Alert archive / Ohio / Wind Advisories in 2024
Wind Advisory 9, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this wind advisory at Apr 11, 2024, 3:13 PM EDT for 28 counties in Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Apr 12, 2024, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 11, 2024, 3:13 PM EDT (19:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 12, 2024, 11:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 13, 2024, 3:51 AM EDT
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
All 30 counties
Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -46 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1066 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 284 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 238 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
100 WWUS71 KCLE 111913 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 313 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 OHZ003-006>012-017>019-027-028-120315- /O.NEW.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Hancock- Seneca-Huron-Wyandot-Crawford- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, and Crestline 313 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 11 AM Friday to midnight EDT Friday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
11 follow-up statements
507 WWUS71 KCLE 120236 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1036 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 OHZ003-006>012-017>019-027-028-121045- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Hancock- Seneca-Huron-Wyandot-Crawford- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, and Crestline 1036 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 11 AM Friday to midnight EDT Friday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
573 WWUS71 KCLE 120437 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1237 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ013-014-089-PAZ001>003-121245- /O.EXB.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0900Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 1237 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...In Ohio, Geauga and Ashtabula Counties. In Pennsylvania, Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ020>023-029>033-036>038-047-121245- /O.EXA.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0400Z/ Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark- Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Cardington, Millersburg, Killbuck, and Mount Vernon 1237 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ011-012-121245- /O.EXT.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0900Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake- Including the cities of Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, and Wickliffe 1237 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Cuyahoga and Lake Counties. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027-028-121245- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Wyandot-Crawford- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, and Crestline 1237 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
617 WWUS71 KCLE 120733 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 333 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027-028-122000- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Wyandot-Crawford- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, and Crestline 333 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ011-012-122000- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0900Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake- Including the cities of Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, and Wickliffe 333 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Cuyahoga and Lake Counties. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ013-014-089-PAZ001>003-122000- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0900Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 333 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Geauga and Ashtabula Counties in Ohio. Erie and Crawford Counties in Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ020>023-029>033-036>038-047-122000- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.240412T1500Z-240413T0400Z/ Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark- Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Cardington, Millersburg, Killbuck, and Mount Vernon 333 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
657 WWUS71 KCLE 122004 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 404 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027-028-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Wyandot-Crawford- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, and Crestline 404 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ011-012-130415- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake- Including the cities of Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, and Wickliffe 404 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Cuyahoga and Lake Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ013-014-089-PAZ001>003-130415- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 404 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Geauga, Ashtabula Inland and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. In Pennsylvania, Northern Erie, Southern Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ020>023-029>033-036>038-047-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark- Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Cardington, Millersburg, Killbuck, and Mount Vernon 404 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
073 WWUS71 KCLE 122147 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 547 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ003-006>010-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland- Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, Crestline, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Cardington, Millersburg, Killbuck, and Mount Vernon 547 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest, north central, and inland northeast Ohio. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ011>014-089-PAZ001>003-130600- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 547 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga, Ashtabula Inland and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. In Pennsylvania, Northern Erie, Southern Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
632 WWUS71 KCLE 122316 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 716 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ010-130400- /O.UPG.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.HW.W.0003.240412T2316Z-240413T0400Z/ Lorain- Including the cities of Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, and Avon Lake 716 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Lorain County. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The strongest winds will be near Lake Erie. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees will be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ OHZ011>013-089-130730- /O.UPG.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.HW.W.0003.240412T2316Z-240413T0400Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Ashtabula, Conneaut, and Geneva 716 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The strongest winds will be near Lake Erie. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees will be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ OHZ003-006>009-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina- Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne- Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, Willard, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, Crestline, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Marion, Mount Gilead, Cardington, Millersburg, Killbuck, and Mount Vernon 716 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ014-PAZ001>003-130730- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Ashtabula Inland-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 716 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Inland County. In Pennsylvania, Northern Erie, Southern Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
