Tornado Warning 1, NWS Cleveland, OH

111 
WWUS51 KCLE 300044
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
844 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

OHC103-169-300052-
/O.CAN.KCLE.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250430T0100Z/
Medina OH-Wayne OH-
844 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA AND NORTHEASTERN WAYNE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled. However, damaging winds remain likely and a Severe 
Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for southeastern Medina and 
northeastern Wayne counties until 930 PM EDT.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Cleveland.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
outheastern Medina and northeastern Wayne counties until 930 PM EDT.

LAT...LON 4099 8213 4106 8206 4104 8169 4099 8169
      4098 8165 4080 8165
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 282DEG 34KT 4096 8179 

$$

15

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
721 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move southeast across the area this evening.
High pressure briefly slides through the Great Lakes on
Wednesday. Low pressure moves through the Great Lakes on
Thursday, lifting a warm front across the local area early
Thursday followed by a cold front Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
The main show of an MCS has departed to the southeast through
the Pittsburgh Metro area and the eastern half of the forecast
area is largely convection-free. All of the Severe Thunderstorm
Watches have been taken down for our area. Some storms have
formed ahead of the cold front with some cells stretching from
the Lake Erie Islands to west of Findlay and will continue east
tonight. There is a small window where these storms could
intensify and will bear watching. However, temperatures where
storms went through earlier this afternoon have not recovered
into the 70s and remain worked over. Therefore, anything east of
I-71 is probably out of play for more severe weather action. We
will continue to monitor this evening.

Previous Discussion...
An MCS with a bowing line of severe storms is racing east-
northeast across east-central OH as we come up on 4:00 PM. These
severe storms are grazing locations from Millersburg to
Youngstown along our southern fringe with a risk for damaging
winds, for which a Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect
until 7:00 PM. Additional cells are firing northeast of this
cluster and are gradually intensifying as they push into
Northwest PA. These cells may pose a risk for hail/wind before
exiting Northwest PA early this evening, for which Erie and
Crawford Counties are included in a separate Severe
Thunderstorm Watch until 10:00 PM. These watches will be trimmed
and adjusted as needed through the evening.

Additional scattered thunderstorms extend from southeast Lower
MI into extreme Northwest OH and Northeast IN along the cold
front itself, which will push southeast into the area this
evening. There is a narrow window just ahead of the cold front
across Northwest OH, Lake Erie, and surrounding lakeshore
counties towards Cleveland where a moderately unstable and
untouched airmass resides. A lot of dry air, along with poor
mid-level lapse rates, may make it difficult for strong to
severe storms to develop and persist with the cold front.
However, forcing will increase a touch early this evening as a
shortwave over the Great Lakes glances the local area. This may
briefly allow for some severe threat to play out with the cold
frontal convection. Deep-layer shear of 40-50kt, 1000-1500 J/KG
of MLCAPE, 700-900 J/KG of DCAPE, steep low-level lapse rates,
and effective storm relative helicity increasing to 150-250
m2/s2 could support a threat for damaging winds, hail, and
perhaps a non-zero (but fairly modest) tornado risk with this
cold frontal convection. This threat may maximize from about
Findlay to Medina to Ashtabula points northwest, before sunset
and running into a more overturned airmass causes the convection
to begin weakening. This threat isn't quite as confident due to
some competing factors mentioned above, though am concerned
we'll see some severe threat start to emerge along the cold
front by 5 or 6 PM before diminishing towards 8 or 9 PM.

