Alert archive / Minnesota / Blizzard Warnings in 2023
Blizzard Warning 3, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this blizzard warning at Feb 14, 2023, 2:39 AM CST for 5 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in Minnesota. It took effect at Feb 14, 2023, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 17 hr. 23 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2023, 2:39 AM CST (08:39 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 14, 2023, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2023, 10:59 AM CST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
Counties Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Polk County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Cass County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Traill County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 8:15 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 Se Gwinner, ND | GWINNER AWOS REPORTING FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND 0.25 SM OR LESS VISIBILITY SINCE 6:15 PM. |
| Feb 14, 8:15 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Lisbon, ND | CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED BLIZZARD OCCURRED TUESDAY NIGHT IN HIS WED AM REPORT. NEARBY WEATHER STATIONS ALL REPORT SUSTAINED WINDS 35-40 AND WIND GUSTS IN THE 45-57 MPH RANGE FROM APPROXIMATELY 7 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM WEDNESDAY. |
| Feb 14, 8:25 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 10 W Ada, MN | HALSTAD MN RWIS REPORTING 35 MPH OR GREATER SUSTAINED WINDS AND LOW VISIBILITY SINCE 6:25 PM. |
| Feb 14, 8:25 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Hillsboro, ND | VIDEO ON TWITTER FROM BASKETBALL COACH STUCK IN HILLSBORO IN BLIZZARD. |
| Feb 14, 9:15 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 Se Gwinner, ND | GWINNER AWOS REPORTING FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND 0.25 SM OR LESS VISIBILITY SINCE 6:15 PM. |
| Feb 14, 9:15 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Detroit Lakes, MN | DELAYED REPORT. DETROIT LAKES AWOS REPORTS VISIBILITIES BELOW HALF MILE, AND FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF THE 14TH AND 15TH. |
| Feb 14, 9:15 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Lisbon, ND | CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED BLIZZARD OCCURRED TUESDAY NIGHT IN HIS WED AM REPORT. NEARBY WEATHER STATIONS ALL REPORT SUSTAINED WINDS 35-40 AND WIND GUSTS IN THE 45-57 MPH RANGE FROM APPROXIMATELY 7 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM WEDNESDAY. |
| Feb 14, 9:25 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 10 W Ada, MN | HALSTAD MN RWIS REPORTING 35 MPH OR GREATER SUSTAINED WINDS AND LOW VISIBILITY SINCE 6:25 PM. |
| Feb 14, 9:25 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Hillsboro, ND | VIDEO ON TWITTER FROM BASKETBALL COACH STUCK IN HILLSBORO IN BLIZZARD. |
| Feb 14, 9:55 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 Se Gwinner, ND | KGWR AWOS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 755 PM TUE TO 415 AM WED (AND ONGOING AT TIME OF REPORT). SUSTATINED WINDS 35-40 MPH AND GUSTS 45-55 MPH. |
| Feb 14, 10:25 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Fargo, ND | BEGAN AT 8:25 PM. STRAIGHT 1/4SM SINCE 8:25. BLIZZARD ONGOING. |
| Feb 14, 10:55 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 Se Gwinner, ND | KGWR AWOS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 755 PM TUE TO 415 AM WED (AND ONGOING AT TIME OF REPORT). SUSTATINED WINDS 35-40 MPH AND GUSTS 45-55 MPH. |
| Feb 14, 10:55 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Moorhead, MN | SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TOO VISIBILITY WHERE OCCURRING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AROUND THE AIRPORT AND INTERSTATE. |
| Feb 14, 11:10 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Foxhome, MN | |
| Feb 14, 11:25 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Fargo, ND | BEGAN AT 8:25 PM. STRAIGHT 1/4SM SINCE 8:25. BLIZZARD ONGOING. |
| Feb 15, 12:10 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Foxhome, MN | |
| Feb 15, 12:15 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 S Wahpeton, ND | KBWP AWOS BLIZZARD 1015 PM TUES TO 3335 AM WED WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 35-40 MPH AND GUSTS 45-55 MPH. |
| Feb 15, 12:15 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Crookston, MN | SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY WHERE OCCURRING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AROUND THE AIRPORT. |
| Feb 15, 12:35 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Fergus Falls, MN | DELAYED REPORT. FERGUS FALLS AWOS REPORTS VISIBILITIES BELOW HALF MILE, AND FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF THE 14TH AND 15TH. |
| Feb 15, 12:35 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Mahnomen, MN | DELAYED REPORT. MAHNOMEN AWOS REPORTS REDUCED VISIBILITIES, AND FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OF THE 14TH INTO THE 15TH. BASED ON SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS, CAN INTERPOLATE BZ CONDITIONS AT THIS LOCATION. |
| Feb 15, 1:04 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Wahpeton, ND | BEGAN AT 10:15PM....BLIZZARD ONGOING. |
| Feb 15, 1:15 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 S Wahpeton, ND | KBWP AWOS BLIZZARD 1015 PM TUES TO 3335 AM WED WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 35-40 MPH AND GUSTS 45-55 MPH. |
| Feb 15, 2:04 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Wahpeton, ND | BEGAN AT 10:15PM....BLIZZARD ONGOING. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 252 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2105 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 140 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 199 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
