Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1011

June 19, 20214 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 19, 2021, 2:13 PM EDT for 4 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2021, 2:13 PM EDT (18:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 285

Counties Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Early County, GA, Randolph County, GA

The radar

The Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1367 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1367 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
747 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
315 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

632 
ACUS11 KWNS 191813
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191813 
GAZ000-ALZ000-191915-

Mesoscale Discussion 1011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0113 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

Areas affected...southwest GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 285...

Valid 191813Z - 191915Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 285 continues.

SUMMARY...Several supercells are developing in the warm sector
across southwest GA.  The risk for a couple of tornadoes is
increasing with potential perhaps peaking between now (210pm EDT)
and 4pm EDT.

DISCUSSION...Radar/satellite imagery indicates the development of
several supercells in a destabilizing warm sector near the southeast
AL/southwest GA border early this afternoon.  KEOX VAD data
indicates around 200 m2/s2 0-1km SRH per observed storm motions.  A
maritime warm front is draped across southwest GA with mid 80s deg F
temperatures and southerly flow located to its south, whereas upper
70s and backed east-southeasterly surface flow is located to the
north of the boundary.  As storms interact with the vorticity-rich
zone along the maritime warm front, it seems tornado potential with
the supercells will be greatest in the vicinity of the boundary. 
Additional storms are developing to the south of a storm with a
history of a tornado, and these storms will likely move north into
the warm frontal zone and potentially pose a tornado risk.

..Smith.. 06/19/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31758497 31218524 31108497 31688445 31948456 31758497

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 10:33 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Early, Harris, Macon and 13 more9 hr
Jun 19, 4:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBen Hill, Clay, Coffee, Crisp, Dodge, Dooly and 15 more87 min
Jun 19, 7:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Calhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Decatur, Dougherty and 17 more83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.