Alert archive / Oregon / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 47, NWS Medford, OR

April 12, 2021

NWS Medford, OR issued this small craft advisory at Apr 12, 2021, 2:26 AM PDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2021, 2:26 AM PDT (09:26 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2021, 11:00 AM PDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

The text

As transmitted.

388 
WHUS76 KMFR 120926
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
226 AM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

PZZ376-122300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T1200Z-210414T1200Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
226 AM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, north winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts
  up to 40 kt expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep
  seas 10 to 13 ft expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, north
  winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt expected.

* WHERE...Gales will affect areas south of Nesika Beach.
  Elsewhere, Hazardous Seas Warning conditions are expected.
  Tuesday, Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas
  south of Port Orford. Elsewhere, Small Craft conditions are 
  expected. 
 
* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. For the 
  Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 5 AM Tuesday to 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ356-122300-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T1200Z-210414T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
226 AM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, north winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts
  up to 40 kt expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep
  seas 9 to 11 ft. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to
  30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt expected.

* WHERE...Gales will affect areas beyond 5nm from shore with
  Hazardous Seas conditions elsewhere. Tuesday, all areas. 

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 5 AM Tuesday to 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ370-122300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210412T0926Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
226 AM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep seas 7 to 11
  ft expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 30
  kt with gusts up to 35 kt expected.

* WHERE...Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas
  south of Reedsport with Small Craft conditions expected
  elsewhere through tonight. Tuesday all areas. 

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ350-122300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
226 AM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 25 kt
  with gusts up to 35 kt expected. For the Hazardous Seas 
  Warning, very steep seas 9 to 12 ft expected. 

* WHERE...Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas
  beyond 5 nm from shore south of Bandon, except at the coast near
  Cape Blanco. Elsewhere, Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected through tonight. Tuesday, all areas. 

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
8 follow-up statements
914 
WHUS76 KMFR 122150
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
250 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

PZZ356-131100-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T1200Z-210414T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
250 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, north winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts
  up to 40 kt expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very 
  steep seas 9 to 11 ft. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds
  20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt expected.

* WHERE...Gales will affect areas beyond 5nm from shore south of
  Port Orford with Hazardous Seas conditions elsewhere. Tuesday,
  very steep warning level seas will impact areas south of Gold
  Beach beyond 6 NM from shore.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. For the 
  Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 5 AM Tuesday to 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ376-131100-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T1200Z-210414T1200Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
250 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, north winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts
  up to 40 kt expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very 
  steep seas 10 to 13 ft expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, 
  north winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt expected.

* WHERE...Gales will affect areas from Gold Beach southward.
  Elsewhere, Hazardous Seas Warning conditions are expected.
  Tuesday, Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect most
  areas.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. For the 
  Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 5 AM Tuesday to 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ370-131100-
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
250 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep seas 10 ft
  expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 30 kt
  with gusts up to 35 kt and steep seas 6 to 9 ft expected.

* WHERE...Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas
  south of Reedsport with Small Craft conditions expected
  elsewhere through tonight. On Tuesday Small Craft Advisory
  conditions will affect all areas.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ350-131100-
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
250 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 25 kt
  with gusts up to 35 kt expected. For the Hazardous Seas Warning,
  very steep seas 10 ft expected.

* WHERE...Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas
  beyond 5 nm from shore south of Bandon, except at the coast near
  Cape Blanco. Elsewhere, Small Craft Advisory conditions are
  expected through tonight. Tuesday, Small Craft Advisory
  Conditions will affect all areas.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
521 
WHUS76 KMFR 130356
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
856 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

PZZ356-376-131700-
/O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T1200Z-210414T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
856 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep seas 9 to 12
  ft and north winds of 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt. For the
  Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to
  30kt and seas 8 to 10 ft.

* WHERE...Warning level seas will affect all areas tonight.
  Tuesday, very steep warning level seas will impact areas south
  of Gold Beach beyond 6 NM from shore with conditions hazardous
  to small craft farther north.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT 
  Wednesday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 5 AM Tuesday to 
  5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ370-131700-
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
856 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep seas 10 ft
  expected and north winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up 
  to 30 kt and steep seas 6 to 9 ft expected.

* WHERE...Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas 
  south of Reedsport with Small Craft conditions expected 
  elsewhere through tonight. On Tuesday Small Craft Advisory 
  conditions will affect all areas.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ350-131700-
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210413T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
856 PM PDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep seas 10 ft
  expected and north winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up 
  to 30 kt and steep seas 6 to 9 ft expected.

