Alert archive / New Jersey / Special Marine Warnings in 2021
Special Marine Warning 138, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special marine warning at Oct 16, 2021, 5:10 PM EDT. It was in force for 95 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 16, 2021, 5:10 PM EDT (21:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2021, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 95 min
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.0 in
- Wind
- 34.0 mph
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1068 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 140 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
089
WHUS51 KPHI 162110
SMWPHI
ANZ450-451-470-471-162245-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MA.W.0138.211016T2110Z-211016T2245Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
510 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a
* Special Marine Warning for...
Coastal and outer waters from Sandy Hook to Little Egg Inlet NJ...
* Until 645 PM EDT.
* At 509 PM EDT, a front was located along a line extending from
Raritan Bay to 18 nm northwest of Little Egg Inlet, moving
northeast at 40 knots. A line of showers will accompany the
frontal passage.
HAZARD...Wind gusts 34 knots or greater and a sharp wind shift to
northwest.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Small craft could be damaged in briefly higher winds and
suddenly higher waves.
* Locations impacted include...
Sea Girt Reef, Ship Bottom, Atlantic Highlands, Garden State South
Reef, Axel Carlson Reef, Silverton, Harvey Cedars, Lavallette,
Barnegat Light, North Beach Haven, Point Pleasant Beach, Seaside
Park, Ocean Gate, Barnegat Light Reef, Monmouth Beach, Sea Bright,
Forked River, Fair Haven, Beach Haven and Garden State North Reef.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Move to safe harbor immediately as gusty winds and high waves are
expected.
&&
LAT...LON 4044 7398 4026 7365 3999 7341 3947 7351
3952 7442 3961 7439 3970 7426 3982 7427
3990 7420 3993 7425 3995 7425 4000 7420
4020 7411 4024 7405 4027 7405 4030 7410
4042 7405 4040 7398
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 240DEG 41KT 4047 7421 3971 7462
HAIL...0.00IN
WIND...>34KTS
$$
JEOWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special marine warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special marine warning went out at Oct 16, 2:32 PM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 2:32 PM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
232 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move across the area today and shift offshore
of the east coast by this evening. Steady west to northwest
flow will remain across the northeast region for much of the
upcoming week with low pressure located to the north across
Canada Maritimes and high pressure across the deep south and
southeast states. Another cold front is forecast to move across
the east coast late in the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The strong cold front we have been tracking is now entering the
region as low pressure tracks northeastward through Quebec. Along
and just ahead of the front, a broken line of convective showers has
been developing and has entered our western zones. Little to no
lightning has been observed with this activity due to marginal
instability profiles, and this trend is expected to continue.
However, brief gusty winds in excess of 40 mph have been observed to
our west with this line, and we are likely to see that translate
into our region as well. The line will continue to move through our
region through early this evening. The overall severe weather threat
is fairly limited, especially in terms of getting wind gusts to the
technical severe criteria (58 mph). However, we often see winds of
only around 40-45 mph cause at least isolated tree and utility
damage in the mid-Atlantic, and such gusts are certainly
possible as the convective line moves through. We still cannot
entirely rule out a brief tornado on any kinks in the line due
to good low level SRH, but that is definitely a low risk. The
front will also be taking on more of an anafrontal structure as
it moves through, which will help limit the severe threat but
will also allow lighter, non-hazardous showers to stick around
for a few hours behind the line, through a good portion of the
evening. Still no hydro concerns with this systems with most
areas expected to receive less than half an inch of rain, with
some localized modestly higher amounts possible.
Otherwise, there will be plenty of other markers of change as this
front comes through. Southerly winds have been gusty ahead of the
front today. As it moves through, a sharp shift to west/west-
northwest flow is expected. While winds may remain a little breezy
behind the front, this will not be the type of front that has a very
strong push of northwest winds behind it. If anything, wind speeds
should trend downward behind the front. Temperatures and dew points
will drop rapidly behind the front as cooler and drier air pours in,
with temperatures in the 70s and 80s quickly being replaced by 60s.
Heading into tonight, lows will fall into the upper 40s and low 50s,
though the steady winds will prevent ideal radiational cooling and
prevent us from dropping any further. Once the lingering showers
this evening push offshore, likely by around 11PM, dry weather is
expected for the overnight.
