Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 349

July 8, 202129 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 8, 2021, 8:35 AM EDT for 29 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2021, 8:35 AM EDT (12:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2021, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 29 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Greene County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 8:57 AM EDTTornado WarningILMBrunswick, Columbus10 min
Jul 8, 9:10 AM EDTTornado WarningILMBrunswick18 min
Jul 8, 11:17 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHWayne28 min
Jul 8, 11:54 AM EDTTornado WarningRAHFranklin, Nash36 min
Jul 8, 12:10 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXGreene, Pitt35 min
Jul 8, 12:31 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedRAHEdgecombe, Wilson15 min
Jul 8, 12:33 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXGreene, Pitt27 min
Jul 8, 2:44 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXHyde31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2167 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 70 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2167 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
669 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

614 
WWUS20 KWNS 081233
SEL9  
SPC WW 081233
NCZ000-CWZ000-081900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern North Carolina
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 835 AM until
  300 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...A diurnal increase in tornado potential associated with
Tropical Storm Elsa is possible as it progresses northeast across NC
into mid-afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 65 miles east northeast of Rocky Mount
NC to 25 miles south southwest of Wilmington NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 348...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 17030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson2 hr
Jul 8, 2:01 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender7 hr
Jul 8, 7:09 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Duplin and 11 more2 hr
Jul 8, 12:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 23 more2 hr
Jul 8, 1:50 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 11 more11 hr
Jul 8, 4:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford, Pasquotank and 2 more2 hr
Jul 8, 6:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 8 more117 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.