Alert archive / Minnesota / Blizzard Warnings in 2022

Blizzard Warning 7, NWS Grand Forks, ND

February 17, 202218 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this blizzard warning at Feb 17, 2022, 1:10 PM CST for 18 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Feb 18, 2022, 3:00 AM CST. It was in force for 15 hr. 24 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 17, 2022, 1:10 PM CST (19:10 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 18, 2022, 3:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 18, 2022, 6:00 PM CST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
All 35 counties

Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 18, 5:37 AM CSTSNOW 4Karlstad, MNIN RURAL AREAS OF KARLSTAD REPORTS OF 4 IN BY THE PUBLIC.
Feb 18, 6:11 AM CSTSNOW 2.5Baudette, MNESTIMATED SNOW OF 2-3 INCHES IN BAUDETTE BY MNDOT AND STILL SNOWING.
Feb 18, 6:54 AM CSTSNOW 3.5Cavalier, NDPUBLIC REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF 3-4 INCHES IN CAVALIER ND.
Feb 18, 8:00 AM CSTBLIZZARD8 Ne Brantford, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH REPORTED FOR OVER 3 HOURS FROM THE MCHENRY NDAWN STARTING AT 0435.
Feb 18, 8:54 AM CSTBLIZZARDLangdon, NDBLIZZARD CONDITIONS SINCE 1135Z AND CONTINUING.
Feb 18, 9:04 AM CSTBLIZZARDPark River, NDCOOP OBSERVER REPORTS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. VIS BEEN BELOW 100 YARDS.
Feb 18, 9:10 AM CSTBLIZZARD5 N Brinsmade, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR HIGHER THAN 35MPH OBSERVED FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS ON THE NILES NDAWN FROM 0345 TO 0910. DATA COURTESY OF NDAWN.
Feb 18, 9:49 AM CSTBLIZZARDCando, NDAIRPORT HAS REPORTED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WELL OVER 3 HOURS AND ARE STILL ONGOING.
Feb 18, 10:00 AM CSTBLIZZARD2 W Michigan, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE MICHIGAN NDAWN, FROM 0645 TO 1500. COURTESY OF NDAWN.
Feb 18, 10:05 AM CSTBLIZZARDDevils Lake, NDAIRPORT HAS REPORTED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS, AND WEBCAMS SHOW <1/4 MILE VISIBILTIY. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING.
Feb 18, 10:36 AM CSTBLIZZARDGrand Forks, NDBLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS AND STILL ONGOING.
Feb 18, 10:39 AM CSTBLIZZARDCavalier, NDBLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR OVER 3 HOURS AND CONTINUING.
Feb 18, 11:00 AM CSTBLIZZARD2 E Dazey, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE DAZEY NDAWN, FROM 0740 TO 1645. COURTESY OF NDAWN.
Feb 18, 11:10 AM CSTBLIZZARD1 Nnw Finley, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE FINLEY NDAWN, FROM 0810 TO 1615. COURTESY OF NDAWN.
Feb 18, 11:25 AM CSTBLIZZARD5 N Leonard, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE LEONARD NDAWN, FROM 0825 TO 1540. COURTESY OF NDAWN.
Feb 18, 11:33 AM CSTBLIZZARD2 N Lancaster, MNWEBCAMS SHOW PERSISTANT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR WELL OVER 3 HOURS. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS CONTINUING.
Feb 18, 11:43 AM CSTBLIZZARDCrookston, MNBLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER 3 HOURS AND CONTINUING.
Feb 18, 11:49 AM CSTBLIZZARDThief River Falls, MNBLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR OVER THREE HOURS AND IS ONGOING.
Feb 18, 11:52 AM CSTBLIZZARDCooperstown, NDBLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR OVER THREE HOURS, AND STILL ONGOING.
Feb 18, 12:45 PM CSTBLIZZARD2 N Maddock, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EXCEEDING OR EQUAL TO 35MPH OBSERVED FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS ON THE MADDOCK NDAWN FROM 0430 TO 1545. COURTESY OF NDAWN.
Feb 18, 12:55 PM CSTBLIZZARDBarnesville, MNBLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE BORDER IN RURAL CLAY AND WILKIN COUNTIES. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING.
Feb 18, 12:56 PM CSTBLIZZARD3 S Barnesville, MNBLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE BORDER IN RURAL CLAY AND WILKIN COUNTIES. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING.
Feb 18, 1:10 PM CSTBLIZZARDHalstad, MNWEBCAMS SHOWING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THE PAST THREE HOURS AND CONTINUING.
Feb 18, 2:30 PM CSTBLIZZARD3 E Kelso, NDFREQUENT GUSTS EQUAL TO OR EXCEEDING 35MPH FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS REPORTED FROM THE HILLSBORO NDAWN, FROM 1020 TO 1430. COURTESY OF NDAWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 290 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2022-02-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2022-02-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -115 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
616 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

