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

WIZ022-040-050-230000-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
240 AM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

JLA
853 
WHUS43 KGRB 222032
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
332 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

WIZ022-040-050-230445-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
332 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
629 
WHUS43 KGRB 230206
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
906 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

WIZ022-040-050-231015-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
906 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents. 

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
122 
WHUS43 KGRB 230854
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
354 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIZ022-040-050-231800-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
354 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

JLA
115 
WHUS43 KGRB 231925
CFWGRB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
225 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIZ022-040-050-240000-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0003.000000T0000Z-250624T0000Z/
Door-Kewaunee-Manitowoc-
225 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...High waves and dangerous currents.

* WHERE...Beaches along Lake Michigan in Door, Kewaunee and 
  Manitowoc Counties.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected. Strong 
  currents can pull swimmers into deeper water and high waves 
  can sweep people off piers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Several beaches that will be most 
  susceptible to the dangerous swimming conditions include... 
  Rock Island State Beach, Baileys Harbor beaches and Whitefish 
  Dunes Beach in Door County. Cresent Beach and City of Kewaunee 
  Beach in Kewaunee County. Point Beach, Neshotah Beach and Red 
  Arrow Beach in Manitowoc County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jun 20, 3:08 AM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Scattered thunderstorms are expected through this evening. A few severe storms may occur with large hail and gusty winds. More storms will be possible late tonight through Saturday morning as a complex of storms crosses as close as northern Wisconsin.
  • Multiple days of dangerous heat are forecast from Saturday into Monday. Heat index values are expected to reach 95 to 105 degrees each afternoon on Saturday and Sunday, and in the lower to middle 90s on Monday across east-central Wisconsin. Low temperatures in the 70s will provide minimal relief to the heat and humidity. A Heat Advisory has been issued, started at noon on Saturday. Cooler temperatures are forecast on Tuesday.
  • The chances of thunderstorms will continue at times next week. Strong or severe storms are possible Monday into Monday night with damaging winds and large hail. It is too early to determine the risk of severe weather after Monday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 3:08 AM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
308 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

Forecast discussion for routine morning forecast issuance

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms are expected through this evening. A
  few severe storms may occur with large hail and gusty winds.
  More storms will be possible late tonight through Saturday
  morning as a complex of storms crosses as close as northern
  Wisconsin.

- Multiple days of dangerous heat are forecast from Saturday into
  Monday. Heat index values are expected to reach 95 to 105
  degrees each afternoon on Saturday and Sunday, and in the lower
  to middle 90s on Monday across east-central Wisconsin. Low
  temperatures in the 70s will provide minimal relief to the heat
  and humidity. A Heat Advisory has been issued, started at noon
  on Saturday. Cooler temperatures are forecast on Tuesday.

- The chances of thunderstorms will continue at times next week.
  Strong or severe storms are possible Monday into Monday night
  with damaging winds and large hail. It is too early to determine
  the risk of severe weather after Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

Short Term...Today...Tonight...and Saturday

NW flow is active this morning. Couple of stronger waves within
the flow along with warm air advection aloft will continue to
support clusters of storms, gradually shifting east into more of
our forecast area. MUCAPEs have fallen since earlier, mainly in
the 500-700J/kg range. Instability with 50+ kts of effective shear
has led to occasional severe with stronger storms, but most storms
staying sub-severe. As most well developed complex early this
morning should remain southwest focused along nose of 850mb jet,
expect this general regime to persist through 12-14z following the
pocket of elevated instability and as stronger wave over central
MN shifts east. Later this morning, northern edge of complex
tracking over far southwest WI may result in a few storms to
develop over central WI, then as additional wave over northern MN
shifts southeast, may see another round of mainly elevated showers
and storms form over northern WI in area of increasing MUCAPE.
Eventually, warmer air builds in from the west at 800mb-700mb
which should begin to diminish convection. May remain mostly
cloudy for the day though as clouds are trapped beneath the
inversion aloft.

Storms/Severe Potential Tonight into Saturday Morning: After
general lull into early this evening, conditions still look to
change rapidly later this evening as warm front surges northeast
across the state. Low- level jet 50 kts will push a large
reservoir of instability (3000-4000 j/kg) into northern WI.
Genesis region for convective initiation to the north of capping
will be over central and northern MN ahead of sharp shortwave
trough and sfc low, along and north of warm front. Majority of
models keep the bulk of complex north of even northern WI closer
to track of sharp shortwave trough. Unlike last couple nights,
core of highest instability is now closer to the shortwave trough.
Thus, though some extension of storms may try to build south into
northern WI into higher instability, idea that models have been
showing which is now more or less supported by higher res
guidance, has more merit and will keep highest pops restricted to
northern fringe of cwa. Still a very present severe potential for
large hail and damaging winds given the degree of instability and
deep layer shear. SPC continues to highlight our area in Slight
Risk (level 2 of 5) for both Day1 and Day2 (far northeast WI due
to exiting complex of storms). Lingering thunderstorms remain on
track to exit on Saturday morning. Given degree of capping
building in, think additional storms on Saturday will be hard to
come by.

