Gale Warning 511, NWS Anchorage, AK

037 
FZAK51 PAFC 060121 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-061300-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front lifts across the western and central Gulf through Wed 
afternoon. High pressure across the rest of the Gulf dissipates Wed 
afternoon into Thu morning.


$$

PKZ710-061300-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ711-061300-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ712-061300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ715-061300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ716-061300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ714-061300-
Resurrection Bay-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt decreasing to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-061300-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-061300-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-061300-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3  ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-061300-
Port of Valdez-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-061300-
Valdez Narrows-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3  ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-061300-
Valdez Arm-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-061300-
Passage Canal-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-061300-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ731-061300-
Barren Islands East-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ733-061300-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ732-061300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ734-061300-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ736-061300-
Chiniak Bay-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ737-061300-
Marmot Bay-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ738-061300-
Shelikof Strait-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ742-061300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. S of Anchor Point, E wind 25 kt. Seas
6  ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. S of Anchor Point, SE wind 25 kt. Seas
6 ft.  Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. S of Anchor Point, SE wind 25 kt.
Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ740-061300-
Cook Inlet North Kalgin Island-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-061300-
Kachemak Bay-
521 PM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt except SE 30 kt near the outer bay. Seas
3  ft except 6 ft near the outer bay. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt except 25 kt near the outer bay. Seas 3 ft
except 5 ft near the outer bay. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

589 
FZAK51 PAFC 061134
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-070015-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front lifts across the western and central Gulf through Wed 
afternoon. High pressure across the rest of the Gulf dissipates 
Wed afternoon into Thu morning as a front reaches western Gulf.

$$

PKZ710-070015-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ711-070015-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ712-070015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ715-070015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ716-070015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ714-070015-
Resurrection Bay-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-070015-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-070015-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ726-070015-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-070015-
Port of Valdez-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-070015-
Valdez Narrows-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-070015-
Valdez Arm-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-070015-
Passage Canal-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-070015-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ731-070015-
Barren Islands East-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ733-070015-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ732-070015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ734-070015-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ736-070015-
Chiniak Bay-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ737-070015-
Marmot Bay-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ738-070015-
Shelikof Strait-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ742-070015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-070015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-070015-
Kachemak Bay-
334 AM AKDT Tue Aug 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
513 AM AKDT Mon Aug 5 2024

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Thursday Morning)...

An active weather pattern is now underway across southcentral
Alaska. GOES satellite imagery shows that the large upper-level
ridge that has brought us pleasant weather over the past few days
has begun to shift ever so slightly eastward, with a large upper-
level low south of the AK Peninsula now shifting north and east.
The associated front and atmospheric river with this system has
brought rainfall to Kodiak Island through the night, with Kodiak
Airport (PADQ) recording a little over an inch of rainfall over
the past day as of this 5am writing.

The front will continue northward today, bringing moderate to heavy
rainfall to the eastern Kenai Peninsula later this morning through
the afternoon. Kodiak Island remains on track to receive 2-3 inches
of rain in total by the end of the day today. Rainfall will likely
continue in Kodiak, at a diminished rate through Wednesday morning,
bringing the storm total potential up to 3-5 inches of rainfall over
the course of about 3 days.

Rain over Seward up to Moose Pass will likely see continued rainfall
through the work week, with about 4-5 inches of rain possible by
Wednesday afternoon. As such, Flood Watches have been issued for
Kodiak and the Eastern Kenai Peninsula (Seward, Moose Pass, etc). We
will continue to monitor trends in rainfall accumulation and update
these products over the next few forecast packages, so stay tuned.

Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley will remain relatively dry
through the majority of the event, however by Wednesday morning the
easterly flow over the mountains is expected to weaken which would
diminish the downslope hole keeping rain out of the area. As such,
rain is expected to break into the Anchorage and Mat Valley by
midweek. A rather impressive (-for summer) pressure gradient will
result in quite strong east winds out of the Turnagain Arm and the
western Chugach Monday through Wednesday, with gusts upwards of 40
mph likely.

The Copper River Basin is expected to remain sheltered from this
event almost entirely, with high temperatures expected to climb,
drier air settling in, and gusty winds from the south moving through
Glennallen. Trends in precipitation beyond midweek are currently not
entirely certain, however The series of troughs is expected to
eventually erode the ridge, likely leading to rainfall to the
remainder of southcentral Alaska to close out the week.

-Brown/CL

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Thursday morning)...