627 WWUS71 KCLE 130207 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1007 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ003-006-017-018-027-028-036-037-047-130315- /O.CAN.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Lucas-Wood-Hancock-Seneca-Wyandot-Crawford-Marion-Morrow-Knox- Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Findlay, Tiffin, Fostoria, Upper Sandusky, Carey, Bucyrus, Galion, Crestline, Marion, Mount Gilead, Cardington, and Mount Vernon 1007 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds will decrease overnight but may continue to gust to 30 mph at times. $$ OHZ010>013-089-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Ashtabula, Conneaut, and Geneva 1007 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Lorain, Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The strongest winds will be near Lake Erie. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees will be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ OHZ007>009-019>023-029>033-038-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes- Including the cities of Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Norwalk, Willard, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Millersburg, and Killbuck 1007 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ014-PAZ001>003-130900- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Ashtabula Inland-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 1007 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Inland County. In Pennsylvania, Northern Erie, Southern Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down given saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
888 WWUS71 KCLE 130250 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1050 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ010>013-089-130900- /O.CAN.KCLE.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Ashtabula, Conneaut, and Geneva 1050 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Lorain, Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down due to saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ007>009-019>023-029>033-038-130400- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes- Including the cities of Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Norwalk, Willard, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Mansfield, Ashland, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Millersburg, and Killbuck 1050 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast and northwest Ohio. * WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down due to saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ014-PAZ001>003-130900- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Ashtabula Inland-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 1050 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Inland County. In Pennsylvania, Northern Erie, Southern Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down due to saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
284 WWUS71 KCLE 130342 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1142 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 OHZ007>009-019-029-030-130445- /O.CAN.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0400Z/ Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Huron-Richland-Ashland- Including the cities of Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde, Sandusky, Huron, Norwalk, Willard, Mansfield, and Ashland 1142 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds will decrease overnight but may continue to gust to 30-35 mph at times. The highest gusts will be near Lake Erie. $$ OHZ020>023-031>033-038-130900- /O.EXT.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes- Including the cities of Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Millersburg, and Killbuck 1142 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Medina, Summit, Portage, Trumbull, Wayne, Stark, Mahoning and Holmes Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down due to saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ010>014-089-PAZ001>003-130900- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 1142 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Lorain, Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga, Ashtabula Inland and Ashtabula Lakeshore Counties. In Pennsylvania, Northern Erie, Southern Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees may be more likely to come down due to saturated ground conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
759 WWUS71 KCLE 130602 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 202 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 OHZ010>013-020>022-031-032-038-130715- /O.CAN.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Medina-Summit-Portage-Wayne-Stark- Holmes- Including the cities of Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Mentor, Willoughby, Eastlake, Painesville, Willowick, Wickliffe, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Wooster, Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Millersburg, and Killbuck 202 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and gusts continue to ease and advisory-criteria gusts are no longer expected. $$ OHZ023-033-130900- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Trumbull-Mahoning- Including the cities of Warren, Niles, Youngstown, Boardman, and Austintown 202 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Trumbull and Mahoning Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-130900- /O.CON.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie- Crawford- Including the cities of Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 202 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula County. In Pennsylvania, Erie and Crawford Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
502 WWUS71 KCLE 130751 NPWCLE URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 351 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 OHZ014-023-033-089-PAZ001>003-130900- /O.CAN.KCLE.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240413T0900Z/ Ashtabula Inland-Trumbull-Mahoning-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Jefferson, Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, Warren, Niles, Youngstown, Boardman, Austintown, Ashtabula, Conneaut, Geneva, Erie, Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville 351 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and gusts continue to ease. Advisory-criteria wind gusts are no longer expected. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Apr 11, 1:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 1:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
120 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front will drift generally northward through our region
this morning through evening as a consolidating and strengthening
low moves north-northeastward from near the Middle Mississippi
Valley toward southern Lake Huron. A cold front trailing this
low should sweep eastward across our area late this evening
through the predawn hours of Friday morning as the low moves
farther north-northeastward toward Georgian Bay and strengthens
further. Behind the low, a trough lingers across the eastern
Great Lakes and Upper Ohio Valley on Friday before a ridge
builds from the Upper Midwest on Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
915 AM Update...
Trying to determine if there is any sort of dry slot that will
make it up into the region in the mid levels, but satellite
imagery depicting mid level moisture to the south keeps filling
with additional convection. Will need to watch this trend going
forward. Off and on showers, more on than off, will continue
through the morning and into the early afternoon.