317 
WWUS43 KFGF 171910
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ008-016-027>030-038-
039-049-052-053-190000-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.220218T0600Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T1200Z-220219T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-
Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, 
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cavalier, Walhalla, 
Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton
110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 
  30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as 
  little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-054-190000-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.220218T0600Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T0900Z-220219T0000Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, 
Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong
  winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 
  below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as
  30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ040-190300-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.220218T0600Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/
Grant-
Including the cities of Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, 
and Barrett
110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blowing snow with near Blizzard conditions expected. 
  Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting as 
  high as 50 mph.

* WHERE...Grant County.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty 
  winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as 
  low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as
  little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-190300-
/O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-
Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, 
Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, 
Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, 
Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, 
Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, and Menahga
110 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and Blowing Snow expected. Total snow accumulations
  of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could
  bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25
  below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as
  30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
793 
WWUS43 KFGF 180246
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-054-190000-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T0900Z-220219T0000Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, 
Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 
  30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as 
  little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ008-016-027>030-038-
039-049-052-053-190000-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T1200Z-220219T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-
Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, 
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cavalier, Walhalla, 
Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton
846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations 
  of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 
  30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as 
  little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300-
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, 
Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, 
Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, 
Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, 
Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, 
Ashby, Herman, and Barrett
846 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM
CST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and Blowing Snow expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25 
  below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little 
  as 30 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
255 
WWUS43 KFGF 180956
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-054-190000-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, 
Aneta, Tolna, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of 
  up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. Visibility of
  1/4 mile or less with near zero visibility at times.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce
  visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning
  commute and possibly the evening commute. Strong winds could
  cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ008-016-027>030-038-
039-049-052-053-190000-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.220218T1200Z-220219T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-
Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, 
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cavalier, Walhalla, 
Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, and Wahpeton
356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations up
  to 1 inch for most areas with 2 inches possible near Lake of 
  the Woods. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. Visibility of 1/4 
  mile or less with near zero visibility at times.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce
  visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning
  commute and possibly the evening commute. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage. The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30
  below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little 
  as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300-
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.220218T1500Z-220219T0300Z/
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, 
Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, 
Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, 
Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, 
Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, 
Ashby, Herman, and Barrett
356 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS
MORNING TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one 
  inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. Visibility of
  1/4 mile or less with near zero visibility possible at times.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening 
  commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold 
  wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on 
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
744 
WWUS43 KFGF 181650
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1050 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, 
Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, 
Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, 
Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, 
Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, 
Ashby, Herman, and Barrett
1050 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TO 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, widespread whiteout conditions.
  Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Winds gusting
  as high as 55 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory this evening,
  blowing snow.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, until 6 PM CST this evening. 
  For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 6 PM to 9 PM CST this 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce
  visibility through this afternoon, with gradually improving
  conditions this evening. Strong winds could cause tree damage. 
  The cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-190000-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, 
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cando, Langdon, 
Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, 
Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, 
Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
1050 AM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of 
  up to one inch. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce
  visibility. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind
  chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed
  skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
909 
WWUS43 KFGF 182153
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
353 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-190300-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, 
Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, 
Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, 
Park Rapids, Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, 
Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, 
Ashby, Herman, and Barrett
353 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Blizzard Warning, blizzard conditions. Winds
  gusting as high as 45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  blowing snow expected. 

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...For the Blizzard Warning, until 6 PM CST this evening. 
  For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing
  snow significantly reducing visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the evening commute. The dangerously 
  cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero could cause frostbite 
  on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-190000-
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, 
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Cando, Langdon, 
Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, 
Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, 
Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
353 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow significantly reducing 
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening 
  commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The dangerously 
  cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite 
  on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
038 
WWUS43 KFGF 182349
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

MNZ006-191800-
/O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1800Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
Lake Of The Woods-
Including the city of Baudette
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, 
  very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 40 below 
  zero.

