Severe Thunderstorm Warning 143, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

310 
WWUS51 KPHI 170325
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1125 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NJC009-011-015-033-170400-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-240717T0400Z/
Cumberland NJ-Salem NJ-Gloucester NJ-Cape May NJ-
1125 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
FOR CUMBERLAND...CENTRAL SALEM...SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER AND WEST
CENTRAL CAPE MAY COUNTIES...

At 1125 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Elmer to near Millville to 8 miles east of Dover
Speedway, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Vineland, Millville, Bridgeton, Cumberland, Glassboro, Clayton,
Buena, Laurel Lake, Woodstown, Alloway, Quinton, Newfield, Elmer,
Greenwich, Shiloh, Newport, Franklinville, Leesburg, Newport Meadows,
and Bricksboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 7501 3953 7497 3952 7499 3950 7496
      3916 7489 3919 7532 3939 7548 3947 7542
      3965 7543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 263DEG 34KT 3957 7512 3940 7513 3922 7538 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Staarmann

711 
WWUS51 KPHI 170342
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1142 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NJC009-011-015-033-170400-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-240717T0400Z/
Cumberland NJ-Salem NJ-Gloucester NJ-Cape May NJ-
1142 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
FOR CUMBERLAND...EAST CENTRAL SALEM...SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER AND
WEST CENTRAL CAPE MAY COUNTIES...

At 1142 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Buena to Cumberland to near Fortesque, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Vineland, Millville, Bridgeton, Cumberland, Buena, Laurel Lake,
Newfield, Greenwich, Shiloh, Newport, Leesburg, Bricksboro,
Fortesque, Eldora, Mauricetown, Olivet, Malaga, Port Norris, Dividing
Creek, and Fairton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3962 7499 3953 7497 3952 7499 3950 7496
      3916 7489 3919 7532 3934 7544 3943 7533
      3956 7520
TIME...MOT...LOC 0342Z 273DEG 29KT 3956 7495 3939 7496 3921 7521 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Staarmann

328 
WWUS51 KPHI 170352
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1152 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NJC009-011-015-033-170402-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-240717T0400Z/
Cumberland NJ-Salem NJ-Gloucester NJ-Cape May NJ-
1152 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CUMBERLAND...EAST CENTRAL
SALEM...SOUTHEASTERN GLOUCESTER AND WEST CENTRAL CAPE MAY COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM EDT for
southern New Jersey.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Mount Holly NJ.

LAT...LON 3962 7499 3953 7497 3952 7499 3950 7496
      3916 7489 3919 7532 3934 7544 3943 7533
      3956 7520
TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 273DEG 29KT 3956 7485 3939 7486 3921 7511 

$$

Staarmann

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1012 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A thermal trough will remain in place over the East Coast through
Wednesday as Bermuda high pressure remains offshore. A cold front
will move across the region on Wednesday night into Thursday and
stall to our south through the weekend. High pressure briefly builds
into the area Friday through Sunday before another front approaches
the area into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 10 PM, the Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been cleared from
southeastern Pennsylvania and most of northern New Jersey. The
remainder of New Jersey as well as Delaware and Maryland remain
in a watch until 11 pm. A line of convection continues to
propagate to the east-southeast and is now southeast of the I-95
corridor. Storms are beginning to show signs of weakening as
low-level lapse rates decrease with increasing influence from
the marine layer. However, as the cold-pool has surged out ahead,
gusty to possibly damaging winds remain possible as the storms
continue to progress southeastward. Overall, showers and
thunderstorms are expected to pass offshore/taper off by
midnight across the region. Warm and humid again tonight with
lows in the 70s, though not much below 80 in and around
Philadelphia.

Dangerous heat continues into Wednesday again with many locations
seeing heat index values over 100 by the afternoon. While cloud
coverage and possible storms (severe weather and hydro discussion
below) may limit temperatures from getting too out of hand, dew
points will likely increase a bit and linger in the low 70s during
the afternoon hours, leading to continued oppressive heat. As a
result, heat headlines will be carried into Wednesday given the
compounded effect from numerous days with dangerous heat.