Previous Discussion...
Aloft, a ridge exits E'ward from our CWA through tonight.
Simultaneously, a trough moves from the north- central United
States toward the western Great Lakes and becomes negatively-
tilted as a potent mid/upper-level jet streak rounds the base of
the trough. Significant MSLP falls and large- scale
tropospheric ascent accompanying mid/upper-level divergence
downstream of the trough axis and within the left- front
quadrant of the jet streak will allow a surface low to
consolidate, deepen rather quickly, and track NNE'ward from near
the Mid MS Valley early this morning to near Georgian Bay by
daybreak Friday morning. Accordingly, a diffuse surface warm
front accompanying the low should drift generally N'ward through
our CWA this morning through evening and be followed by a
trailing surface cold front poised to sweep generally E'ward
through our CWA late this evening through the predawn hours of
Friday morning. Low-level WAA ahead of the warm front and within
the warm sector is forecast to contribute to this afternoon's
highs reaching mainly the 60's. Strong low- level CAA behind the
cold front should allow lows to reach the lower to mid 40's
around daybreak Friday morning.
The aforementioned low pressure system will continue to exhibit
an impressive warm conveyor belt tapping into abundant moisture
from the Gulf of Mexico and/or southern Gulf Stream (e.g.
forecast PWAT's exceed the 90th percentile per SPC sounding
climatology data for nearby upper-air stations) while undergoing
moist isentropic ascent aloft. The result will be continued
abundant cloud cover and periods of rain, steady to heavy at
times, along and ahead of the cold front. The isentropic ascent
aloft may release weak, yet sufficient and elevated CAPE to
trigger periodic thunderstorms with torrential rainfall,
especially late this morning through the wee hours of Friday
morning. Refrained from issuing a Flood Watch given training
convection is expected to be confined to the cold front itself,
where S'erly to SW'erly mean mid-level flow is expected to
roughly parallel the front. However, mean mid-level flow is
expected to be around 20 to 30 knots, which will result in
fairly fast-moving training cells and should limit the
potential for flash flooding.
SPC has maintained a risk of severe thunderstorms across much
of our CWA, especially roughly along and east of I-71, but
forecast confidence is LOW. The potential for severe
thunderstorms is contingent on the degree of daytime heating and
resulting destabilization of the humid warm sector boundary
layer. Latest NBM mixing height guidance suggests appreciable
peeks of sunshine, greater/deeper diurnal convective mixing of
the boundary layer, and resulting greater boundary layer
CAPE/steeper low-level lapse rates should be focused across far-
NE OH into NW PA late this morning through perhaps this early
evening. These areas may have surface-based MUCAPE grow to
around 500-750 J/kg and DCAPE grow to near 500 J/kg amidst mixed
layer LCL's less than 1k meters AGL, moderate to strong
effective bulk shear, and strong surface-based ESRH stemming
from SE'erly surface winds veering quickly toward SW'erly and
strengthening quickly with height in the low-level atmospheric
column. Given the potential thermodynamic and kinematic
environment, isolated to scattered multicell and supercell
thunderstorms capable of producing several tornadoes and
sporadic damaging convective gusts may form via low-level
convergence along the diffuse surface warm front and any outflow
boundaries in far-NE OH and NW PA. This area is roughly where
SPC has maintained an enhanced risk of severe storms (risk level
3 of 5) in their latest convective WX outlook from ~2 AM EDT
this morning. A lack of steep mid-level lapse rates and limited
hail growth zone MUCAPE should greatly curb severe hail
potential. Any severe thunderstorms should end early this
evening as the warm sector boundary layer stabilizes via
nocturnal cooling.