* WHERE...Lake Of The Woods County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this 
  evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. 

Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-040-191500-
/O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1500Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater-
Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Bagley, 
Clearbrook, Bemidji, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, 
Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, 
Wolf Lake, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, 
Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman,
and Barrett
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, 
  very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 35 below 
  zero.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this 
  evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. 

Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-191800-
/O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, 
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Detroit Lakes, and Breckenridge
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, 
  very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 40 below 
  zero.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this 
  evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The dangerously cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. 

Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ030-191500-
/O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KFGF.WW.Y.0020.220219T0000Z-220219T0300Z/
West Otter Tail-
Including the city of Fergus Falls
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, blowing snow expected. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. For the Wind Chill Advisory, 
  very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below 
  zero.

* WHERE...West Otter Tail County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 9 PM CST this 
  evening. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on 
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling, especially in open areas. 

Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

NDZ006-014-015-024-028-038-049-052-191500-
/O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1500Z/
Towner-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Griggs-Barnes-Ransom-Sargent-
Including the cities of Cando, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, 
Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, New Rockford, Cooperstown, Valley City,
Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, and Rutland
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  35 below zero.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. 

&&

$$

NDZ007-008-016-026-027-029-030-039-053-054-191800-
/O.EXP.KFGF.BZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220219T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WC.Y.0018.220219T0000Z-220219T1800Z/
Cavalier-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Nelson-Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-
Cass-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, 
Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Lakota, Mcville,
Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Fargo, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
549 PM CST Fri Feb 18 2022

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  40 below zero.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while outside. Wear appropriate winter clothing. 

&&

$$

dtr

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Feb 17, 11:36 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 11:36 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1136 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1037 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

Wind chills have improved in our south hand east and we allowed
the advisory to expire as scheduled. Values -20 to -35 are still
being reported in the north, so I kept that advisory ongoing for
now. Expect further improvement as moderation in southerly flow
occurs.

UPDATE Issued at 653 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

Clear skies prevail this morning with cold temperatures across the
region. High temperatures will only reach the single digits
either side of zero. Look for increasing cloud cover through the
afternoon as our clipper approaches. The forecast remains on track
this morning, with no significant updates needed at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 347 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

IMPACT STATEMENT:
Impacts are possible starting late this evening, then persist
through much of the day Friday. Snow and blowing snow are possible
across large portions of the area, with generally light snow
accumulations. The best chances for higher snowfall totals will be
in the Lake of the Woods region, where there is a 50 to 70 percent
chance of 2 or more inches of snow. Elsewhere, look for a dusting
up to 2 inches. Winds will be strongest from the Red River Valley
westward, with blizzard conditions possible.

CONSIDERATIONS:
The condition of the snow pack varies considerably across the
area, with many locations seeing a well-established crust. It is
worth noting that there is quite a bit of etching and pitting
across some of the crusted snow pack from previous blowing snow
events. This could ultimately weaken the crust and allow access to
more blowable snow.

DISCUSSION:
Look for deteriorating conditions in response to a clipper that
will traverse the region starting early this evening. The impacts
spanning the evening and early overnight hours include generally
light snow and gusty southerly winds. Reduced visibility is
possible across portions of the region, especially for locations
within the Red River Valley and points westward. As the clipper
pushes eastward, winds will shift to the west, then northwest
along rather strong pressure rises. Winds across much of eastern
North Dakota have the potential to gust upwards of 60 mph,
especially just west of the Red River Valley. In addition,
convective snow showers are possible on the trailing side of this
system, and as such, periods of brief heavy snow and gusty winds
(snow squalls) will be possible.

Winds begin to diminish late Friday afternoon, which will bring down
the potential for blowing snow. Temperatures will fall sharply from
the afternoon highs in the teens and 20s, down into the teens below
zero.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 347 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

At this point, it appears there are not any big snow producing
systems in this portion of the forecast, but there should be a few
impactful events. Of course, the tail end of the potential blizzard
event Friday may carry over some wind/blowing snow impacts into
Friday night. Snowfall should occur over the northern half of the FA
Saturday into Sunday and then across the southern half of the FA
Sunday night through Tuesday.