* WHERE...Hazardous Seas Warning conditions will affect areas 
  beyond 5 nm from shore south of Bandon, except at the coast 
  near Cape Blanco. Elsewhere, Small Craft Advisory conditions 
  are expected through tonight. Tuesday, Small Craft Advisory 
  Conditions will affect all areas.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM PDT Tuesday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
794 
WHUS76 KMFR 130918
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
218 AM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

PZZ376-132300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T0600Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T1200Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0021.210414T0000Z-210414T0300Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
218 AM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM PDT
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT... For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 to 12 ft at a dominant period of 8 seconds or less. For
  the Gale Warning, north winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts 40 to 45 
  kt and seas 11 to 13 ft at a dominant period of 8 seconds or 
  less.
 
* WHERE...The Hazardous Seas Warning is for the entire area. The
  Gale Warning is for areas between 10 and 40 NM of the coast
  south of Gold Beach to Point Saint George.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 11 PM PDT this
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 PM
  PDT this evening. 

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are possible due to 
  blowing spray.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ356-132300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210413T0918Z-210415T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
218 AM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 to 12 ft at a dominant period of 8 seconds or less. For
  the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up
  to 40 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft at a dominant period of 9 seconds or
  less.

* WHERE...The Advisory is for the entire area. The Warning is
  primarily for area beyond 5 NM from the coast.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning and the Small Craft 
  Advisory, until 11 PM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ370-132300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T0600Z/
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
218 AM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 to 11 ft at a dominant period of 9 seconds or less. For
  the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up
  to 40 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft at a dominant period of 9 seconds or
  less.

* WHERE...The Advisory is for all areas. The Warning is generally
  for areas beyond 5 NM of the coast west of Bandon southward. 

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning and the Small Craft 
  Advisory, until 11 PM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ350-132300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210415T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
218 AM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 to 11 ft at a dominant period of 9 seconds or less. For
  the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up
  to 40 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft at a dominant period of 9 seconds or
  less.

* WHERE...The Advisory is for all areas. The Warning is generally
  for areas beyond 5 NM of the coast west of Bandon southward.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning and the Small Craft 
  Advisory, until 11 PM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$
BTL
Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
288 
WHUS76 KMFR 132108
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
208 PM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

PZZ376-141015-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0021.210414T0000Z-210414T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210414T1200Z-210415T1200Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
208 PM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM PDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 to 13 ft. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20
  to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and steep seas 7 to 10 ft.

* WHERE...Gales will affect areas from Gold Beach southward beyond
  10NM from shore with warning level hazardous seas elsewhere.
  Then Small Craft Advisory conditions will affect all other areas
  Wednesday. 

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 PM 
  PDT this evening. For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 5 AM 
  PDT Wednesday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 5 AM 
  Wednesday to 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Low visibility conditions are expected.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or
secure the vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ356-370-141015-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
208 PM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 to 11 ft. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 25
  to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and steep seas 6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...The Hazardous Seas Warning affects areas from Bandon
  southward beyond 3 NM from shore. Small Craft Advisory
  conditions are expected all other areas. Tonight, Small Craft
  Advisory conditions are expected most areas.

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 11 PM PDT this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

PZZ350-141015-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210414T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
208 PM PDT Tue Apr 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  seas 10 ft. For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 20 to 30
  kt with gusts up to 40 kt and steep seas 6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...The Warning is for areas south of Bandon beyond 5NM from
  shore with Advisory conditions elsewhere. Then Small Craft
  Advisory conditions will generally affect areas from Reedsport
  southward. 

* WHEN...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, until 11 PM PDT this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Very steep and hazardous seas could capsize or 
  damage vessels. Bar crossings will become especially 
  treacherous.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Recreational boaters should remain in port. Commercial vessels
should prepare for very steep seas and consider remaining in port
until conditions improve.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
474 
WHUS76 KMFR 140943
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
243 AM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

PZZ376-142300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.210414T0943Z-210415T1200Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
243 AM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Hazardous Seas Warning, very steep and hazardous
  northerly seas 10 to 12 ft. For the Small Craft Advisory, north
  winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts 25 to 35 kt and steep, northerly 
  seas 6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...The Hazardous Seas Warning is for areas beyond 15 NM of
  the coast south of Port Orford early this morning and then for
  areas between 10 and 40 NM of the coast from Crook Point
  southward this evening into tonight. Otherwise, Small Craft
  Advisory conditions are expected. 

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds and very steep seas could capsize or
  damage vessels. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid strong winds and very steep
seas in the Hazardous Seas Warning area. Remain in port, seek 
safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe 
conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that winds and seas will create a
potential hazard to smaller vessels and inexperienced mariners.

&&

$$

PZZ356-370-142300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
243 AM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 10 to 25 kt
  with gusts 25 to as high as 35 kt and steep, northerly seas 6 
  to 9 ft.