Surface troughing lingers over our CWA on Friday as the surface
low moves NE'ward toward southwestern QC, occludes, and becomes
vertically-stacked with a developing mid/upper-level low within
the aforementioned trough aloft. Cyclonic SW'erly flow aloft
should veer to NW'erly over our CWA as embedded shortwave
disturbances revolve around the low aloft. Periodic rain showers
and a few thunderstorms are possible, especially during the late
morning through afternoon hours as convergence/associated ascent
along surface trough axes release weak potential instability and
the combination of limited daytime heating and much colder air
farther aloft results in self-destructive sunshine. A Wind
Advisory may be needed as diurnal convective mixing of the
boundary layer taps into stronger flow aloft and contributes to
W'erly surface winds gusting as high as 40 to perhaps 50 mph
during the late morning through early evening. Daytime highs
should reach the upper 40's to mid 50's as net low-level CAA
continues behind the recent cold front passage.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
The deep mid/upper longwave trough axis will start to lift into
the eastern Great Lakes and New England Friday night, with the
surface low lifting up east of James Bay. This will allow the
deep wraparound moisture and lift to finally pull away, and with
broad surface high pressure over the Mississippi and Tennessee
Valleys building in from the southwest, the lingering upslope
showers over far NE Ohio and NW PA will gradually end. Expect
all areas to be dry by Saturday morning setting up a mostly
sunny day with the surface high ridging into the area.
Temperatures will be a solid 5-10 degrees warmer Saturday in
response to the sunshine and rising mid- level heights as the
mid/upper trough continues to lift out.
The dry weather will not last long as a northern stream mid/upper
shortwave remains progged to crest a building mid/upper ridge over
the Plains and drop ESE through the Great Lakes Saturday night into
Sunday. This feature will act as a focus for showers and
thunderstorms along a warm frontal boundary that will lift into the
area Saturday night. The combination of the shortwave and lingering
NW mid/upper flow across the New England states will give the warm
front resistance, so it will likely become quasi-stationary over
north central or NE Ohio by Sunday keeping at least scattered
showers/storms in place through Sunday. So at this time, have slight
chance to chance PoPs Saturday night increasing to high
chance/likely over NE Ohio and NW PA Sunday. Persistent warm/moist
advection driven by a 30-40 knot westerly low-level jet overtop of
south to southeasterly low-level flow could induce enough low-level
and deep layer shear for a marginal severe risk Sunday (mainly
damaging winds and hail), but a bigger threat could be locally heavy
rainfall since these NW mid/upper flow patterns overtop of more
southerly low-level flow and a boundary laying NW to SE in the area
can sometimes produce training convection. The latest NAEFS Ensemble
Situational Awareness Table projects PWATs of 0.75 to 1 inch which
is around the average of daily climatology, but the mean integrated
water vapor transport (IVT) is projected to be over the 90th
percentile near the boundary in NE Ohio and NW PA, so that speaks to
the persistent moisture advection into the boundary. While the
rainfall rates should not be anything crazy with these values, the
wet antecedent soil conditions from all of the recent rain could
lead to at least nuisance flooding of low-lying and poor drainage
areas, and/or additional river rises, so the situation will continue
to be monitored. The boundary should push back southward behind the
shortwave Sunday night, so expect conditions to dry south from north
to south.
Highs Saturday will warm into the mid 50s to low 60s, except low 50s
in far NE Ohio and NW PA. Sunday will be much warmer, but with the
warm frontal boundary bisecting the area, expect low/mid 70s in NW
and north central Ohio and mid 60s to low 70s in NE Ohio and NW PA.
Lows Friday night will fall into the upper 30s/low 40s, with
low/upper 40s Saturday night and mid 40s/low 50s Sunday night.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Weak surface high pressure will build into the region Monday keeping
the frontal boundary south of the area. The blended forecast wanted
to bring chances for convection into the southern areas, but kept
the forecast dry since the high should win out keeping the boundary
south until Monday night. The front will start to return northward
as a warm front Monday night and Tuesday in response to a strong
mid/upper shortwave trough ejecting from the southern Rockies across
the southern and central Plains which will induce a deepening
surface low lifting north across the Plains Tuesday. Warm/moist
advection and isentropic ascent could bring a few showers and
thunderstorms along the retreating boundary Monday night into early
Tuesday, but the more organized precipitation may hold off until
Tuesday night and Wednesday when the associated cold front moves
into the area. Lots of uncertainty with this system 6 to 7 days out,
so have broad chance PoPs Monday night through Wednesday. Strong
warm air advection ahead of the system and a building mid/upper
ridge over the east coast will push temperatures well above normal
Tuesday and Wednesday.