For Sunday, we will be squarely within the northwest flow, cold
advection regime. It will be a much more fall-like day with highs
only rising into the low 60s in most areas, with a steady breeze and
much drier air. A fairly robust shortwave embedded within the larger
scale trough moves through Sunday afternoon. This will likely yield
a good deal of diurnal stratocumulus, and also a chance for
scattered showers mainly to the north and west. In the winter, this
would be a favorable setup for snow squalls. In this case, it'll
just be a few scattered showers which may contain brief gusty winds
or a bit of graupel, and again should favor northwestern areas like
the Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northern New Jersey. For the most
part though, it will be an uneventful and refreshing day after the
recent summer-like stretch.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
For Sunday night through Monday night, a steady west to northwest
flow will be in place across the Mid-Atlantic and northeast states.
Within this northwest flow, a couple of weak surface troughs will
move across the area, while a couple of short wave/vorticity
impulses move across the area. There will be enough moisture to lead
to a period of stratocumulus across the area, but may also be enough
moisture and lift for a slight chance of showers on Monday across
the Poconos and northwest New Jersey. Wind gusts will be in the 20-
30 mph range.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The long term forecast looks on track per the latest guidance.
The steady west to northwest flow will remain across the region
for the first half of the long term for Tuesday into Wednesday,
before return flow develops by Thursday. Tuesday and Wednesday
are expected to remain dry as northwest flow aloft will keep dry
air across the area. Winds for Tuesday and Wednesday will
continue to be gusty out of the west to northwest 20-25 mph.
By Thursday, return flow develops as the high pressure to our
south shifts offshore ahead of the next approaching frontal
system which is expected to move across the area Thursday night
into Friday. There are some differences between model guidance
in how much moisture and precipitation will be associated with
this frontal passage. Nevertheless, there will be a 20 to 30
percent chance of showers for the Thursday night through Friday time
period. Northwest flow behind the front will bring mainly dry
weather on Saturday with more clouds and perhaps a shower across
southeastern Pennsylvania into northwestern New Jersey.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Through 03z... The overall thinking for this afternoon and evening
remains similar. An approaching cold front will bring a band of
showers and isolated thunder to the region from about 19z to 02z,
from west to east. The only chance for thunder will be right along
the leading edge of this activity, and it would be brief. For PHL
and points south and east, while thunder cannot be entirely ruled
out, the probability no longer appears high enough to warrant a
mention in the TAF, and instead will use a TEMPO +SHRA group to
cover the convective line for PHL. A wind shift from southerly to
west-northwesterly is expected behind the line. Southerly or south-
southwest winds ahead of the precipitation will continue to gust
around 20 to 25 kt. Behind the front, west-northwest winds will be
around 10 to 15 kt with some gusts to 20 kt possible through the
evening. It now appears more likely that there will be a few hours
of light rain behind the initial convective line. Have introduced a
high-end MVFR group in the TAF at all of the terminals to cover
this, with both CIGs and VSBYs possibly being borderline MVFR/VFR.
Rain will gradually push away from west to east through this
evening. High confidence in the overall evolution, moderate
confidence in the timing details and the extent of MVFR conditions
late this afternoon and evening.
From 03z Tonight through 12z Sunday... VFR. West-northwest wind
around 10 kt. High confidence.
Sunday...Mainly VFR. An afternoon rain shower is possible mainly
near RDG and ABE. West to northwest winds increasing to 10-15 knots,
gusting 20-25 knots. Some briefly higher gusts are possible in any
showers. High confidence.
Outlook...
Sunday night-Wednesday...VFR conditions expected. west to
northwest winds 10-15 knots during the day with gusts 15-25
knots; gusts dropping off overnight and speeds diminishing to
5-10 knots overnight.
Thursday...VFR as clouds increase ahead of a cold front. Southwest
wind 10 to 15 knots. Medium confidence.
&&
.MARINE...
Through early this evening... A Small Craft Advisory remains in
effect for southerly winds of around 15 kt gusting 25 to 30 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft.
Later this evening and tonight... A Small Craft Advisory will remain
in effect for the Atlantic coastal waters of New Jersey and
Delaware, as well as Delware Bay. A frontal passage will bring a
band of showers and possibly a rumble of thunder during the evening.
As this front and its associated rainfall moves through, winds will
shift from south to west-northwest, with speeds remaining around 15
kt with gusts to 25 kt or a little higher, especially near the mouth
of Delaware Bay due to channeling effects. Some brief gusts to near
gale force are possible with the frontal passage, and we may cover
these with short fused marine warnings if necessary. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Sunday... Currently, the Small Craft Advisory is scheduled to expire
at 6AM Sunday. It will remain breezy on Sunday, with west-northwest
winds around 15 kt gusting close to 25 kt. It is marginal as to
whether we will reach advisory criteria for most of the day. The
best chance for more consistent gusts around 25 kt will be for the
waters of southern New Jersey, Delaware, and lower Delaware Bay.
