Alert archive / New York / Beach Hazards Statements in 2024

Beach Hazards Statement 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

June 23, 20249 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this beach hazards statement at Jun 23, 2024, 4:06 AM EDT for 9 counties in New York. It took effect at Jun 23, 2024, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2024, 4:06 AM EDT (08:06 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 23, 2024, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Jun 24, 2024, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2024-06-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 320 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2024-06-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
320 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1577 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

221 
WHUS41 KBUF 230806
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
406 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

NYZ010-019-085-231615-
/O.NEW.KBUF.BH.S.0004.240623T1200Z-240624T1200Z/
Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
406 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions 
  expected.

* WHERE...Beaches of Erie and Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

EAJ
7 follow-up statements
805 
WHUS41 KBUF 231428
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1028 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

NYZ010-019-085-232230-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1200Z/
Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
1028 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Erie and Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
688 
WHUS41 KBUF 232113
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

NYZ001-002-240515-
/O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ003-240515-
/O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Monroe-
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county.

* WHEN...Through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-240515-
/O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ007-240515-
/O.EXB.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Jefferson-
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ019-085-240515-
/O.EXT.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ010-240515-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1200Z/
Northern Erie-
513 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Northern Erie county.

* WHEN...Through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
256 
WHUS41 KBUF 240500
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

NYZ010-240600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1200Z/
Northern Erie-
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have subsided reducing any strong currents and
dangerous swimming conditions.

$$

NYZ019-085-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ003-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Monroe-
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ007-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Jefferson-
100 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
075 
WHUS41 KBUF 240839
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

NYZ019-085-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ003-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Monroe-
439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ007-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Jefferson-
439 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
042 
WHUS41 KBUF 241439
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

NYZ019-085-241545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T1800Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

Waves will continue to trend down today. However, a moderate 
swimming risk will persist through the afternoon.

$$

NYZ001-002-242200-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Niagara-Orleans-
1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Niagara and Orleans counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ003-242200-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Monroe-
1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-242245-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0300Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ007-242200-
/O.CON.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Jefferson-
1039 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Jefferson county.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
241 
WHUS41 KBUF 242049
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

NYZ001-002-007-242200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240624T2200Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Jefferson-
449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

Waves will continue to trend down this evening. 

$$

NYZ003-250000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/
Monroe-
449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Monroe county.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NYZ004>006-250000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
449 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

* WHERE...Beaches of Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong currents and dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay out of the water to avoid dangerous swimming conditions.

&&

$$
293 
WHUS41 KBUF 242356
CFWBUF

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
756 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

NYZ003-250100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/
Monroe-
756 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Waves will continue to trend down this evening. 

$$

NYZ004>006-250100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-240625T0000Z/
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
756 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Waves will continue to trend down this evening. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jun 23, 1:29 AM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 1:29 AM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
129 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
It will be quite warm and humid through Sunday, however a cold front
will push through Sunday afternoon with some fairly widespread
showers and drenching thunderstorms. Cooler and less humid air will
follow to start the new work week, but the relief will be relatively
brief as very warm weather can be expected Tuesday and Wednesday.
The temperature roller coaster ride this coming week will then head
back downhill to end the week with highs mainly in the 70s Thursday
and Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A stationary front is stretched west to east tonight, roughly along
the southern shore of Lake Ontario.

As we push through the night, the instability to the south of this
boundary will continue to diminish. Meanwhile, the surface boundary
will gradually be pushed north, courtesy of a surface low that is
strengthening over the central Great lakes. This will place more of
the region within a warm sector. While a shower or thunderstorm
cannot be completely ruled out to the south of the boundary (ie. wrn
counties), the majority of any shower and possible thunderstorms
will be found across the North country. Otherwise, some patchy fog
may occur in areas which received rain during the day. Overnight
temperatures will be muggy and generally in the lower to mid 70s,
with some upper 60s across the Southern Tier and east of Lake
Ontario.

A VERY active weather day is then expected on Sunday, especially
during the midday and afternoon. A potent upper shortwave and
associated deepening surface cyclone tracking from the central Great
Lakes along the international border. A pre-frontal trough will work
into the region early in the day ahead of the main of the cold front
which tracks into the region late in the day.

