Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 196, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 26, 2021Middlesex County, Monmouth County, Ocean County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Oct 26, 2021, 11:23 PM EDT for Middlesex County, Monmouth County, Ocean County, New Jersey. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 26, 2021, 11:23 PM EDT (03:23 UTC)
Expired
Oct 27, 2021, 4:01 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -56 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
482 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

102 
WGUS81 KPHI 270323
FLSPHI

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1123 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

NJC023-025-029-270815-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0196.211027T0323Z-211027T0815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex NJ-Monmouth NJ-Ocean NJ-
1123 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
  Monmouth County in central New Jersey...
  Middlesex County in northern New Jersey...
  Ocean County in southern New Jersey...

* Until 415 AM EDT.

* At 1123 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain. Minor flooding 
  is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Up 
  to 0.5 inches of rain have fallen.

* Although rain rates are only expected to be around one quarter to 
  one half of an inch per hour, the ground is already saturated from 
  the heavy rain that occurred Monday night and Tuesday morning. Any 
  additional rain tonight will quickly become runoff and could lead 
  to minor flooding within the advisory area.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  Toms River, New Brunswick, Perth Amboy, Long Branch, Asbury Park, 
  Sandy Hook, Edison, Lakewood, Middletown, Old Bridge, Jackson, and 
  Howell.

This includes the following highways...
	New Jersey Turnpike between exits 10 and 12.
	Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 15 and 34.
	Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 6.
	Garden State Parkway between mile markers 63 and 132.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4057 7445 4059 7423 4059 7421 4055 7425
      4050 7426 4049 7429 4046 7426 4044 7421
      4046 7414 4040 7398 4048 7401 4041 7392
      3978 7402 3954 7420 3990 7442 4025 7447

$$

SFJ
1 follow-up statement
716 
WGUS81 KPHI 270801
FLSPHI

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
401 AM EDT Wed Oct 27 2021

NJC023-025-029-270811-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.Y.0196.000000T0000Z-211027T0815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Middlesex NJ-Monmouth NJ-Ocean NJ-
401 AM EDT Wed Oct 27 2021

...FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR MONMOUTH, MIDDLESEX, AND OCEAN 
COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4057 7445 4059 7423 4059 7421 4055 7425
      4050 7426 4049 7429 4046 7426 4044 7421
      4046 7414 4040 7398 4048 7401 4041 7392
      3978 7402 3954 7420 3990 7442 4025 7447

$$

SFJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Oct 26, 8:26 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 26, 8:26 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
826 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal low will continue to lift towards southern New
England into tonight, retrograding counterclockwise off the
coast in the process. In the wake of the coastal low, high
pressure is expected to briefly build in over our region on
Thursday, before another low pressure system lifts from the
southern Mississippi Valley into the northeastern U.S. Friday
into Saturday. High pressure is expected to build into the
region Sunday and Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Evening Update...

With this update, made some adjustments to PoPs based on radar
and hi res model trends, and also adjusted temps and dew points
as observations have been been running cooler and drier than
forecast. Rain is starting to pivot back into the area from
northwest to southeast. It will continue to make progress
southeast, but should mostly be light in intensity and won't
make it all the way through the area. Some of the western and
southern zones should stay mostly dry tonight. Also made some
adjustments to the winds through Wednesday, mainly bumping up
the gusts by several miles per hour for most of late tonight and
Wednesday. Was tempted to issue a Wind Advisory mainly for
areas such as Middlesex, Monmouth, and Ocean Counties where some
gusts around 45 mph are possible especially near the coast
early Wednesday. But some of the latest trends are keeping the
low center just a tad further east, and given it is marginal
anyways, prefer to hold off. Elsewhere, breezy conditions are
likely especially by late tonight and Wednesday morning, but
well below advisory levels.

Previous discussion follows...

Rain is wrapping around the offshore coastal low and starting
to fill back in across the Mid-Atlantic region. This area of
rain is much less robust than the rain that occurred Tuesday
night, and while there could still be pockets of moderate to
heavy rain this evening, the majority of it will be lighter in
nature. Additional rainfall amounts will generally be around
0.50" or less, though some places may see up to an inch. A
robust band of rain across Long Island may rotate back through
portions of eastern and central New Jersey later this evening.
We will need to watch this area in particular as those places
were harder hit with 3-5" of rain overnight into this morning.

