Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Red Flag Warnings in 2023

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

April 12, 202310 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this red flag warning at Apr 12, 2023, 9:24 AM EDT for 10 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Apr 12, 2023, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2023, 9:24 AM EDT (13:24 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 12, 2023, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 12, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2023-04-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2023-04-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 279 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2266 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
279 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
308 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

847 
WWUS81 KPHI 121324
RFWPHI

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
924 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-130000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.FW.A.0001.230412T1500Z-230413T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0002.230412T1500Z-230413T0000Z/
Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
924 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in 
effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no 
longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, 
  Delaware, Philadelphia, Western Chester, Eastern Chester, 
  Western Montgomery, Eastern Montgomery, Upper Bucks and Lower 
  Bucks.

* TIMING...Wednesday.

* WINDS...West 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Afternoon high temperatures in the upper 70s to
  low 80s.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. There 
  will be increased risk for rapid wildfire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions 
are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of 
strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires that
develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult to 
contain. 

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions, 
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state 
forestry or environmental protection website.

&&

$$

MPS
2 follow-up statements
661 
WWUS81 KPHI 121916
RFWPHI

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
316 PM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-130000-
/O.CON.KPHI.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230413T0000Z/
Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
316 PM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

* AFFECTED AREA...Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, 
  Delaware, Philadelphia, Western Chester, Eastern Chester, 
  Western Montgomery, Eastern Montgomery, Upper Bucks and Lower 
  Bucks.

* TIMING...Into this evening.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...High temperatures are in the upper 70s to low 
  80s, and will fall into the mid 70s by this evening.

* IMPACTS...Critical fire weather conditions are expected. There 
  will be increased risk for rapid wildfire growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires
that develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult
to contain.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state
forestry or environmental protection website.

&&

$$

MPS
972 
WWUS81 KPHI 122337
RFWPHI

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
737 PM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-130045-
/O.EXP.KPHI.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230413T0000Z/
Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
737 PM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

Winds have diminished this evening and relative humidity values
will increase overnight. Therefore, the Red Flag Warning will be
allowed to expire. 

$$

Hoeflich

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 12, 4:31 AM EDT, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 12, 4:31 AM EDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
431 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure remains in control across the Eastern US through
Friday with above normal temperatures. A weak low passes to our
south and east on Saturday, sparking the chance of showers. A cold
front will pass across the area Sunday night, before high pressure
returns on Monday with another cold front passage on Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
It's been a quiet and mild overnight and early morning period
across the northern mid-Atlantic, even while a west-
southwesterly breeze has lingered through the night. The main
concern today and the next couple of days will continue to be
fire weather conditions; see that respective section below.
Temperatures are running a solid 10 to 20 degrees warmer than
this time Tuesday morning, in part due to high cloudiness and
the aforementioned breeze limiting radiational cooling. A dry
cold front passing southeastward across New England with high
pressure building in it's wake is responsible for west-southwest
breezes staying elevated overnight.

Upper-level ridging over the mid-section of the US will shift
eastward in the wake of the trough passing across the Canadian
Maritimes, with building heights and west to northwesterly warm air
advection today and tonight. While some degree of lower-level
moisture with higher dewpoints will advect into our region today
into tonight, the atmosphere will still remain relatively very dry
and well-mixed. That will support more west to west-northwest
breezes gusting 20 to 25 mph at times this afternoon (possibly
locally higher over the ridgetops toward the Appalachians). Those
winds will ease more substantially tonight through Thursday morning
as surface high pressure builds northward up the Appalachians.
Otherwise, aside from some high clouds this morning associated with
the aforementioned trough, sunshine will quickly return by mid-
morning with skies turning out mostly clear for the bulk of today
and tonight. With 850 temps warming at least a few degrees from
Tuesday, that will help support afternoon temperatures 5 to 8
degrees warmer, cracking the 80-degree mark in much of our region.
The warming atmosphere will result in another similarly mild night
tonight into Thursday morning, despite better radiational cooling
conditions under clearer skies and calmer winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Rex Block persists through Thursday with upper level ridge axis
across the Great Lakes. Pattern does look to break down Thursday
night as upper low begins to lift northeast while becoming an open
trough by Friday night along the Appalachians. At the same time,
surface high pressure shifts off the coast by Thursday morning,
remaining in the vicinity of Bermuda through Friday night where a
weak low approaches from the south associated with upper trough.