Highs Monday will range from the low to mid 60s near the lakeshore
to the low to mid 70s inland, warming into the mid to upper 70s
areawide Tuesday and Wednesday. Some areas could exceed 80 in this
pattern, but went conservative on temperatures for now.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Taking some liberties and keeping much of the convective
potential out of the TAFs at this time. Still have a dynamic
atmosphere in place with the potential for storms, and storms to
become strong to severe if they form, but there is also a fair
amount of factors inhibiting development at this time. For the
forecast issuance for 18Z, highlighting the IFR ceilings, and at
times the IFR visibilities in and out of BR/SHRA. Fairly high
confidence of the IFR or worse conditions in the forecast, than
may be broken at times with brief MVFR, but largely is a
pessimistic forecast. Cold front will pass through the area,
signaling a wind shift and a non convective wind speed increase.
The WNW wind behind the front will be increasing through the
end of the TAF period, and could see gusts in excess of 40kts,
especially for the western terminals, and along the lakeshore
near CLE. Ceilings will nudge upwards as these ceilings increase
and could become low end MVFR by 18Z Friday.
Outlook...Non-VFR expected with periodic rain showers and
thunderstorms on Friday through Monday morning. Wet snow may mix
with rain in interior NW PA late Friday evening into Saturday
morning.
&&
.MARINE...
The quiet stretch of marine weather will end later today through the
start of the weekend as a strong Spring low pressure system impacts
the Great Lakes. Winds will turn SE today and increase to 15-20
knots as the low approaches from the Mississippi Valley. As the low
lifts into Lower Michigan tonight, the trailing cold front will
blast across the lake and veer winds to the WSW, with speeds
increasing to 20-30 knots. This will build 7-10 foot waves in the
central and eastern basins tonight and Friday as W winds continue at
20-30 knots Friday. Winds will turn a bit more WNW as the low
departs toward James Bay Friday night and Saturday morning, with
speeds gradually decreasing to 15-25 knots. Winds will then turn WSW
and further decrease to 10-15 knots Saturday afternoon as high
pressure builds over the region. SW winds of generally 10-15 knots
are then expected the rest of the weekend, becoming light and
variable Sunday night into Monday.
Issued Small Craft Advisories for the entire lake for this system.
The W to WSW winds will get near gale force late tonight and Friday,
but the vast majority of high resolution model guidance keeps
sustained speeds below 34 knots, so high end small craft headlines
should be sufficient. Needless to say, the lake will be dangerous
tonight into Saturday.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ003-006>014-
017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT
Saturday for LEZ142>144.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 5 PM EDT
Saturday for LEZ145-146.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT
Saturday for LEZ147>149.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Jaszka
NEAR TERM...Jaszka/26
SHORT TERM...Garuckas
LONG TERM...Garuckas
AVIATION...26
MARINE...GaruckasHazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 11:10 AM EDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1110 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-121515- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie- 1110 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing a few tornadoes and sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon through early evening, especially roughly along and east of I-71. Showers and thunderstorms with torrential rainfall are expected through tonight. Localized flooding is possible, especially along streams and rivers, and in low-lying and/or poor drainage areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected on Friday. Localized flooding is possible, especially along streams and rivers, and in low-lying and/or poor drainage areas. Southwesterly to westerly winds may gust up to 40 to 50 mph on Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-142>149-162>169-121515- Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH- Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH- Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 1110 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 4:26 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | CLE | 36 hr | |
| Apr 11, 11:05 AM EDT | Flood Watch | CLE | Ashland, Ashtabula, Crawford, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga and 22 more | 17 hr |
| Apr 11, 11:32 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | CLE | Holmes, Wayne | 5 days |
| Apr 11, 4:40 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | CLE | Lorain | 34 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Ohio, 2024Wind Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2024Every wind advisory in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.