Severe Thunderstorm Warning 153, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

104 
WWUS51 KPHI 180016
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
816 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

DEC001-003-MDC029-180100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0153.000000T0000Z-240718T0100Z/
New Castle DE-Kent DE-Kent MD-
816 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEW CASTLE...NORTHWESTERN KENT AND NORTHEASTERN KENT
COUNTIES...

At 816 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cecilton, or 12
miles southwest of Middletown, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Wind damage to roofs, 
         siding, trees, and power lines is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Smyrna, Clayton, Saint Georges, Sassafras, Mount
Pleasant, Woodland Beach, Green Spring, Delaney Corner, Massey,
Kennedyville, Townsend, Galena, Odessa, and Chambersville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 7599 3937 7595 3936 7588 3938 7582
      3938 7577 3954 7578 3959 7565 3932 7544
      3926 7612
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 254DEG 22KT 3936 7591 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Staarmann

262 
WWUS51 KPHI 180030
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
830 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

DEC001-003-MDC029-180100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0153.000000T0000Z-240718T0100Z/
New Castle DE-Kent DE-Kent MD-
830 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEW CASTLE...NORTHWESTERN KENT AND NORTHEASTERN KENT
COUNTIES...

At 830 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Crumpton, or 16
miles southwest of Middletown, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Smyrna, Clayton, Sassafras, Delaney Corner, Woodland Beach, Green
Spring, Massey, Kennedyville, Townsend, Galena, and Chambersville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 7595 3936 7588 3938 7582 3938 7577
      3944 7553 3932 7544 3927 7603
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 261DEG 17KT 3929 7593 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Staarmann

637 
WWUS51 KPHI 180040
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
840 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

DEC001-003-MDC029-180049-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SV.W.0153.000000T0000Z-240718T0100Z/
New Castle DE-Kent DE-Kent MD-
840 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEW CASTLE...
NORTHWESTERN KENT AND NORTHEASTERN KENT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and 
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central and northern Delaware...and northeastern Maryland.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Mount Holly NJ.

LAT...LON 3937 7595 3936 7588 3938 7582 3938 7577
      3944 7553 3932 7544 3927 7603
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 251DEG 23KT 3931 7585 

$$

Staarmann

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
730 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will cross the Middle Atlantic region
tonight. It will be followed by high pressure for the end of the
week and into the weekend. Another upper system and surface
front will arrive by early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A line of loosely organized convection has now formed across
eastern PA down into the Chesapeake Bay. While there remains
sufficient instability and shear to support some severe wind
potential, storms are beginning to struggle with some
organization, at least across these areas that already saw some
convective development earlier in the day. More abundant
instability is available across southern NJ and the Delmarva, so
storms still have an opportunity to strengthen over the next few
hours. The onset of nighttime, however, will help diminish our
severe potential gradually over the next few hours. PWAT values
over 2 inches remain across the region and continue to support
heavy downpours leading to localized flash flooding. Storms
should eventually give way to just some residual showers before
tapering off from northwest to southeast overnight as the cold
front shifts further offshore. Behind the front, light NW winds
and temperatures falling into the upper 60s to low 70s. Some
patchy fog will be possible as well.

The cold front should fully cross through the region by
Thursday morning but will begin to slow down as it passes to our
south and east. So while, the northern half of the area will
begin to see some clearing, the southern half of the area
(especially near the coast), will see cloud cover linger
throughout the day. Isolated to scattered showers and storms may
hang up along the southern Jersey shore and southern Delmarva
in the afternoon. On the bright side, this cold front will knock
down temps and humidity with highs mainly in the mid 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Front will continue slowly sliding southeastward away from the
area Thursday night. A few showers or thunderstorms may linger
in the evening across southern Delaware but it should clear out
after midnight. Lows will be in the considerably more
comfortable 60s for most of the area.

Friday looks like the most pleasant day of the forecast as
Canadian high pressure briefly builds southward into the area.
Dew points will be down into the upper 50s and lower 60s with
highs only in the mid to upper 80s with mostly sunny skies and
light winds.

High pressure starts to push eastward with a lee-side trough
developing on Saturday. With winds turning back to the south,
dew points will start to creep back up. The increased moisture
plus lee side trough combined with a weak upper disturbance
working in from the southwest may be enough to bring some
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms by afternoon,
especially west and southwest of Philly. Further north and east,
dry conditions should prevail. While dew points will be back
solidly into the 60s, highs should remain mostly in the upper
80s, so still considerably more comfortable than recent days,
but not quite as nice as Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The stalled front to our south will gradually creep back
northward as we head into the middle of next week. Combined with
passing upper disturbances, this should result in a general
turn towards cloudier, more showery weather, with lower temps by
mid week.