359 WWUS43 KFGF 140839 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 239 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 MNZ002-003-015-022-027>031-040-NDZ039-049-052-053-151800- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0001.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland- Including the cities of Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 239 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute Wednesday. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0001.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 239 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ027-029-030-038-151800- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0001.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Grand Forks, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, and Valley City 239 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Uncertainty in the severity of blowing snow still exists this morning due to uncertainty in how much snow falls. If snowfall is higher than forecast, conditions will become severe enough to warrant an upgrade to a Blizzard Warning. Despite limited snowfall potential, periodic blizzard conditions may arise with falling snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
7 follow-up statements
794 WWUS43 KFGF 142048 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 248 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 MNZ002-003-015-022-027>031-040-NDZ039-049-052-053-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland- Including the cities of Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 248 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute Wednesday. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 248 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ027-029-030-038-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Grand Forks, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, and Valley City 248 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
438 WWUS43 KFGF 142314 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 514 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 MNZ002-003-015-022-027>031-040-NDZ039-049-052-053-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland- Including the cities of Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 514 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute Wednesday. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ004-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-028-054-151800- /O.EXB.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230214T2314Z-230215T1800Z/ Kittson-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy- Nelson-Griggs-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Cooperstown, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 514 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 514 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ027-029-030-038-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.230215T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Grand Forks, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, and Valley City 514 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
664 WWUS43 KFGF 150315 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 915 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 MNZ001-NDZ030-151800- /O.UPG.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Traill- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, and Portland 915 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Minnesota, West Polk County. In North Dakota, Traill County. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage, and will make travel difficult for light and high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ002-003-015-022-027>031-040-NDZ039-049-052-053-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland- Including the cities of Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 915 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute Wednesday. Strong winds could cause tree damage, and will make travel difficult for light and high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 915 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ004-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>029-038-054- 151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Barnes-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Valley City, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 915 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility, especially in open country. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage, and will make travel difficult for light and high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
175 WWUS43 KFGF 150641 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1241 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 MNZ001>003-015-022-027>031-040-NDZ030-039-049-052-053-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker- Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-Traill-Cass-Ransom- Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 1241 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...In Minnesota, West Polk County. In North Dakota, Traill County. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage, and will make travel difficult for light and high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 1241 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ004-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>029-038-054- 151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Barnes-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Valley City, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 1241 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility, especially in open country. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage, and will make travel difficult for light and high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
586 WWUS43 KFGF 151159 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 559 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 MNZ004-005-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-054-151300- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Kittson-Roseau-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey- Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 559 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Conditions will continue to improve through the morning hours. Areas of blowing snow may persist this morning in isolated areas, so use caution when out traveling this morning. $$ MNZ001>003-015-022-027>031-040-NDZ030-039-049-052-053-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker- Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-Traill-Cass-Ransom- Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 559 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 559 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ007-008-013-014-NDZ027>029-038-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake-Grand Forks- Griggs-Steele-Barnes- Including the cities of Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, and Valley City 559 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Blowing snow. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
