Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352

July 8, 20215 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 8, 2021, 5:32 PM MDT for 5 counties in Montana. It was in force for 47 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2021, 5:32 PM MDT (23:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2021, 6:19 PM MDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Dawson County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Wibaux County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 9 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 102 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 154 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
102 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-411 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1738 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:15 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaniels, Dawson, McCone, Phillips, Prairie, Richland and 2 more60 min
Jul 8, 2:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaniels, Dawson, Fallon, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt and 3 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.