Alert archive / Pennsylvania / High Wind Warnings in 2025
High Wind Warning 1, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this high wind warning at Mar 16, 2025, 2:53 AM EDT for Erie County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 11 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 16, 2025, 2:53 AM EDT (06:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 16, 2025, 2:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
County Erie County, PA
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 12:56 PM EDT | HAIL 0.7 | Albion, PA | Pea to dime size hail. Time estimated via radar. |
| Mar 16, 1:37 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 W Albion, PA | Power pole snapped. Time estimated via radar. |
| Mar 16, 1:39 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | Albion, PA | Tree uprooted. Time estimated via radar. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1540 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 260 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 236 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
581 WWUS71 KCLE 160653 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 253 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 PAZ001-002-161500- /O.UPG.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.HW.W.0001.250316T0653Z-250316T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Erie, Corry, Union City, and Edinboro 253 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Southern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-161200- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Medina, Wadsworth, Fremont, Mount Vernon, Upper Sandusky, Ashland, Millersburg, Galion, Rittman, North Ridgeville, Brunswick, Lorain, Elyria, Clyde, Mansfield, Crestline, Toledo, Findlay, Cardington, Marion, Oak Harbor, Huron, Tiffin, Avon Lake, Orrville, Killbuck, Bellevue, Norwalk, Wooster, Bowling Green, Genoa, Perrysburg, Carey, Mount Gilead, Bucyrus, Sandusky, Port Clinton, Fostoria, and Willard 253 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OHZ011-021>023-032-033-161500- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1500Z/ Cuyahoga-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning- Including the cities of Boardman, Kent, Youngstown, Massillon, Niles, Ravenna, Warren, Canton, Austintown, Cleveland, Aurora, Alliance, Streetsboro, and Akron 253 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-161500- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Crawford- Including the cities of Andover, Meadville, Conneaut, Geneva, Titusville, Painesville, Willoughby, South Russell, Willowick, Orwell, Chesterland, Bainbridge, Jefferson, Middlefield, Burton, Wickliffe, Roaming Shores, Eastlake, Mentor, Ashtabula, and Chardon 253 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Geauga, and Lake Counties. In Pennsylvania, Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ Saunders
3 follow-up statements
551 WWUS71 KCLE 161146 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 746 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-161300- /O.EXP.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-Seneca-Wyandot- Including the cities of Findlay, Carey, Clyde, Perrysburg, Upper Sandusky, Fostoria, Port Clinton, Bellevue, Tiffin, Bowling Green, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, and Toledo 746 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A few gusts to 40 mph may be possible through the next two hours before diminishing as the cold front crosses. $$ PAZ001-002-161800- /O.CON.KCLE.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Edinboro, Erie, Union City, and Corry 746 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Southern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ OHZ009-010-019-020-028>031-036>038-047-161500- /O.EXT.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1500Z/ Erie-Lorain-Huron-Medina-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion- Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Millersburg, Mount Gilead, Marion, Willard, Huron, Orrville, Elyria, Norwalk, Galion, Crestline, Ashland, Mount Vernon, Mansfield, Rittman, North Ridgeville, Lorain, Cardington, Killbuck, Brunswick, Avon Lake, Bucyrus, Medina, Wadsworth, Wooster, and Sandusky 746 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OHZ011-021>023-032-033-161800- /O.EXT.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Cuyahoga-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning- Including the cities of Niles, Massillon, Akron, Ravenna, Youngstown, Streetsboro, Cleveland, Austintown, Canton, Aurora, Alliance, Warren, Boardman, and Kent 746 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull Counties. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-161800- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Crawford- Including the cities of Mentor, Meadville, Titusville, Middlefield, Willoughby, Conneaut, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Chardon, Wickliffe, Chesterland, Eastlake, Geneva, South Russell, Willowick, Bainbridge, Burton, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, and Painesville 746 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Geauga, and Lake Counties. In Pennsylvania, Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ Saunders