* WHERE...Nearly all of the area except for sheltered areas near
  the coast.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that winds and seas will create a
potential hazard to smaller vessels and inexperienced mariners.

&&

$$

PZZ350-142300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
243 AM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 20 kt
  with gusts 25 to 30 kt and steep, northerly seas 6 to 8 ft.

* WHERE...Nearly all of the coastal waters are from Seal Rock
  southward, though conditions are likely to fall below advisory
  levels for areas north of Coos Bay from about day break until
  late afternoon before an uptick in winds and seas this evening.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that winds and seas will create a
potential hazard to smaller vessels and inexperienced mariners.

&&

$$
BTL
Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
695 
WHUS76 KMFR 142133
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
233 PM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

PZZ376-151045-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SE.W.0029.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1800Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
233 PM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THURSDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 kt
  with gusts to 35 kt and steep, northerly seas 6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...All areas through tonight then south of Port Orford
  Thursday morning.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ356-370-151045-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
233 PM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 kt
  with gusts to 35 kt and steep, northerly seas 6 to 8 ft.

* WHERE...Nearly all of the areas south of Reedsport except for 
  sheltered areas near the coast.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ350-151045-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
233 PM PDT Wed Apr 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 20 kt
  with gusts to 30 kt and steep northerly seas 6 8 ft.

* WHERE...Beyond 2NM from shore from Coos Bay southward.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
908 
WHUS76 KMFR 150836
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
136 AM PDT Thu Apr 15 2021

PZZ356-370-151200-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA out 10 nm-
Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm-
136 AM PDT Thu Apr 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 20 kt
  with gusts as high as 25 kt and steep, northerly seas around 6 
  ft.

* WHERE...Nearly all of the areas south of Coos Bay except for
  some areas within 5 NM of the coast that are somewhat sheltered
  from northerly winds and seas.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ350-151200-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-210415T1200Z/
Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm-
136 AM PDT Thu Apr 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, steep, northerly seas
  around 6 ft.

* WHERE...All areas south of Coos Bay except for some areas within
  5 NM of the coast.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$

PZZ376-151800-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1800Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
136 AM PDT Thu Apr 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 22 kt
  with gusts as high as 28 kt and steep, northerly seas around 6 
  to 8 ft.

* WHERE...All of the areas until about 5 AM PDT, then reducing to
  mainly areas south of Port Orford beyond 10 NM of the coast.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$
BTL
Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
438 
WHUS76 KMFR 151401
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
701 AM PDT Thu Apr 15 2021

PZZ376-151800-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-210415T1800Z/
Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. St. George CA from 10 to 60 nm-
701 AM PDT Thu Apr 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 20 kt
  with gusts as high as 25 kt and steep, northerly seas around 6 ft.

* WHERE...Mainly areas south of Port Orford beyond 10 NM of the 
  coast.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM PDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and/or steep seas could capsize or 
  damage smaller vessels.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should remain in port and avoid the area of hazardous
conditions.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 11, 9:17 PM PDT, 5 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 9:17 PM PDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
917 PM PDT Sun Apr 11 2021

.UPDATE...An update to the forecast is not necessary. Skies will
remain clear overnight with lows generally a few degrees above the
values from this morning. But, that will still be a few to several
degrees below normal. A Frost Advisory remains in effect for the
early morning hours in the Coquille Valley and along the coast of
Coos and Douglas counties.

The recent pattern of dry weather with generally below normal low
temperatures and above normal high temperatures will likely
continue through the upcoming weekend.

Arguably the most impactful portion of the forecast will be
associated with a trough retrograding from the Rockies now into
eastern Oregon by Tuesday. East-side northeast winds will likely
reach a peak Tuesday into Tuesday evening with gusts of 25 to 40
mph, with west-side gusts reaching 15 to 30 mph.

This will also bring an increase of mainly mid-level moisture to
the east side. Virga is a good bet with dry air at the low levels.
But, the highest probability of light showers surviving to the
ground is in Lake and Modoc counties. As is typical with closed
lows...there is a moderate amount of variability in just how far
south and west the trough will track, and how much moisture will
be available. But, we could envision covering a longer duration
and wider swath of Lake and Modoc counties with at least a slight
chance of showers Tuesday through Wednesday. A few rumbles of
thunder are also within the realm of possibility for the far east
side during peak heating of late Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 12/00Z TAF Cycle...VFR will continue through
Monday night. Gusty north winds at 20 to 35 kt are expected along
the coast through this evening and again Monday afternoon and
evening, including KOTH. North winds will also be gusty up to 20 kt
in the Umpqua Basin, including KRBG, early this evening and Monday
afternoon into early evening. -DW

&&

.MARINE...Updated 815 PM PDT Sunday, 11 Apr 2021...Moderate to
strong winds and steep to very steep seas are expected through
Monday night. Northerly gales will affect areas generally beyond 5NM
from shore south of Cape Blanco while most of the remaining coastal
waters will be impacted by very steep and hazardous warning level
seas. Winds and seas will be at their highest during the afternoons
and evenings through Monday evening. Some high resolution models
keep winds gusty all the way to the coastline through Monday night,
and thus we expanded the Hazardous Seas Warning to cover most of the
waters through Monday night.

