Alert archive / Colorado / High Wind Warnings in 2021

High Wind Warning 13, NWS Pueblo, CO

October 11, 202115 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this high wind warning at Oct 11, 2021, 12:40 PM MDT for 15 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 12, 2021, 6:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 13 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2021, 12:40 PM MDT (18:40 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 12, 2021, 6:00 AM MDT
Expired
Oct 12, 2021, 7:02 PM MDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 12, 9:13 AM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 592 S Alamosa, COASOS STATION KALS ALAMOSA AIRPORT.
Oct 12, 9:14 AM MDTNON-TSTM WND DMGAlamosa, COLARGE ELM TREE UPROOTED THIS MORNING WITH STRONGEST WIND GUST AROUND ALAMOSA.
Oct 12, 9:22 AM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 622 S Alamosa, COASOS STATION KALS ALAMOSA AIRPORT.
Oct 12, 2:19 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 586 S Trinidad, COMESONET STATION CO025 025N008 RATON PASS.
Oct 12, 2:19 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 613 Ese Hoehne, COASOS STATION KTAD TRINIDAD AIRPORT REPORTED 61-MPH WIND GUST.
Oct 12, 3:55 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 656 Wnw Granada, CO
Oct 12, 4:55 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 603 Ene Falcon, COASOS STATION KFLY FALCON AIRPORT.
Oct 12, 4:57 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 611 Wnw Colorado City, COMESONET STATION CCYC2 COLORADO CITY.
Oct 12, 4:57 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 611 Wnw Colorado City, COCORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND GST REPORT FROM 1 WNW COLORADO CITY. MESONET STATION CCYC2 COLORADO CITY.
Oct 12, 4:58 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 595 Ese Wetmore, COMESONET STATION RDDC2 RED CREEK.
Oct 12, 5:49 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 596 Wnw Granada, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -40 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2297 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

701 
WWUS75 KPUB 111840
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1240 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

COZ086>088-094-099-121300-
/O.NEW.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Eastern Las Animas County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1240 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds of 35 to 45 mph with gusts up 
  to 60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet,
  Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet,
  Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet,
  Eastern Las Animas County and Springfield Vicinity/Baca County.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 8 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur.
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

Cohen
5 follow-up statements
544 
WWUS75 KPUB 120936
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ084-085-089-095-096-121745-
/O.EXB.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1600Z-211013T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Crowley County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-
336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range 
  Below 7500 Feet, Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso 
  County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet, Crowley County, Western 
  Kiowa County and Eastern Kiowa County Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down 
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. 
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

COZ093-097-098-121745-
/O.EXA.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-
336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...La Junta Vicinity/Otero County, Las Animas 
  Vicinity/Bent County and Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur.
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

COZ086>088-094-099-121745-
/O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Eastern Las Animas County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
336 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, 
  Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 
  Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca 
  County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 
  7500 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur.
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$
691 
WWUS75 KPUB 120940 CCA
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ084-085-089-095-096-121745-
/O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1600Z-211013T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Crowley County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-
340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range
  Below 7500 Feet, Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso
  County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet, Crowley County, Western
  Kiowa County and Eastern Kiowa County.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down 
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. 
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

COZ093-097-098-121745-
/O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-
340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...La Junta Vicinity/Otero County, Las Animas Vicinity/Bent
  County and Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur.
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

COZ086>088-094-099-121745-
/O.COR.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1200Z-211013T0200Z/
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Eastern Las Animas County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
340 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet,
  Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet,
  Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca County and
  Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur.
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$
636 
WWUS75 KPUB 121332
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ069>071-122145-
/O.EXA.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 
  Feet, Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet 
  and Southern San Luis Valley Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down 
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. 
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

COZ086>088-093-094-097>099-122145-
/O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-Eastern Las Animas County-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, 
  Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 
  Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca 
  County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 
  7500 Feet.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down 
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. 
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

COZ084-085-089-095-096-122145-
/O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.211012T1600Z-211013T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Crowley County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-
732 AM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range 
  Below 7500 Feet, Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso 
  County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet, Crowley County, Western 
  Kiowa County and Eastern Kiowa County.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down 
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. 
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$
452 
WWUS75 KPUB 122124
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
324 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ069>071-084>089-093>099-130200-
/O.CON.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
324 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 
  60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet, 
  Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 
  Feet, Eastern Las Animas County, Springfield Vicinity/Baca 
  County and Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 
  7500 Feet.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will have the potential to blow down 
  trees and power lines. Widespread power outages may occur. 
  Travel will be difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Blowing dust with reduced visibility is
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$
115 
WWUS75 KPUB 130102
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
702 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ069>071-084>089-093>099-130215-
/O.CAN.KPUB.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-211013T0200Z/
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
702 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Winds will continue to slowly decrease through the night. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Oct 11, 12:14 PM MDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 12:14 PM MDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1214 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.UPDATE...
Issued at 739 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

Quick update for cancellation of the Frost Advisory for northern
El Paso County. Incorporated latest obs data.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 408 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

-- Main Concerns/Challenges --

1) Snow beginning tonight across the eastern San Juan and La Garita
mountains

Currently...Temporary ridge of high pressure over the region was
producing clear skies and cool temps across the forecast area early
this morning, with 30s to mid 40s for most locations as of 2 am.
Alamosa has been reporting 28, 29 degrees for a few hours already,
so the hard freeze warning there looks good.