330 WWUS43 KFGF 151605 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1005 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 MNZ001>003-015-022-029-NDZ030-039-049-052-053-151715- /O.CAN.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-Wilkin-Traill-Cass- Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Breckenridge, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 1005 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... Visibilities have improved across the area as winds have lessened some with current winds gusting into the 20 to 25 mph range. Some isolated areas of blowing snow are still posssible in open county. $$ MNZ006>008-013-014-NDZ027>029-038-151715- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Barnes- Including the cities of Baudette, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, and Valley City 1005 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Conditions have improved across the area allowing the advisory to be cancelled. Isolated areas of blowing snow may be possible in open county at times this morning. $$ MNZ027-028-030-031-040-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant- Including the cities of Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 1005 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Conditions are improving and will continue to improve through mid day. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater- Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 1005 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Conditions will continue to improve through mid day. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
949 WWUS43 KFGF 151659 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1059 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 MNZ027-028-030-031-040-151800- /O.CAN.KFGF.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant- Including the cities of Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 1059 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... Conditions have improved across the area with winds having dropped allowing the warning to be cancelled. Isolated pockets of blowing snow are possible in open areas. $$ MNZ009-016-017-023-024-032-151800- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230215T1800Z/ North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater- Hubbard-Wadena- Including the cities of Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wadena, and Menahga 1059 AM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow. Little or no additional accumulation. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central and northwest Minnesota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Slick spots possible on roads and reduced visibilities at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Conditions will continue to improve through mid day. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Feb 14, 12:23 AM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 12:23 AM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1223 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1222 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023
Higher clouds continue to filter in from the west. Impacts remain
rather low across the area with no major changes to this forecast.
UPDATE Issued at 945 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023
Higher clouds are now over top of the majority of the Red River
Valley, slowly spreading eastward into Minnesota. Tonight could be
a bit warmer in some spots due to cloud cover. Otherwise, forecast
remains on track.
UPDATE Issued at 640 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023
Some lower clouds in the northern RRV this evening, with cirrus
filtering into the Devils Lake Basin here pretty soon. Quiet night
before the storm tomorrow. Forecast remains on track.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 311 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023
Winter impacts and their placement and timing will be the main
headaches for the period.
The immediate short term conditions will be pretty quiet, with
split flow aloft and the southern branch well to our south and the
northern branch over the Rockies. Increasing clouds overnight and
south to southwesterly surface winds should help bring warmer
air. Temperatures overnight should stay mainly in the teens to
20s, although there will be some portions of the Devils Lake Basin
that will see winds shifting to the north towards morning. Cold
air advection is pretty weak with this initial trough axis, so
think impacts will be pretty minimal.
Tuesday, the southern branch upper low lifts into eastern
Nebraska, with the surface reflection deepening over Iowa. Several
model runs had precip starting fairly early as the surface
inverted trough begins to extend into our far southern and eastern
counties. Latest CAM runs have backed off on this a bit, but still
can't rule out some rain/drizzle, or perhaps freezing rain at
times as the HREF has some signal for FZRA Tuesday morning.
However, many model soundings are fairly dry in the warm layer
aloft, and the set up is not great for freezing precipitation. NBM
probabilities of any icing of 0.01 or more are pretty low in our
area, so not overly confident in FZRA impacts. Can't completely
rule it out, but probably some potential flash freezing from
rain/melting snow as temperatures drop later on will be the main
problem.
Tuesday night into Wednesday, the low lifts off into the Great
Lakes and starts to phase with the northern stream. There will be
a strong push of cold air late Tuesday night, with over 40 C/km
cold air advection at 925mb for a short time. The cold front will
be coming through late in the night, and all the momentum may not
be realized, but think there will be at least some sustained winds
in the 30 to 40 mph range with gusts up to 60 mph possible.