Quiet weather is anticipated for Wednesday as high pressure
slides through the Great Lakes. A warm front approaches late
Wednesday night, bringing the next chance for rain showers. Lows
tonight fall into the 40s late. Highs on Wednesday will range
from the 50s near Lake Erie to the 60s well-inland. Lows
Wednesday night in the 40s to low 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure will be moving northeast towards the Great Lakes
Thursday as a warm front pushes north of the local area. This low
will bring a cold front eastward through the area Thursday night as
it lifts northeast into southeast Ontario. A sharper, positively
tilted mid/upper trough will dig southeast through the upper Midwest
towards the lower Great Lakes Friday and through the local area
Friday night. This will promote a prolonged period of rain chances
through the end of the work week, with the best chances for
precipitation Thursday with the low passage. SPC continues to
highlight the area with a marginal risk for severe weather on
Thursday. Modest destabilization in the warm sector with and
increasing southwesterly mid level jet will promote an environment
favorable for organized severe convection, although this will be
largely conditional on the degree of destabilization. The best
timing for severe weather thermodynamically will be mid/late
afternoon, although the better forcing and deep layer flow slightly
offset towards the mid afternoon through early evening timeframe.
Lingering precipitation chances continue Friday after the front
moves through as the next upper shortwave approaches the area. Highs
Thursday will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Highs Friday will be
cooler in the mid 60s to near 70. Lows Thursday night will be in the
mid 50s to low 60s, cooling to the mid to upper 40s Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Upper trough over the area early Saturday should move east of the
region through the day. While the GFS/GEM maintain a ridge over the
area this weekend through early next week, the ECMWF has shown a
continued cut off low over the lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley,
allowing for a high degree of uncertainty with the general forecast
trend. Highs Saturday generally in the upper 50s to low 60s are
expected to moderate to the mid 70s by Tuesday, although a solution
with a cut off low over the area would temper this moderation a bit.
While a ridging solution would provide dry weather, diurnal low
precip chances would be increased under a cut off low solution.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Outside of storms immediately ahead of a cold front, conditions
are VFR with mid to high level clouds. The main aviation concern
for the near term will be storms that will approach KCLE in the
next hour or so and then will pass north of KMFD and KCAK and
arrive KYNG later this evening. Conditions with storms will fall
to non-VFR with wind gusts in the 35 to 50 kt range. Winds ahead
of the cold front are southwest with some non-convective gusts
in the 25-35 kt range. Winds will shift to the west then
northwest with frontal passage and decrease. Cold advection over
Lake Erie should allow for some MVFR ceilings to develop and
push into the terminals of NE OH and NW PA during the late
morning hours on Wednesday. Drier air will enter the region and
scatter out the clouds for Wednesday afternoon, as high pressure
enters from the north. Winds will shift to the north and then
northeast as this high pressure system approaches.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely in showers and thunderstorms Thursday
through Friday. Non-VFR may linger across the eastern half of
the area into Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory continues through this evening and tonight
across the lake, with strong southwest flow ahead of an approaching
cold front this afternoon. This front will cross the lake this
evening with winds becoming northwest and eventually subsiding by
Wednesday morning. Brief high pressure over the lake will keep winds
lighter and variable through Wednesday night before a warm front
lifts northwest to the lake Thursday. Increased southwest winds of
the lake possible during the day Thursday contingent on how far
north the front lifts. Low pressure tracks northeast through the
Great Lakes with a cold frontal passage Thursday night into Friday,
which could bring some brief conditions favorable for a Small Craft
Advisory. West winds prevail through Friday before a secondary
trough/front pushes south across the lake with northerly winds to
start the weekend.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     LEZ142>144.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Wednesday for LEZ145>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Sullivan
NEAR TERM...Sefcovic/Sullivan
SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM...03
AVIATION...Sefcovic
MARINE...03

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
614 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-302215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-
Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-
Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
614 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening. Some storms may
be severe with damaging wind gusts being the primary threat. Other
hazards, including large hail and a tornado or two, are also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon and evening. Some
storms could be strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
419 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0341 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 SSE Millersburg       40.49N 81.87W
04/29/2025                   Holmes             OH   Emergency Mngr

            Trees and powerlines down across southern
            Holmes County, including Mechanic Township.
            Time estimated via radar.

&&

15

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
450 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Mount Vernon            40.39N 82.48W
04/29/2025                   Knox               OH   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires downed in Mt Vernon.

&&

JS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
451 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Martinsburg             40.27N 82.35W
04/29/2025                   Knox               OH   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires reported downed.

&&

JS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
645 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

OHZ008-009-017>019-292330-
Seneca OH-Huron OH-Erie OH-Hancock OH-Sandusky OH-
645 PM EDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN HURON...SENECA...ERIE...
SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY AND NORTHEASTERN HANCOCK COUNTIES THROUGH 730
PM EDT...

At 644 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Fremont to near Fostoria.
Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Tiffin, Fremont, Fostoria, Bellevue, Clyde, Green Springs,
Bloomville, Arcadia, New Riegel, Ballville, Monroeville, Attica,
Bettsville, Republic, Burgoon, Flat Rock, Bascom, Bloomingville,
Kansas, and Stony Prairie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4117 8351 4117 8342 4124 8342 4127 8333
      4137 8320 4137 8258 4100 8281 4100 8340
      4111 8356
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 259DEG 30KT 4129 8321 4112 8343

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

15