Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 475

August 30, 202112 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 7 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 30, 2021, 5:48 AM CDT for 12 counties in Alabama; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; 7 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2021, 5:48 AM CDT (10:48 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 22 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 6:05 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBStone4 hr
Aug 30, 6:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone5 hr
Aug 30, 6:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia5 hr
Aug 30, 7:28 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson22 min
Aug 30, 7:37 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison23 min
Aug 30, 8:02 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson28 min
Aug 30, 8:14 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBSanta Rosa46 min
Aug 30, 8:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBConecuh, Escambia, Monroe4 hr
Aug 30, 8:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBEscambia4 hr
Aug 30, 8:40 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBConecuh, Escambia50 min
Aug 30, 9:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBClarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Monroe, Wilcox4 hr
Aug 30, 9:12 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBConecuh, Escambia4 hr
Aug 30, 9:30 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson60 min
Aug 30, 10:26 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile6 hr
Aug 30, 10:55 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBMobile, Washington25 min
Aug 30, 11:17 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson28 min
Aug 30, 11:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBClarke, Washington5 hr
Aug 30, 11:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington5 hr
Aug 30, 12:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBEscambia75 min
Aug 30, 12:23 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMOBBaldwin, Mobile21 min
Aug 30, 12:30 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington45 min
Aug 30, 12:33 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyConsiderable damage threatLIXHarrison, Jackson3 hr
Aug 30, 1:08 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMOBClarke52 min
Aug 30, 1:39 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMOBClarke, Wilcox39 min
Aug 30, 2:32 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBWayne21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 25 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
25 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

418 
WWUS20 KWNS 301045
SEL5  
SPC WW 301045
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-302100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 475
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 AM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Alabama
  The western Florida Panhandle
  Extreme southeast Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 545 AM until
  400 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Bands of convection with embedded supercells will persist
through the day and spread slowly eastward into Alabama and the
western Florida Panhandle, to the east of weakening Tropical Storm
Ida in Mississippi.  The stronger/more persistent supercells may
produce a couple of tornadoes through mid afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles north of Gulfport MS to 20
miles north northeast of Crestview FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 474. Watch number 474 will not be in effect after
545 AM CDT. 

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 19040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 2:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile, Monroe and 1 more2 hr
Aug 30, 12:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Chilton, Colbert, Fayette, Franklin, Jefferson and 8 more2 hr
Aug 30, 12:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Chilton, Colbert, Fayette, Franklin, Jefferson and 8 more4 hr
Aug 30, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw and 17 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2021Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Florida, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.