There may be two rounds of convection, first with the pre-frontal
trough and then ahead of the cold front later in the afternoon.
Surface instability will certainly be present with SBCAPES forecast
to be near 2000 J/KG. Shear profiles become increasingly favorable
with around 35 knots of flow at 850 mb and near 50 knots at 500 mb,
with some turning with height allowing hodographs to lengthen with
time. SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for severe storms for much of
the area inland from the lakes. Main threat looks to be damaging
winds, with a lesser threat of large hail, but with the lengthening
hodographs could see an isolated supercell. Heavy rain potential is
there with high atmospheric moisture content, but the convection
should be progressive making the flash flood threat more limited.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A fairly fast quasi-zonal flow will be in place for the upcoming
work week, as the strong upper level ridge that brought the
oppressive heat and humidity to the region this past week is
suppressed over the southern half of the CONUS. Overall, there
looks to be bouts of comfortable temperatures along with periods
of more typical mid summer warmth ahead of a couple cold frontal
passages...one mid week and the second toward next weekend. This
will also translate to periods of dry time, with storm chances
ramping up along and ahead of the aforementioned frontal
boundaries. The details...

A few strong storms (gusty winds/heavy rain) will remain possible
into Sunday evening, mainly east of the Genesee Valley, as the lead
shortwave and accompanying surface cold front push into eastern NY.
However, a trailing shortwave will strengthen as it digs across the
central Great Lakes first half of Sunday night, then crosses the
lower Great Lakes later Sunday night and Monday. This will keep the
threat for at least scattered showers/isolated non-severe
thunderstorms in the forecast through the start of the new work
week. Likelihood for showers will be greatest east of Lake Ontario
closer to the better dynamics/lift and moisture associated with this
feature. Some gusty NW winds will also be possible on Monday as
boundary layer flow increases with the passage of the trough. There
is still some good news for those looking for a break from the
oppressive heat and humidity as a cooler and less humid airmass
moves into the region. Lows Sunday night will drop back into the
upper 50s to lower 60s for much of the area. Highs Monday will range
mainly from the upper 60s to mid 70s, with dew points dropping into
a more comfortable range, mainly in the mid to upper 50s.

High pressure is then slated to cross the area Monday night and
Tuesday bringing a brief period of well deserved quiet weather. A
comfortable Monday night with lows generally in the 50s, with some
low 60s closer to the lakeshores. Flow will then shift back to the
southwest on Tuesday as a return flow sets up on the back side of
the surface high as it slides southeast of the area. This will boost
high temperatures back into the low to mid 80s for the majority of
the region, although humidity levels will remain tolerable.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As mentioned above, the quasi-zonal flow will continue with a
similar weather pattern to the Short Term expected through this
period. The details...

A weak mid level ripple will move across the area Tuesday night,
while a low level warm frontal segment moves northeast across the
region. PWATs increase to near 1.5 inches, however lack of forcing,
not expecting much more then some scattered showers/isolated rumble
of thunder overnight.

Next round of more significant weather looks to be centered around
the Wednesday timeframe as showers and storms accompany the next
cold frontal passage. Way to early to get into severe weather probs,
but will need to be monitored. Timing/etc still a bit in question as
well. Of more certainty is the return of mid summer warmth and
humidity. Highs will be upper 70s to mid 80s, with dew points
climbing into the mid and upper 60s.

High pressure then looks to build in bringing another much more
refreshing airmass back into western and northcentral NY for the
latter part of the work week. This should result in mainly dry
weather Thursday and Friday with highs low to mid 70s Thursday, then
tacking on several degrees for Friday as airmass starts to modify
with surface high moving east of our area. Dew points in the 50s
will mean very tolerable humidity levels for late June.

Mid summer warmth and humidity along with shower/storm chances then
look to return as we head toward the first half of next weekend as
the next frontal system approaches from the west.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
While VFR conditions will be in place overnight, some areas may
develop some fog where the thunderstorms moved through during the
evening hours.

Sunday will then be QUITE active across western and north central
New York, as a cold front will sag through the region with numerous
showers and drenching thunderstorms. Along and behind the frontal
boundary, CIGs will drop off to between 700 and 1500 ft. This will
generally take place after 15z.

