Alert archive / Colorado / High Wind Warnings in 2021
High Wind Warning 13, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this high wind warning at Oct 11, 2021, 12:40 PM MDT for 15 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 12, 2021, 6:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 13 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2021, 12:40 PM MDT (18:40 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 12, 2021, 6:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- Oct 12, 2021, 7:02 PM MDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 9:13 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 2 S Alamosa, CO | ASOS STATION KALS ALAMOSA AIRPORT. |
| Oct 12, 9:14 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Alamosa, CO | LARGE ELM TREE UPROOTED THIS MORNING WITH STRONGEST WIND GUST AROUND ALAMOSA. |
| Oct 12, 9:22 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 62 | 2 S Alamosa, CO | ASOS STATION KALS ALAMOSA AIRPORT. |
| Oct 12, 2:19 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 6 S Trinidad, CO | MESONET STATION CO025 025N008 RATON PASS. |
| Oct 12, 2:19 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | 3 Ese Hoehne, CO | ASOS STATION KTAD TRINIDAD AIRPORT REPORTED 61-MPH WIND GUST. |
| Oct 12, 3:55 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 65 | 6 Wnw Granada, CO | |
| Oct 12, 4:55 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 3 Ene Falcon, CO | ASOS STATION KFLY FALCON AIRPORT. |
| Oct 12, 4:57 PM MDT | TSTM WND GST 61 | 1 Wnw Colorado City, CO | MESONET STATION CCYC2 COLORADO CITY. |
| Oct 12, 4:57 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | 1 Wnw Colorado City, CO | CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND GST REPORT FROM 1 WNW COLORADO CITY. MESONET STATION CCYC2 COLORADO CITY. |
| Oct 12, 4:58 PM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 5 Ese Wetmore, CO | MESONET STATION RDDC2 RED CREEK. |
| Oct 12, 5:49 PM MDT | TSTM WND GST 59 | 6 Wnw Granada, CO |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2297 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -40 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
701 WWUS75 KPUB 111840 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1240 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 COZ086>088-094-099-121300- /O.NEW.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/ Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Eastern Las Animas County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1240 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...South to southwest winds of 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet, Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Las Animas County and Springfield Vicinity/Baca County. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 8 PM MDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ Cohen
5 follow-up statements
544 WWUS75 KPUB 120936 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 COZ084-085-089-095-096-121745- /O.EXB.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1600Z-211013T0200Z/ Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Crowley County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County- 336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet, Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet, Crowley County, Western Kiowa County and Eastern Kiowa County Counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ COZ093-097-098-121745- /O.EXA.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/ La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County- 336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...La Junta Vicinity/Otero County, Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County and Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ COZ086>088-094-099-121745- /O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/ Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Eastern Las Animas County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
691 WWUS75 KPUB 120940 CCA NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED National Weather Service Pueblo CO 340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 COZ084-085-089-095-096-121745- /O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1600Z-211013T0200Z/ Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Crowley County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County- 340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet, Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet, Crowley County, Western Kiowa County and Eastern Kiowa County. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ COZ093-097-098-121745- /O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/ La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County- 340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...La Junta Vicinity/Otero County, Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County and Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ COZ086>088-094-099-121745- /O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/ Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Eastern Las Animas County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
636 WWUS75 KPUB 121332 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 COZ069>071-122145- /O.EXA.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/ Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- 732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet, Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet and Southern San Luis Valley Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ COZ086>088-093-094-097>099-122145- /O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/ Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-Eastern Las Animas County- Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County- Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ COZ084-085-089-095-096-122145- /O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1600Z-211013T0200Z/ Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Crowley County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County- 732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet, Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet, Crowley County, Western Kiowa County and Eastern Kiowa County. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
