Flash Flood Watch 7, NWS Springfield, MO

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

324 
WGUS63 KSGF 152047
FFASGF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
347 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-077-088-093-101-160900-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0007.210715T2100Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Vernon-Barton-Jasper-Newton-McDonald-
Including the cities of Carthage, Stippville, Chicopee, Goodman,
Noel, Lowell, Columbus, Fort Scott, Neutral, South West City,
Pineville, Kenoma, Rocky Comfort, Riverton, Neosho, Lamar,
Joplin, Baxter Springs, Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Anderson, Pawnee
Station, Nevada, and Sherwin
347 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY 
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Kansas, including the following areas, 
  Bourbon, Cherokee and Crawford. Portions of Missouri, including 
  the following areas, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton and Vernon.

* Through Friday afternoon.

* Periods of thunderstorms through early Friday will have the 
  potential to produce a quick one to two inches of rain with 
  locally higher amounts. High rainfall rates will support flash 
  flood potential in the watch area.

* Small creeks, poor drainage areas,  and low water crossings will 
  be especially prone to flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

DSA

837 
WGUS63 KSGF 160224
FFASGF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
924 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-077-088-093-101-161030-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Vernon-Barton-Jasper-Newton-McDonald-
Including the cities of Carthage, Stippville, Chicopee, Goodman,
Noel, Lowell, Columbus, Fort Scott, Neutral, South West City,
Pineville, Kenoma, Rocky Comfort, Riverton, Neosho, Lamar,
Joplin, Baxter Springs, Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Anderson, Pawnee
Station, Nevada, and Sherwin
924 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Kansas, including the following areas, 
  Bourbon, Cherokee and Crawford. Portions of Missouri, including 
  the following areas, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton and Vernon.

* Through Friday afternoon.

* Clusters of thunderstorms extending across southern Kansas will 
  move eastward through southeast Kansas into western Missouri 
  overnight.  Pockets of two to four inches of rain will be 
  possible...leading to flash flooding.

* Small creeks, poor drainage areas,  and low water crossings will 
  be especially prone to flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

SR

462 
WGUS63 KSGF 160745
FFASGF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
245 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

MOZ055>058-067>071-078>083-089>092-094>096-102>105-161545-
/O.EXA.KSGF.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-
Phelps-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-Laclede-Texas-Dent-Dade-Greene-Webster-
Wright-Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Barry-Stone-Taney-Ozark-
Including the cities of Crockerville, Madry, Bolivar, Lake Ozark,
Squires, Cole Camp, March, Decaturville, Plato, Olive, Crane,
Vanzant, Windyville, Rome, Laurie, Stockton, Greenfield,
Pittsburg, Silver Dollar City, Waynesville, Elsey, Eldon,
Branson, Darien, Jadwin, Roby, Duncan, Northview, Whitakerville,
Monett, Mora, Laquey, Aurora, Lynchburg, Wasola, Northwye, Howes,
Forsyth, Hollister, Lockwood, Caplinger Mills, Christian Center,
Kimberling City, Hermitage, Rolla, Stover, Dawson, Filley,
Quincy, Springfield, Vichy, Village of Four Seasons, Cedar
Springs, Tiffin, Lake Spring, Bangert, Johnson City, Seymour,
Buffalo, Mountain Grove, Ozark, Nixa, Mansfield, Roach,
Camdenton, Charity, Lincoln, Weaubleau, Indian Point, Rocky
Mount, Goodhope, Edgewater Beach, Kirbyville, Lebanon, Graff,
Salem, Plad, Ava, Foose, Aurora Springs, Cassville, Gladden,
Versailles, Ozark Beach, Bendavis, Marshfield, Appleton City,
Powersite, Meinert, Marionville, Dogwood, Fort Leonard Wood,
Mount Vernon, El Dorado Springs, Arnica, Rogersville, Osage
Beach, Selmore, Edmonson, Huggins, Cross Timbers, Wheatland, and
Warsaw
245 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Springfield has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include Portions of central, east central, 
  south central, southwest, and west central Missouri, including the 
  following areas, in central Missouri, Benton, Camden, Hickory, 
  Maries, Miller, Morgan and Pulaski. In east central Missouri, 
  Phelps. In south central Missouri, Dent and Texas. In southwest 
  Missouri, Barry, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Douglas, Greene, 
  Laclede, Lawrence, Ozark, Polk, Stone, Taney, Webster and Wright. 
  In west central Missouri, St. Clair.