Ridging over the eastern Gulf of Alaska continues to slowly nudge
further eastward this morning while the trough over the Bering
Sea continues to dig further south and amplify the weather
pattern. As the trough digs south into the North Pacific, the
decaying frontal system near the Pribilof Islands this morning
will become absorbed into a North Pacific low today as it lifts
across the Alaska Peninsula (AKPEN) and into the eastern Bering
Sea. This low and associated strong shortwave will bring the first
of two rounds of steady rain into the AKPEN and Southwest Alaska
over the next few days. Steady rain becomes showery late Monday
night and into Tuesday morning before the next wave of steady rain
moves in for Tuesday afternoon. This round looks to be the
heaviest of the two rounds where portions of Bristol Bay,
especially from Iliamna to Koliganek and northward to Sleetmute,
could pick up around an inch or more of rainfall from Tuesday
through Wednesday morning. Showery conditions look to continue
into Thursday as additional shortwaves lift northward around the
Bering trough and over Southwest.

Additionally, the pressure gradient between the low pressure in
the Bering and high pressure in the Gulf of Alaska will continue
to be tight through Wednesday morning. This will keep gusty
easterly to southeasterly winds blowing into Bristol Bay through
the Kamishak Gap. The gustiest of the winds will be this afternoon
with a second uptick for Tuesday afternoon before the gradient
begins to relax through Wednesday and Thursday.

Further to the west, the Western and Central Aleutian Chain look
to remain mostly dry through the short-term period. The Central
Chain see scattered shower chances go up for Tuesday and Wednesday
as shortwaves drop southward across the Bering Sea on the
backside of the trough. The eastern Aleutians and Pribilof Islands
remain unsettled and showery today through Wednesday due to more
on the east side of the trough axis and in a favorable position
for shortwaves to rotate overhead. Activity wanes on Thursday as a
ridge begins to build in from the North Pacific. However, the
Western Aleutian Chain will see light rain return as a weak
frontal system from Kamchatka move eastward overhead for Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Thursday through
Sunday)...

General overview: The long term begins on Thursday with an upper-
level trough over the Bering Sea, Aleutians, and Southwest and an
upper ridge over Southeast Alaska. The trough will gradually push
east, sending the ridge into Canada. From Friday through Sunday,
the trough will remain over the Bering/Aleutians and Alaska
Mainland as various embedded short-waves and upper lows form
within the trough.

More detailed overview: Short-waves will track south to north
across mainland Alaska, with the entire trough/ridge couplet
shifting eastward. Thus, the area of heaviest rain on Thursday is
expected across eastern Prince William Sound (Cordova-Valdez
areas) before exiting to the Yukon on Friday. All of southern
Alaska can expect a wet mid week, with a drying trend by week's
end. It's hard to nail down exact rainfall amounts this far out.
However, there is some potential for localized urban flooding,
especially for Seward and other communities on the eastern Kenai
Peninsula along with low lying areas along small streams. Larger
river flooding seems unlikely, but the Kenai and other larger
rivers will take longer to respond to the rainfall. Will continue
to re-evaluate this as we get closer to the event and hone in on
storm total rainfall amounts. Ballpark estimate is for multiple
inches of rain for Kodiak Island and the Gulf coast and half-inch
to one inch inland, though totals could significantly vary across
interior Southcentral based on track of upper level short-waves
and presence of localized downslope flow.

Weather conditions across the Bering Sea and Aleutians will start
out quieter under and west of the long-wave trough on Thursday.
As the upper wave pattern progresses eastward through the week, a
new low and trough drops out of Asia into the Bering Sea. Model
spread grows quickly with strength and placement of the low/trough
as we continue through late week and into the weekend. The
bigger question is timing of this trough and associated rainfall
reaching southern Alaska, with guidance varying from Friday
night/Saturday to Saturday night/Sunday. So, expect one dry day
over southern AK, with potential for two days before rain moves
back in.

Temperatures looks to be near normal through the extended period,
which is typically highs in the 50s to 60s for most of the
forecast areas. The Copper River Basin could be a bit warmer at
times closer to the upper ridge. Colder air aloft will progress
eastward with the high amplitude trough mid to late week,
spreading from the Bering Sea across southern Alaska. Thus, there
could be a slight cooling trend late in the week. With all of
clouds and rain in the forecast, diurnal ranges (the spread
between high and low temperatures each day) will remain fairly
small.

-AF/SEB

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC... A series of fronts moving slowly through the Gulf
associated with a low south of the Alaska Peninsula will impact
Anchorage through the week. Easterly surface winds through
Turnagain Arm with northerly winds aloft could cause low level
wind shear later this morning before the winds turn southeasterly
gusting to 30 knots through Tuesday morning. Rain showers
resulting in VFR to MVFR conditions are likely Tuesday.

-DJ

&&