Alert archive / New York / Beach Hazards Statements in 2024
Beach Hazards Statement 4, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this beach hazards statement at Jun 23, 2024, 4:06 AM EDT for 9 counties in New York. It took effect at Jun 23, 2024, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 23, 2024, 4:06 AM EDT (08:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 23, 2024, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Jun 24, 2024, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 320 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -62 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1577 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 110 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.6
The text
As transmitted.
221 WHUS41 KBUF 230806 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 406 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 NYZ010-019-085-231615- /O.NEW.KBUF.BH.S.0004.240623T1200Z-240624T1200Z/ Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 406 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions expected. * WHERE...Beaches of Erie and Chautauqua counties. * WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ EAJ
7 follow-up statements
805 WHUS41 KBUF 231428 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1028 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 NYZ010-019-085-232230- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1200Z/ Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 1028 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Erie and Chautauqua counties. * WHEN...Through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$
688 WHUS41 KBUF 232113 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 NYZ001-002-240515- /O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Niagara-Orleans- 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties. * WHEN...Through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ003-240515- /O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Monroe- 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county. * WHEN...Through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ004>006-240515- /O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties. * WHEN...Through Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ007-240515- /O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Jefferson- 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county. * WHEN...Through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ019-085-240515- /O.EXT.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/ Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ010-240515- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1200Z/ Northern Erie- 513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Northern Erie county. * WHEN...Through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$
256 WHUS41 KBUF 240500 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 NYZ010-240600- /O.CAN.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1200Z/ Northern Erie- 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves have subsided reducing any strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. $$ NYZ019-085-241500- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/ Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ001-002-241500- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Niagara-Orleans- 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ003-241500- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Monroe- 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ004>006-241500- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ007-241500- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Jefferson- 100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$
075 WHUS41 KBUF 240839 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 NYZ019-085-241800- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/ Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ001-002-241800- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Niagara-Orleans- 439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ003-241800- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Monroe- 439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ004>006-241800- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- 439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ007-241800- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Jefferson- 439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county. * WHEN...Through this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$
042 WHUS41 KBUF 241439 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 NYZ019-085-241545- /O.CAN.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/ Chautauqua-Southern Erie- 1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED... Waves will continue to trend down today. However, a moderate swimming risk will persist through the afternoon. $$ NYZ001-002-242200- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Niagara-Orleans- 1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ003-242200- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Monroe- 1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ004>006-242245- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- 1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ007-242200- /O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Jefferson- 1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$
241 WHUS41 KBUF 242049 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 NYZ001-002-007-242200- /O.CAN.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Jefferson- 449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED... Waves will continue to trend down this evening. $$ NYZ003-250000- /O.EXT.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/ Monroe- 449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$ NYZ004>006-250000- /O.EXT.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- 449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. * WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions. && $$