Current snow pack is well iced over across our CWA as well as into
Canada. Blowing snow impacts will have to come from falling snow,
with locations getting over 2 inches having the best chances for
sustained low visibility. While the sheltered areas in
northwestern MN may not see as high of winds, they have higher QPF
values and there should be a good combination of falling and
blowing snow that will also bring visibility impacts. Blowing snow
probabilities get up above 70 percent well into the the Thief
River Falls area, with 40 to 70 percent well into the Baudette and
Bemidji areas. Thus, expanded the winter storm watch further north
and east.
By Wednesday, a northern branch trough digging down into the
Dakotas will help keep cold air coming down, although the pressure
gradient should be relaxing as the main system pulls east. Could
still see some blowing snow impacts into Wednesday morning, but
should be improvement into the afternoon hours.
.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 311 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023
Overview:
Brief cooler temperatures are expected on Thursday, with a warm up
end of the week and into the weekend. Flow aloft gradually changes
from NW flow to more zonal through the long term. Little to no
impacts are expected during the long term.
Thursday and onward...
Some lingering windy conditions are possible early Thursday, but
majority of the area should see light winds. As the cold air
advection shifts through the area skies turn partly cloudy and
temperatures drop to the negative teens Thursday morning. Highs only
reach into the single digits. As winds remain light across the
region, wind chills should remain below advisory criteria throughout
Thursday. However there is a chances some patchy areas could get
down to near advisory limits for a brief couple of hours. Expect
another cool morning on Friday, before temperatures return to above
normal as highs reach the mid 20s to lower 30s for the end of the
week and into the weekend.
Cluster analysis continues to show a 500mb ridge situated over the
plains through the weekend, but a general flattening of the ridge
early next week. As the ridge flattens, flow turns more zonal for
the northern plains increasing the chances for shortwaves to
translate across the region. Otherwise, looks like quiet conditions
are expected throughout the long term.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023
VFR conditions will deteriorate to IFR conditions into Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Winds will shift to the north into Tuesday
morning, and from there will pick up to be 15 - 25kts sustained
with gusts in excess of 35 kts. Ceilings will drop drastically
into the afternoon, dropping from 15000 to less than 1000 in a few
hours. -RASN, RA, and SN are all possible Tuesday afternoon as
well.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Wednesday morning
for NDZ027-029-030-038-039-049-052-053.
MN...Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Wednesday morning
for MNZ001>003-005>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040.
&&
UPDATE...Perroux
SHORT TERM...JR
LONG TERM...Spender
AVIATION...AKHazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 3:50 PM CST, 10 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 350 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 MNZ001>003-005>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ027-029-030-038- 039-049-052-053-142200- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall- East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk- North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-South Clearwater-Hubbard- West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail- Wadena-Grant-Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland- 350 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Travel impacts from snow and blowing snow are possible from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. The best chances for winter travel impacts are from southeast ND into northwest MN, where there is a 60 to 80 percent chance for 1 to 4 inches of snowfall. Winds will be another concern as they increase especially behind a cold front early Wednesday morning. There is a 40 to 70 percent chance for near blizzard or blizzard conditions in the central and southern Red River Valley into portions of western Minnesota. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Reports of snow, ice, visibility, and poor road conditions will be appreciated. MNZ004-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-028-054-142200- Kittson-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy- Nelson-Griggs-Western Walsh- 350 PM CST Mon Feb 13 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Light snow Tuesday night is expected to remain below 2 inches of new accumulation. However, there will be increasing northerly winds and a combination of blowing and falling snow could bring some winter impacts with reduced visibility at times Tuesday evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Reports of snow, ice, visibility, and poor road conditions will be appreciated.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2:39 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | FGF | Barnes, Benson, Cavalier, Eddy, Grand Forks, Griggs and 7 more | 33 hr |
| Feb 14, 2:43 AM CST | Wind Advisory | FGF | Benson, Cavalier, Eddy, Griggs, Nelson, Pembina and 3 more | 15 hr |
Nearby
Blizzard Warnings in Minnesota, 2023Blizzard Warnings in North Dakota, 2023Every blizzard warning in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.