* Until 1 PM CDT this afternoon.

* Thunderstorms with very heavy rain will train across the same 
  locations through midday Friday.  One to four inches of rain with 
  localized higher amounts will be possible.

* Flash flooding will be possible, especially in low lying areas 
  near creeks, rivers and streams.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-077-088-093-101-161545-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Vernon-Barton-Jasper-Newton-McDonald-
Including the cities of Carthage, Stippville, Chicopee, Goodman,
Noel, Lowell, Columbus, Fort Scott, Neutral, South West City,
Pineville, Kenoma, Rocky Comfort, Riverton, Neosho, Lamar,
Joplin, Baxter Springs, Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Anderson, Pawnee
Station, Nevada, and Sherwin
245 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS 
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Kansas, including the following areas, 
  Bourbon, Cherokee and Crawford. Portions of Missouri, including 
  the following areas, Barton, Jasper, McDonald, Newton and Vernon.

* Until 1 PM CDT this afternoon.

* Thunderstorms with very heavy rain will train across the same 
  locations through midday Friday.  One to four inches of rain with 
  localized higher amounts will be possible.

* Flash flooding will be possible, especially in low lying areas 
  near creeks, rivers and streams.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Lindenberg

445 
WGUS63 KSGF 161632
FFASGF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1132 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...Flash Flood Watch for portions of Southwest and South Central
Missouri...

.Moderate to heavy rain will continue through 1 PM in portions of
Southwest and South Central Missouri. Runoff from this rain could
produce flooding and will bring a rise to creeks, streams and
rivers. Stay aware near low water crossings.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>081-088>095-101>103-161745-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-Lawrence-
Christian-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Including the cities of Fort Scott, Pawnee Station, Chicopee, 
Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Baxter Springs, Lowell, Riverton, Columbus, 
Neutral, Sherwin, Stippville, Warsaw, Whitakerville, Cole Camp, 
Crockerville, Mora, Edmonson, Lincoln, Versailles, Rocky Mount, 
Stover, Laurie, Aurora Springs, Eldon, Lake Ozark, Vichy, Nevada,
Tiffin, Appleton City, Johnson City, Weaubleau, Hermitage, 
Quincy, Wheatland, Cross Timbers, Osage Beach, Camdenton, 
Decaturville, Roach, Village of Four Seasons, Fort Leonard Wood, 
Laquey, Waynesville, Northwye, Rolla, Kenoma, Lamar, 
Cedar Springs, El Dorado Springs, Filley, Arnica, 
Caplinger Mills, Stockton, Bolivar, Buffalo, Charity, Foose, 
March, Plad, Windyville, Olive, Lynchburg, Lebanon, Joplin, 
Carthage, Greenfield, Lockwood, Meinert, Springfield, Marshfield,
Northview, Seymour, Rogersville, Dawson, Graff, Mountain Grove, 
Duncan, Mansfield, Neosho, Aurora, Mount Vernon, Marionville, 
Nixa, Christian Center, Ozark, Selmore, Anderson, Noel, Goodman, 
South West City, Pineville, Rocky Comfort, Monett, Madry, 
Cassville, Kimberling City, Crane, Elsey, Indian Point, 
and Silver Dollar City
1132 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Kansas and
Missouri has been cancelled. The heavy rain has ended. Creeks,
rivers and streams will be on the rise with runoff from the
previous rainfall. Remain vigilant near low water crossings. 

$$

MOZ082-083-096-104-105-161800-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Texas-Dent-Douglas-Taney-Ozark-
Including the cities of Plato, Roby, Bendavis, Huggins, 
Lake Spring, Bangert, Darien, Gladden, Howes, Jadwin, Salem, 
Vanzant, Ava, Goodhope, Rome, Squires, Dogwood, Branson, 
Hollister, Kirbyville, Edgewater Beach, Forsyth, Ozark Beach, 
Powersite, and Wasola
1132 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of south central Missouri and southwest Missouri, 
  including the following areas, in south central Missouri, Dent 
  and Texas. In southwest Missouri, Douglas, Ozark, and Taney. 

