Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2023

Small Craft Advisory 99, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 16, 2023

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Dec 16, 2023, 7:38 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 17, 2023, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 16, 2023, 7:38 PM EST (00:38 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 17, 2023, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 17, 2023, 6:00 PM EST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted.

021 
WHUS71 KPHI 170038
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
738 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

ANZ450>452-171345-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0099.231217T1200Z-231217T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
738 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, east winds 10 to 15 kt with
  gusts up to 25 kt and seas 4 to 6 ft expected. For the Gale
  Warning, south winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt and seas
  12 to 18 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Great Egg Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 AM to 6 PM EST 
  Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST 
  Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusts will mainly be around 45 knot but
  peak gusts up to 50 knots are likely. The strongest winds should
  occur overnight Sunday night into early Monday morning. There 
  will be a quick wind shift from southerly to westerly Monday 
  morning..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-171345-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
738 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  12 to 17 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusts will mainly be around 45 knot but
  peak gusts up to 50 knots are likely. The strongest winds  
  should occur overnight Sunday night into early Monday morning. 
  There will be a quick wind shift from southerly to westerly 
  Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-171345-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
738 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and very 
  rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds should occur  
  overnight Sunday night into early Monday morning. A few wind 
  gusts to 50 knots are possible especially in the lower portion 
  of Delaware Bay. There will be a quick wind shift from southerly
  to westerly Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
918 
WHUS71 KPHI 170824
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
324 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

ANZ450>452-172200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0099.231217T1200Z-231217T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
324 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, east winds around 15 kt
  with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 4 to 5 ft expected. For the Gale
  Warning, southeast winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt
  becoming west and seas 14 to 18 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Great Egg Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 AM this morning to 
  6 PM EST this evening. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this 
  evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will occur overnight
  tonight through early Monday morning, and a few wind gusts to 50
  knots are quite possible. There will be a quick wind shift from
  southerly to westerly during Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-172200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
324 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt becoming
  west and seas 11 to 16 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet NJ to Fenwick 
  Island DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will occur overnight
  tonight through early Monday morning, and a few wind gusts to 50
  knots are quite possible. There will be a quick wind shift from
  southerly to westerly during Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-172200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
324 AM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and 
  very rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds occur overnight tonight
  into early Monday morning. A few wind gusts to 50 knots are
  possible especially in the lower portion of Delaware Bay. There
  will be a quick wind shift from southerly to westerly during Monday
  morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

Gorse
825 
WHUS71 KPHI 171943
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
243 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

ANZ450>452-181100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-231217T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
243 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southeast winds around 15 
  kt and seas 4 to 6 ft. For the Gale Warning, southeast winds 
  30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 13 to 18 ft 
  expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EST this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM 
  EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will occur overnight 
  tonight through early Monday morning, and a few wind gusts to 
  50 knots are quite possible. There will be a quick wind shift 
  from southerly to westerly during Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-181100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
243 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  12 to 17 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will occur overnight 
  tonight through early Monday morning, and a few wind gusts to 
  50 knots are quite possible. There will be a quick wind shift 
  from southerly to westerly during Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-181100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0025.231217T2300Z-231218T2300Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
243 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and very 
  rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds occur overnight 
  tonight into early Monday morning. A few wind gusts to 50 
  knots are possible especially in the lower portion of Delaware 
  Bay. There will be a quick wind shift from southerly to 
  westerly during Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 16, 4:01 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 16, 4:01 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
401 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong high pressure overhead will shift eastward tonight and early
Sunday. Low pressure across Florida will strengthen as it moves
northward and up the East Coast Sunday and Monday. A weak cold front
moves through Tuesday followed by high pressure Wednesday. Another
cold front may then settle across our area Wednesday night or
Thursday followed by high pressure into Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Tonight will be the calm before the storm, for sure. Strong high
above 1035 mb remains centered over southern Quebec this afternoon,
with a modest wedge extending southwestward along the east side of
the Appalachians. That said, its certainly not a cold air mass, and
increasingly thanks to easterly winds, not a dry one either.
Dewpoints have risen 5-10 degrees from this time yesterday and will
continue to slowly climb tonight as the easterly flow continues
while low pressure well to our south starts heading northward. The
bulk of the system will still be south of us by dawn Sunday, so
without the easterly flow, we'd still have dry tranquil weather.
That won't quite be the case however since the moist flow off the
ocean will result in widespread low clouds, mist and drizzle by late
tonight. Not a washout, but not likely to be exactly dry either.
That said, not expecting any measurable precip before dawn, so the
late night weather will be more of a nuisance than anything else. We
may try to radiate early this evening, but the easterly flow and
developing low clouds likely stop most of us from falling below 40,
with temps starting to rise late tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Summary...Few changes with this cycle as the forecast remains on
track. A powerful storm moves through our region Sunday night and
Monday morning. This will bring a round of heavy rain, strong winds,
marine hazards and some coastal flooding. While the heaviest rain
may be ending from south to north during the Monday morning commute,
at least some impacts should be expected.

