Alert archive / Minnesota / Blizzard Warnings in 2022
Blizzard Warning 7, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this blizzard warning at Feb 17, 2022, 1:10 PM CST for 18 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Feb 18, 2022, 3:00 AM CST. It was in force for 15 hr. 24 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 17, 2022, 1:10 PM CST (19:10 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 18, 2022, 3:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 18, 2022, 6:00 PM CST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
All 35 counties
Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 5:37 AM CST | SNOW 4 | Karlstad, MN | IN RURAL AREAS OF KARLSTAD REPORTS OF 4 IN BY THE PUBLIC. |
| Feb 18, 6:11 AM CST | SNOW 2.5 | Baudette, MN | ESTIMATED SNOW OF 2-3 INCHES IN BAUDETTE BY MNDOT AND STILL SNOWING. |
| Feb 18, 6:54 AM CST | SNOW 3.5 | Cavalier, ND | PUBLIC REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF 3-4 INCHES IN CAVALIER ND. |
| Feb 18, 8:00 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 8 Ne Brantford, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH REPORTED FOR OVER 3 HOURS FROM THE MCHENRY NDAWN STARTING AT 0435. |
| Feb 18, 8:54 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Langdon, ND | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SINCE 1135Z AND CONTINUING. |
| Feb 18, 9:04 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Park River, ND | COOP OBSERVER REPORTS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. VIS BEEN BELOW 100 YARDS. |
| Feb 18, 9:10 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 5 N Brinsmade, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR HIGHER THAN 35MPH OBSERVED FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS ON THE NILES NDAWN FROM 0345 TO 0910. DATA COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
| Feb 18, 9:49 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Cando, ND | AIRPORT HAS REPORTED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WELL OVER 3 HOURS AND ARE STILL ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 10:00 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 2 W Michigan, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE MICHIGAN NDAWN, FROM 0645 TO 1500. COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
| Feb 18, 10:05 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Devils Lake, ND | AIRPORT HAS REPORTED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS, AND WEBCAMS SHOW <1/4 MILE VISIBILTIY. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 10:36 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Grand Forks, ND | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS AND STILL ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 10:39 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Cavalier, ND | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR OVER 3 HOURS AND CONTINUING. |
| Feb 18, 11:00 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 2 E Dazey, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE DAZEY NDAWN, FROM 0740 TO 1645. COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
| Feb 18, 11:10 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 1 Nnw Finley, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE FINLEY NDAWN, FROM 0810 TO 1615. COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
| Feb 18, 11:25 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 5 N Leonard, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE LEONARD NDAWN, FROM 0825 TO 1540. COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
| Feb 18, 11:33 AM CST | BLIZZARD | 2 N Lancaster, MN | WEBCAMS SHOW PERSISTANT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR WELL OVER 3 HOURS. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CONTINUING. |
| Feb 18, 11:43 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Crookston, MN | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER 3 HOURS AND CONTINUING. |
| Feb 18, 11:49 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Thief River Falls, MN | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR OVER THREE HOURS AND IS ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 11:52 AM CST | BLIZZARD | Cooperstown, ND | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR OVER THREE HOURS, AND STILL ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 12:45 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 2 N Maddock, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EXCEEDING OR EQUAL TO 35MPH OBSERVED FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS ON THE MADDOCK NDAWN FROM 0430 TO 1545. COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
| Feb 18, 12:55 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Barnesville, MN | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE BORDER IN RURAL CLAY AND WILKIN COUNTIES. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 12:56 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 3 S Barnesville, MN | BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE BORDER IN RURAL CLAY AND WILKIN COUNTIES. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING. |
| Feb 18, 1:10 PM CST | BLIZZARD | Halstad, MN | WEBCAMS SHOWING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THE PAST THREE HOURS AND CONTINUING. |
| Feb 18, 2:30 PM CST | BLIZZARD | 3 E Kelso, ND | FREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE HILLSBORO NDAWN, FROM 1020 TO 1430. COURTESY OF NDAWN. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 290 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 616 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -115 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -75 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
317 WWUS43 KFGF 171910 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ008-016-027>030-038- 039-049-052-053-190000- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.220218T0600Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T1200Z-220219T0000Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele- Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-054-190000- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.220218T0600Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T0900Z-220219T0000Z/ Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ040-190300- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.220218T0600Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/ Grant- Including the cities of Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blowing snow with near Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Grant County. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-190300- /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, and Menahga 110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow and Blowing Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
5 follow-up statements
793 WWUS43 KFGF 180246 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-054-190000- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T0900Z-220219T0000Z/ Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ008-016-027>030-038- 039-049-052-053-190000- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T1200Z-220219T0000Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele- Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow and Blowing Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
