Alert archive / Alaska / High Wind Warnings in 2025
High Wind Warning 9, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this high wind warning at Aug 27, 2025, 1:11 PM AKDT for Anchorage Municipality, Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska. It took effect at Aug 28, 2025, 2:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. 22 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 27, 2025, 1:11 PM AKDT (21:11 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 28, 2025, 2:00 AM AKDT
- Expired
- Aug 29, 2025, 2:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
Counties Anchorage Municipality, AK, Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK
The radar
The Kenai radar (PAHG), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 4:42 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 79 | Potter Valley, AK | Mesonet station DW5765 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 7:05 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 50 | Eagle River, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station DVI04583 Eagle River. |
| Aug 28, 7:30 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 62 | Hillside East, AK | Ongoing event. 61 mph gust also observed between 4 and 5 am. |
| Aug 28, 7:48 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 53 | Arctic Valley Rd, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station GW3116 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 7:55 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 66 | Bear Valley, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station GW5830 ANCHORAGE. |
| Aug 28, 7:56 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 53 | Rabbit Creek, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station RBTA2 Rabbit Creek RAWS. |
| Aug 28, 8:15 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | Rabbit Creek, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station FW8205 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 8:56 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 64 | Rabbit Creek, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station RBTA2 Rabbit Creek RAWS. |
| Aug 28, 9:02 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 86 | Potter Valley, AK | Ongoing event. Wind gust at mesonet site DW5765 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 9:29 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 51 | Palmer, AK | Ongoing event. Peak wind from ASOS station PAAQ Palmer. |
| Aug 28, 9:40 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 69 | Bear Valley, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station GW5830 ANCHORAGE. |
| Aug 28, 9:56 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 66 | Rabbit Creek, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station FW8205 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 10:25 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 68 | Rabbit Creek, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station FW8205 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 11:20 AM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 52 | South Fork Eagle River, AK | Ongoing event. Several wind gusts to 52 mph since 10:35 am. |
| Aug 28, 12:25 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 54 | Palmer, AK | Ongoing event. Peak wind. ASOS station PAAQ Palmer. |
| Aug 28, 12:40 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 69 | Hillside East, AK | Ongoing event. Time approximate. |
| Aug 28, 12:55 PM AKDT | LANDSLIDE | 16 E Chickaloon, AK | Rockslide by the Glenn Highway past Sutton. No injuries or damage. |
| Aug 28, 1:11 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | Arctic Valley Rd, AK | Ongoing event. Mesonet station GW3116 Anchorage. |
| Aug 28, 1:55 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 54 | Fort Richardson, AK | Ongoing event. AWOS station PAFR Bryant Army Af. |
| Aug 28, 2:53 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | Palmer, AK | Ongoing event. Peak wind. ASOS station PAAQ Palmer. |
| Aug 28, 5:50 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 72 | 1 Nw Anchorage (Glen Al, AK | Winds increased noticeably after 4PM. Measured max wind gust reportedly occurred sometime approx 5:20 to 5:30PM. Temperatures warmed to 72 deg with the wind. 0.8 inches of rain fell overnight and ended sometime between 6 and 8AM. |
| Aug 28, 8:45 PM AKDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | 1 W Anchorage (Spenard), AK | Downed tree across Beechcraft Dr. Lake Hood Airport, PALH, had a peak wind gust of 47 mph at 8:32 PM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Anchorage Iap/Pt. Campbe, (PANC), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1193 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 200 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 273 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
284 WWAK71 PAFC 272111 NPWAER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Anchorage AK 111 PM AKDT Wed Aug 27 2025 AKZ702-281500- /O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0009.250828T1000Z-250829T0600Z/ Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River- Including the cities of Upper Eagle River, Anchorage Hillside, and Indian 111 PM AKDT Wed Aug 27 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM AKDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 10 PM AKDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong frontal system moving into Southcentral will bring widespread wind gusts ranging from 50 to 70 mph to the Anchorage Hillside beginning early Thursday morning. The strongest winds are expected to peak near the middle of the day on Thursday. Winds will then slowly weaken through Thursday evening and diminish by early Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ701-281500- /O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0009.250828T1600Z-250829T0600Z/ Anchorage- Including the cities of Eagle River, Eklutna, and Anchorage 111 PM AKDT Wed Aug 27 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM AKDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Anchorage. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 10 PM AKDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A frontal system will move into Southcentral on Thursday and bring widespread strong winds to the Anchorage Bowl starting late Thursday morning. The stronger winds will initially be confined to the east side of town, then rapidly spread to the rest of Anchorage late on Thursday morning. The strongest wind gusts ranging from 35 to 55 mph are expected to peak early Thursday afternoon. Winds will then slowly diminish through Thursday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ Shriver