While there remains some uncertainty with the exact track of the
surface low, a period of strong winds is likely with this the
greatest for the coastal and marine areas. The deepening low
pressure system arrives from the south later Sunday night then
shifts to our north during Monday.

As the potent upper-level trough arrives, ample deep-layer forcing
for ascent coupled with robust low-level warm air advection occurs.
An intense low-level jet on the order of 50-75 knots (at 925 mb) is
forecast to lift northward in tandem with the surface low. This
impressive wind field will drive robust low-level warm air and
moisture advections. It is within this zone where the heaviest rain
will fall, as precipitable water values rapidly increase to near 1.5
inches across the region. The high precipitable water and ample lift
will result in a period of heavy rain, which looks to occur from
about late Sunday evening to the early morning hours of Monday. For
more details on the flooding potential, see the hydrology section
below.

The lower levels are forecast to be saturated Sunday morning and
with some weak lift there could be some pockets of light rain or
drizzle, or even a few showers. As forcing for ascent rapidly
overspreads our area and strengthens during the course of Sunday,
rain is expected to become widespread by late afternoon or early
evening. The steadiest and heaviest rain is anticipated to occur
later Sunday evening into the early morning hours on Monday. It is
during that time where there is a rapid surge in warm air advection
aided by impressive low to mid level jets. Some guidance even has
some weak elevated instability developing later Sunday night,
especially across Delmarva and southern New Jersey. While a rumble
of thunder cannot be ruled out, the instability forecast remains
rather weak therefore continued to hold off on adding a thunder
mention.

There will be a robust low-level wind field and although the robust
warm air advection over and off the cooler ocean waters tends to
create a more stable boundary layer, the guidance shows impressive 3
and 6 hour pressure falls associated with this storm and this can
compensate for any stable marine influence. The model forecast
soundings show strong winds right near the surface during its peak
Sunday night into early Monday morning and this occurs as the
boundary layer warms some. Given the latest forecast, no changes to
the Wind Advisory that has been issued for our New Jersey coastal
zones and also Sussex County, Delaware have been made. Peak wind
gusts, as of now, remain forecast to be up to 50 mph. As of now, the
thinking remains that not enough mixing occurs to bring the stronger
winds (60+ mph gusts) down to the surface. The winds should lower
farther inland as the overall mixing should be reduced, although
there should be a period of some stronger winds across the higher
elevations. A surge of warmer air will work its way northward in
advance of the surface low, and this will result in mild
temperatures Sunday with temperatures holding steady or even rising
some Sunday night.

As the surface low shifts northward across our area Monday morning,
it should then be undergoing an occlusion. This will quickly end the
rain from south to north Monday morning, although the morning
commute could be impacted with some heavier rain still falling at
least in parts of the region along with possibly some street
flooding. Some wrap around showers will still be possible Monday
afternoon. The winds will turn sharply from the west and northwest
in the wake of the storm Monday with temperatures and dew points on
the fall as cold dry air advection occurs under a gusty wind. The
model forecast soundings show rapidly improving vertical mixing
Monday as the low-level lapse rates steepen due to the strong cold
air advection. Peak wind gusts look to be up to 40 mph, which will
be partially helped by strong pressure rises in the wake of the
storm. Temperatures should peak Monday morning then fall at least
some during the day. We may hold onto some showers Monday night as
some energy wraps back into our area. Any showers look to mainly be
rain though some snow showers are possible, mainly northwest of the
I-95 corridor and particularly in the Poconos. Temperatures will
gradually cool to near freezing by daybreak Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Summary...Cold Tuesday into Wednesday followed by some moderation
but only to close to average. Dry overall through this time frame.

