Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 2

January 6, 202130 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 6, 2021, 12:59 PM CST for 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 6, 2021, 12:59 PM CST (18:59 UTC)
Expired
Jan 6, 2021, 8:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 1:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Madison46 min
Jan 6, 1:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBurleson37 min
Jan 6, 1:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLee17 min
Jan 6, 1:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Madison24 min
Jan 6, 1:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson33 min
Jan 6, 2:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Madison31 min
Jan 6, 2:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson, Grimes37 min
Jan 6, 2:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Trinity30 min
Jan 6, 2:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXGrimes, Montgomery, Walker35 min
Jan 6, 3:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Trinity36 min
Jan 6, 3:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Grimes, Harris, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto and 3 more42 min
Jan 6, 3:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Walker47 min
Jan 6, 4:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXFort Bend, Wharton40 min
Jan 6, 4:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend34 min
Jan 6, 5:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHTyler40 min
Jan 6, 5:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Harris22 min
Jan 6, 5:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Harris37 min
Jan 6, 6:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris44 min
Jan 6, 6:28 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXGalveston20 min
Jan 6, 6:41 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXChambers, Galveston19 min
Jan 6, 6:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJefferson36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-01-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 188 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-01-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 157 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
188 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-148 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
717 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

882 
WWUS20 KWNS 061855
SEL2  
SPC WW 061855
TXZ000-CWZ000-070100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 100 PM
  until 700 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming along a cold front surging into
southeast Texas.  These storms will pose a risk of locally damaging
winds, large hail, and a tornado or two through the afternoon.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles either side of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Palacios TX to 50 miles east southeast of Huntsville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 11:56 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Falls, Fayette, Grimes and 8 more2 hr
Jan 6, 5:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.