452 WWUS75 KPUB 122124 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 324 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 COZ069>071-084>089-093>099-130200- /O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/ Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 324 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet. * WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
115 WWUS75 KPUB 130102 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 702 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 COZ069>071-084>089-093>099-130215- /O.CAN.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/ Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 702 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... Winds will continue to slowly decrease through the night. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Oct 11, 12:14 PM MDT, 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 12:14 PM MDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1214 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 .UPDATE... Issued at 739 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 Quick update for cancellation of the Frost Advisory for northern El Paso County. Incorporated latest obs data. && .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 408 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 -- Main Concerns/Challenges -- 1) Snow beginning tonight across the eastern San Juan and La Garita mountains Currently...Temporary ridge of high pressure over the region was producing clear skies and cool temps across the forecast area early this morning, with 30s to mid 40s for most locations as of 2 am. Alamosa has been reporting 28, 29 degrees for a few hours already, so the hard freeze warning there looks good. Today...The Hard Freeze Warning for the San Luis Valley, as well as the Frost Advisory for northern El Paso County, look good and will be allowed to ride until 8 am/9 am. Increasing southwest flow aloft across the Four Corners region as the next upper low pressure system to affect the state pushes into the Great Basin. This will produce brisk southerly winds for much of the area this aftn, which will in turn help boost highs to 60-65F for the high valleys, and mid 60s to mid 70s across the plains. Conditions will remain dry through the day, but mid and high level cloudiness will be on the increase across western CO through the aftn. Tonight...Activity begins to ramp up quickly this evening as the incoming system draws near. The center of the upper low crosses southern NV and pushes into southern UT right around midnight, while an upper jet with a 130 kt core carves out the trough and noses into CO. This upper jet and the exceptionally tight pressure gradient, combined with a slug of Pacific moisture, will produce significant new snow accumulations as well as areas of blowing snow for the eastern San Juan mountains and La Garita mountains tonight starting right around midnight, and lasting into Tue. The greatest snow amounts are forecast for the eastern San Juans so went with a Winter Storm Warning there, while lesser expected amounts for the La Garita mountains dictated a Winter Weather Advisory. The central mountains will likely see new snow accumulation as well starting Tue morning, but at this time forecast snow amounts do not warrant any sort of highlight. Overnight low temps tonight are expected to drop into the 20s to around 30F for the high valleys, and 30s to mid 40s for the plains. Moore .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 408 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 Main Forecast Concerns/Challenges: 1) Snow, heavy at times, across the central and southwest mountains Tuesday into Tuesday night, with the highest amounts expected across the Eastern San Juan Mountains and a Winter Storm Warning now in effect. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the La Garita mountains. 2) Isolated thunderstorms possible near the CO/KS border late Tuesday afternoon through early evening that could increase fire and damaging wind concerns. 3) Strong, potentially damaging, winds on Tuesday along with high fire danger across the plains. 5) Cold night time lows at or below freezing are possible across southern Colorado later in the week. As the advertised upper level system moves across the region at the start of the period, expect the mountain snow to continue and ramp up given increasing ascent/focus, moisture, and even some weak instability in place. The anticipated setup still favoring a period of moderate to at times heavy snow across the southwest mountains, Eastern San Juans, where highest totals are located. As previously mentioned, with amounts of up to 12 inches still expected and with a period of strong winds Tuesday morning supporting blowing snow, we have decided to upgrade to a Winter Storm Warning. Additionally, a brief window of heavier snow will likely support higher total across the the La Garitas, with a Winter Weather Advisory now in effect. Would expect a period when some precip could spill into the mountains valleys on Tuesday, though this looks to be limited with the highest chances for this occurring expected during the morning time frame. Chances for precip still look to be on the low side across the plains on Tuesday, but continue to monitor the potential for isolated showers and thunderstorms across the far eastern plains closer to the Colorado and Kansas border late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. At this time, the highest threat for widespread strong to severe storms remains just to the east across Kansas. However, anticipated strong height falls, lee troughing, and some slight increases in instability and moisture could support at least an isolated shower or storm. Various forecast soundings across eastern Colorado show this building instability, though with some initial capping in place. However, can see this cap quickly erode late in the afternoon owing to the strong forcing pivoting overhead. So, could see a small window where the cap erodes and the instability remains in place. If this occurs, with multiple pieces of guidance hinting that it could, would expect to see this isolated development. While the threat of severe weather still looks to be low, the strong forcing with a high shear/low CAPE setup could favor a more robust updraft or two. At the very least, this development could help to translate the already strong wind field in place and locally increase high wind concerns. Additionally, any lightning would present additional fire weather concerns. So, have continued mention of this potential in the forecast, and will continue additional messaging. Guidance continues to