5 follow-up statements
069 WWAK71 PAFC 281148 NPWAER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Anchorage AK 348 AM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 AKZ711-290600- /O.EXA.PAFC.HW.W.0009.250828T1600Z-250829T0600Z/ Lower Matanuska Valley- Including the cities of Palmer, Wasilla, and Big Lake 348 AM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Palmer and Butte. * WHEN...From 8 AM this morning to 10 PM AKDT this evening. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A frontal system will move into Southcentral today and bring widespread strong winds to the Palmer and Butte areas starting later this morning. The strongest wind gusts ranging from 40 to 55 mph are expected to peak early this afternoon. Winds will then slowly diminish through later this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ702-290600- /O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T0600Z/ Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River- Including the cities of Indian, Upper Eagle River, and Anchorage Hillside 348 AM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River. * WHEN...Until 10 PM AKDT this evening. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong frontal system moving into Southcentral will bring widespread wind gusts ranging from 55 to 75 mph to the Anchorage Hillside beginning early this morning. The strongest winds are expected to peak near the middle of the day. Winds will then slowly weaken through late this evening and diminish by early Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ701-290600- /O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0009.250828T1600Z-250829T0600Z/ Anchorage- Including the cities of Eklutna, Anchorage, and Eagle River 348 AM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Anchorage. * WHEN...From 8 AM this morning to 10 PM AKDT this evening. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A frontal system will move into Southcentral today and bring widespread strong winds to the Anchorage Bowl starting late this morning. The stronger winds will initially be confined to the east side of town, then rapidly spread to the rest of Anchorage later this morning. The strongest wind gusts ranging from 35 to 55 mph are expected to peak early this afternoon. Winds will then slowly diminish through late this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ Markle
732 WWAK71 PAFC 282342 NPWAER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Anchorage AK 342 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 AKZ701-290600- /O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T0600Z/ Anchorage- Including the cities of Eagle River, Anchorage, and Eklutna 342 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage. * WHEN...Until 10 PM AKDT this evening. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds have likely already peaked this afternoon, but a few gusts as strong as 40 to 55 mph will remain possible across the Anchorage bowl over the next few hours. The strongest winds will slowly diminish through late this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ702-290600- /O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T0600Z/ Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River- Including the cities of Indian, Anchorage Hillside, and Upper Eagle River 342 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River. * WHEN...Until 10 PM AKDT this evening. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds have likely already peaked this afternoon, but gusts across the Anchorage Hillside up to 70 mph will remain possible over the next few hours. Winds will slowly weaken through late this evening and diminish by early Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ711-290600- /O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T0600Z/ Lower Matanuska Valley- Including the cities of Palmer, Big Lake, and Wasilla 342 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Palmer and Butte. * WHEN...Until 10 PM AKDT this evening. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts have likely already peaked early this afternoon, but gusts as strong as 60 mph will remain possible over the next few hours near Palmer and Butte. Winds will then slowly diminish through late this evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ Shriver
046 WWAK71 PAFC 290556 NPWAER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Anchorage AK 956 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 AKZ701-291000- /O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Anchorage- Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, and Eklutna 956 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage. * WHEN...Until 2 AM AKDT Friday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds have likely already peaked, but a few gusts as strong as 40 to 55 mph will remain possible across the Anchorage bowl over the next few hours. The strongest winds will slowly diminish early Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ702-291000- /O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River- Including the cities of Upper Eagle River, Anchorage Hillside, and Indian 956 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River. * WHEN...Until 2 AM AKDT Friday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds have likely already peaked, but gusts across the Anchorage Hillside up to 70 mph will remain possible over the next few hours. Winds will slowly weaken overnight and diminish Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ711-291000- /O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Lower Matanuska Valley- Including the cities of Big Lake, Wasilla, and Palmer 956 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Palmer and Butte. * WHEN...Until 2 AM AKDT Friday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts have likely already peaked, but gusts as strong as 60 mph will remain possible over the next few hours near Palmer and Butte. Winds will then slowly diminish overnight into Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