255 WWUS43 KFGF 180956 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-054-190000- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. Visibility of 1/4 mile or less with near zero visibility at times. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute and possibly the evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ008-016-027>030-038- 039-049-052-053-190000- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T1200Z-220219T0000Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele- Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton 356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations up to 1 inch for most areas with 2 inches possible near Lake of the Woods. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. Visibility of 1/4 mile or less with near zero visibility at times. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute and possibly the evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. Visibility of 1/4 mile or less with near zero visibility possible at times. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 9 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
744 WWUS43 KFGF 181650 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1050 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300- /O.UPG.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 1050 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, widespread whiteout conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory this evening, blowing snow. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, until 6 PM CST this evening. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 6 PM to 9 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility through this afternoon, with gradually improving conditions this evening. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-190000- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey- Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes- Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 1050 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
909 WWUS43 KFGF 182153 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 353 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 353 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, blizzard conditions. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, until 6 PM CST this evening. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow significantly reducing visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-190000- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey- Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes- Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 353 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow significantly reducing visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$
038 WWUS43 KFGF 182349 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 MNZ006-191800- /O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1800Z/ /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ Lake Of The Woods- Including the city of Baudette 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 40 below zero. * WHERE...Lake Of The Woods County. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-191500- /O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1500Z/ /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater- Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant- Including the cities of Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, and Barrett 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 35 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 9 AM CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-191800- /O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, and Breckenridge 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 40 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ MNZ030-191500- /O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1500Z/ /O.EXA.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/ West Otter Tail- Including the city of Fergus Falls 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. * WHERE...West Otter Tail County. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 9 AM CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. && $$ NDZ006-014-015-024-028-038-049-052-191500- /O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1500Z/ Towner-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Griggs-Barnes-Ransom-Sargent- Including the cities of Cando, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Cooperstown, Valley City, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, and Rutland 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 35 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until 9 AM CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. && $$ NDZ007-008-016-026-027-029-030-039-053-054-191800- /O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1800Z/ Cavalier-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Nelson-Grand Forks-Steele-Traill- Cass-Richland-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Fargo, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 40 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Saturday. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. && $$ dtr
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Feb 17, 11:36 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 11:36 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1136 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1037 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
Wind chills have improved in our south hand east and we allowed
the advisory to expire as scheduled. Values -20 to -35 are still
being reported in the north, so I kept that advisory ongoing for
now. Expect further improvement as moderation in southerly flow
occurs.
UPDATE Issued at 653 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
Clear skies prevail this morning with cold temperatures across the
region. High temperatures will only reach the single digits
either side of zero. Look for increasing cloud cover through the
afternoon as our clipper approaches. The forecast remains on track
this morning, with no significant updates needed at this time.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 347 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
IMPACT STATEMENT:
Impacts are possible starting late this evening, then persist
through much of the day Friday. Snow and blowing snow are possible
across large portions of the area, with generally light snow
accumulations. The best chances for higher snowfall totals will be
in the Lake of the Woods region, where there is a 50 to 70 percent
chance of 2 or more inches of snow. Elsewhere, look for a dusting
up to 2 inches. Winds will be strongest from the Red River Valley
westward, with blizzard conditions possible.
CONSIDERATIONS:
The condition of the snow pack varies considerably across the
area, with many locations seeing a well-established crust. It is
worth noting that there is quite a bit of etching and pitting
across some of the crusted snow pack from previous blowing snow
events. This could ultimately weaken the crust and allow access to
more blowable snow.
DISCUSSION:
Look for deteriorating conditions in response to a clipper that
will traverse the region starting early this evening. The impacts
spanning the evening and early overnight hours include generally
light snow and gusty southerly winds. Reduced visibility is
possible across portions of the region, especially for locations
within the Red River Valley and points westward. As the clipper
pushes eastward, winds will shift to the west, then northwest
along rather strong pressure rises. Winds across much of eastern
North Dakota have the potential to gust upwards of 60 mph,
especially just west of the Red River Valley. In addition,
convective snow showers are possible on the trailing side of this
system, and as such, periods of brief heavy snow and gusty winds
(snow squalls) will be possible.
Winds begin to diminish late Friday afternoon, which will bring down
the potential for blowing snow. Temperatures will fall sharply from
the afternoon highs in the teens and 20s, down into the teens below
zero.
