Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 549

May 6, 20215 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 6, 2021, 10:05 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2021, 10:05 AM CDT (15:05 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2021, 11:30 AM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Outlook upgrade
All 60 counties

Clay County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -90 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1719 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

679 
ACUS11 KWNS 061505
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061505 
TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-061630-

Mesoscale Discussion 0549
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 AM CDT Thu May 06 2021

Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-South

Concerning...Outlook upgrade 

Valid 061505Z - 061630Z

SUMMARY...A Slight Risk will be added in the forthcoming 1630Z D1
Convective Outlook.

DISCUSSION...Potential for multiple lower-topped supercells capable
of large hail appears to have increased across a portion of the
Mid-South region this afternoon. These may linearly organize with an
increased threat for damaging winds as well. Please see the 1630Z D1
Convective Outlook update for further details.

..Grams.. 05/06/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   38388898 38508825 37598761 36538760 35048873 35109029
            35849061 36499043 38388898

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 12:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Randolph118 min
May 6, 12:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 4 more5 hr
May 6, 2:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 1 more90 min
May 6, 9:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 7 more83 min
May 6, 1:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, Coles, Cumberland, DeWitt, Douglas and 10 more2 hr
May 6, 5:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Coffee, Davidson, Franklin and 18 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.