Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

809 
WWUS51 KPHI 302136 RRA
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
536 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

NJC019-023-035-302200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-240630T2200Z/
Hunterdon NJ-Somerset NJ-Middlesex NJ-
536 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON...SOMERSET AND MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

At 536 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bound Brook, or
near Somerville, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Brunswick, Perth Amboy, Somerville, Somerset, Edison, Old Bridge,
East Brunswick, Bridgewater, South Brunswick, Sayreville, North
Brunswick, Middlesex, Bound Brook, Manville, Millstone, Flagtown,
Colonia, Belle Mead, Martinsville, and North Brunswick Township.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike between exits 10 and 12.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 32 and 35.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 20.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 125 and 133.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4049 7486 4065 7463 4065 7457 4062 7443
      4060 7446 4060 7436 4058 7423 4034 7436
      4037 7447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 281DEG 22KT 4054 7452 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Fitzsimmons

580 
WWUS51 KPHI 302144
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
544 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

NJC019-302153-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-240630T2200Z/
Hunterdon NJ-
544 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EDT for
northern New Jersey.

LAT...LON 4048 7477 4065 7460 4065 7457 4062 7443
      4060 7446 4060 7436 4058 7423 4035 7436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 283DEG 23KT 4053 7448 

$$

NJC023-035-302200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0088.000000T0000Z-240630T2200Z/
Somerset NJ-Middlesex NJ-
544 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL SOMERSET AND NORTHERN MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

At 543 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Society Hill,
or near New Brunswick, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Brunswick, Perth Amboy, Somerville, Somerset, Edison, Old Bridge,
East Brunswick, Bridgewater, Sayreville, North Brunswick, Middlesex,
Bound Brook, Manville, Millstone, Flagtown, Colonia, Belle Mead,
Martinsville, North Brunswick Township, and Society Hill.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike between exits 10 and 12.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 33 and 35.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 19.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 125 and 133.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4048 7477 4065 7460 4065 7457 4062 7443
      4060 7446 4060 7436 4058 7423 4035 7436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 283DEG 23KT 4053 7448 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Fitzsimmons

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
428 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will slide through our region through tonight.
High pressure builds in Monday through Tuesday before moving
offshore Wednesday. A surface trough arrives on Thursday as a
cold front may approach from the northwest Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 remains in effect until 7 pm.

Strong southerly flow into this evening ahead of a cold front will
usher a warm, humid, and unstable airmass into the region. Surface
dew points ahead of the front are well in the 70s, even around 80 in
some spots. Widespread cloud cover has kept temperatures down from
forecasted highs in the low 90s, but the clouds have kept the dew
points elevated. As a result, with some breaks in the clouds, Heat
Advisory criteria may still be met where the Heat Advisory is in
effect. Will keep it going until 7 pm.

Showers and thunderstorms developing ahead of the approaching cold
front on a pre-frontal trough. As a result of those elevated dew
points, SB CAPE values generally up around 4000 to 5000 J/kg along
with DCAPE values generally 600 to 800 J/kg, but that should rise a
bit more over the next couple of hours. 0-6 km Bulk Shear in the 35
to 45 kt range and PWATs over 2 inches. Storms are moving fairly
quickly, mitigated the flash flood threat for now. Going into this
evening, localized flash flooding is possible. But the primary
threat is for damaging wind gusts with large hail also possible.
Frequent lightning strikes will also occur in the strongest storms.

Storms currently over the southern Poconos and northern New Jersey.
They will continue to sag to the south as they track east into this
evening, intensifying over the I-95 corridor by 5 pm to 7 pm. Storms
then move into southern New Jersey and Delmarva after 8 pm or so.
Cold front passes through the region after midnight or so and storms
will taper off.

A much drier airmass spreads into the region after midnight as dew
points drop into the 50s by daybreak. Northwest winds will pick up
to around 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph late tonight before
increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph Monday morning.
Winds diminish Monday afternoon.