It's also fairly likely there will be a period of somewhat lower
winds in the morning, after the current SCA expires, before a modest
increase by afternoon. For now, have declined to extend the SCA due
to lack of confidence in the wind speeds, but an extension or a new
advisory may be needed tomorrow. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Outlook...
Sunday night-Monday...Small Craft Advisory levels expected.
Monday night-Tuesday...Winds may fall below advisory levels for
a period overnight Monday into Tuesday, before winds increase
again later on Tuesday.
Tuesday night-Wednesday...Winds may begin Tuesday night above
advisory levels, before lowering below advisory levels overnight
and continuing through Wednesday.
Thursday...Winds and seas below small craft criteria.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ430-431-
450>455.
&&
Synopsis...Robertson
Near Term...O'Brien
Short Term...Franklin/Robertson
Long Term...Franklin/Robertson
Aviation...O'Brien/Robertson
Marine...O'Brien/RobertsonHazardous weather outlook, Oct 16, 11:15 AM EDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 DEZ001-171515- New Castle- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. DEZ002-171515- Kent- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. DEZ003-171515- Inland Sussex- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County in Delaware. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. DEZ004-171515- Delaware Beaches- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of Sussex County in Delaware. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ054-171515- Carbon- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ055-171515- Monroe- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ060-171515- Berks- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ061-171515- Lehigh- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ062-171515- Northampton- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ070-171515- Delaware- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ071-171515- Philadelphia- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ101-171515- Western Chester- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ102-171515- Eastern Chester- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ103-171515- Western Montgomery- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ104-171515- Eastern Montgomery- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ105-171515- Upper Bucks- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. PAZ106-171515- Lower Bucks- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ001-171515- Sussex- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ007-171515- Warren- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ008-171515- Morris- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ009-171515- Hunterdon- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ010-171515- Somerset- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ012-171515- Middlesex- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ013-171515- Western Monmouth- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ014-171515- Eastern Monmouth- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ015-171515- Mercer- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ016-171515- Salem- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ017-171515- Gloucester- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ018-171515- Camden- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ019-171515- Northwestern Burlington- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ020-171515- Ocean- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ021-171515- Cumberland- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ022-171515- Atlantic- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ023-171515- Cape May- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the Atlantic coast in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ024-171515- Atlantic Coastal Cape May- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of Cape May County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ025-171515- Coastal Atlantic- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ026-171515- Coastal Ocean- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. NJZ027-171515- Southeastern Burlington- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in New Jersey. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. MDZ012-171515- Kent MD- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. MDZ015-171515- Queen Annes- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. MDZ019-171515- Talbot- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. MDZ020-171515- Caroline- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ430-171515- Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ431-171515- Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ450-171515- Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ451-171515- Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ452-171515- Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ453-171515- Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ454-171515- Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures. ANZ455-171515- Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm- 1115 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm. .DAY ONE...Through tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to standard operating procedures.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 16, 3:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
DEZ001-NJZ016-021-162030-
New Castle DE-Salem NJ-Cumberland NJ-
340 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern New
Castle, northwestern Cumberland and southwestern Salem Counties
through 430 PM EDT...
At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bohemias Mills, or near Middletown, moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Salem, Alloway, Quinton, Delaware City, Shiloh, Saint
Georges, Mount Pleasant, Hancocks Bridge, Port Penn, Hope Creek,
Townsend and Odessa.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3957 7577 3961 7541 3946 7527 3937 7577
3956 7578
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 250DEG 30KT 3946 7582
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
FitzsimmonsSpecial weather statement, Oct 16, 3:41 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
341 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ103-105-106-162030-
Hunterdon NJ-Morris NJ-Sussex NJ-Somerset NJ-Warren NJ-Mercer NJ-
Lower Bucks PA-Upper Bucks PA-Western Montgomery PA-
341 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Hunterdon, western
Morris, Sussex, Warren, northwestern Mercer, western Somerset and
central Bucks Counties through 430 PM EDT...
At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Dingmans Ferry to near Fricks. Movement
was northeast at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Newton, Montague, Lansdale, Hopatcong, Hackettstown, Doylestown,
Byram, Bedminster, Wharton, Washington, Blairstown, Mount Arlington,
Franklin, Mendham, Flemington, Chalfont, Tinicum, High Bridge,
Stanhope and Hatfield.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 3 and 29.
