Alert archive / Kentucky / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 28, NWS Louisville, KY

February 28, 2021Harrison County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this river flood warning at Feb 28, 2021, 11:48 AM EST for Harrison County, Kentucky. It took effect at Feb 28, 2021, 11:42 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2021, 11:48 AM EST (16:48 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 28, 2021, 11:42 PM EST
Expired
Mar 1, 2021, 1:56 PM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Louisville, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Harrison County, KY

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana (CYNK2). The gauge peaked at 18.96 ft at Mar 1, 2021, 10:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderatemajor10152002/2803/0103/02
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03252500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

269 
WGUS43 KLMK 281648
FLWLMK

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1148 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...The National Weather Service in Louisville KY has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Kentucky...

  South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana affecting Harrison County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you are affected by these crests take any necessary actions. 
Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.
php?wfo=lmk

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest 
information.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lmk.

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&


KYC097-010900-
/O.NEW.KLMK.FL.W.0028.210301T0442Z-000000T0000Z/
/CYNK2.2.ER.210301T0442Z.210301T1800Z.210302T0706Z.NO/
1148 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 22.6 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Intersections of Pearl and Locust, Poplar 
  and Penn, and Poplar and Cromwell Alley flood. KY 36 (Pleasant 
  Street) between Locust and W. Pike flood. KY 983 before Infirmary 
  Road floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Some homes on west side of town flood.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Water enters some businesses. Sections of 
  US 62, US 27, KY 36 south and west of town flood.
* Flood History...No available flood history.


&&

LAT...LON 3829 8433 3853 8446 3857 8434 3849 8429
      3835 8422

$$

MJ
4 follow-up statements
499 
WGUS83 KLMK 010946
FLSLMK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
446 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana affecting Harrison County.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest 
information.

If you are affected by these crests take any necessary actions. 
Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.
php?wfo=lmk

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lmk.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning.

&&


KYC097-012200-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CYNK2.1.ER.210301T1530Z.210301T1800Z.210301T2145Z.NO/
446 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana.
* Until further notice.
* At 4:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning to a crest of 20.5 feet early this afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, River Road is blocked. Riverside park 
  floods.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Several roads are closed outside of city 
  limits.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, A large section of city park floods. Water 
  begins to back up in some streets in west side of town.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Intersections of Pearl and Locust, Poplar 
  and Penn, and Poplar and Cromwell Alley flood. KY 36 (Pleasant 
  Street) between Locust and W. Pike flood. KY 983 before Infirmary 
  Road floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.4 
  feet on 05/20/2020.


&&

LAT...LON 3829 8433 3853 8446 3857 8434 3849 8429
      3835 8422

$$

EBW
951 
WGUS83 KLMK 011505
FLSLMK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1005 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana affecting Harrison County.

  Licking River at Blue Licks Spring affecting Robertson and 
  Nicholas Counties.

.Heavy rain from over the weekend will cause the river to rise.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest 
information.

If you are affected by these crests take any necessary actions. 
Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.
php?wfo=lmk

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lmk.

The next statement will be issued later this evening, unless 
conditions change.

&&


KYC097-020315-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210302T0600Z/
/CYNK2.1.ER.210302T0000Z.210302T0000Z.210302T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until just after midnight 
tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana.
* Until late tonight.
* At 9:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0 feet 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, River Road is blocked. Riverside park 
  floods.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Several roads are closed outside of city 
  limits.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, A large section of city park floods. Water 
  begins to back up in some streets in west side of town.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Intersections of Pearl and Locust, Poplar 
  and Penn, and Poplar and Cromwell Alley flood. KY 36 (Pleasant 
  Street) between Locust and W. Pike flood. KY 983 before Infirmary 
  Road floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 
  feet on 09/25/2018.