293 WHUS41 KBUF 242356 CFWBUF Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Buffalo NY 756 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 NYZ003-250100- /O.EXP.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/ Monroe- 756 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Waves will continue to trend down this evening. $$ NYZ004>006-250100- /O.EXP.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- 756 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Waves will continue to trend down this evening. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jun 23, 1:29 AM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 1:29 AM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 129 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .SYNOPSIS... It will be quite warm and humid through Sunday, however a cold front will push through Sunday afternoon with some fairly widespread showers and drenching thunderstorms. Cooler and less humid air will follow to start the new work week, but the relief will be relatively brief as very warm weather can be expected Tuesday and Wednesday. The temperature roller coaster ride this coming week will then head back downhill to end the week with highs mainly in the 70s Thursday and Friday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A stationary front is stretched west to east tonight, roughly along the southern shore of Lake Ontario. As we push through the night, the instability to the south of this boundary will continue to diminish. Meanwhile, the surface boundary will gradually be pushed north, courtesy of a surface low that is strengthening over the central Great lakes. This will place more of the region within a warm sector. While a shower or thunderstorm cannot be completely ruled out to the south of the boundary (ie. wrn counties), the majority of any shower and possible thunderstorms will be found across the North country. Otherwise, some patchy fog may occur in areas which received rain during the day. Overnight temperatures will be muggy and generally in the lower to mid 70s, with some upper 60s across the Southern Tier and east of Lake Ontario. A VERY active weather day is then expected on Sunday, especially during the midday and afternoon. A potent upper shortwave and associated deepening surface cyclone tracking from the central Great Lakes along the international border. A pre-frontal trough will work into the region early in the day ahead of the main of the cold front which tracks into the region late in the day. There may be two rounds of convection, first with the pre-frontal trough and then ahead of the cold front later in the afternoon. Surface instability will certainly be present with SBCAPES forecast to be near 2000 J/KG. Shear profiles become increasingly favorable with around 35 knots of flow at 850 mb and near 50 knots at 500 mb, with some turning with height allowing hodographs to lengthen with time. SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for severe storms for much of the area inland from the lakes. Main threat looks to be damaging winds, with a lesser threat of large hail, but with the lengthening hodographs could see an isolated supercell. Heavy rain potential is there with high atmospheric moisture content, but the convection should be progressive making the flash flood threat more limited. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/... A fairly fast quasi-zonal flow will be in place for the upcoming work week, as the strong upper level ridge that brought the oppressive heat and humidity to the region this past week is suppressed over the southern half of the CONUS. Overall, there looks to be bouts of comfortable temperatures along with periods of more typical mid summer warmth ahead of a couple cold frontal passages...one mid week and the second toward next weekend. This will also translate to periods of dry time, with storm chances ramping up along and ahead of the aforementioned frontal boundaries. The details... A few strong storms (gusty winds/heavy rain) will remain possible into Sunday evening, mainly east of the Genesee Valley, as the lead shortwave and accompanying surface cold front push into eastern NY. However, a trailing shortwave will strengthen as it digs across the central Great Lakes first half of Sunday night, then crosses the lower Great Lakes later Sunday night and Monday. This will keep the threat for at least scattered showers/isolated non-severe thunderstorms in the forecast through the start of the new work week. Likelihood for showers will be greatest east of Lake Ontario closer to the better dynamics/lift and moisture associated with this feature. Some gusty NW winds will also be possible on Monday as boundary layer flow increases with the passage of the trough. There is still some good news for those looking for a break from the oppressive heat and humidity as a cooler and less humid airmass moves into the region. Lows Sunday night will drop back into the upper 50s to lower 60s for much of the area. Highs Monday will range mainly from the upper 60s to mid 70s, with dew points dropping into a more comfortable range, mainly in the mid to upper 50s. High pressure is then slated to cross the area Monday night and Tuesday bringing a brief period of well deserved quiet weather. A comfortable Monday night with lows generally in the 50s, with some low 60s closer to the lakeshores. Flow will then shift back to the southwest on Tuesday as a return flow sets up on the back side of the surface high as it slides southeast of the area. This will boost high temperatures back into the low to mid 80s for the majority of the region, although humidity levels will remain tolerable. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... As mentioned above, the quasi-zonal flow will continue with a similar weather pattern to the Short Term expected through this period. The details... A weak mid level ripple will move across the area Tuesday night, while a low level warm frontal segment moves northeast across the region. PWATs increase to near 1.5 inches, however lack of forcing, not expecting much more then some scattered showers/isolated rumble of thunder overnight. Next round of more significant weather looks to be centered around the Wednesday timeframe as showers and storms accompany the next cold frontal passage. Way to early to get into severe weather probs, but will need to be monitored. Timing/etc still a bit in question as well. Of more certainty is the return of mid summer warmth and humidity. Highs will be upper 70s to mid 80s, with dew points climbing into the mid and upper 60s. High pressure then looks to build in bringing another much more refreshing airmass back into western and northcentral NY for the latter part of the work week. This should result in mainly dry weather Thursday and Friday with highs low to mid 70s Thursday, then tacking on several degrees for Friday as airmass starts to modify with surface high moving east of our area. Dew points in the 50s will mean very tolerable humidity levels for late June. Mid summer warmth and humidity along with shower/storm chances then look to return as we head toward the first half of next weekend as the next frontal system approaches from the west. && .