Dangerous heat begins on Saturday: 850mb temps rising to 23-24c
along with increasing capping due to anomously warm 700mb temps
will support high temps rising to around 90 north to the low to
mid 90s elsewhere away from the immediate Lake Michigan shore. The
heat combined with dewpoints reaching into the lower 70s will result
in heat index values reaching the mid 90s north, to the upper 90s
to around 100 away from the immediate Lake Michigan shore. The
highest heat index values will occur from central to northeast WI.
This will be the first day of multi-day dangerous heat. Though
some heat index values are marginal on Saturday in terms of strict
criteria, opted to keep it simple and issue a Heat Advisory over
all areas except Door County and to run this through Monday to
capture the higher heat index values Sunday and Monday, along with
the very warm nights Saturday night and Sunday night which will provide
minimal relief from the heat. The Heat Advisory begins at noon on
Saturday.

Long Term...Saturday Night Through Thursday

Intense heat will be the focus Saturday night into Monday
as very warm air at 925/850mb noted on the models. For next
week, the ring of fire will continue periodic chances of showers
and thunderstorms, locally heavy rain and stronger storms at times.

For Saturday night, southerly winds should remain in the 5 to 15
mph range with lows in the middle to upper 70s at most places.
On Sunday, hot and humid conditions will prevail with highs in
the 90s at most places. Forecast 850/925mb temperatures off the
models were supportive of the forecast high temperatures. One
item of interest to watch is the GFS is currently depicting the
warmest 850/925mb temperatures across north-central Wisconsin.
This would mean the hottest temperatures will be across the far
north. The other models do not show this distinct temperature
anomaly. Heat index values of 95 to 105 degrees are expected
across much of the area Sunday afternoon. A Heat Advisory
is likely with the possibility some of the area could reach
Extreme Heat Warning. Another very warm night is in store Sunday
night across the area with lows in the 70s, with the warmest
readings in the upper 70s over east-central Wisconsin. As the
previous forecaster noted, "The last time we had two consecutive
nights of min temps greater than 75 at GRB was July 1-2 of 2002.
Record warmest min of all time for GRB is 79 (last time in 1916).
This forecast has not changed much, so much of Wisconsin remains
in the major to extreme impact to very high category for heat
risk.

Increasing clouds and the chances of showers and storms arrive
Monday. Eastern portions of the state will see another day in the
90s, with readings only in the lower to middle 80s across north-
central Wisconsin due to cloud cover and rain. Strong or severe
storms are possible Monday afternoon into Monday night as the
cold front moves across the area.

Beyond Monday night, models continue to show the area in the ring
of fire as there will be periodic chances of showers and storms
through the end of the work week. There will be breaks in the
precipitation, but timing them this far out is difficult. Cooler
temperatures return on Tuesday as the frontal boundary will be
draped across or south of the area through the end of the forecast
period. Locally heavy rain and the possibility of stronger storms
exists.

&&

.AVIATION...for 06Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1023 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Scattered thunderstorms were moving back into central WI late this
evening, aided by increasing WAA. These should be scattered, with
isolated strong to marginally severe storms (with hail) possible.
A low-level jet may kick off a more significant area of showers
and embedded storms over C/EC WI late tonight into Friday morning.
After that, there should be general lull before a potential round
of severe storms impacts northern WI late Friday night into early
Saturday morning.

MVFR conditions will likely accompany and thunderstorm
occurrences through Friday morning. In addition, models support
fog/low stratus potential across NC/NE WI overnight, with
lingering MVFR stratus through at least Friday morning.

Winds will be light tonight, but could be a bit gusty from the
S-SW during the day on Friday. Some LLWS is expected to move into
the region later Friday evening.

&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon Saturday to 7 PM CDT Monday for WIZ005-
010>013-018>021-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074.

Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through Monday
afternoon for WIZ022-040-050.
&&

DISCUSSION.....JLA/Eckberg
AVIATION.......Kieckbusch
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 20, 3:09 AM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
309 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-210815-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
309 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible at times today through
this evening. Some storms could become severe with damaging
winds and large hail. However, the greatest risk of severe
thunderstorms will be after midnight tonight into early Saturday
morning as a thunderstorm complex is expected to move across
northern Wisconsin. There is also the potential for torrential
rainfall with the stronger storms with rainfall rates of 1 to 2
inches per hour. The intense rainfall rates could result in urban
street flooding and ponding of water on roads. Ditches, creeks and
rivers will be on the rise over the weekend.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A thunderstorm complex should exit northeast Wisconsin Saturday
morning. Thunderstorms are possible at times again next week,
with strong or severe storms possible on Monday into Monday night
with damaging winds and large hail. It is too early to determine
the severe weather risk after Monday.