Today...The Hard Freeze Warning for the San Luis Valley, as well as
the Frost Advisory for northern El Paso County, look good and will
be allowed to ride until 8 am/9 am. Increasing southwest flow aloft
across the Four Corners region as the next upper low pressure system
to affect the state pushes into the Great Basin. This will produce
brisk southerly winds for much of the area this aftn, which will in
turn help boost highs to 60-65F for the high valleys, and mid 60s to
mid 70s across the plains. Conditions will remain dry through the
day, but mid and high level cloudiness will be on the increase
across western CO through the aftn.

Tonight...Activity begins to ramp up quickly this evening as the
incoming system draws near. The center of the upper low crosses
southern NV and pushes into southern UT right around midnight, while
an upper jet with a 130 kt core carves out the trough and noses into
CO. This upper jet and the exceptionally tight pressure gradient,
combined with a slug of Pacific moisture, will produce significant
new snow accumulations as well as areas of blowing snow for the
eastern San Juan mountains and La Garita mountains tonight starting
right around midnight, and lasting into Tue. The greatest snow
amounts are forecast for the eastern San Juans so went with a Winter
Storm Warning there, while lesser expected amounts for the La Garita
mountains dictated a Winter Weather Advisory. The central mountains
will likely see new snow accumulation as well starting Tue morning,
but at this time forecast snow amounts do not warrant any sort of
highlight. Overnight low temps tonight are expected to drop into the
20s to around 30F for the high valleys, and 30s to mid 40s for the
plains. Moore

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 408 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

Main Forecast Concerns/Challenges:

1) Snow, heavy at times, across the central and southwest mountains
Tuesday into Tuesday night, with the highest amounts expected across
the Eastern San Juan Mountains and a Winter Storm Warning now in
effect. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the La Garita
mountains.

2) Isolated thunderstorms possible near the CO/KS border late
Tuesday afternoon through early evening that could increase fire and
damaging wind concerns.

3) Strong, potentially damaging, winds on Tuesday along with high
fire danger across the plains.

5) Cold night time lows at or below freezing are possible across
southern Colorado later in the week.

As the advertised upper level system moves across the region at the
start of the period, expect the mountain snow to continue and ramp
up given increasing ascent/focus, moisture, and even some weak
instability in place. The anticipated setup still favoring a period
of moderate to at times heavy snow across the southwest mountains,
Eastern San Juans, where highest totals are located. As previously
mentioned, with amounts of up to 12 inches still expected and with a
period of strong winds Tuesday morning supporting blowing snow, we
have decided to upgrade to a Winter Storm Warning. Additionally, a
brief window of heavier snow will likely support higher total across
the the La Garitas, with a Winter Weather Advisory now in effect.
Would expect a period when some precip could spill into the
mountains valleys on Tuesday, though this looks to be limited with
the highest chances for this occurring expected during the morning
time frame.

Chances for precip still look to be on the low side across the
plains on Tuesday, but continue to monitor the potential for
isolated showers and thunderstorms across the far eastern plains
closer to the Colorado and Kansas border late Tuesday afternoon into
Tuesday evening. At this time, the highest threat for widespread
strong to severe storms remains just to the east across Kansas.
However, anticipated strong height falls, lee troughing, and some
slight increases in instability and moisture could support at least
an isolated shower or storm. Various forecast soundings across
eastern Colorado show this building instability, though with some
initial capping in place. However, can see this cap quickly erode
late in the afternoon owing to the strong forcing pivoting overhead.
So, could see a small window where the cap erodes and the
instability remains in place. If this occurs, with multiple pieces
of guidance hinting that it could, would expect to see this isolated
development. While the threat of severe weather still looks to be
low, the strong forcing with a high shear/low CAPE setup could favor
a more robust updraft or two. At the very least, this development
could help to translate the already strong wind field in place and
locally increase high wind concerns. Additionally, any lightning
would present additional fire weather concerns. So, have continued
mention of this potential in the forecast, and will continue
additional messaging.