Tuesday...In the wake of our Monday system, a sharp upper-level
trough drops into the region, helping usher in an arctic airmass
behind the cold front. Gusty WNW winds 15-25 mph continue with a
strong pressure gradient between our departing low and a building
surface high across the Mississippi River Valley. WNW cold air
advection in combination with broad ascent with the upper trough
will combine to for a few scattered snow showers across the Poconos,
Lehigh Valley, and higher elevations across northwestern NJ.
Accumulations at this time are expected to be light, if any. Along
the I-95 corridor could see a mix of some light rain/snow showers
during the morning with little to no accumulation or impacts
expected. Areas along the coast could also see a few showers, but
would mainly be rain. Any light precipitation will largely clear out
by the afternoon as the upper level trough pivots out of the region.
High temperatures during the day will be in the 30s north and west
of the I-95 corridor with Poconos potentially staying below freezing
all day. South and west of the I-95 corridor across southern NJ and
the Delmarva will see temperatures in the low 40s. Wind chill values
are expected to be in the 20s to low 30s with the Pocono Plateau
likely staying in the teens. Overnight lows will be in the low to
mid 20s with a light WNW breeze sticking around. As a result, wind
chill values Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning will drop
into the teens across the region with single digits expected across
the Poconos.

For Wednesday through Saturday...High pressure will largely dominate
the rest of the long term forecast, keeping the forecast dry for the
most part. Temperatures will still start off cold Wednesday morning
after a chilly night, but warming up slightly by the afternoon to
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Strong high pressure will remain over the
Appalachian Range Thursday and Friday, allowing for temperatures to
rebound closer to climo. By Saturday, global guidance is beginning
to hint at a shortwave trough dipping into the region, which could
bring in the chance for some light showers, but any system that
develops from this would be rather weak.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE,
KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR early. Low clouds and mist/drizzle then develop across
the region towards or after midnight, with IFR conditions developing
most sites. Best conditions may be near the coast (ACY) where
upslope effect is still minimized. Easterly flow will continue at 5-
10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Sunday...IFR overall with low clouds and mist/drizzle early becoming
periods of rain late. Low clouds may lift a bit before the steadier
rain arrives, so could have an interval of MVFR around midday. Winds
remaining easterly around 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Sunday night...MVFR to IFR ceilings. Widespread rain with a
period of heavy rain expected overnight. Visibilities will be
MVFR or IFR due to the rain. East- southeast winds 15-25 knots
with gusts 30-40 knots at night (strongest at KACY). A period of
low- level wind shear (LLWS) likely. Moderate confidence.

Monday...IFR conditions should improve to MVFR with time as moderate
rain in the morning gradually ends followed by some light leftover
showers. Southeast to southwest winds 15-25 knots with gusts 25-35
knots, becoming westerly by the afternoon. A few rain or snow
showers possible at night, however the conditions should improve to
to mostly VFR. Low confidence.

Tuesday...VFR overall, though brief moments of sub-VFR conditions
possible mainly north and west around ABE/RDG due to an isolated
snow shower in the morning. Otherwise, northwesterly winds around 15
knots with gusts to 25-30 knots, diminishing some at night. Moderate
confidence.

Wednesday...VFR. West-northwest winds 10-15 knots, diminishing to
near 5 knots at night. High confidence.

Thursday...VFR. North-northwest winds around 10 knots. High
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight...Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions in the calm ahead of
the storm. Winds easterly around 10-15 kts with a few gusts to 20
kts. Waves building to 3-4 ft late. Patchy mist or drizzle may
reduce visibility late at night as well.

Outlook...

Sunday and Monday...Gale Warning issued for Sunday night through
Monday. Initially, strong east to southeast winds ahead of the storm
will bring sustained winds of 25 to 35 knots with gusts around 45
knots Sunday night into Monday. While peak gusts later Sunday night
are likely to be around storm force, the latest thinking remains
that this may be short in duration and not all that widespread. As
the storm exits the region on Monday, winds become westerly with
gusts 35-40 knots then winds diminish at night. Hazardous seas
develop.

Tuesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions likely with seas beginning
to decrease but remaining elevated well above 5 feet. Winds also
begin to decrease but remain 25-30 knots.

Wednesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible due to elevated
seas 4-6 feet. NW winds 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.

Thursday...Small Craft Advisory conditions possible due to elevated
seas 4-6 feet building to 5-7 feet at night. Winds NNW 10-15 knots
with gusts up to 20 knots.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Flood Watch remains in effect for our entire area for Sunday night
and Monday.

