Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 269

March 26, 202117 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 26, 2021, 12:34 AM EDT for 17 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 26, 2021, 12:34 AM EDT (04:34 UTC)
Expired
Mar 26, 2021, 1:30 AM EDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 52

Counties Barrow County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Madison County, GA, Newton County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Walton County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2021-03-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 344 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2021-03-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 328 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
344 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1291 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
476 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
6.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

933 
ACUS11 KWNS 260435
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260434 
GAZ000-260530-

Mesoscale Discussion 0269
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1134 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

Areas affected...northern GA including the Atlanta metro

Concerning...Tornado Watch 52...

Valid 260434Z - 260530Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 52 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue to focus in the southern
suburbs of Atlanta through 130am EDT.  A watch extension-in-time
(EXT) or an additional tornado watch will need to be considered
before tornado watch #52 expiration time at 2am EDT.

DISCUSSION...Surface observations have indicated over the past 1-2
hours a slow but steady rise in dewpoints to around 66 deg F near
Atlanta and areas south and east.  More marginal low-level moisture
is indicated farther north in northern GA where surface conditions
are slightly cooler and drier with dewpoints in the lower 60s.  The
slightly warmer/richer low-level moisture appears to be a delimiting
factor for increased severe potential---namely tornado risk late
this evening.  KFFC VAD continues to show an impressive low-level
wind profile with a large hodograph (500 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH) coupled
with over 1000 J/kg MLCAPE according to model forecast soundings. 
The tornado risk may continue to the eastern bound of the tornado
watch #52 towards 2 am EDT.  Depending on convective trends, a
decision for an additional shorter-than-typical tornado watch or
extension in time for the existing watch may become necessary.

..Smith.. 03/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...

LAT...LON   33368486 34428453 34158309 33298408 33368486

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 11:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoweta, Fayette, Heard64 min
Mar 26, 1:55 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBanks, Barrow, Butts, Clarke, Clayton, Coweta and 31 more3 hr
Mar 26, 4:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarrow, Clarke, Clayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Elbert and 11 more54 min
Mar 26, 1:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Bryan, Bulloch, Burke and 44 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.