772 WWUS71 KCLE 161455 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1055 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 OHZ009-010-019-020-028>031-036>038-047-161600- /O.EXP.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1500Z/ Erie-Lorain-Huron-Medina-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion- Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Galion, Killbuck, Norwalk, Mansfield, Cardington, Sandusky, Rittman, Mount Gilead, Mount Vernon, Ashland, Millersburg, Wooster, Huron, Brunswick, Orrville, Elyria, Medina, Wadsworth, Avon Lake, Marion, North Ridgeville, Bucyrus, Lorain, Crestline, and Willard 1055 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... The threat has ended. $$ PAZ001-002-161800- /O.CON.KCLE.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Union City, Corry, Edinboro, and Erie 1055 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Southern Erie Counties. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ OHZ011-021>023-032-033-161800- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Cuyahoga-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning- Including the cities of Austintown, Ravenna, Akron, Massillon, Canton, Boardman, Alliance, Aurora, Cleveland, Kent, Warren, Youngstown, Niles, and Streetsboro 1055 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit, and Trumbull Counties. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-161800- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Crawford- Including the cities of Conneaut, Jefferson, Painesville, Geneva, Bainbridge, Middlefield, Meadville, Roaming Shores, Mentor, Wickliffe, Eastlake, Burton, Orwell, Willowick, Titusville, South Russell, Andover, Chardon, Ashtabula, Willoughby, and Chesterland 1055 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Geauga, and Lake Counties. In Pennsylvania, Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ 13
432 WWUS71 KCLE 161754 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 154 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 PAZ001-002-161900- /O.EXP.KCLE.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Edinboro, Erie, Union City, and Corry 154 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... Warning level wind gusts are no longer expected. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph will continue through early this evening. $$ OHZ011>014-021>023-032-033-089-PAZ003-161900- /O.EXP.KCLE.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250316T1800Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Stark-Mahoning-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Crawford- Including the cities of Austintown, Conneaut, Ravenna, Kent, Meadville, Middlefield, Boardman, Alliance, Akron, Niles, Geneva, Titusville, Bainbridge, Jefferson, Cleveland, Streetsboro, Chardon, Andover, Wickliffe, Mentor, Warren, Burton, Painesville, Eastlake, Ashtabula, South Russell, Massillon, Willoughby, Orwell, Chesterland, Canton, Aurora, Willowick, Roaming Shores, and Youngstown 154 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... Advisory level wind gusts are no longer expected. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph will continue through early this evening. $$ 13
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Mar 16, 2:08 AM EDT, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 2:08 AM EDT, 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
208 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure moving northeast across the Great Lakes will drag
a cold front east across the area on Sunday. High pressure
builds back in on Monday before departing to the east on Tuesday
and Wednesday. The next low pressure system impacts the region
Wednesday night into Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
NW Ohio has been pulled out of the marginal severe weather
threat as instability has diminished with stratiform rain and
temperatures in the mid to upper 50s. A low end severe weather
threat remains for the remainder of the forecast area but not
expected to get going again until after 5 AM. A large swath of
rain can be seen on radar imagery extending from Central Ohio
all the way to the Gulf Coast. This rain will fill in across the
area tonight as low pressure tracks from Tennessee to Northwest
Ohio. A very strong low level jet is expected to materialize
with winds at 925mb of 50-55 knots and 70-75 knots at 850mb.
While the rain is expected to help stabilize the low levels, we
will also see the pressure gradient tighten up after midnight as
the low approaches and deepens. It seems there is sufficient
potential to see some gusts of 40-50 mph overnight, either as
showers arrive, in any heavier or convective rains, and in a
break that may follow the rain. Decided to expand the wind
advisory to the remainder of the forecast area through the
overnight period. High resolution models indicate the rain will
spread east overnight with some breaks developing closer to the
surface low. Limited instability of a few hundred joules of CAPE
may return and spread east ahead of the cold front between 10Z
and 18Z. 00Z HRRR suggests a broken line of convection may show
an intensifying trend as it tracks east towards Pennsylvania
during the late morning. Upper level jet support will encourage
intensification during this time frame. This supports the
marginal risk of severe weather across the eastern portion of
the area late tonight into Sunday.