While a strong storm will cross the region, the exact track will
determine where the heaviest rain falls. Rainfall totals of 1.5 to
3.0 inches are forecast across the region with the highest amounts
inland from the coast overall. With the potential development of
mesoscale banding along the fronts, localized totals above 3 inches
remain possible. In any case, given the rainfall will be onto a
saturated ground, there is a flooding risk and this will be enhanced
especially if much of the heavier rain falls in a shorter period of
time. Some higher hourly rainfall rates are anticipated to occur
later Sunday night and early Monday morning. We will need to watch
some of our creeks and streams, especially the quicker responding
ones and some creeks/rivers in eastern Pennsylvania and northern New
Jersey are already forecast to get into minor flooding. In addition,
higher rainfall rates could lead to some flooding in urban
areas.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Onshore flow from the northeast to east tonight into Sunday will
gradually veer to southeast later Sunday and Sunday night. The winds
will steadily increase through Sunday evening and peak overnight.
Guidance has increased a bit with the Sunday cycles, so have issued
advisories for all ocean front areas. Still alot of uncertainty as
the strength of the wind and timing of the changes in direction will
have significant effects on just how high the waters can get... and
earlier shift may reduce the threat. Biggest risk for moderate
flooding remains on the Delaware side of Delaware Bay, where we've
hoisted Coastal Flood Watches. Guidance wants to keep water levels
elevated much of Monday, but given that it appears winds will swing
around to offshore by then, did not extend advisories/watches into
the day Monday just yet. Will watch trends closely over the next 24
hours.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flood Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106.
NJ...Flood Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     NJZ001-007>010-012>027.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to 5 AM EST Monday for
     NJZ012>014-020-022>027.
     Wind Advisory from 6 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for NJZ013-
     014-020-022>027.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM Sunday to 5 AM EST Monday
     for NJZ016-021.
DE...Coastal Flood Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday
     night for DEZ001-002.
     Flood Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     DEZ001>004.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to 5 AM EST Monday for
     DEZ003-004.
     Wind Advisory from 6 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for DEZ003-
     004.
MD...Flood Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 6 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday for ANZ430-
     431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Gorse/MJL
NEAR TERM...RCM
SHORT TERM...AKL/Gorse
LONG TERM...MJL
AVIATION...AKL/Gorse/MJL/RCM
MARINE...AKL/Gorse/MJL/RCM
HYDROLOGY...AKL/Gorse
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Dodd/RCM
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 4:48 PM EST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

DEZ001-172148-
New Castle-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-172148-
Kent-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-172148-
Inland Sussex-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-172148-
Delaware Beaches-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-172148-
Carbon-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Widespread dense fog is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-172148-
Monroe-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-172148-
Berks-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-172148-
Lehigh-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-172148-
Northampton-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-172148-
Delaware-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-172148-
Philadelphia-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-172148-
Western Chester-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-172148-
Eastern Chester-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-172148-
Western Montgomery-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-172148-
Eastern Montgomery-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-172148-
Upper Bucks-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-172148-
Lower Bucks-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-172148-
Sussex-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-172148-
Warren-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-172148-
Morris-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-172148-
Hunterdon-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-172148-
Somerset-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-172148-
Middlesex-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-172148-
Western Monmouth-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-172148-
Eastern Monmouth-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Large breaking waves are expected to result in dangerous swimming
conditions in the surf zone on Monday. Localized beach erosion
is possible.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-172148-
Mercer-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-172148-
Salem-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-172148-
Gloucester-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-172148-
Camden-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-172148-
Northwestern Burlington-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-172148-
Ocean-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-172148-
Cumberland-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-172148-
Atlantic-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-172148-
Cape May-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-172148-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-172148-
Coastal Atlantic-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-172148-
Coastal Ocean-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Large breaking waves are expected to result in dangerous swimming
conditions in the surf zone on Monday. Localized beach erosion
is possible.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-172148-
Southeastern Burlington-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Sunday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Monday.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Sunday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-172148-
Kent MD-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-172148-
Queen Annes-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-172148-
Talbot-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-172148-
Caroline-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Monday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-172148-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Sunday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-172148-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Sunday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Monday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-172148-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Large breaking waves are expected to result in dangerous swimming
conditions in the surf zone on Monday. Localized beach erosion
is possible.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Monday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Tuesday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-172148-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Large breaking waves are expected to result in dangerous swimming
conditions in the surf zone on Monday. Localized beach erosion
is possible.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Monday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Tuesday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-172148-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Monday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Tuesday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-172148-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Monday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Tuesday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-172148-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Monday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Tuesday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-172148-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0448 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hurricane-force winds and/or dangerously high seas are expected
on Sunday.
Storm-force winds and/or very high seas are expected on Monday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Tuesday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 17, 3:06 AM ESTCoastal Flood WarningPHICumberland, Salem26 hr
Dec 17, 9:19 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryPHICarbon, Monroe7 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2023Every small craft advisory in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.