Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2021

Red Flag Warning 18, NWS Medford, OR

July 7, 2021Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Harney County, Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Jul 7, 2021, 2:16 PM PDT for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Harney County, Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon. It took effect at Jul 8, 2021, 2:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2021, 2:16 PM PDT (21:16 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 8, 2021, 2:00 PM PDT
Expired
Jul 8, 2021, 8:00 PM PDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Harney County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1702 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

695 
WWUS86 KMFR 072116
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
216 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...Gusty Wind With Very Low RH Today and Especially Thursday...

.A drier air mass combined with gusty winds will lead to critical
fire weather conditions across the Modoc today. These conditions
are likely Thursday afternoon and evening across the Modoc,
Fremont-Winema National Forest, and portions of Klamath National
Forest.

CAZ285-080930-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0012.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.210707T2200Z-210708T0400Z/
Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
216 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285...

* Impacts:  Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high
fire danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new
and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Northern CA...All of Fire Weather Zone 285.

* Wind: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 10 percent.

* Additional Details: The air mass will also be very dry and
unstable above the surface leading to a moderate probability of
plume dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

CAZ284-ORZ624-080930-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0012.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
216 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624...


* Impacts:  Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high
fire danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new
and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
 In Northern CA....Eastern Fire Zone 284. 
 In South Central OR....Most of Fire Zone 624,.

* Wind: West 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 12 percent.

* Additional Details: This Red Flag Warning includes the burn site 
of the Bootleg Fire.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

ORZ625-080930-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
South Central Oregon Desert including the BLM Land in Eastern Lake
and Western Harney Counties-
216 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625...

* Impacts:  Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high
fire danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new
and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In South Central OR...Southeast Fire Weather Zone 625.

* Wind: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 8 percent.

* Additional Details: The air mass will also be very dry and
unstable above the surface leading to a moderate probability of
plume dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

ORZ622-080300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210708T0300Z/
Eastern Rogue Valley-
216 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622...

* Impacts:  Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high
fire danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new
and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Southwest OR...Fire Weather Zone 622.

* Wind: Northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

* Humidity: 12 to 15 percent.

* Additional Details: The air mass will also be very dry and
unstable above the surface leading to a moderate probability of
plume dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

$$


Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford
4 follow-up statements
343 
WWUS86 KMFR 080308
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
808 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...Gusty Wind With Very Low RH Thursday...

.Critical fire weather conditions are likely Thursday afternoon 
and evening across the Modoc, Fremont-Winema National Forest, and 
portions of Klamath National Forest.

CAZ285-082200-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210708T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
808 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT
   THURSDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW
   RH THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Medford has cancelled the Red Flag
Warning.

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high fire
  danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new and
  existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Northern CA...Fire Weather Zone 285.

* Wind: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 10 percent.

* Additional Details: The air mass will also be very dry and
  unstable above the surface leading to a moderate probability of
  plume dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

ORZ622-080415-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210708T0300Z/
Eastern Rogue Valley-
808 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH
   FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622...

Winds have diminished and humidities are rising.

$$

CAZ284-ORZ624-625-082200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
South Central Oregon Desert including the BLM Land in Eastern Lake
and Western Harney Counties-
808 PM PDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT
   THURSDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH...

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high fire
  danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new and
  existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Northern CA Fire Zone....284.
  In South Central OR Fire Zones...624...625.

* Wind: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 12 percent.

* Additional Details: This warning includes the Bootleg and Juniper
  fire sites. The air mass will also be very dry and unstable 
  above the surface leading to a moderate probability of plume 
  dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

$$


Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford
222 
WWUS86 KMFR 081222
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
522 AM PDT Thu Jul 8 2021


CAZ284-285-ORZ624-625-090000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.210708T2100Z-210709T0300Z/
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
South Central Oregon Desert including the BLM Land in Eastern Lake
and Western Harney Counties-
522 AM PDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 284...285...624 AND 625...

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the potential
  spread of new and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
 - In Northern CA...Eastern FWZ 284 and all of FWZ 285. 
 - In South Central OR...Most of FWZ 624 and most of the 
   southeastern half of FWZ 625.

* Wind: Southwest this afternoon becoming northwest late afternoon
  into early this evening at 10 to 20 mph with gusts 20 to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 4 to 14 percent.

* Additional Details: This warning includes the Bootleg and Juniper
  wildfires. The air mass will also be dry and unstable above the
  surface leading to a low to moderate probability of plume 
  dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

$$
~BTL

Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford
840 
WWUS86 KMFR 082114
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
214 PM PDT Thu Jul 8 2021


CAZ284-285-ORZ624-625-090300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210709T0300Z/
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
South Central Oregon Desert including the BLM Land in Eastern Lake
and Western Harney Counties-
214 PM PDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...
285...624 AND 625...

* Impacts:  Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and high
fire danger will likely contribute to a significant spread of new
and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
- In Northern CA...Eastern FWZ 284 and all of FWZ 285. 
- In South Central OR...Most of FWZ 624 and most of the 
   southeastern half of FWZ 625.

* Wind: Southwest this afternoon becoming northwest late afternoon
  into early this evening at 10 to 20 mph with gusts 20 to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 4 to 14 percent.

* Additional Details: This warning includes the Bootleg and 
  Juniper wildfires. The air mass will also be dry and unstable 
  above the surface leading to a low to moderate probability of 
  plume dominated growth of new and existing fires.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

$$


Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford
506 
WWUS86 KMFR 090250
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
750 PM PDT Thu Jul 8 2021

CAZ284-285-ORZ624-625-090400-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210709T0300Z/
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
South Central Oregon Desert including the BLM Land in Eastern Lake
and Western Harney Counties-
750 PM PDT Thu Jul 8 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
   STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284...
   285...624 AND 625...

Winds are diminishing and humidities are rising across the area. 

$$

Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 4:14 AM PDTRed Flag WarningMFRModoc16 hr
Jul 7, 1:21 PM PDTExcessive Heat WarningMFRSiskiyou6 days
Jul 7, 1:21 PM PDTHeat AdvisoryMFRModoc, Siskiyou6 days

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2021Red Flag Warnings in California, 2021Every red flag warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.