Plentiful sunshine is expected during the day Thursday with some
downsloping westerly flow; similar to Wednesday. With these factors
in mind, expect that our area will once again be well mixed during
the afternoon so have opted to forecast on the warmer side of
guidance. With 850mb temps nearing 15C, this should result in most
of the I-95 corridor to reach the mid 80s. Temps in the Poconos will
be limited to the upper 70s, with low to mid 70s along the shore. By
Thursday night, should see more in the way of SW flow returning as
surface high positions itself near Bermuda. Thus, despite clear
skies our lows will have a difficult time falling any lower than the
mid to upper 50s.

Similar conditions are in store for Friday and Friday night, however
an increase in clouds is expected by afternoon as a result of upper
trough approaching. This likely limits our high temps due to less
efficient mixing compared to Thursday; especially across the
Delmarva where temps may actually be a degree or two cooler. Lows
Friday night, will be similar to the night prior and any shower
activity does appear to hold off until the weekend.

There still remains the elevated threat for fire spread through the
remainder of the week. Although dew points will be in the upper 40s
to low 50s, min RH values will be in the 25-35% range. For more in
depth details, refer to the Fire Weather Section below.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
By Saturday, open upper trough will have reached our area,
developing a weak surface low near the VA/NC border. This low will
skirt out to sea, however with enough upper level energy around,
have continued to mention the chance of showers during the afternoon
on Saturday. Also, kept the mention of thunder, but instability does
not look all that great compared to previous guidance. Area should
temporarily dry out Saturday night through the first half of Sunday,
ahead of deepening upper trough swinging through the Great
Lakes. A cold front approaches the area late Sunday night into
early Monday, bringing a more widespread round of showers; with
some mentions of thunder included in the forecast. However, with
the slower progression of the front, this may limit the
potential for thunder despite additional forcing.

After the front passes, high pressure will edge its way back into
the area from the south, keeping the area dry into Tuesday. A
secondary cold front will pass by late on Tuesday. In terms of
temps through the period, expect mid to upper 70s on Saturday,
low to mid 70s on Sunday and mid to upper 60s for Monday and
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Northwesterly winds aloft around 40 kt at about 2000 ft AGL will
ease after 12Z or so this morning, putting an end to any marginal
LLWS at the TAF sites mainly near to northwest of I-95. Otherwise,
some high clouds will give way to clear skies later this
morning and that will continue with high pressure in control
through the end of the week, with nothing but VFR conditions.
Winds this morning are west-southwest near 10 kt still in some
areas, and will once again gust over 20 kt at times while
tending a bit more west- northwesterly this afternoon. Winds
will ease more substantially tonight.

Outlook...

Thursday...VFR. SW-W winds around 10kts with gusts around 15kts
during the day, becoming around 5kts/less at night. High confidence.

Friday...VFR. SW winds of 5-10kts during the day, becoming S-SW of 5-
10kts at night. High confidence.

Saturday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with a chance of rain and
thunder during the day, becoming VFR at night. SE-S winds of 5-10kts
during the day, becoming E winds around 5kts at night. Low
confidence.

Sunday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with a chance of rain during
the afternoon, becoming more widespread into the evening. E-SE winds
of 10-15kts, will veer and become northwesterly behind frontal
passage. Low confidence with regard to timing of frontal passage at
this time.

&&

.MARINE...
A trough and dry cold front passing by mainly to the northeast of
our region helped keep some gusty southwest to west winds along with
elevated seas in during the overnight, despite relatively quiet
weather with high pressure in control otherwise. However, taking a
look at the buoys and near-coastal observations, it is possible that
conditions over the majority of the earlier Small Craft Advisory
area did not quite meet criteria. Buoy 25 did get to around 5 feet
combined seas during Tuesday evening, though. In any case, we
cancelled that advisory a little earlier, with sub- advisory
conditions set to continue today. While west- southwest winds will
remain steady 10-15 kt through tonight, a lowering east- southeast
swell will help allow combined seas to drop back generally into the
2 to 3-foot range.

