Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Mobile, AL

373 
WGUS74 KMOB 032301
FFSMOB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
601 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 2022

ALC003-032311-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-220804T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Baldwin AL-
601 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN BALDWIN 
COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded and the heavy rain has ended. Please 
continue to heed any additional information from local officials.

LAT...LON 3070 8785 3071 8783 3072 8782 3074 8774
      3072 8772 3067 8772 3064 8782

$$

Black

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
133 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 2022

.NEAR TERM /This Afternoon Through Thursday/...Convective coverage
across the region is a little less today than past several days,
but we are seeing isolated showers and thunderstorms over the
coastal counties and spreading inland into south central AL to the
east of I-65. Temperatures are mainly in the middle 80s across the
forecast area, and with the lower coverage of showers/storms/cloud
cover, do expect that the upper 80s to near 90 forecast numbers
are fine for this afternoon.

The Deep South will remain under a region of upper level weakness
through Thursday, with upper ridging to the west over the Desert
Southwest and central CONUS and also to the east over the western
Atlantic. A northern stream upper trough will also make its way
over the Midwest and into the Great Lakes and upper Ohio Valley
regions through Thursday as well. At the surface, high pressure
will continue to ridge into the southeast CONUS from the east as a
cold front traverses the Midwest on Thursday. Showers and storms
will dissipate across the region this evening, with patchy
overnight fog again a possibility.

Overall deep layer moisture continues across the region through
the period, but the PWAT's will lower slightly. However, deep layer
moisture will begin to shift to the west on Thursday, with the
better deep layer moisture over the western half of the forecast
area where PWAT's will be near 1.8 to 2.0 inches, with lower
PWAT's of about 1.6 inches over the eastern half of the forecast
area. With this, still expecting scattered to locally numerous
showers and storms over the region again on Thursday, with the
best coverage over the western and perhaps coastal sections of the
forecast area. A few strong storms could be possible Thursday
afternoon, but the primary concern will continue to be locally
heavy rainfall and potential for localized flash flooding.

As far as temperatures go, lows tonight will remain as they have
for the past several days, lower 70s inland and mid to upper 70s
at the coast. High temperatures on Thursday will be in the upper
80s to lower 90s, with the warmer temperatures over interior south
central AL (east of I-65) and interior portions of the western FL
panhandle.

/12

&&

.AVIATION /03.18Z Issuance/...Today will be another day of scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Current radar shows some
development just off and near the coast. Generally VFR conditions
will prevail through the period, however, localized reductions in
VIS and CIGs to MVFR are possible in stronger showers and storms
that development. Going into the evening hours, shower and storm
activity will decrease with some isolated showers possible
overnight. One concern is the potential for some patchy fog and
low stratus overnight tonight and into the early morning hours on
Thursday, mainly for inland areas. Not expecting any fog to be
dense right now, but will continue to monitor. Winds through the
TAF period will remain generally southerly to southwesterly around
5-10kts through the afternoon. Winds then become more light and
variable going into tonight and overnight. JEH/88

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&