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... While VFR conditions will be in place overnight, some areas may develop some fog where the thunderstorms moved through during the evening hours. Sunday will then be QUITE active across western and north central New York, as a cold front will sag through the region with numerous showers and drenching thunderstorms. Along and behind the frontal boundary, CIGs will drop off to between 700 and 1500 ft. This will generally take place after 15z. Outlook... Sunday night...MVFR to IFR conditions early with showers tapering off from west to east...then LIFR to IFR Cigs late. Monday...Mainly VFR. A chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms inland from the lakes. Tuesday...Mainly VFR conditions. Tuesday night and Wednesday...MVFR/VFR with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Thursday...Mainly VFR. && .MARINE... Light winds and minimal wave action is expected to continue across the lower lakes overnight. A cold front will approach the region Sunday with increasing southwest winds which will likely bring a period of small craft conditions, especially on the east end of Lake Erie. A round or two of thunderstorms Sunday will bring the potential for locally strong winds and waves. Northerly flow behind the cold front will then bring continued choppy conditions to the lakes through Monday. High pressure builds in late Monday with diminishing winds and waves for Tuesday. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...EAJ/RSH NEAR TERM...EAJ/RSH/TMA SHORT TERM...JM LONG TERM...JM AVIATION...EAJ/RSH MARINE...AR/EAJ/Thomas/TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 5:26 AM EDT, 22 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 NYZ012>014-019>021-085-230930- Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany- Southern Erie- 526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Scattered thunderstorms expected Sunday. Some of the storms could become severe with damaging winds as the main threat. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001>008-010-011-230930- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Northern Erie-Genesee- 526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Scattered thunderstorms expected Sunday. Some of the storms could become severe with damaging winds as the main threat. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-230930- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-230930- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1015 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0822 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 5 SW Cato 43.12N 76.65W
06/22/2024 Cayuga NY 911 Call Center
Multiple trees down in the town of Conquest.
0825 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 SE Red Creek 43.20N 76.66W
06/22/2024 Cayuga NY 911 Call Center
Multiple trees and wires down in the town of
Victory.
0827 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Cato 43.17N 76.57W
06/22/2024 Cayuga NY 911 Call Center
Multiple trees and wires down in the town of
Cato.
0804 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Clyde 43.08N 76.87W
06/22/2024 Wayne NY 911 Call Center
Numerous trees and lines down in the town of
Clyde.
0804 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Newark 43.05N 77.10W
06/22/2024 Wayne NY 911 Call Center
Two trees down in the town of Newark.
0807 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Savannah 43.07N 76.76W
06/22/2024 Wayne NY 911 Call Center
Trees down in the town of Savannah.
0811 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Lyons 43.06N 76.99W
06/22/2024 Wayne NY 911 Call Center
Trees down in the town of Lyons.
&&Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:21 PM EDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1021 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0853 PM Hail 1 N Fulton 43.33N 76.41W
06/22/2024 M1.25 Inch Oswego NY Public
Half dollar sized hail reported in Fulton.
&&
PPLocal storm report, Jun 22, 10:25 PM EDT, 5 hours 41 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1025 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0853 PM Hail Fulton 43.32N 76.41W
06/22/2024 M1.50 Inch Oswego NY Public
Picture of ping pong ball sized hail in
Fulton sent via social media.
&&
PPSpecial weather statement, Jun 23, 2:23 AM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
223 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
NYZ006-008-230645-
Oswego NY-Lewis NY-
223 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEWIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES THROUGH 245 AM EDT...
At 222 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Camden, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Highmarket, Williamstown, Lyonsdale, Greig, Port Leyden, Lyons Falls,
Constableville, Turin, Osceola, Amboy Center, West Leyden, Mohawk
Hill, Bernhards Bay, Swancott Mill, Talcottville, and Brantingham.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
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LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4332 7586
4325 7587 4323 7593 4341 7598 4380 7514
4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 0622Z 244DEG 26KT 4333 7594
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ReynoldsThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 8:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Oswego, Wayne | 61 min |
| Jun 22, 8:33 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 76 min | |
| Jun 22, 9:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Oswego | 40 min |
| Jun 22, 9:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis | 57 min |
| Jun 22, 9:52 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 53 min | |
| Jun 23, 2:23 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis | 22 min |
| Jun 23, 3:07 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 53 min | |
| Jun 23, 4:06 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 40 hr | |
| Jun 23, 11:28 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 92 min | |
| Jun 23, 12:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 43 min |
| Jun 23, 2:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis | 26 min |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in New York, 2024Every beach hazards statement in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.