Outlook...

Thursday...No marine headlines expected. SW-W winds of 10-15kts.
Seas of 2-3 feet.

Friday...No marine headlines expected. S-SW winds of 10-15kts, with
gusts up to 20kts possible. Seas of 2-3 feet.

Saturday...No marine headlines expected. SE-S winds of 5-10kts,
becoming NE-E of 5-10kts at night. Seas of 2 feet or less.

Sunday...No marine headlines expected. E-SE winds of 10-15kts,
becoming W-NW around 15kts with gusts near 20kts at night. Seas of 2-
3 feet.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Southwest winds will usher a warmer and somewhat more 'moist'
airmass into the region on Wednesday. That does not mean it will not
still be quite dry, from an RH standpoint. High temperatures will be
in the upper 70s to low 80s. Surface dew points will also rise well
into the 40s, though. Actually trimmed those values back a little
bit given where RH ended up on Tuesday, and particularly the MOS and
HRRR suggesting dewpoints will not reach the upper 40s until the
evening. Thus despite the much higher dewpoints than Tuesday, with
temps 5 to 8 degrees higher, MinRH values on Wednesday will range
around 27 to 32 percent. Winds will be around 15 mph with 20 to 25
mph gusts. A Fire Weather Watch remains in effect for the eastern
shores of Maryland and eastern Pennsylvania. Winds and RH may only
exceed Red Flag Warning criteria for a few hours this afternoon,
while 10-hour fuel moisture is rumored to be somewhat marginal near
10% as well. We held off on an upgrade, but the next shift may need
to consider that after coordination with state forest fire agencies.
We did already issue a 'Fire Weather SPS' for NJ and DE. Expect at
least an SPS will be issued for elevated fire weather conditons for
our entire area. In any case, all of this is semantics to a certain
degree; we had several wildfires in the area on Tuesday, including a
rather large one near Lakehurst, NJ that continues to burn over 2500
acres. While RH will be a little higher than Tuesday, conditions
will still be conducive to wildfire starts and potentially rapid
spread.

Conditions for Thursday and Friday are somewhat similar to
Wednesday, though with slightly lighter winds. As both temperatures
and dew points rise into the low 80s and upper 40s/low 50s
respectively, forecast min RHs remain steady around 25 to 35 percent
for much of the region. A Special Weather Statement for continued
elevated fire weather conditions looks likely for both days, though
with the lighter winds, conditions may not quite support a Fire
Weather Watch or Red Flag Warning. Aside from greenup occurring,
fine fuels will likely continue dry out, though.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Records may be in jeopardy over the next few days.

                4/13                      4/14
              Thursday                   Friday
Site      High        Low          High        Low
55N    80 in 1890  59 in 1977    90 in 1941  58 in 2002
ABE    88 in 1941  59 in 2019    87 in 2018  61 in 2014
ACY    83 in 2018  58 in 2019    86 in 1945  60 in 2002
GED    87 in 1977  64 in 2019    87 in 1977  65 in 2019
ILG    85 in 1977  61 in 2019    87 in 1941  60 in 2014
MPO    81 in 1977  52 in 2018    82 in 1941  56 in 2014
PHL    89 in 1977  61 in 2019    91 in 1941  62 in 2014
RDG    89 in 1977  60 in 2019    90 in 1941  64 in 2014
TTN    85 in 1977  60 in 2019    89 in 1941  62 in 2014

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Fire Weather Watch from 11 AM EDT this morning through this
     evening for PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...Fire Weather Watch from 11 AM EDT this morning through this
     evening for MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DeSilva
NEAR TERM...Dodd
SHORT TERM...DeSilva
LONG TERM...DeSilva
AVIATION...Dodd/DeSilva
MARINE...Dodd/DeSilva
FIRE WEATHER...Dodd
CLIMATE...WFO PHI
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 12, 6:17 AM EDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