Winds are expected to diminish Tuesday but will tick upwards again
on Tuesday afternoon, likely keeping Small Craft Advisory conditions
for most areas, with hazardous seas remaining possible generally
south of Gold Beach beyond 10NM from shore.

It's likely that winds and seas finally dip below Small Craft
Advisory level for all areas by Thursday. -Spilde/Keene

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 248 PM PDT Sun Apr 11 2021/

SHORT TERM...This afternoon through Tuesday night...With high
pressure aloft and a thermal trough at the surface, skies are
clear across the area this afternoon. The thermal trough is
bringing enhanced afternoon breezes today, with gusty winds along
the coast and across the higher terrain. Afternoon temperatures
today will be around 5 to 10 degrees warmer than what occurred
yesterday. Dry conditions and clear skies will continue this
evening and overnight and another chilly night is expected across
the region. Although overnight temperatures will be warmer than
last night, values will still be conducive for frost potential
along the coast north of Cape Blanco and into the Coquille Basin.
As such, have issued a Frost Advisory for that area for tonight,
and details can be found at NPWMFR. The remainder of the area will
be warmer by around 3 to 5 degrees, so we aren't expecting any
widespread freeze conditions for west side valleys tonight.
Conditions on Monday will be quite similar to those of today,
although afternoon temperatures will trend higher by another 5 to
10 degrees.

Monday evening into Tuesday, an upper level trough digs over the
Pacific Northwest and lingers through much of the week. This will be
an "inside slider" so there won't be much moisture associated with
it due to the mostly over land trajectory. Conditions should remain
largely dry, however, a decent amount of ensembles, both the GEFS
and EC, show some light precipitation (<0.02") over far eastern
portions of Lake and Modoc counties on Tuesday afternoon. Given the
mostly over land trajectory, and preceding dry air mass, am
skeptical that any precipitation will make it to the ground.
However, there is some over water trajectory which would allow for
some moisture to be entrained in the system, and given the amount of
ensemble showing the possibility, have left in a slight chance
PoPs across far eastern portions of Modoc County. The more noticeable
element of this upper level trough will be gusty winds on Tuesday.
It will be breezy everywhere in the forecast area Tuesday, but
especially so across the East Side where gusts of 25 to 35 mph will
be common. The trajectory of this low brings the strongest 700 mb
winds over the coastal waters, and with 700 mb winds across the East
Side limited to 25 to 30 kt, wind speeds should remain below
advisory criteria. It should be noted, however, that it has been
quite some time since the area has recieved wetting rains (about
three weeks) and these strong winds will be coupled with minimum
humidities similar to summer-time values. Given the dry state of
things, use caution if dealing with anything that could potentially
start a fire. Winds will ease Tuesday night, but low pressure
remains over the region as we head into the extended. /BR-y

LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...The gusty winds on the East
Side will begin to calm as the low pressure system stalls and
weakens. Very dry humidities will, however, continue since we will
remain in north to northeast flow. This period of mild to warm, dry,
and breezy conditions will continue to erode snowpack for most of
the extended forecast timeframe.

The overall forecast we are creating shows little difference between
runs. Yesterday, I mentioned a potential trade-off between showers
and storms and the gusty winds and very low humidities. This was
based on the track of the low and its westward shift in track.
Things look very similar today, and the best chance for
precipitation to occur in the extended is Tuesday night into early
Wednesday morning. This would look like showers and a possible
thunderstorm over the Warner Mountain in Modoc County, but am still
not of the belief that the slight westward track would be enough to

1.) Provide enough moisture to initiate cloud cover or convection.
2.) Overcome the very dry air mass near the surface from the
resultant easterly flow. This means that any precipitation would
evaporate before reaching the ground.

Therefore, have continued the drier and breezier portion of the
National Blend of Models that incorporates the ECMWF ensembles for
now. -Schaaf

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM PDT Monday for ORZ021.

CA...None.

Pacific Coastal Waters...Gale Warning until 5 AM PDT Tuesday for
     PZZ356-376.
     Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Tuesday for
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ350.

DW/MAS/BR-y

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Oregon, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.