Previous discussion...Active near term period continues as an
upper level trough digs east across the local area. Multiple
hazards remain on the table including strong synoptic winds,
widespread rainfall, and the potential for strong to severe
storms.
Synoptic Winds:
Various segments and end times in place as wind advisories are
in effect across the majority of the forecast area. Southerly
winds remain elevated between 25 and 30 MPH with gusts of 45 to
50 MPH this evening. There may be a brief lull in stronger wind
gusts between sunset and midnight tonight before the LLJ (~55
knots at 850mb) moves overhead. Biggest change to the forecast
with this package was extending the end time for the Wind
Advisory west of I- 71 through 8 AM Sunday. The Wind Advisory
for Summit, Portage, Trumbull, and Wayne Counties in Ohio
remains in effect through 8 PM tonight but may need to be
extended. Elsewhere along the lakeshore, Wind Advisories remain
in place through 11 AM Sunday for Cuyahoga County and through 2
PM Sunday for Lake County and points east. Winds will gradually
subside behind the cold front Sunday afternoon as they turn
westerly then northwesterly by the end of the near term forecast
period.
Rainfall:
There has been a lull in rain showers this afternoon behind the
line of showers and thunderstorms that pushed eastward this
morning. Some isolated thunderstorms west of I-75 this afternoon
have begun to initiate but are expected to gradually diminish
through this evening as instability decreases. As the isolated
thunderstorms weaken, rain showers will reenter the region this
evening from the southwest and spread eastward as surface low
pressure moves north into from the Tennessee Valley into the
Ohio Valley. Showers will exit to the east Sunday morning as a
dry slot enters from the west. Overall precipitation amounts in
the 0.50-1.00 inch range should be manageable and not warrant
any flooding concerns. Locally higher amounts between 1.00-1.25
inches are possible in central Ohio.
Strong to severe storms:
The SPC has pushed its SWODY2 Marginal Risk west to cover the
eastern half of the forecast area tomorrow. We may have a brief
window to destabilize early Sunday afternoon as the
aforementioned rain showers exit to the east and the dry slot
builds overhead ahead of the cold front. Latest hi-res guidance
shows a line of showers and thunderstorms redeveloping along a
cold front east of I-71 along a narrow band of ~500 J/kg of
MLCAPE and 50+ knots of deep layer shear. Primary threat in any
strong to severe storm that develops will be damaging winds,
though small hail and a brief tornado can't be ruled out given
the strong deep layer shear.
Temperatures:
Warm overnight lows settle in the mid to upper 50s for most. As
the cold front enters from the west overnight, lows along the
I-75 corridor may dip into the upper 40s to lower 50s. High
temperatures will be dependent on the timing of the frontal
passage. Highs across the western half of the forecast area will
struggle to reach 50 degrees whereas highs east of I-71 will be
achieved early in the day as they rise into the upper 50s. Much
colder by Sunday night behind the cold front as overnight lows dip
into the upper 20s. Some lingering moisture and northwest flow
over a mostly ice free lake may lead to some light lake effect
snow showers across the Snowbelt Sunday night.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
By Monday, high pressure will begin to build over the area, allowing
for all showers to depart to the east and dry conditions to persist
through the entire short term period. Ahead of another low pressure
system developing in the lee of the Rockies, an increased gradient
and resultant strong LLJ will push north on the leading edge of the
trough, resulting in the potential for breezy conditions on Tuesday,
especially across western counties and those along the lakeshore.