Much more pleasant weather for Monday with below normal highs in the
upper 70s to around 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure will remain the dominant feature through Wednesday.
The mostly pleasant and tranquil conditions will continue
Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs on Tuesday will be near normal,
mainly in the low- mid 80s. However, with dew points forecast to
remain in the 50s, another pleasant day looks to be on tap.
Lows Tuesday night will be a touch warmer as well, mainly in the
low-mid 60s.

As the high shifts further east on Wednesday, expect low level
southerly return flow to usher in a modest warming trend, but
conditions should remain quite pleasant.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Summary...Approaching trough and cold front will be responsible
for rain chances through the long term. Few changes from the
previous forecast.

Synoptic Overview...A Canadian upper-level trough will push the
ridge southward some Thursday and Friday. At the surface, a
trough arrives Thursday with a cold front approaching from the
northwest Friday.

Thursday (Independence Day) through Sunday...Southerly flow
becomes more established leading to hot and humid conditions
through the weekend. The influence of a Canadian upper-level
trough will start to approach during Thursday, however the
timing and amplitude of this trough is less certain. As of now,
the main trough is more toward the Midwest and therefore the
associated cold front may be slow to approach our area late in
the week. There may be a pre- frontal trough in our vicinity
Thursday into Friday and this may provide enough focus amid a
destabilizing air mass to initiate some convection.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...CIGs lifting to VFR, but sub-VFR in SHRA/TSRA with
conditions improving from NW (KRDG/KABE) to SE (KMIV/KACY) starting
at 02Z and through 04Z or so. Severe thunderstorms likely, and
should a severe storm pass over a terminal, wind gusts in excess of
50 kt could occur. Heavy rain will also result in VSBYs 1SM or less.
Cannot rule out large hail as well. Non-thunderstorm winds will be
out of the SW at 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, turning NW by
this evening at 5 to 10 kt. Winds increase late tonight to 10 to 15
kt with gusts up to 20 kt after 09Z. Moderate confidence overall.

Monday...VFR. NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after 18Z. High confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday and Wednesday...VFR with no significant weather.

Thursday and Friday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with chances
(25-35%) for SHRA and TSRA, especially in the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
S winds ahead of an approaching cold front will result in 10 to 15
kt winds with gusts up to 20 kt into this evening. Will go ahead and
cancel the Small Craft Advisory as conditions are not quite meeting
SCA criteria. Winds shift to the NW behind the passing cold front
tonight. Winds increase to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt on all
waters late tonight through midday Monday. Will go ahead and hoist a
new SCA from 09Z to 17Z Monday to cover this.

Thunderstorms on the waters will result in wind gusts in excess of
40 kt, VSBY restrictions in heavy rain, and frequent lightning
strikes. Large hail also possible. Storms should begin to taper off
after midnight, though lingering showers and thunderstorms may
continue on DE ocean waters into daybreak Monday.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Friday...Winds and seas are expected to be below
SCA criteria.

Rip Currents...

Monday...Behind a cold front, N winds will average 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph in the morning, then will diminish to 10
to 15 mph in the afternoon. Due to these elevated winds and
breaking waves of 1 to 2 feet, there is a MODERATE risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents for the Jersey Shore. For
Delaware Beaches, winds will back slightly to the NW and will be
a bit lighter. This results in a LOW risk for the development of
dangerous rip currents for Delaware Beaches.