&&

LAT...LON 3829 8433 3853 8446 3857 8434 3849 8429
      3835 8422

$$

KYC181-201-020315-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-210306T1017Z/
/BLSK2.1.ER.210228T1904Z.210302T0000Z.210306T0417Z.NO/
1005 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Licking River at Blue Licks Spring.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 9:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 32.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM EST Monday was 32.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 33.0 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Cropland flooding begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.1 
  feet on 04/24/2011.


&&

LAT...LON 3828 8387 3847 8417 3857 8426 3858 8413
      3847 8401 3835 8379

$$

RJS
394 
WGUS83 KLMK 011516
FLSLMK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1016 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Stoner Creek at Paris affecting Bourbon County.

  South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana affecting Harrison County.

  Licking River at Blue Licks Spring affecting Robertson and 
  Nicholas Counties.

.Heavy rain from the weekend have caused area rivers to rise to 
flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest 
information.

If you are affected by these crests take any necessary actions. 
Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.
php?wfo=lmk

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lmk.

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&


KYC017-020330-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-210303T0600Z/
/PRSK2.1.ER.210228T1911Z.210301T1600Z.210303T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Stoner Creek at Paris.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 9:15 AM EST Monday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:15 AM EST Monday was 21.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected be near a crest of 21.3 feet 
  through late this morning. It will then fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water floods a few low roads on right bank 
  of creek.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Water enter yards of homes downstream of 
  water plant. Parts of the Garrard Park flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Water in the yards of homes along Taylor, 
  Chambers, Stoner Avenues and Catherine Street.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 
  feet on 12/17/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 3804 8413 3815 8425 3829 8433 3835 8422
      3822 8414 3811 8401

$$

KYC097-020330-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210302T0600Z/
/CYNK2.1.ER.210302T0000Z.210302T0000Z.210302T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana.
* Until late tonight.
* At 9:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0 feet 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, River Road is blocked. Riverside park 
  floods.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Several roads are closed outside of city 
  limits.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, A large section of city park floods. Water 
  begins to back up in some streets in west side of town.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Intersections of Pearl and Locust, Poplar 
  and Penn, and Poplar and Cromwell Alley flood. KY 36 (Pleasant 
  Street) between Locust and W. Pike flood. KY 983 before Infirmary 
  Road floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 
  feet on 09/25/2018.


&&

LAT...LON 3829 8433 3853 8446 3857 8434 3849 8429
      3835 8422

$$

KYC181-201-020330-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-210306T1017Z/
/BLSK2.1.ER.210228T1904Z.210302T0000Z.210306T0417Z.NO/
1016 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Licking River at Blue Licks Spring.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 10:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 32.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:00 AM EST Monday was 32.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 33.0 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Cropland flooding begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.1 
  feet on 04/24/2011.


&&

LAT...LON 3828 8387 3847 8417 3857 8426 3858 8413
      3847 8401 3835 8379

$$

RJS
979 
WGUS83 KLMK 011856
FLSLMK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
156 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana affecting Harrison County.

KYC097-012000-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210301T1856Z/
/CYNK2.1.ER.210302T0000Z.210302T0000Z.210302T0000Z.NO/
156 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning for the South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana 
has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the South Fork Licking River at Cynthiana.
* At 1:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to 
  fall.


&&

LAT...LON 3829 8433 3853 8446 3857 8434 3849 8429
      3835 8422

$$

RAS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 28, 11:31 AM EST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 11:31 AM EST, 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1131 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...Updated Hydrology Discussion...

.Mesoscale Update...
Issued at 1115 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

Forecast temps for 16z are about 3-5F warmer than current Kentucky
Mesonet obs, so have updated near term grids with latest hi-res
guidance to get a better match to reality. Also updated MaxT grids,
and still expect to reach the low 70s across our south-central KY
counties this afternoon. Currently seeing temps in the mid 60s with
dewpoints in the low 60s.