As the coastal low deepens, the pressure gradient will tighten
up over our area and winds will respond in kind, especially
along the immediate coast and nearby inland areas. Winds will be
around 20 to 30 mph with some gusts up around 40 to 45 mph.
With some areas having had a good deal of rain in the past 24
hours, the ground is quite saturated. Add in the fact that many
trees still have their leaves and that could translate into some
trees or limbs coming down in sub-advisory winds. Winds should
start to drop some on wednesday as the low-level jet moves past
the region.

As far as temperatures go, it is quite mild outside with very
seasonable temperatures. With the cloud cover expected to remain
through much of the night, overnight lows will likely remain on
the warm side and in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Clouds start
to clear on Wednesday (though it may be later in the day for
eastern areas). Daytime highs look to reach back into the upper
50s to mid 60s across the forecast area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Wednesday night through Thursday looks to be a fairly quiet
period across the region and the only real break between
systems.

Clearing overnight Wednesday will allow for temperatures to
fall into the 40s, making for a crisp fall night. It may be
breezy especially during the early evening but winds should
really drop off across the area overnight.

Thursday we will see the clouds return in advance of the next
system. Winds turn more to the north and northeast and
temperatures will be slightly cooler than they were on
Wednesday.

As we head into Thursday night, we will start to see
precipitation working its way back into the area from west to
east as low pressure over the Tennessee Valley starts to push
towards our area.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
An area of low pressure centered near the WV/VA border is
expected to be the main weather influence for the area Friday as
a swath of heavy rain pivots around the low and moves through
the area. The precipitation looks to continue into the early
morning hours Saturday. Total amounts of precipitation look to
be the highest across southern NJ and southward with up to
around an inch possible. Rainfall amounts should diminish
northward with about .50 inches possible across the Poconos. The
aforementioned low looks to move towards the northeast on
Saturday with the associated dynamics. Some showers are still
likely for Saturday, but with much lower amounts than Friday. An
improving trend is expected to start over the area later
Saturday as the trough with the area of low pressure moves to
the east and winds shift around to the northwest. More sunshine
is anticipated on Sunday as well with drier air. Monday looks to
be a nice, fall day with a good deal of sunshine.

High temperatures look to remain about 5 degrees above normal
throughout the period with lows averaging about 5-10 degrees
above normal.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight... Mainly MVFR. Brief and localized IFR is possible
mainly near and north of PHL. Rain and showers will rotate
southward, back into the region, likely affecting all of the
terminals with mainly light intensity rain for a few hours. Rain
should mostly depart near or before daybreak. Winds mainly from
the northwest at 10 to 15 kt with gusts of 20 to 25 kt, but
varying quite a bit. Areas closest to the coast will tend to see
the highest winds, and winds may decrease somewhat in the late
evening before increasing again before daybreak. Moderate
confidence overall.

Wednesday... For the morning, mainly MVFR with BKN to OVC CIGs
of around 2000 feet. Improvement to VFR is expected from west to
east as the day progresses, though areas near the coast may
remain MVFR for much of the day. Winds north-northwest at 10 to
20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, strongest in the morning and
gradually decreasing in the afternoon. Winds could be a little
stronger near the coast and lighter towards RDG and ABE.
Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...VFR conditions expected with northerly winds
from 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Thursday and Thursday night...VFR. East-northeasterly winds
from 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Friday and Friday night...MVFR to even IFR conditions at times
as rain moves into the region along a warm front. Easterly winds
from 10 to 15 knots with gusts from 20 to 25 knots. Moderate
confidence in overall pattern, lower confidence on finer details
and timing.

Saturday and Saturday night...Sub-VFR conditions possible,
especially in the morning as rain showers slowly move out of the
region. Southeasterly winds turning southwesterly from 5 to 10
knots with gusts to 20 knots. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
A Gale Warning remains in effect for the Atlantic coastal
waters and Delaware Bay. A couple hours of gusts to near storm
force are likely for the central and northern New Jersey coastal
waters late tonight and early Wednesday. The wind direction
will be northwesterly tonight then almost due northerly for most
of Wednesday. Wind speeds will peak late tonight and Wednesday
morning before gradually decreasing Wednesday afternoon,
eventually to below gale force. Seas 7 to 11 ft. Rain likely
tonight.

Outlook...