Interstate 80 in New Jersey between mile markers 9 and 33.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4125 7446 4031 7478 4026 7522 4027 7525
4026 7526 4025 7532 4085 7507 4086 7505
4113 7495 4118 7488 4124 7486 4129 7483
4135 7475 4136 7469
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 207DEG 42KT 4117 7492 4034 7523
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JEOSpecial weather statement, Oct 16, 4:18 PM EDT, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
418 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
DEZ001-002-MDZ015-NJZ012-013-015>025-027-PAZ070-071-102>104-106-
162115-
Kent DE-New Castle DE-Queen Anne's MD-Coastal Atlantic NJ-Salem NJ-
Camden NJ-Atlantic NJ-Mercer NJ-Southeastern Burlington NJ-
Northwestern Burlington NJ-Cumberland NJ-Ocean NJ-
Western Monmouth NJ-Middlesex NJ-Atlantic Coastal Cape May NJ-
Cape May NJ-Gloucester NJ-Lower Bucks PA-Eastern Montgomery PA-
Philadelphia PA-Western Montgomery PA-Delaware PA-Eastern Chester PA-
418 PM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021
...A gust front and an associated line of showers behind it will
impact portions of central New Castle, northern Kent, eastern Queen
Anne's, northwestern Ocean, Camden, Mercer, Atlantic, Cumberland,
Salem, Gloucester, northern Cape May, Burlington, central Monmouth,
southern Middlesex, southeastern Montgomery, southeastern Bucks,
east central Chester, Philadelphia and Delaware Counties through 515
PM EDT...
At 414 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a gust front and an
associated line of showers behind it along a line extending from
Pennington to near Dover Base Housing. Movement was east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Philadelphia, Trenton, Camden, Wilmington, Vineland, Dover,
Millville, Bridgeton, Middletown, Ocean City, Gloucester City,
Cumberland, Cherry Hill, Old Bridge, Bensalem, Jackson, East
Brunswick, Evesham, Mount Laurel and Marlboro.
This includes the following highways...
New Jersey Turnpike between exits 1 and 9.
Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 324 and 359.
Northeast Extension between mile markers 21 and 29.
Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 40.
Interstate 95 in Delaware between mile markers 11 and 23.
Interstate 76 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 327 and 351.
Interstate 76 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 3.
Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 25.
Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 76.
Interstate 676 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 1.
Interstate 676 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 4.
Interstate 476 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 19.
Garden State Parkway between mile markers 21 and 52, and between
mile markers 116 and 119.
Atlantic City Expressway between mile markers 4 and 44.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3922 7456 3914 7581 4023 7541 4044 7416
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 254DEG 36KT 4033 7482 3910 7544
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
FitzsimmonsLocal storm report, Oct 16, 4:40 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
440 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM MARINE TSTM WIND LOWER ALLOWAYS CREEK 39.48N 75.54W
10/16/2021 M47 MPH SALEM NJ MESONET
NJ WEATHERNET SITE NJ74.
&&
JEOLocal storm report, Oct 16, 4:42 PM EDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
442 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0405 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSE SOUTH PHILADELPHI 39.89N 75.20W
10/16/2021 M51 MPH PHILADELPHIA PA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
PA DOT GAUGE.
&&
JEOLocal storm report, Oct 16, 4:48 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
448 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0424 PM TSTM WND DMG HOPEWELL 40.39N 74.76W
10/16/2021 MERCER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER
TREE BLOWN OVER ON PRINCETON RD. TIME
ESTIMATED FROM RADAR AND THE SPOTTERS
REPORT.
&&
JEOThe office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 10:35 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | PHI | Ocean | 2 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:22 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | PHI | 113 min | |
| Oct 16, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Salem | 18 min |
| Oct 16, 3:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | PHI | Hunterdon, Sussex, Warren | 49 min |
| Oct 16, 4:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset | 43 min |
| Oct 16, 4:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Mercer and 1 more | 57 min |
| Oct 16, 5:29 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | PHI | 91 min | |
| Oct 16, 6:09 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | PHI | 66 min | |
| Oct 16, 6:52 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | PHI | Ocean | 4 hr |
| Oct 16, 1:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | PHI | Berks | 51 min |
| Oct 16, 2:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | PHI | Berks, Lehigh | 58 min |
| Oct 16, 2:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | PHI | Chester | 61 min |
| Oct 16, 3:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | PHI | New Castle | 50 min |
Nearby
Special Marine Warnings in New Jersey, 2021Every special marine warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.