For the storms on Wednesday, a slow-moving cold front will create a
marathon of severe weather and hydro concerns beginning early
afternoon through the late night hours. Abundant instability and
PWAT values over 2 inches will fuel the potential for training
thunderstorms across the region. Much of the storms during the
afternoon will stay north and west of the I-95 corridor with storms
in the afternoon and nighttime largely impacting areas south and
east. SPC currently has a Slight Risk of severe weather across much
of the region with a Marginal across much of the Jersey Shore and
Delaware Beaches. The WPC has a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall
for the urban corridor with a Marginal Risk for the rest of the
CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to continue through the first
half of Wednesday night ahead of the advancing cold front. Heavy
rain and locally gusty winds will be the main threats as the line of
storms work their way through the area. Storms should eventually
give way to just some residual showers before tapering off from
northwest to southeast overnight. Low temps will fall in the upper
60s to low 70s.

The cold front should fully cross through the region by Thursday
morning but will begin to slow down as it passes to our south and
east. So while, the northern half of the area will begin to see some
clearing, the southern half of the area (especially near the coast),
will see cloud cover linger throughout the day. Isolated showers and
storms may hang up along the coast as well, but overall, this chance
remains uncertain/low. On the bright side, this cold front will
knock down temps with highs in the low to mid 80s.

By Thursday night and Friday, the cold front will slide far enough
to our south, allowing the drier airmass behind the front to fully
filter into the region. Skies will become mostly clear at night with
just a few fair weather clouds during the day on Friday. Temps will
be very close to normal with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows
in the 60s. The biggest change is that with the drier airmass, dew
points will be back in the 50s, so it will feel much more
comfortable outside compared to earlier this week.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The long term will encompass a much more seasonable, sensible and
comfortable weather period compared to the previous two weeks. Broad
high pressure will build in from the north and west through much of
the weekend with just a stationary boundary located near the
southern Delmarva. A few impulses will transverse along the boundary
which may cause a few isolated to scattered showers/storms through
the weekend but this will primarily be confined to the Delmarva and
southernmost New Jersey. Elsewhere, a dry weekend is anticipated
with a mix of clouds and sun. Some better energy and forcing then
approaches on Monday and Tuesday, which brings the threat for a more
widespread potential for showers and thunderstorms back to the area.

In terms of temperatures, a very comfortable airmass will be in
place for mid-July. Temps will generally be in the mid to upper 80s
with dew points in the 60s. This will keep heat indicies in close
proximity to the actual air temperature, so no heat headlines are
expected in the near future.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Mainly VFR overall but a line of thunderstorms
continues to progress southeastward towards KMIV/KACY. Wind
gusts in excess of 40 kt and VSBYs less than 1SM in heavy rain
possible in the strongest storms. SHRA/TSRA taper off by
02-04Z. SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...VFR in the morning before showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon and into the evening could result in sub-VFR
conditions. Winds mainly out of the southwest around 10 kts.
Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...Sub-VFR conditions likely with scattered
thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe with locally damaging
winds.

Thursday through Sunday...Primarily VFR. A chance of a thunderstorm
at KACY/KMIV on Thursday with a slight chance of a thunderstorm over
the weekend. Otherwise, no significant weather expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Although conditions may approach Small Craft Advisory criteria
tonight, it looks like conditions will fall just short. SW winds 15
to 20 kt this afternoon, then diminishing to 10 to 15 kt tonight.
Seas 3 to 4 feet.

SCA conditions possible later on Wednesday as gusts near 20-25 kts
with seas building near or just shy of 5 feet. Showers and
thunderstorms may produce winds in excess of 40 kts.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...SCA conditions likely. S-SW winds around 10-20 kt
and seas around 4-6 feet.

Thursday through Sunday...No marine headlines expected. Winds will
generally range between 5-15 kt with seas of 2-4 feet.

Rip Currents...