* Until 1 PM CDT this afternoon

* Thunderstorms with very heavy rain will train across the same 
  locations through midday Friday. One to four inches of rain 
  with localized higher amounts will be possible. 

* Flash flooding will be possible, especially in low lying areas 
  near creeks, rivers and streams. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

530 
WGUS63 KSGF 161801
FFASGF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
101 PM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

.Showers and thunderstorms are ending across the area. The flash
flood watch will be allowed to expire.

MOZ082-083-096-104-105-161915-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210716T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Texas-Dent-Douglas-Taney-Ozark-
Including the cities of Plato, Roby, Bendavis, Huggins, 
Lake Spring, Bangert, Darien, Gladden, Howes, Jadwin, Salem, 
Vanzant, Ava, Goodhope, Rome, Squires, Dogwood, Branson, 
Hollister, Kirbyville, Edgewater Beach, Forsyth, Ozark Beach, 
Powersite, and Wasola
101 PM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of south central Missouri and
southwest Missouri will expire at 1 PM CDT this afternoon. 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
303 AM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

Convection was occurring from southwest Kansas into northern IL,
roughly along and ahead of a surface cold front. Mild and humid
air was south of the front across the forecast area with
temperatures in the low to mid 70s and dew points from the mid to
upper 60s. An upper level trough was located over the central high
plains.

The chance of strong/severe storms and excessive rain will be the
main forecast focus.

The morning should remain mostly dry across the area, with the
upper level trough shifting eastward into eastern KS by midday and
the bulk of the convection remaining north of the CWA. Some
showers/storms may clip our far northern CWA by late morning. As
the upper level trough and shortwave energy begin to spread into
the area during the afternoon, convection will begin to develop
further south into the area and eventually become more widespread
during the evening and overnight periods. There is a marginal risk
of severe storms mainly along and north of the I-44 corridor
within the forecast area. This will mainly occur during the late
afternoon into the evening hours when the best instability will
occur. 0-6km bulk shear values of 20 to 30 kts will be possible
from the late afternoon into the evening. The main risk with the
stronger storms will be with damaging wind gusts.

It looks like the most significant risk with the storms though
will be with the potential of excessive rainfall. PW values of
around 2" will spread into the area ahead of the shortwave and
front late this afternoon and tonight. Repeat heavy rainfall over
the same locations would probably lead to some localized excessive
rain and flooding tonight, mainly over our southeast KS counties
and part of west central into southwest MO.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

The surface front will continue to shift east across the area on
Friday into Friday night with the chances of convection shifting
more eastward across the area. Drier air will move in behind the
upper level wave.

Another shortwave will track into the area late Saturday into
Saturday night and bring in the next area of showers and
thunderstorms, mainly across the southwest 1/2 of the CWA.

Drier conditions look more likely after the weekend with the
majority of the convection remaining south of the area and surface
high pressure moving into the area from the north.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect fair weather VFR conditions through tonight and most of
Thursday.

By late Thursday afternoon, a frontal system will approach from
the northwest, forcing showers and thunderstorms. This activity
could be numerous and widespread, resulting in heavy downpours,
cloud to ground lightning, and localized wind gusts.

Prior to the arrival of tomorrow's front, surface winds could
become gusty at times out of the southwest.

Safe Travels.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Cramer

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
752 PM CDT Wed Jul 14 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
752 PM CDT Wed Jul 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The chances for thunderstorms will increase late in the day
Thursday, Thursday night, and Friday with a few strong to severe
storms and heavy rainfall with a few reports of flash flooding
possible.

Scattered storms will continue at times through the weekend with
a weak stalled front over the area. High pressure may push better
storm chances to the south by Monday.

Afternoon heat index values in 90s are expected Thursday
afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Ungar