Wednesday night though Saturday...elevated seas may continue on
the coastal waters for much, if not all of this period. Wind
gusts should subside Wednesday night, and generally stay below
25 kt on the waters for most of this period, with the exception
of Thursday night into Friday, when easterly winds 25 to 30 kt
will be possible. There remains a small chance for gale force
gusts, but think this appears to be less likely.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Complex low pressure is expected to meander off southeastern
New England and Long Island overnight and Wednesday before
drifting farther out to sea. Another low is forecast to approach
from the west and southwest late in the week.

The west to northwest wind this evening is anticipated to shift
to the north tonight. The wind should then veer gradually to
the northeast and east during the period from Wednesday into
Friday. The expected pattern through the end of the work week
will allow little opportunity for water to drain away from the
coast. As a result, we will continue to monitor for the
possibility of minor flooding in the tidal areas of New Jersey
and Delaware, and along Delaware Bay. Fortunately, the
astronomical tides associated with the last quarter moon will
work in our favor. It will take a 2 foot departure at the midday
high tides, and a 3 foot departure at the overnight high tides
to cause minor flooding.

For now, we have issued a Coastal Flood Advisory for Atlantic
County, Cape May County, and Sussex County DE to cover the
midday high tide on Wednesday. Only spotty minor flooding is
expected along the coasts of Ocean County and Monmouth County
with that high tide. Additional advisories are quite possible as
we go through the end of the week.

With the persistent nature of the onshore flow, we may even see some
minor flooding on the tidal Delaware River and on the upper eastern
shore of Chesapeake Bay as we get into Thursday and Friday.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM to 5 PM EDT Wednesday for
     NJZ022>025.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM to 5 PM EDT Wednesday for
     DEZ003-004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ450>455.
     Gale Warning until noon EDT Wednesday for ANZ430-431.

&&

Synopsis...Davis/Johnson
Near Term...Fitzsimmons/Meola/O'Brien
Short Term...Meola
Long Term...Clayton
Aviation...Davis/O'Brien
Marine...Meola/O'Brien
Tides/Coastal Flooding...Iovino
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 26, 11:11 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

DEZ001-280311-
New Castle-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-280311-
Kent-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-280311-
Inland Sussex-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-280311-
Delaware Beaches-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-280311-
Carbon-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-280311-
Monroe-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-280311-
Berks-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-280311-
Lehigh-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-280311-
Northampton-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-280311-
Delaware-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-280311-
Philadelphia-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-280311-
Western Chester-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-280311-
Eastern Chester-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-280311-
Western Montgomery-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-280311-
Eastern Montgomery-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-280311-
Upper Bucks-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-280311-
Lower Bucks-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-280311-
Sussex-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-280311-
Warren-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-280311-
Morris-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-280311-
Hunterdon-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-280311-
Somerset-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-280311-
Middlesex-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-280311-
Western Monmouth-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-280311-
Eastern Monmouth-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Wednesday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-280311-
Mercer-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-280311-
Salem-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-280311-
Gloucester-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-280311-
Camden-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-280311-
Northwestern Burlington-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-280311-
Ocean-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-280311-
Cumberland-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-280311-
Atlantic-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-280311-
Cape May-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-280311-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-280311-
Coastal Atlantic-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-280311-
Coastal Ocean-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Wednesday.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-280311-
Southeastern Burlington-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-280311-
Kent MD-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-280311-
Queen Annes-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-280311-
Talbot-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-280311-
Caroline-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-280311-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-280311-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-280311-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-280311-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-280311-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-280311-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-280311-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-280311-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1111 PM EDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 26, 7:08 PM EDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
708 PM EDT TUE OCT 26 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       OAK RIDGE               41.04N 74.48W
10/26/2021  M3.81 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEO
Local storm report, Oct 26, 7:33 PM EDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
733 PM EDT TUE OCT 26 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MONTVILLE               40.91N 74.38W
10/26/2021  M3.80 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   COCORAHS

&&

JEO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 26, 8:18 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean21 hr
Oct 26, 9:24 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningPHISomerset2 hr
Oct 27, 12:12 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHIEssex, Morris, Passaic5 days
Oct 27, 2:59 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningPHISussex, Warren11 hr
Oct 27, 4:26 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHISussex, Warren26 hr
Oct 27, 4:26 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren38 hr
Oct 27, 9:55 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer29 hr
Oct 27, 11:54 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI42 hr
Oct 27, 5:08 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 4 more34 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.