On Tuesday, much more tranquil conditions with E to NE winds 5
to 10 mph. As a result, there is a LOW risk for the development
of dangerous rip currents at the Jersey Shore and at Delaware
Beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for PAZ070-071-102-
     104-106.
NJ...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for NJZ010-012-013-
     015-017>020-027.
DE...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for DEZ001.
MD...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for MDZ012-015-019-
     020.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 1 PM EDT Monday for ANZ430-
     431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AKL/Gorse/Johnson
NEAR TERM...MPS
SHORT TERM...AKL/Johnson
LONG TERM...AKL/Gorse/Johnson
AVIATION...Johnson/MPS
MARINE...Johnson/MPS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
408 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SW Wharton            40.88N 74.61W
06/30/2024                   Morris             NJ   Dept of Highways

            NJ DOT - STMC: Downed tree on US 46
            eastbound West of CR 669/Canfield Av (Mine
            Hill Twp) 2 Right lanes of 3 lanes closed.
            Time estimated.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
412 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Byram                   40.93N 74.72W
06/30/2024                   Sussex             NJ   911 Call Center

            A few trees and wires blown down. Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

SFJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
413 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0147 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Coolbaugh Twp       41.19N 75.36W
06/30/2024                   Monroe             PA   Public

            Trees and wires down on Jennifer Ln. Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
414 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Stillwater Twp          41.06N 74.86W
06/30/2024                   Sussex             NJ   911 Call Center

            A few trees and wires down. Time estimated
            from radar.

&&

SFJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
415 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     Flash Flood      1 SW Ocean City         39.27N 74.59W
06/30/2024                   Cape May           NJ   Cocorahs

            Report of vehicles flooded and portions of
            Have Avenue impassable. Time estimated from
            radar.

0147 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Coolbaugh Twp       41.19N 75.36W
06/30/2024                   Monroe             PA   Public

            Trees and wires down on Jennifer Ln. Time
            estimated from radar.

0147 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Coolbaugh Twp     41.17N 75.36W
06/30/2024                   Monroe             PA   Public

            Tree down on Cottonwood Lane. Tree hit a
            vehicle and is blocking road. Time estimated
            from radar.

0147 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Pocono Mountains Munici 41.13N 75.38W
06/30/2024  M49 MPH          Monroe             PA   ASOS

            ASOS station KMPO Mt. Pocono.

0230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Stillwater Twp          41.06N 74.86W
06/30/2024                   Sussex             NJ   911 Call Center

            A few trees and wires down. Time estimated
            from radar.

0230 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Blairstown              40.98N 74.99W
06/30/2024                   Warren             NJ   911 Call Center

            Tree down crossing roadway. Time estimated
            from radar.

0232 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 WSW Fredon Twp        41.03N 74.83W
06/30/2024                   Sussex             NJ   Trained Spotter

            Large tree limb at least 6 inches in
            diameter lying across road. Time estimated
            from radar.

0250 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Jim Thorpe              40.87N 75.73W
06/30/2024                   Carbon             PA   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Jim Thorpe. A few trees down in Jim Thorpe.
            Time estimated from radar.

0252 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NE East Penn Twp      40.78N 75.72W
06/30/2024                   Carbon             PA   911 Call Center

            Tree down in East Penn Township. Time
            estimated from radar.

0310 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Byram                   40.93N 74.72W
06/30/2024                   Sussex             NJ   911 Call Center

            A few trees and wires blown down. Time
            estimated from radar.

0311 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Towaco              40.94N 74.34W
06/30/2024                   Morris             NJ   Trained Spotter

            Spotter Network: Tree uprooted on a house as
            well as a significant amount of branches
            ranging between 4-8 inches in diameter. Time
            estimated from radar.

0320 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SW Wharton            40.88N 74.61W
06/30/2024                   Morris             NJ   Dept of Highways

            NJ DOT - STMC: Downed tree on US 46
            eastbound West of CR 669/Canfield Av (Mine
            Hill Twp) 2 Right lanes of 3 lanes closed.
            Time estimated.

0330 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Nazareth                40.74N 75.31W
06/30/2024                   Northampton        PA   Public

            Large branches snapped and winds estimated
            around 60 mph.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
502 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Wharton                 40.90N 74.58W
06/30/2024                   Morris             NJ   Public

            Tree down on Interstate 80 near Wharton.
            Time estimated from radar.

&&

SFJ