DEZ001-131017-
New Castle-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-131017-
Kent-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-131017-
Inland Sussex-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-131017-
Delaware Beaches-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-131017-
Carbon-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-131017-
Monroe-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-131017-
Berks-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-131017-
Lehigh-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-131017-
Northampton-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-131017-
Delaware-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-131017-
Philadelphia-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-131017-
Western Chester-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-131017-
Eastern Chester-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-131017-
Western Montgomery-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-131017-
Eastern Montgomery-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-131017-
Upper Bucks-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-131017-
Lower Bucks-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-131017-
Sussex-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-131017-
Warren-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-131017-
Morris-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-131017-
Hunterdon-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-131017-
Somerset-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-131017-
Middlesex-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-131017-
Western Monmouth-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-131017-
Eastern Monmouth-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-131017-
Mercer-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-131017-
Salem-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-131017-
Gloucester-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-131017-
Camden-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-131017-
Northwestern Burlington-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-131017-
Ocean-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-131017-
Cumberland-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-131017-
Atlantic-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-131017-
Cape May-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-131017-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-131017-
Coastal Atlantic-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-131017-
Coastal Ocean-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-131017-
Southeastern Burlington-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-131017-
Kent MD-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-131017-
Queen Annes-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-131017-
Talbot-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-131017-
Caroline-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-131017-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-131017-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-131017-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-131017-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-131017-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-131017-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-131017-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-131017-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0617 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 12, 3:24 AM EDT, 6 hours before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
324 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

DEZ001>004-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-130000-
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Sussex-Warren-
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-
Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown,
Rehoboth Beach, Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington,
Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton,
Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown,
Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville, Hammonton, Cape May Court House,
Ocean City, Atlantic City, Long Beach Island,
and Wharton State Forest
324 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING...

A combination of low relative humidity, gusty westerly winds, and
dry fine fuels will lead to an elevated risk for fire spread with
any potential fire starts this afternoon across both New Jersey
and Delaware. Minimum relative humidity values this afternoon will
range from 25 to 30 percent across the region. Winds will be
sustained from 10 to 15 mph with gusts around 20 to 25 mph,
highest around mid to late afternoon. Fine fuel moisture may be
somewhat of a limiting factor from reaching true Red Flag Warning
conditions, mainly across southern New Jersey, due to rainfall
last Friday and perhaps some degree of greenup beginning. However,
with a few wildfires started across the region on Tuesday, dry and
dead vegetation is clearly receptive to fire starts and fire
spread.

Residents are urged to exercise caution if handling any potential
ignition source, including machinery, cigarettes, and matches. Be
sure to properly discard all smoking materials. Any dry grasses,
dead leaves, and other tree litter that ignite will have the
potential to spread fire quickly.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and eduction, please visit your state's
forestry or environmental protection website.

Dodd
Special weather statement, Apr 12, 8:45 AM EDT, 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
845 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-130000-
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-
Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-
Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-
Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-
Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Georgetown,
Rehoboth Beach, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Denton, Newton,
Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick,
Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden,
Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville,
Hammonton, Cape May Court House, Ocean City, Atlantic City,
Long Beach Island, and Wharton State Forest
845 AM EDT Wed Apr 12 2023

...ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING...

A combination of low relative humidity, gusty westerly winds, and
dry fine fuels will lead to an elevated risk for fire spread with
any potential fire starts this afternoon across New Jersey,
Delaware, and the eastern shores of Maryland. Minimum relative
humidity values this afternoon will range from 25 to 30 percent
across the region. Winds will be sustained from 10 to 15 mph with
gusts around 20 to 25 mph, highest around mid to late afternoon.
Fine fuel moisture may be somewhat of a limiting factor from
reaching true Red Flag Warning conditions, mainly across southern
New Jersey, due to rainfall last Friday and perhaps some degree of
greenup beginning. However, with a few wildfires started across
the region on Tuesday, dry and dead vegetation is clearly
receptive to fire starts and fire spread.

Residents are urged to exercise caution if handling any potential
ignition source, including machinery, cigarettes, and matches. Be
sure to properly discard all smoking materials. Any dry grasses,
dead leaves, and other tree litter that ignite will have the
potential to spread fire quickly.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and eduction, please visit your state's
forestry or environmental protection website.

MPS

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2023Every red flag warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.