Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 2
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 6, 2021, 12:59 PM CST for 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 6, 2021, 12:59 PM CST (18:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 6, 2021, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 30 counties
Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX
The radar
The Houston radar (KHGX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 1:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Madison | 46 min |
| Jan 6, 1:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Burleson | 37 min |
| Jan 6, 1:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Lee | 17 min |
| Jan 6, 1:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Madison | 24 min |
| Jan 6, 1:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson | 33 min |
| Jan 6, 2:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Madison | 31 min |
| Jan 6, 2:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson, Grimes | 37 min |
| Jan 6, 2:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Trinity | 30 min |
| Jan 6, 2:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Grimes, Montgomery, Walker | 35 min |
| Jan 6, 3:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Trinity | 36 min |
| Jan 6, 3:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Austin, Grimes, Harris, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto and 3 more | 42 min |
| Jan 6, 3:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Liberty, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Walker | 47 min |
| Jan 6, 4:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Fort Bend, Wharton | 40 min |
| Jan 6, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Fort Bend | 34 min |
| Jan 6, 5:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Tyler | 40 min |
| Jan 6, 5:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Fort Bend, Harris | 22 min |
| Jan 6, 5:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Fort Bend, Harris | 37 min |
| Jan 6, 6:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris | 44 min |
| Jan 6, 6:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Galveston | 20 min |
| Jan 6, 6:41 PM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Chambers, Galveston | 19 min |
| Jan 6, 6:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Jefferson | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 188 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -148 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 717 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 150 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
The text
As transmitted.
882 WWUS20 KWNS 061855 SEL2 SPC WW 061855 TXZ000-CWZ000-070100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 100 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 100 PM until 700 PM CST. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming along a cold front surging into southeast Texas. These storms will pose a risk of locally damaging winds, large hail, and a tornado or two through the afternoon. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles either side of a line from 30 miles northwest of Palacios TX to 50 miles east southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 11:56 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Falls, Fayette, Grimes and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 6, 5:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston | 96 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.