show strong low/mid level flow that would support strong, potentially damaging, winds with this system on Tuesday. No real big change in thinking with regard to this possible hazard, with confidence on the higher side for strong winds up to around 50 mph in the afternoon. Definitely still a risk for damaging winds up to around 60 mph, as most guidance advertising deep lee troughing and 50kt winds at 700mb, that easily could translate down to the surface in this setup. However, there are still some duration and placement challenges that preclude any High Wind headlines this morning. At the very least, would not be surprised to see isolated/few gusts to 60 mph, and will continue to monitor trends for any possible needed updates/changes. Have continued to refine temp and dewpoints, especially for Tuesday afternoon. Guidance not only in strong agreement with deep mixing Tuesday afternoon, but with some rather dry air aloft and mixing of this air down to the surface. This mixing looks to really ramp up by mid afternoon and would expect to see a quick lowering of dewpoints/RH values from west to east across the plains through the afternoon hours. This may reach a wall closer to the CO/KS border though, where the higher dewpoint axis will try remain in place. Lowest RH values approaching 15 percent are appearing to be along and just to the east of the I- 25 corridor, with slightly higher RH values further to the east. While I did make additional adjustments this morning, still think there is potential for at least pockets of RH values of 10-15 percent. Even if RH values don't fall quite near 15 percent over the far eastern plains, the very strong winds/gusts will easily offset it. This system will depart by mid week, with drier weather returning, outside of some periodic showers across the Continental Divide. Still some potential for a late work week system that could bring precip chances to southern CO, though confidence remains on the lower side at this time. Below normal temps are expected during this time, with cold night time lows at or below freezing appearing possible across much of southern CO. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 1210 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For KCOS, KPUB, and KALS, VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Winds will strengthen this afternoon with sustained speeds of 10-15 kt and gusts of 20-25 kt -- generally from the southeast at KCOS and KPUB, and the south to southwest at KALS. Winds will weaken this evening into tonight. For Tuesday, much stronger south to southwest winds are expected, with wind speeds reaching 20-30 kt and gusts reaching 35-45 kt during the afternoon. Blowing dust will be possible Tuesday afternoon, which may result in localized visibility restrictions. Over the Colorado mountains, snow is forecast to develop from west to east. The snow will become heavy at times over the eastern San Juan Mountains and the La Garita Mountains areas. Wind gusts around 40 kt will combine with the snow to result in blowing and drifting snow. These factors will cause significant restrictions to visibilities and ceilings over the mountains, including mountain passes, from tonight into Tuesday. However, these restrictions are not expected to affect the TAF sites. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening for COZ226>237. Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ066. Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ068. && UPDATE...MOORE SHORT TERM...MOORE LONG TERM...RODRIGUEZ AVIATION...COHEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 5:04 AM MDT, 7 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 504 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 COZ058>089-093>099-121115- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 504 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A hard freeze continues for much of the San Luis Valley this morning, as temperatures have dropped into the mid to upper 20s for several hours. This freeze will effectively end the growing season in that area. The threat of frost continues across the Palmer Divide area this morning, with more patchy frost along the I25 corridor and eastward. Mountain snows will develop over the eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains tonight, with significant new snow accumulations expected. Blowing and drifting of snow will be possible, reducing visibilities. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday A strong storm system will move across the region on Tuesday, bringing multiple weather hazards to the region. Mountain snows will continue over the eastern San Juan and La Garita Mountains Tuesday, and will develop eastward toward the Sangres. Heavy snowfall accumulations will be possible over the mountains, with upwards of 12 inches of snow accumulation possible over the eastern San Juan Mountains. Blowing and drifting of snow will be possible, reducing visibilities. Snow will lessen in coverage and intensity by Tuesday evening. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday afternoon through early Tuesday evening over the far eastern plains, with damaging wind gusts possible. Widespread south to southwest wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected on Tuesday, with locally even stronger wind gusts possible especially over the higher terrain. The strong winds will also be capable of producing blowing dust over the plains reducing visibilities for Tuesday afternoon. A significant fire weather risk will develop over the plains on Tuesday, as the strong winds combine with low relative humidity. There will also be the potential for lightning induced wildfire ignitions over the far eastern plains for Tuesday afternoon. Widespread below freezing temperatures will be possible for overnight lows for middle and latter parts of this week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet spotter criteria will be possible across the eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains this evening. 27/RODRIGUEZ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:14 AM MDT | Winter Storm Warning | PUB | Conejos, Mineral, Rio Grande | 44 hr |
| Oct 11, 4:14 AM MDT | Winter Weather Advisory | PUB | Mineral, Rio Grande, Saguache | 38 hr |
| Oct 11, 12:40 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | PUB | Bent, Crowley, El Paso, Fremont, Huerfano, Kiowa and 3 more | 30 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in Colorado, 2021Every high wind warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.