Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 125

May 2, 202111 counties in Alabama; 40 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 2, 2021, 4:46 PM CDT for 11 counties in Alabama; 40 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2021, 4:46 PM CDT (21:46 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Bibb County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 4:51 PM CDTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Warren39 min
May 2, 4:55 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBMXGreene, Pickens, Tuscaloosa52 min
May 2, 5:30 PM CDTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo60 min
May 2, 5:56 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANCarroll, Holmes64 min
May 2, 6:03 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Jefferson57 min
May 2, 6:12 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANYazoo42 min
May 2, 6:39 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANCarroll, Montgomery66 min
May 2, 6:45 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANAttala, Holmes60 min
May 2, 6:50 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHolmes55 min
May 2, 6:52 PM CDTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin53 min
May 2, 7:26 PM CDTTornado WarningJANGrenada, Montgomery38 min
May 2, 7:37 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANAttala, Choctaw, Montgomery53 min
May 2, 7:39 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANHinds, Rankin49 min
May 2, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw48 min
May 2, 7:44 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANAttala, Leake, Madison61 min
May 2, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Webster40 min
May 2, 8:29 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Pontotoc46 min
May 2, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGChickasaw, Lee, Pontotoc47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2021-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2021-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1640 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

717 
WWUS20 KWNS 022144
SEL5  
SPC WW 022144
ALZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-030300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 125
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Sun May 2 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  West central Alabama
  Extreme southeastern Arkansas
  Extreme northeastern Louisiana
  Parts of central and northern Mississippi

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered low-topped supercells are expected in a loose
arc/cluster from northeastern Louisiana into central and parts of
northern Mississippi this evening, and a somewhat separate zone of
low-topped supercells may persist for a few more hours along a
surface warm front across west central Alabama.  The stronger storms
may produce a couple of tornadoes, along with isolated damaging
winds and marginally severe hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles south southwest of
Greenville MS to 20 miles southeast of Tuscaloosa AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 124...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 4:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Greene, Hale, Lamar, Marengo, Pickens and 3 more64 min
May 2, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Hinds and 16 more117 min
May 2, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay and 14 more54 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.