The brunt of the gusty northwest winds should occur across the FA
on Friday. However, some impacts are likely to continue into Friday
night as well. 925mb wind speeds hold pretty strong into the
evening, before they drop more rapidly during the overnight period.
Also, if convective streamers develop during the day, lofted snow
usually continues into the evening as well. So would think there is
a potential of blowing snow and reduced visibilities continuing into
Friday evening as well. How bad remains to be seen.

As the 500mb flow transitions a bit from northwest toward zonal
Saturday into Sunday, another potential clipper system looks to
impact the FA. The exact track of this system is still uncertain,
with some solutions showing that track across southern Canada, while
others are a little further south (into this FA). Despite the
differences in track, there seems to be a better consensus in
depicting the best chances for snow to be across the northern half
of the FA. The NBM4.1 shows a greater than 60 percent probability
for snowfall amounts greater than 0.1 inches north of highway 2, and
about 60 to 80 percent probabilities for greater than 1 inch along
the Canadian border in northwest Minnesota. So this is not looking
like much of a snow producer. However, south winds could be fairly
gusty on Saturday ahead of the low, with gusty northwest winds late
Saturday night into Sunday behind it. Depending on how much blowable
snow is on the ground during this period, exactly how much falls,
and how strong the cold advection is will determine the exact
impacts from this system.

Finally, for the Sunday night to Tuesday system. This looks to be
the period when split flow develops. As a trough digs across the
southwest United States, southwest flow develops across the Plains.
The main surface low should stay well south of the FA, but a swath
of snow looks to develop and hold across the southern half of the
FA. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty with this system, so
would not be surprised to see some shifts yet. The NBM4.1 shows
about a 60 percent probability of seeing snowfall amounts greater
than 1 inch along the North and South Dakota border, and about a 35
percent probability for seeing amounts greater than 4 inches. Do not
see a huge wind potential with this system at this point. However
north winds could be gusty at times, leading to some blowing and
drifting snow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

A system will bring increasing snow chances this evening through
Friday morning especially in northwest MN though showers could
impact most of the region. Where these track southerly winds may
result in brief LIFR conditions though confidence in impacts
isn't as high. A strong cold front then brings a period of strong
west- northwest winds Friday morning and with that the increasing
potential for LIFR or VLIFR conditions due to blowing snow.
Convective snow showers may redevelop behind this front further
complicating flight conditions during the day Friday.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Friday afternoon
     for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.

     Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for NDZ006>008-014>016-
     024-026>030-054.

MN...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Friday afternoon
     for MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040.

     Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for MNZ001-002-004-005-
     007-008-013>015.

UPDATE...DJR
SHORT TERM...Lynch
LONG TERM...Godon
AVIATION...DJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 17, 5:46 AM CST, 7 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
546 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

MNZ006-009-016-017-023-024-028-031-032-181200-
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-
546 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of west central
and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow and blowing snow are expected tonight, with visibility
restrictions possible after sunset. Snowfall accumulations of 1 to
3 inches are possible, with the heaviest amounts expected around
the Lake of the Woods region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Northwest winds look to remain gusty into Friday evening, so
continued restricted visibilities from blowing and drifting snow
remain possible. Winds could gust up to 45 mph Friday. Another
shot of light snow is forecast for Saturday into Sunday, but
mainly for areas along and north of highway 2. Finally, more snow
is possible Sunday night through Tuesday. This system looks to
mainly affect areas along and south of highway 2.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-
024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-181200-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
546 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Light snow and blowing snow are possible this evening through the
overnight hours. Restrictions to visibility are expected as winds
gust upwards of 40 mph tonight. Look for generally light snowfall
amounts ranging from a dusting to 2 inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Northwest winds look to remain gusty into Friday evening, so
continued restricted visibilities from blowing and drifting snow
remain possible. Winds could gust up to 60 mph Friday. Another
shot of light snow is forecast for Saturday into Sunday, but
mainly for areas along and north of highway 2. Finally, more snow
is possible Sunday night through Tuesday. This system looks to
mainly affect areas along and south of highway 2.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 17, 1:10 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGFBecker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Grant, Hubbard, Lake of the Woods and 2 more22 hr

Nearby

Blizzard Warnings in Minnesota, 2022Blizzard Warnings in North Dakota, 2022Every blizzard warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.