For Wednesday, the south-southwest flow will increase to around
15-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wave heights in the surf
zone are again forecast to be around 1-3 feet with a 5-7 second
period. Therefore, a MODERATE RISK for the development of
dangerous and life threatening rip currents is again in place
for the Jersey Shore in Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May counties,
and a LOW risk for the Jersey Shore in Monmouth county and
Delaware Beaches.

Late day showers and thunderstorms are possible along both the
Jersey Shore and Delaware Beaches.

Some areas of fog at times will cause reduced visibility along
the shoreline.

For Thursday, winds will turn more offshore out of the west to
northwest and decrease to around 10 mph. Wave heights will
mainly remain around 1-2 feet with a 5-7 second period. As the
winds should be weaker and directed offshore across the region,
the risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening
rip currents is forecast to decrease to LOW on Thursday for all
coastal zones.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.CLIMATE...
Georgetown and Reading tied their record highs for yesterday July
15th. Georgetown also tied its record warm lowest temperature for
Monday with 75 degrees. For today and Wednesday, near record breaking
temperatures (both highs and lows) are possible. We've included the
records for our climate sites below.

Record High Temperatures (today)
                          July 16
Site                  Record/Year
Allentown (ABE)          101/1988
AC Airport (ACY)         100/1983
AC Marina (55N)          100/1983
Georgetown (GED)          97/1953 & 1992
Mount Pocono (MPO)        93/1988
Philadelphia (PHL)       102/1988
Reading (RDG)            100/1900
Trenton (TTN)            102/1988
Wilmington (ILG)         100/1983

Record Warmest Low Temperatures (today)
                          July 16
Site                  Record/Year
Allentown (ABE)           76/1983
AC Airport (ACY)          77/1983
AC Marina (55N)           80/2013
Georgetown (GED)          80/1955
Mount Pocono (MPO)        70/1955
Philadelphia (PHL)        80/2013
Reading (RDG)             78/1955
Trenton (TTN)             78/1983
Wilmington (ILG)          77/2013

Record High Temperatures (Wednesday)
                          July 17
Site                  Record/Year
Allentown (ABE)           99/1999
AC Airport (ACY)          99/2012
AC Marina (55N)           95/1937
Georgetown (GED)         100/2019
Mount Pocono (MPO)        91/1999
Philadelphia (PHL)       102/1988
Reading (RDG)            102/1988
Trenton (TTN)            100/1988
Wilmington (ILG)         100/1988

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for PAZ060>062-
     070-071-101>106.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for PAZ054-055.
NJ...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ007>010-
     012-013-015>023-027.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ001-014.
DE...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for DEZ001>003.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for DEZ004.
MD...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for MDZ012-015-
     019-020.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DeSilva/Robertson
NEAR TERM...AKL/MJL
SHORT TERM...DeSilva
LONG TERM...DeSilva
AVIATION...AKL/DeSilva/MJL
MARINE...AKL/DeSilva/MJL
CLIMATE...WFO PHI

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1029 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     Marine Tstm Wind Belmar                  40.18N 74.03W
07/16/2024  M43 MPH          Monmouth           NJ   Mesonet

            NJDOT gauge at Belmar.

&&

Staarmann

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1030 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Wenonah                 39.79N 75.15W
07/16/2024                   Gloucester         NJ   Public

            Large tree limbs down. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Gorse

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1036 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 W Glenside            40.10N 75.17W
07/16/2024                   Montgomery         PA   Public

            Several large tree limbs down and also a
            tree down blocking a roadway. Time estimated
            from radar.

&&

Gorse

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1038 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 6 ESE Woodland Beach    39.30N 75.38W
07/16/2024  M42 MPH          ANZ430             DE   Mesonet

            Ship John Shoal Light.

&&

Staarmann

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1040 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0859 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Andalusia         40.09N 74.98W
07/16/2024                   Philadelphia       PA   Public

            Several trees down along Woodhaven Road in
            Northeast Philadelphia. Time estimated by
            radar.

&&

Gorse

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1054 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW Graterford         40.23N 75.46W
07/16/2024                   Montgomery         PA   Emergency Mngr

            Large tree snapped and fell onto a house on
            French Road in Perkiomen Township. Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

Gorse