233 WWAK71 PAFC 290558 CCA NPWAER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED National Weather Service Anchorage AK 958 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 AKZ701-291000- /O.COR.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Anchorage- Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, and Eklutna 958 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage. * WHEN...Until 2 AM AKDT Friday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds have likely already peaked, but a few gusts as strong as 40 to 55 mph will remain possible across the Anchorage bowl over the next few hours. The strongest winds will slowly diminish early Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ702-291000- /O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River- Including the cities of Upper Eagle River, Anchorage Hillside, and Indian 958 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. * WHERE...Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River. * WHEN...Until 2 AM AKDT Friday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds have likely already peaked, but gusts across the Anchorage Hillside up to 70 mph will remain possible over the next few hours. Winds will slowly weaken overnight and diminish Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ AKZ711-291000- /O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Lower Matanuska Valley- Including the cities of Big Lake, Wasilla, and Palmer 958 PM AKDT Thu Aug 28 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Palmer and Butte. * WHEN...Until 2 AM AKDT Friday. * IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and cause power outages. Trees are still fully leafed, and will be particularly vulnerable to damage in strong winds. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts have likely already peaked, but gusts as strong as 60 mph will remain possible over the next few hours near Palmer and Butte. Winds will then slowly diminish overnight into Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
143 WWAK71 PAFC 290953 NPWAER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Anchorage AK 153 AM AKDT Fri Aug 29 2025 AKZ701-702-711-291100- /O.EXP.PAFC.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-250829T1000Z/ Anchorage-Anchorage Hillside / Eagle River-Lower Matanuska Valley- Including the cities of Eklutna, Big Lake, Palmer, Upper Eagle River, Indian, Anchorage, Anchorage Hillside, Eagle River, and Wasilla 153 AM AKDT Fri Aug 29 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM AKDT EARLY THIS MORNING... Southerly wind gusts to around 30 mph will continue into Friday morning. However, the threat for strong winds and gusts has ended. $$ Markle
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Aug 27, 5:08 AM AKDT, 8 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 5:08 AM AKDT, 8 hours 3 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 508 AM AKDT Wed Aug 27 2025 .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)... IR and WV satellite imagery this morning reveal a train of shortwaves in the upper levels moving northeast from the North Pacific into the Southern Mainland, embedded in the southwesterly flow between a digging upper-level trough over the eastern Bering and a stout upper-level ridge extending north along the coast of the western U.S. and Canada. The first of these waves is moving into the Copper River Basin, and was the wave responsible for the periods of rain across the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage Bowl, and Mat-Su Valleys yesterday evening through the overnight hours. The second, is quickly moving across the AKPen toward Cook Inlet and is brining rain to Southwest Alaska and Kennedy Entrance south to Kodiak Island. This is the feature that will bring another round of steady rain from Cook Inlet north into the Susitna Valley and east to Prince William Sound later today. At the surface, a low has developed along an old frontal boundary south of the AK Pen. The center of this low will gradually lift from Bristol Bay this morning into the Y-K Delta this afternoon. The strong pressure gradient between this and the ridge to the east will shift, allowing strong gap winds to again develop by late morning, continuing through later this evening before shifting to a more east-west orientation as the next low spins up south of the AKPen and shutting off the gap winds, similar to what was observed last night and this morning. The forecast is on track with respect to this second low, as the upper-level wave from the North Pacific phases with another wave driving east underneath the digging upper-level trough moving over the Aleutians and AK Pen. The shortwave will strengthen rapidly, aided by a 130kt north-south oriented jet streak, and will also tap into a tropical moisture feed. At the surface, the low will spin up, strengthen, and drive northward into Bristol Bay. Its front will slowly move from the western Gulf to Prince William Sound through Thursday, and then stall over Prince William Sound for Friday before finally exiting the region. Multiple shortwaves will ride along the front, helping to enhance precipitation along the coast and over most of Southcentral. Gap winds will also continue through the week given the storm track, with the strongest gusts likely Wednesday and Thursday afternoon and evening. Gusts across favorable gap locations could range between 30 and 50 mph. While some lulls may be expected given the seemingly ever-shifting axis of the pressure gradient, these gap winds will peak in intensity by late Thursday morning as the low lifts across the Kuskokwim Valley. Winds at ridgetop level will also rapidly increase during this time with gusts of 50 to 65 mph not out of the question for the hillsides of Anchorage and Eagle River. Rainfall amounts are also on track for these upcoming systems, with perhaps slightly higher amounts than initially thought. This is true given the amount of moisture advecting into the region and the slower eastward track of the surface low and upper-level trough depicted in the latest EC and GFS runs (favored over the NAM and GEM solutions). For Wednesday through Saturday morning, rainfall totals could top out between 3 and 6 inches for coastal locations from Seward to Cordova. 