Guidance continues to show strong low/mid level flow that would
support strong, potentially damaging, winds with this system on
Tuesday. No real big change in thinking with regard to this possible
hazard, with confidence on the higher side for strong winds up to
around 50 mph in the afternoon. Definitely still a risk for damaging
winds up to around 60 mph, as most guidance advertising deep lee
troughing and 50kt winds at 700mb, that easily could translate down
to the surface in this setup. However, there are still some duration
and placement challenges that preclude any High Wind headlines this
morning. At the very least, would not be surprised to see
isolated/few gusts to 60 mph, and will continue to monitor trends
for any possible needed updates/changes. Have continued to refine
temp and dewpoints, especially for Tuesday afternoon. Guidance not
only in strong agreement with deep mixing Tuesday afternoon, but
with some rather dry air aloft and mixing of this air down to the
surface. This mixing looks to really ramp up by mid afternoon and
would expect to see a quick lowering of dewpoints/RH values from
west to east across the plains through the afternoon hours. This may
reach a wall closer to the CO/KS border though, where the higher
dewpoint axis will try remain in place. Lowest RH values approaching
15 percent are appearing to be along and just to the east of the I-
25 corridor, with slightly higher RH values further to the east.
While I did make additional adjustments this morning, still think
there is potential for at least pockets of RH values of 10-15
percent. Even if RH values don't fall quite near 15 percent over the
far eastern plains, the very strong winds/gusts will easily offset
it.

This system will depart by mid week, with drier weather returning,
outside of some periodic showers across the Continental Divide.
Still some potential for a late work week system that could bring
precip chances to southern CO, though confidence remains on the
lower side at this time. Below normal temps are expected during this
time, with cold night time lows at or below freezing appearing
possible across much of southern CO.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1210 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

For KCOS, KPUB, and KALS, VFR conditions are expected through the
forecast period. Winds will strengthen this afternoon with
sustained speeds of 10-15 kt and gusts of 20-25 kt -- generally
from the southeast at KCOS and KPUB, and the south to southwest at
KALS. Winds will weaken this evening into tonight. For Tuesday,
much stronger south to southwest winds are expected, with wind
speeds reaching 20-30 kt and gusts reaching 35-45 kt during the
afternoon. Blowing dust will be possible Tuesday afternoon, which
may result in localized visibility restrictions.

Over the Colorado mountains, snow is forecast to develop from
west to east. The snow will become heavy at times over the eastern
San Juan Mountains and the La Garita Mountains areas. Wind gusts
around 40 kt will combine with the snow to result in blowing and
drifting snow. These factors will cause significant restrictions
to visibilities and ceilings over the mountains, including
mountain passes, from tonight into Tuesday. However, these
restrictions are not expected to affect the TAF sites.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening for COZ226>237.

Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT
Tuesday for COZ066.

Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday
for COZ068.

&&

UPDATE...MOORE
SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...RODRIGUEZ
AVIATION...COHEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 5:04 AM MDT, 7 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
504 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

COZ058>089-093>099-121115-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
504 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A hard freeze continues for much of the San Luis Valley this
morning, as temperatures have dropped into the mid to upper 20s for
several hours. This freeze will effectively end the growing season
in that area.

The threat of frost continues across the Palmer Divide area this
morning, with more patchy frost along the I25 corridor and eastward.

Mountain snows will develop over the eastern San Juan Mountains and
La Garita Mountains tonight, with significant new snow accumulations
expected. Blowing and drifting of snow will be possible, reducing
visibilities.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A strong storm system will move across the region on Tuesday,
bringing multiple weather hazards to the region.

Mountain snows will continue over the eastern San Juan and La
Garita Mountains Tuesday, and will develop eastward toward the
Sangres. Heavy snowfall accumulations will be possible over the
mountains, with upwards of 12 inches of snow accumulation possible
over the eastern San Juan Mountains. Blowing and drifting of snow
will be possible, reducing visibilities. Snow will lessen in
coverage and intensity by Tuesday evening.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday afternoon
through early Tuesday evening over the far eastern plains, with
damaging wind gusts possible.

Widespread south to southwest wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are
expected on Tuesday, with locally even stronger wind gusts
possible especially over the higher terrain. The strong winds
will also be capable of producing blowing dust over the plains
reducing visibilities for Tuesday afternoon.

A significant fire weather risk will develop over the plains on
Tuesday, as the strong winds combine with low relative humidity.
There will also be the potential for lightning induced wildfire
ignitions over the far eastern plains for Tuesday afternoon.

Widespread below freezing temperatures will be possible for
overnight lows for middle and latter parts of this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet spotter criteria will be possible
across the eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains this
evening.

27/RODRIGUEZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 4:14 AM MDTWinter Storm WarningPUBConejos, Mineral, Rio Grande44 hr
Oct 11, 4:14 AM MDTWinter Weather AdvisoryPUBMineral, Rio Grande, Saguache38 hr
Oct 11, 12:40 PM MDTRed Flag WarningPUBBent, Crowley, El Paso, Fremont, Huerfano, Kiowa and 3 more30 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Colorado, 2021Every high wind warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.