Tornado Warning 3, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

100 
WWUS54 KEWX 012141
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
441 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

TXC491-012151-
/O.CAN.KEWX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250501T2200Z/
Williamson TX-
441 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3090 9783 3087 9787 3092 9797
      3103 9807 3103 9791
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 299DEG 8KT 3101 9798 

$$

TXC053-012200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250501T2200Z/
Burnet TX-
441 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN BURNET COUNTY...

At 441 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Kempner, or 8 miles southwest of Copperas Cove, moving
southeast at 10 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Briggs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Motorists should not take shelter under highway overpasses. If you
cannot safely drive away from the tornado, as a last resort, either
park your vehicle and stay put, or abandon your vehicle and lie down
in a low lying area and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3090 9783 3087 9787 3092 9797
      3103 9807 3103 9791
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 299DEG 8KT 3101 9798 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Brady

805 
WWUS54 KEWX 012158
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
458 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

TXC053-012208-
/O.EXP.KEWX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250501T2200Z/
Burnet TX-
458 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BURNET COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
500 PM CDT...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3090 9783 3087 9787 3092 9797
      3103 9807 3103 9791
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 358DEG 10KT 3097 9798 

$$

Brady

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
304 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

Key Messages:

- Severe Thunderstorm Watch for northern Hill Country and northern
  I-35 Corridor until 9 PM. Large hail and damaging wind gusts most
  likely threats.

- Level 1 to 2 of 5 risk of severe thunderstorms Friday afternoon
  into Friday evening for all of South Central Texas.

- Any storm that forms over South Central Texas late today or
  tonight will provide a marginal (level 1 of 4) risk of excessive
  rainfall.

- There is a level 2 of 4 risk for excessive rainfall across nearly
  all areas of South Central Texas Friday afternoon and evening.

Convection is beginning in the vicinity of an old outflow boundary
near our northeastern counties. Current conditions are high CAPE with
moderate vertical wind shear. We have issued a Severe Thunderstorm
Watch for this area until 9 PM. Steep mid-level lapse rates suggest
large hail as the most likely threat with damaging winds gusts also
likely. Storms will move from west to east.

Storms are also beginning to form out west in the vicinity of the
dryline. The airmass there is also unstable with only moderate wind
shear. Conditions are favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms
this evening. There is a level 2 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms
across most of our CWA tonight. Convection should wane with the loss
of heating by late evening. The overnight period should be quiet.

A cold front will drop down through central Texas during the day
Friday. This bring a better chance for widespread convection. The
airmass will remain unstable and the severe risk will be level 2 of 5
again. In addition the PW will be high enough that locally heavy rain
will be possible and WPC has a level 2 of 4 risk for excessive
rainfall and flash flooding.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

Key Messages:

- Drying out and a beautiful weekend for most areas on tap

- Wet and stormy pattern continues through Thursday

Starting the forecast period we should have most of the heavy rain
and possible strong storms pushing out of most of our southern areas
as the front pushes southward. In its wake we should see skies start
to clear out with humidity levels dropping and highs in the upper
70s leading to a nice Saturday with light northeast winds. An even
better day is expected on Sunday under partly to mostly sunny skies
with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Things quickly change as we resume southerly flow which brings the
return of more humid conditions though high temperatures shouldn't
be as warm as this past week with most areas staying in the low 80s.
Additionally, chances for rain and thunderstorms begin to increase
Monday into Tuesday as several upper level short waves move from
northeast Mexico into the local area. The wet pattern continues
throughout the week as an upper level low pressure system over New
Mexico tries to push east into central TX. Surface wise we will have
a frontal boundary that pushes into our area Wednesday into Thursday
bringing several rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Like
this past week the dryline is expected to stay just west of Del Rio
thus leaving our area on the warm and humid side of things thus
giving our area repeated chances for rounds and rounds of storms. At
this point it is too early to tell if we could have strong to severe
storms with each round so check back for future forecasts as things
become further refined. Temperatures look to remain in the upper 70s
and low 80s Monday to the mid 80s for Tuesday and Wednesday before
cooling back down to the low 80s for Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

Ceilings have risen to MVFR level at all of the terminals and will
stay that way through the afternoon and evening. We expect winds to
start gusting up to 25 kts within the next hour or two. There will be
low chances for showers and thunderstorms through this period. This
afternoon the best chances will be at DRT. Then the better chances
will shift to San Antonio and Austin late evening and overnight. MVFR
ceilings will develop again late this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              69  87  63  80 /  30  80  70  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  67  87  62  78 /  30  80  70  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     69  90  64  81 /  20  70  70  10
Burnet Muni Airport            67  83  61  78 /  30  80  60  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  90  67  82 /  30  40  60  30
Georgetown Muni Airport        67  84  61  77 /  30  80  70  10
Hondo Muni Airport             67  87  64  80 /  30  60  70  20
San Marcos Muni Airport        68  87  63  79 /  20  80  70  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   70  88  64  79 /  20  80  80  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       70  88  65  79 /  20  70  70  20
Stinson Muni Airport           71  90  66  80 /  20  70  70  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Short-Term...05
Long-Term...CJM
Aviation...05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
332 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

TXZ184-012115-
Edwards TX-
332 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Edwards
County through 415 PM CDT...

At 331 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Carta Valley, or 17 miles southeast of Loma Alta,
moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Edwards County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2969 10045 2975 10064 3005 10063 2998 10028
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 192DEG 14KT 2976 10056

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CJM/Brady