Outlook...

Sunday night...MVFR to IFR conditions early with showers tapering
off from west to east...then LIFR to IFR Cigs late.
Monday...Mainly VFR. A chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms
inland from the lakes.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR conditions.
Tuesday night and Wednesday...MVFR/VFR with a chance for showers and
thunderstorms.
Thursday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Light winds and minimal wave action is expected to continue across
the lower lakes overnight.

A cold front will approach the region Sunday with increasing
southwest winds which will likely bring a period of small craft
conditions, especially on the east end of Lake Erie. A round or two
of thunderstorms Sunday will bring the potential for locally strong
winds and waves.

Northerly flow behind the cold front will then bring continued
choppy conditions to the lakes through Monday. High pressure builds
in late Monday with diminishing winds and waves for Tuesday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EAJ/RSH
NEAR TERM...EAJ/RSH/TMA
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...JM
AVIATION...EAJ/RSH
MARINE...AR/EAJ/Thomas/TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 5:26 AM EDT, 22 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

NYZ012>014-019>021-085-230930-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Scattered thunderstorms expected Sunday. Some of the storms could
become severe with damaging winds as the main threat. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001>008-010-011-230930-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Scattered thunderstorms expected Sunday. Some of the storms could
become severe with damaging winds as the main threat. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-230930-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-230930-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
526 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1015 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 SW Cato               43.12N 76.65W
06/22/2024                   Cayuga             NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees down in the town of Conquest.

0825 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 SE Red Creek          43.20N 76.66W
06/22/2024                   Cayuga             NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees and wires down in the town of
            Victory.

0827 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Cato                    43.17N 76.57W
06/22/2024                   Cayuga             NY   911 Call Center

            Multiple trees and wires down in the town of
            Cato.

0804 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Clyde                   43.08N 76.87W
06/22/2024                   Wayne              NY   911 Call Center

            Numerous trees and lines down in the town of
            Clyde.

0804 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Newark                  43.05N 77.10W
06/22/2024                   Wayne              NY   911 Call Center

            Two trees down in the town of Newark.

0807 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Savannah                43.07N 76.76W
06/22/2024                   Wayne              NY   911 Call Center

            Trees down in the town of Savannah.

0811 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lyons                   43.06N 76.99W
06/22/2024                   Wayne              NY   911 Call Center

            Trees down in the town of Lyons.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:21 PM EDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1021 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0853 PM     Hail             1 N Fulton              43.33N 76.41W
06/22/2024  M1.25 Inch       Oswego             NY   Public

            Half dollar sized hail reported in Fulton.

&&

PP
Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:25 PM EDT, 5 hours 41 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1025 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0853 PM     Hail             Fulton                  43.32N 76.41W
06/22/2024  M1.50 Inch       Oswego             NY   Public

            Picture of ping pong ball sized hail in
            Fulton sent via social media.

&&

PP
Special weather statement, Jun 23, 2:23 AM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
223 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

NYZ006-008-230645-
Oswego NY-Lewis NY-
223 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEWIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES THROUGH 245 AM EDT...

At 222 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Camden, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Highmarket, Williamstown, Lyonsdale, Greig, Port Leyden, Lyons Falls,
Constableville, Turin, Osceola, Amboy Center, West Leyden, Mohawk
Hill, Bernhards Bay, Swancott Mill, Talcottville, and Brantingham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4348 7581 4333 7589 4332 7586
      4325 7587 4323 7593 4341 7598 4380 7514
      4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 0622Z 244DEG 26KT 4333 7594

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Reynolds

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 22, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Oswego, Wayne61 min
Jun 22, 8:33 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF76 min
Jun 22, 9:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOswego40 min
Jun 22, 9:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis57 min
Jun 22, 9:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF53 min
Jun 23, 2:23 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis22 min
Jun 23, 3:07 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF53 min
Jun 23, 4:06 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF40 hr
Jun 23, 11:28 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF92 min
Jun 23, 12:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFJefferson43 min
Jun 23, 2:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis26 min

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in New York, 2024Every beach hazards statement in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.