Beach Hazards Statement 19, NWS Melbourne, FL

289 
WHUS42 KMLB 201839
CFWMLB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
239 PM EDT Mon May 20 2024

FLZ141-154-159-164-347-447-647-747-210900-
/O.CON.KMLB.BH.S.0019.000000T0000Z-240521T0900Z/
Coastal Volusia-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Mainland Southern Brevard-
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
239 PM EDT Mon May 20 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...An increasing, southward-flowing longshore current is
  expected.

* WHERE...The beaches of Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint
  Lucie and Martin counties.

* WHEN...Through late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Breezy north winds will produce a strong, southward-
  flowing longshore current today. This can push swimmers into 
  deeper water unexpectedly, making them more susceptible to 
  dangerous rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
136 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 134 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Continued mainly VFR across ECFL. Few nuisance
showers across the interior initially and may handle with VCSH and a
TEMPO group as necessary. Generally a WRLY component of wind thru
the night, then gradually transitioning to NW/N around 10 kts into
early afternoon ahead of a N/NNE wind surge that will increase
speeds to 15-20 kts with higher gusts. We continue to carry VCSH
wording early afternoon for many terminals, except VCTS for Treasure
Coast terminals around 21Z on Mon, where confidence is higher for
convection - closer proximity to a frontal boundary and deeper
moisture here.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 920 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

The forecast remains on track across east central Florida tonight.
A few lingering showers will continue moving offshore, diminishing
across the local Atlantic waters overnight. Mostly dry conditions
are then forecast to persist across the peninsula tonight, with
westerly winds remaining around 5 mph. Patchy fog may develop late
tonight into early Monday morning, particularly near the I-4
corridor and areas northward, but confidence in this was too low
to include with the forecast. We will monitor overnight and make
adjustments as needed. Temperatures will be a bit closer to normal
values across east central Florida tonight, with lows in the
upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 405 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

Tonight...Weak frontal boundary pushes southward into the waters
into tonight, with southerly winds around 10 knots veering and
becoming west to northwest late in the night. Scattered strong to
severe storms will continue across the waters, mainly south of
Melbourne through sunset, and then convection will gradually
diminish overnight. Can't rule out some isolated storms developing
and pushing offshore near to north of Melbourne though through this
evening, which may also produce some strong gusts and small hail.
Seas will range from 2-3 feet.

This Week...(Modified Previous Discussion) Seas build up to 5-6 ft
offshore late Monday night as surface winds veer NNE and briefly
increase to around 15 kt. Seas will generally range 3-5 ft Tuesday
and fall further mid to late week as high pressure builds over the
waters. Rain and storm chances remain elevated on Monday before
gradually tapering off mid to late week, as well. Winds NE on
Tuesday, 10-15 kt, veering easterly Wednesday and beyond at or
around 10 kt. The east coast sea breeze may locally increase wind
speeds to around 15 kt each afternoon closer to the coast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  70  83  70  85 /  10  40   0  10
MCO  70  87  70  89 /  20  50   0  20
MLB  73  85  72  85 /  10  50  10  20
VRB  71  87  71  87 /  20  50  10  20
LEE  69  87  70  90 /  20  40   0  10
SFB  69  87  70  89 /  10  50   0  10
ORL  71  87  71  90 /  20  50   0  20
FPR  69  87  70  87 /  20  50  20  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

UPDATE...Tollefsen
AVIATION...Sedlock

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
814 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-
164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-200500-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-
Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
814 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated lightning storms will continue moving offshore across the
local Atlantic waters this evening. Some storms may produce wind
gusts in excess of 34 knots and occasional cloud-to-water
lightning strikes. Activity is expected to diminish over the next
couple of hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
The chance for lightning storms continues on Monday, decreasing by
mid to late week. While organized severe weather is not currently
forecast, a couple of storms could produce gusty winds and small
hail on Monday.

A limited risk for excessive heat returns late week into next
weekend as temperatures climb into the 90s with heat indices
reaching the low to mid 100s.

At least a moderate risk for rip currents will exist early to mid
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

Tollefsen/Weitlich/Schaper

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1005 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     Hail             1 SW Palm City          27.15N 80.28W
05/19/2024  E1.00 Inch       Martin             FL   Public

            Public report of quarter size hail near Palm
            City.

&&

CL