.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 347 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
At this point, it appears there are not any big snow producing
systems in this portion of the forecast, but there should be a few
impactful events. Of course, the tail end of the potential blizzard
event Friday may carry over some wind/blowing snow impacts into
Friday night. Snowfall should occur over the northern half of the FA
Saturday into Sunday and then across the southern half of the FA
Sunday night through Tuesday.
The brunt of the gusty northwest winds should occur across the FA
on Friday. However, some impacts are likely to continue into Friday
night as well. 925mb wind speeds hold pretty strong into the
evening, before they drop more rapidly during the overnight period.
Also, if convective streamers develop during the day, lofted snow
usually continues into the evening as well. So would think there is
a potential of blowing snow and reduced visibilities continuing into
Friday evening as well. How bad remains to be seen.
As the 500mb flow transitions a bit from northwest toward zonal
Saturday into Sunday, another potential clipper system looks to
impact the FA. The exact track of this system is still uncertain,
with some solutions showing that track across southern Canada, while
others are a little further south (into this FA). Despite the
differences in track, there seems to be a better consensus in
depicting the best chances for snow to be across the northern half
of the FA. The NBM4.1 shows a greater than 60 percent probability
for snowfall amounts greater than 0.1 inches north of highway 2, and
about 60 to 80 percent probabilities for greater than 1 inch along
the Canadian border in northwest Minnesota. So this is not looking
like much of a snow producer. However, south winds could be fairly
gusty on Saturday ahead of the low, with gusty northwest winds late
Saturday night into Sunday behind it. Depending on how much blowable
snow is on the ground during this period, exactly how much falls,
and how strong the cold advection is will determine the exact
impacts from this system.
Finally, for the Sunday night to Tuesday system. This looks to be
the period when split flow develops. As a trough digs across the
southwest United States, southwest flow develops across the Plains.
The main surface low should stay well south of the FA, but a swath
of snow looks to develop and hold across the southern half of the
FA. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty with this system, so
would not be surprised to see some shifts yet. The NBM4.1 shows
about a 60 percent probability of seeing snowfall amounts greater
than 1 inch along the North and South Dakota border, and about a 35
percent probability for seeing amounts greater than 4 inches. Do not
see a huge wind potential with this system at this point. However
north winds could be gusty at times, leading to some blowing and
drifting snow.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
A system will bring increasing snow chances this evening through
Friday morning especially in northwest MN though showers could
impact most of the region. Where these track southerly winds may
result in brief LIFR conditions though confidence in impacts
isn't as high. A strong cold front then brings a period of strong
west- northwest winds Friday morning and with that the increasing
potential for LIFR or VLIFR conditions due to blowing snow.
Convective snow showers may redevelop behind this front further
complicating flight conditions during the day Friday.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Friday afternoon
for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.
Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for NDZ006>008-014>016-
024-026>030-054.
MN...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Friday afternoon
for MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040.
Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for MNZ001-002-004-005-
007-008-013>015.
UPDATE...DJR
SHORT TERM...Lynch
LONG TERM...Godon
AVIATION...DJRHazardous weather outlook, Feb 17, 5:46 AM CST, 7 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 546 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-181200- Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami- South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena- 546 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Snow and blowing snow are expected tonight, with visibility restrictions possible after sunset. Snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible, with the heaviest amounts expected around the Lake of the Woods region. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Northwest winds look to remain gusty into Friday evening, so continued restricted visibilities from blowing and drifting snow remain possible. Winds could gust up to 45 mph Friday. Another shot of light snow is forecast for Saturday into Sunday, but mainly for areas along and north of highway 2. Finally, more snow is possible Sunday night through Tuesday. This system looks to mainly affect areas along and south of highway 2. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016- 024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-181200- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall- Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey- Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes- Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh- 546 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Light snow and blowing snow are possible this evening through the overnight hours. Restrictions to visibility are expected as winds gust upwards of 40 mph tonight. Look for generally light snowfall amounts ranging from a dusting to 2 inches. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Northwest winds look to remain gusty into Friday evening, so continued restricted visibilities from blowing and drifting snow remain possible. Winds could gust up to 60 mph Friday. Another shot of light snow is forecast for Saturday into Sunday, but mainly for areas along and north of highway 2. Finally, more snow is possible Sunday night through Tuesday. This system looks to mainly affect areas along and south of highway 2. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 1:10 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | FGF | Becker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Grant, Hubbard, Lake of the Woods and 2 more | 22 hr |
Nearby
Blizzard Warnings in Minnesota, 2022Blizzard Warnings in North Dakota, 2022Every blizzard warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.