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall across the Susitna Valley along with 1 to 3 inches for coastal western Kenai Peninsula. Upwards of 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible for the Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska Valley, as the strong dynamics with this system helps to negate any downsloping from the southeasterly winds closer to mountaintop level. Around one half to one inch of rain is also possible for the Copper River Basin Friday into Saturday. -AM/TM && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: This morning through Saturday morning)... Active weather continues through the end of the work week. The most impactful weather will be focused on Southwest Alaska, where a Flood Watch is in effect for much of the region through Thursday due to prolonged moderate to heavy rainfall. For the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands, gale force winds and moderate to heavy rain are forecast from Thursday through Friday as a strong low and its front sweep eastward across the Bering Sea. The forecast generally remains on track, though there continues to be some uncertainty with storm track and, thus, rain totals. Radar this morning shows rain becoming more showery in nature across Southwest Alaska as the front occludes and pushes further inland with its parent low driving north towards Norton Sound through this evening. Showers are expected to continue across Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley through this evening as the upper level trough pivots further east into the eastern Bering. Overall, the general synoptic picture remains on track as this front lingers over Southwest Alaska, followed by a North Pacific low moving in from late Wednesday through Thursday. However, the track of this second low is much more uncertain. There are some differences with how far west rain will extend, with some model guidance bringing rain as far west as Bethel, while other models keep the rain from Wednesday/Thursday's storm from about Dillingham east. This will have implications for rain amounts and flood potential for these areas. The speed of this low will also factor into the timing of moderate to heavy rain, and whether the Flood Watch may need to be extended to address continued moderate to heavy rainfall after Thursday morning. Less impactful but still notable will be nighttime lows dropping into the low 40s and high 30s as cold air moves in behind the low for Thursday night and Friday night. This influx of cold air will lead to showers as the steadier rain tapers off Thursday evening, with the potential for more robust convection due to an unstable vertical temperature profile. The colder air may also bring a fresh dusting of snow to taller peaks in the Western Alaska Range, and a momentary preview of more winter-like conditions before temperatures warm up again with the next storm. Speaking of the next storm, the primary feature of interest for the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands will be a 980-990 mb low moving in from the west for Thursday and Friday. Confidence is high that winds will reach gale force along its front, with moderate rain rates. The low moves across the Western and Central Bering/Aleutians from Thursday through Saturday morning, reaching the Pribilof and Eastern Aleutian Islands by Friday afternoon and the Southwest Alaska coast by Saturday morning. -JH/Chen && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Friday to Tuesday)... Rainfall from this week's trough will be winding down though the prolonged period of up inlet flow of precipitation could lead to river rises especially in the Kenai Peninsula Rivers as well as Yetna/Skwentna Rivers in the Susitna Valley through early next week. A weak ridge builds into Southcentral Saturday evening into Sunday morning though another round of rain is expected Sunday through Tuesday. A North Pacific low moves over Adak late this week and its front brings strong winds and heavy rainfall to the Aleutians, the Alaska Peninsula and Southwest Alaska. Wide spread small craft advisories in the Bering Sea on Thursday increase to areas of gale force winds, especially through the favored gap locations east of Unalaska, Friday and Saturday. As the low moves toward the Bering Strait, its front rotates through the Gulf of Alaska bringing another round of heavy rain and gusty winds to Kodiak Island and Southcentral Alaska for the holiday weekend. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR ceilings and visibility are forecast through Thursday, along with periods of rain through the duration. Southeasterly Turnagain Arm winds will be common this afternoon and evening as the first of multiple disturbances lifts across the region. In between the first and second disturbance, winds may relax and become down- inlet oriented later this evening. However, a second and stronger wave of low pressure lifts across the region early Thursday with another round of southeasterly winds, potentially gusting into the 30 to 40 mph range during the morning hours. BL &&
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 27, 9:09 AM AKDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
909 AM AKDT Wed Aug 27 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0908 AM Flood 1 S Togiak 59.06N 160.38W
08/27/2025 Dillingham AK Law Enforcement
Togiak VPSO reports flooding over roadways
and localized ponding around town.
&&
TKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 3:32 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Aug 27, 3:32 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Aug 27, 3:32 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Aug 27, 3:32 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Aug 27, 2:07 PM AKDT | Flood Watch | AFC | Kenai Peninsula, Matanuska-Susitna | 50 hr |
| Aug 27, 2:44 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Aug 27, 2:44 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Aug 27, 3:50 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in Alaska, 2025Every high wind warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.