At first however, Sunday should be similar to Saturday, with
some spotty convection possible mainly west and southwest of
Philly. Dew points keep creeping up, but temps remain in the
upper 80s overall.

By Monday the increased moisture is more apparent, as dews
start to approach 70 and the front starts to push back north.
This should result in a slightly better chance of convection,
but again, not huge. Still mainly upper 80s for highs.

Tuesday and Wednesday are when conditions turn wetter, with the
front pushing back into the area with clouds and scattered
showers/t- storms becoming common. This will cause cooler temps
as well, with highs down into the mid 80s, but dew points rising
into the low-mid 70s. Will need to monitor for any locally
heavy rain risks given high moisture and slow moving front in
the vicinity, but overall this looks like a beneficial change in
the weather.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Tonight...Sub-VFR conditions likely with numerous to widespread
thunderstorms. Some storms may be severe with locally damaging
winds. Storms should move out after 04-06Z but sub VFR cigs
likely in their wake from fog and low stratus. Winds southwest
around 10 knots early this evening veering to northwest 5 to 10
knots overnight. Moderate confidence.

Thursday...Some lingering sub VFR cigs early in the morning with
a few lingering showers possible at MIV and ACY. Some afternoon
showers and storms possible for ACY. Otherwise VFR. NW winds
around 5 to 10 knots. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Thursday night thru Friday night...VFR with no significant
weather.

Saturday through Monday...mostly VFR with a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening
hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory in effect through Thursday morning for all
coastal waters with SSW winds 20 knots gusting up to 25 knots
with seas around 5 feet. There will also be some storms moving
over the waters that could bring locally stronger winds
potentially gusting over 40 knots.

By Thursday, winds/seas should be sub SCA but there still could
be some lingering showers and storms over the waters.

Outlook...

Thursday night through Monday...Conditions will generally be
below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Wind gusts of 15 kt or less
with wave heights of 4 feet or less. Slight chance showers and
thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours.

Rip currents...

For Thursday, winds will turn more offshore out of the west to
northwest and decrease to around 10 mph. Wave heights will
mainly be around 1-2 feet in Delaware and 2-3 feet in New
Jersey with a 7-8 second period. As the winds should be weaker
and directed offshore across the region, the risk for the
development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents is
forecast to be LOW at the DE beaches and MODERATE at the NJ
shore on Thursday.

For Friday, winds will become northeasterly but remain around
10 mph. Wave heights will mainly remain around 1-2 feet in
Delaware and 2-3 feet in New Jersey with a 7-8 second period.
Therefore, the risk for the development of dangerous and life
threatening rip currents is forecast to be LOW at the DE beaches
and MODERATE at the NJ shore on Friday.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     PAZ060>062-070-071-101>106.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ054-055.
NJ...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     NJZ007>010-012-013-015>023-027.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NJZ001-014.
     Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NJZ012>015-
     017>019.
DE...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     DEZ001>003.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for DEZ004.
MD...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for MDZ012-
     015-019-020.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RCM
NEAR TERM...MJL
SHORT TERM...RCM
LONG TERM...RCM
AVIATION...MJL/RCM
MARINE...MJL/RCM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
415 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Trooper                 40.15N 75.40W
07/17/2024                   Montgomery         PA   Emergency Mngr

            Large tree split off about half way up and
            blocking the roadway. This occurred at South
            Midland and Oakdale Avenues in Lower
            Providence Township. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Gorse

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
426 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0311 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 WNW Chesterbrook      40.09N 75.48W
07/17/2024                   Chester            PA   Trained Spotter

            Received photos of a large tree that fell
            down on backyard deck with multiple other
            trees down on roads. Time estimated.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
442 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Burlington Bristol Brid 40.08N 74.87W
07/17/2024  M47 MPH          Bucks              PA   Mesonet

            Burlington, PA (NOS-PORTS).

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
512 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Sandyston Twp     41.23N 74.85W
07/17/2024                   Sussex             NJ   Trained Spotter

            Received a photo of trees down laying across
            Old Mine Rd between Peters Valley and CR560.
            Time estimated.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
650 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0331 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 E Frankford Twp       41.16N 74.72W
07/17/2024                   Sussex             NJ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Delayed report. A tree fell down on wires
            causing them to burn on George Hill Rd. Time
            estimated.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
729 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     Hail             Spring Twp              40.32N 76.01W
07/17/2024  M1.00 Inch       Berks              PA   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

&&

Gorse