A multi-day period of dangerous heat is forecast from Saturday
through Monday. Heat index values are expected to reach 95 degrees
to 105 degrees at most places during the afternoon hours on
Saturday and Sunday, and in the lower to middle 90s across
northeast Wisconsin on Monday. Low temperatures in the 70s will
provide minimal relief to the heat and humidity. A Heat Advisory
is in effect beginning at noon on Saturday.

Increasing south winds and building waves will result in an
increased risk of rip currents along Lake Michigan beaches
Saturday morning through Monday morning. A Beach Hazards
Statement is in effect.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed at times through Saturday
morning.

LMZ521-522-541>543-210815-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
309 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible at times through tonight that would
pose a hazard to mariners. It is possible that the storms late
tonight could produce very strong winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A thunderstorm complex is expected to exit northeast Wisconsin
Saturday morning. This complex could still produce very strong
winds until it exits the area. Thunderstorms are possible at
times next week, with the storms Monday and Monday night could
produce strong winds and large hail.

Gusty southerly winds and high waves will create hazardous conditions
for small craft from Saturday into Monday morning. Dense marine
fog may be possible at times Saturday into early next week,
especially on Lake Michigan. At Lake Michigan beaches, there is an
increased risk of rip currents Saturday morning through Monday morning.

JLA/Eckberg

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 19, 11:51 PM CDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1151 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

WIZ030-035-200530-
Wood WI-Marathon WI-
1151 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN WOOD AND
SOUTHWESTERN MARATHON COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 AM CDT...

At 1150 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Marshfield, or 26 miles northeast of Neillsville,
moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Marshfield around 1155 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Milladore, Sherry,
Rozellville, Powers Bluff County Park, Auburndale, Stratford, Bethel,
Hewitt, Blenker, and Arpin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4486 9006 4466 8984 4465 8985 4457 8985
      4446 9010 4477 9028
TIME...MOT...LOC 0450Z 329DEG 20KT 4476 9012

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

Kieckbusch
Special weather statement, Jun 20, 1:47 AM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
147 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ030-035-036-200730-
Wood WI-Marathon WI-Portage WI-
147 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN WOOD...NORTHWESTERN
PORTAGE AND SOUTHWESTERN MARATHON COUNTIES THROUGH 230 AM CDT...

At 147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Colby, or 19 miles south of Medford, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Spencer around 155 AM CDT.
  Marshfield around 205 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Milladore, Sherry,
Rozellville, Cherokee, Auburndale, Stratford, March Rapids, Hewitt,
Blenker, and Arpin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4498 9032 4464 8971 4444 9004 4466 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 309DEG 33KT 4485 9038

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Kieckbusch
Special weather statement, Jun 20, 2:28 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
228 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ030-035-036-200815-
Wood WI-Marathon WI-Portage WI-
228 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL WOOD...NORTHWESTERN
PORTAGE AND SOUTHWESTERN MARATHON COUNTIES THROUGH 315 AM CDT...

At 227 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Marshfield, or 23 miles northwest of Wisconsin Rapids,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Wood,
northwestern Portage and southwestern Marathon Counties, including
the following locations... Milladore, North Wood County Park, Big Eau
Pleine County Park, Moon, Park Ridge, Auburndale, North Star, Hewitt,
Blenker, and Dancy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm. Do not drive
your vehicle through flooded roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4487 9001 4460 8931 4425 8970 4425 8972
      4457 9029
TIME...MOT...LOC 0727Z 302DEG 25KT 4471 9001

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Kieckbusch
Special weather statement, Jun 20, 3:06 AM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
306 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

WIZ018-030-200845-
Marathon WI-Lincoln WI-
306 AM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND
NORTHEASTERN MARATHON COUNTIES THROUGH 345 AM CDT...

At 306 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southwest of Council Grounds State Park, or 15 miles northwest
of Wausau, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Wausau around 320 AM CDT.
  Weston around 335 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Sunset, Ringle, Camp
Phillips Scout Camp, Little Chicago, Schofield, Hamburg, Nutterville,
Rib Mountain State Park, and Rothschild.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4507 9006 4522 8992 4500 8928 4480 8946
TIME...MOT...LOC 0806Z 298DEG 33KT 4511 8988

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Kieckbusch

The office that day

Everything else NWS Green Bay, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 7:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBBrown34 min
Jun 19, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Manitowoc34 min
Jun 19, 8:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBCalumet21 min
Jun 19, 10:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBWood47 min
Jun 19, 11:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBWood39 min
Jun 20, 1:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBWood43 min
Jun 20, 2:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBPortage, Wood47 min
Jun 20, 2:56 AM CDTHeat AdvisoryGRBBrown, Calumet, Door, Florence, Forest, Kewaunee and 16 more4 days
Jun 20, 3:06 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGRBMarathon39 min
Jun 20, 5:02 AM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRB4 days

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in Wisconsin, 2025Every beach hazards statement in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.