Highs on Monday will be a bit cooler, climbing into the 40s, before
warm temperatures return with southwest WAA on Tuesday with
temperatures climbing into the 60s. Monday lows will drop into the
mid 30s across western counties and into the mid to upper 20s for
the eastern counties. By Tuesday night, the overnight lows will
return to mild with temperatures only falling into the mid 40s to
low 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The next impactful system will move into the Midwest/western Great
Lakes region beginning on Wednesday. This system looks to follow a
very similar path as the current low impacting the region as it is
expected to track northeast through the region and into the
Northeast. A deepening trough will allow for a strong vort max and a
strong upper level jet to enhance support for any shower and
thunderstorm development. Thunderstorm potential remains uncertain
given the onset timing of precipitation possibly being in a less
diurnally favorable environment, but cannot rule out a few rumbles
across the area. Wednesday night into Thursday, a cold front will
move east across the area, resulting in a lingering surface trough
over the area and the potential for a period of chillier air. Models
suggest 850mb temperatures of -10 to -12C late Thursday into Friday
morning, which may be cool enough to develop some lake effect snow
showers into Friday morning. Given the warm antecedent conditions
and rather narrow period where moisture will also be present, not
expecting much in regards to accumulations. By Friday afternoon, it
looks like the potential for snow decreases as drier air builds over
the area. Will need to continue to monitor as there is quite a bit
of divergence in model agreement that far out.
The long term period will start out warm in the 60s to low 70s
before cooling with highs only reaching into the 40s for the
remainder of the period. Overnight lows will follow a similar trend
beginning Wednesday night in the upper 30s to low 40s before cooling
into the 20s for the remainder of the period.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/...
Rain continues across the vast majority of the area, with the
primary prevailing flight category being VFR, although there
have been and will continue to be isolated instances of MVFR
visibilities and ceilings. A dry slot develops in the western
part of the forecast area, which rain becoming more scattered
after 09Z or so. Wind gusts have been underperforming a bit but
should see southeast to south winds strengthening to the 30-40
knot range in the next couple hours and especially when the dry
slot slot develops and moves across the area. Wind gusts may be
more variable than usual as winds expected to be lighter in the
broader rain shield, and stronger outside of it.
A separate line of showers and thunderstorms may develop in the
dry slot between 10-12Z near I-71 and move eastward across the
area between 12-16Z. This line of storms could also produce
stronger winds, and brief IFR visibilities.
The cold front located over Indiana will move eastward across
the area between 12-17Z, with a sharp wind shift expected. Winds
will become west-southwest and weaken to 20-30 knot gusts.
Ceilings drop to MVFR immediately behind the cold front with
rain showers becoming more isolated. Scattered rain showers
return tonight with IFR ceilings developing downwind of Lake
Erie in Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania tonight. Winds
continue to shift to the west this evening and northwest by
tonight, weakening to around 10 knots tonight.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible with rain Wednesday through Thursday.
&&
.MARINE...
Hazardous marine conditions are expected to persist through Sunday
evening as a strong low pressure system moves northeast through the
western Great Lakes region and into Ontario. Strong southerly winds
today of 20-25 knots, gusting up to 35 knots will persist through
tonight before gradually becoming west-northwest on Sunday as a cold
front moves east. Waves will be limited today with the offshore
flow, however once the winds turn onshore tomorrow, waves will build
to 3-5 feet, especially across the central basin. As a result, a
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through Sunday evening for
the entire southern lakeshore of Lake Erie.
Late on Sunday, high pressure begins to build over the area and will
influence the weather for the start of the week, allowing for
generally quiet marine conditions through Tuesday. On Wednesday,
another strong low pressure system will begin to impact Lake Erie,
which will likely persist through Friday and require additional
marine headlines.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for OHZ003-006>010-
017>020-027>031-036>038-047.
Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for OHZ011-021>023-
032-033.
Wind Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for OHZ012>014-089.
PA...Wind Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for PAZ001>003.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for
LEZ142>144.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for LEZ145>148.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for LEZ149.
&&
SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...10/13
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM...04
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...04Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 15, 4:06 PM EDT, 10 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-162015- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Wyandot- Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Marion-Morrow- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ047-162015- Knox- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-162015- Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie-Crawford- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday. The main threats are damaging winds and small hail. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ032-033-038-162015- Stark-Mahoning-Holmes- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday. The main threats are damaging winds and small hail. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ021>023-031-162015- Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wayne- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday. The main threats are damaging winds and small hail. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ020-162015- Medina- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ011-162015- Cuyahoga- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday. The main threats are damaging winds and small hail. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-142>149-162>169-162015- Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH- Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 406 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 9:01 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford, Erie | 59 min |
| Mar 16, 12:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford, Erie | 91 min |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2025Every high wind warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.