Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 201, NWS Tucson, AZ

October 5, 2021Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 5, 2021, 12:54 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2021, 12:54 PM MST (19:54 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2021, 1:30 PM MST
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 5, 1:12 PM MSTHAIL 0.716 Ssw Willcox, AZWINDS TO 50 MPH AND DIME SIZED HAIL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-10-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-10-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-376 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2029 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

964 
WUUS55 KTWC 051954
SVRTWC
AZC003-052030-
/O.NEW.KTWC.SV.W.0201.211005T1954Z-211005T2030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1254 PM MST Tue Oct 5 2021

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Cochise County in southeastern Arizona...

* Until 130 PM MST.

* At 1254 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dragoon, or
  18 miles southwest of Willcox, moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Dragoon and Cochise. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 11002 3196 11010 3219 10998 3214 10977
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 221DEG 16KT 3202 10999 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$
1 follow-up statement
174 
WWUS55 KTWC 052019
SVSTWC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
119 PM MST Tue Oct 5 2021

AZC003-052030-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0201.000000T0000Z-211005T2030Z/
Cochise-
119 PM MST Tue Oct 5 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM MST
FOR CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY...

At 118 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles south of
Willcox, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Dragoon and Cochise. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 11002 3196 11010 3219 10998 3214 10977
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 206DEG 19KT 3213 10989 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 12:41 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCCochise49 min
Oct 5, 1:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise48 min
Oct 5, 1:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise, Graham47 min
Oct 5, 2:48 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise42 min
Oct 5, 3:23 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise52 min
Oct 5, 3:32 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCGraham58 min
Oct 5, 3:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima52 min
Oct 5, 4:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCGraham30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.