The core of the 55kt SW oriented LLJ is situated over central KY at
this hour, resulting in continued extreme moisture transport in the
925-850mb layer and gusty SW sfc winds of 20-25 mph. PWATs of 1.5-
1.6" are nosing into our western CWA, and expect to see these record-
breaking moisture values continue through the afternoon. As the warm
front continues to push north, our far southern CWA looks to
destabilize this afternoon, with roughly 500-1000 J/kg of CAPE.
Combined with Bulk Shear in the 50-55kt range and sfc-1km storm-
relative helicity around 150-250 m2/s2, could see a few hours of
severe weather potential this afternoon, possibly as a QLCS. Per
SPC, given the substantial wind energy available with low level
shear and helicity, mesocirculations could be possible within
organized convection.

Deep SW flow parallel to thunderstorm orientation has favored
training precip. Thunderstorms training over Trigg/Christian/Todd
counties have resulted in exceedance of Flash Flood Guidance and
considerable flash flooding in PAH CWA. These storms will continue
to train over Logan/Warren/Butler, so Flash Flood Warning has been
issued for that area. More Flash Flood Warnings will likely be
needed through today as efficient rainfall rates of 1 inch/hr cause
increased flooding issues.

We have seen numerous photos of flooded roadways this morning across
social media platforms. Flooding is the leading cause of weather-
related deaths in Kentucky. If you see a flooded roadway, please
turn around, don't drown!

Issued at 700 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

Sfc warm front continues to lift north and is now approaching I-64.
Widespread moderate to locally heavy rain and scattered elevated
storms are ongoing across northern KY and southern IN. The nose of a
50-55 kt southwesterly LLJ is impinging on the boundary in western
Kentucky and southwestern Indiana, resulting in extreme low level
moisture transport. PW maximum of 1.6 inches is near the
Ohio/Mississippi confluence, and the LLJ will continue to advect
higher PW values into central KY.

South of the warm front, MUCAPE is >500 J/kg and sfc dewpoints are
already in the lower 60s. Increasing instability will favor more
organized convection between 7-11 am est. The deep SW flow in place
is also largely parallel to the orientation of the thunderstorms
currently along the Ohio River, so this will favor training
convection and excessive rainfall. Expect the flash flood threat to
increase through mid to late morning from southern Indiana south to
the Western Kentucky Pkwy due to persistent heavy rain rates already
around 1"/hr in localized pockets.

&&

.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 410 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...Heavy Rainfall With Potentially Strong Storms Possible Today...

The main focus today will be the potential for heavy rainfall that
could lead to possible flooding across the Bluegrass. To start the
period, stalled surface boundary will be located just north of the
Ohio River into southern Indiana, putting all of our CWA in the warm
sector. Temperatures have already warmed into the mid 50s to near 60
across southern KY with dewpoint values ranging from the low/mid 50s
across northern KY to low 60s across the south. Strong moisture
transport continues into KY with record setting PWAT values between
1.2 to 1.4 inches across the state. A strong LLJ currently off to
our west moving cross southern IL will work into KY between 12z to
16z inducing WAA precipitation along and north of the parkways. Due
to the aforementioned conditions (PWATs, dewpoints, warm
temperatures) already in place we will have very efficient rainfall
and decent rainfall rates producing flash flooding issues.

By later today, models are starting to suggest at good warming later
this afternoon with afternoon temperatures soaring into the upper
60s to even low 70s with dewpoints reaching the low 60s. While
clouds are expected to remain over the region today there will be
enough instability that convection is still likely. Strong storms
are possible later this afternoon with most of KY in the SPC
marginal risk for severe weather while there is a slight risk for
the counties along the KY/TN border. The main threat with any storms
today would be damaging winds. Any thunderstorm will also produce
locally heavy rain leading to additional hydro issues like flash
flooding, especially in areas that have seen significant rainfall
over the last 24 to 36 hours.

QPF amounts today could range from 1 to 3 inches with localized
amounts approaching 4 where we see more persistent bands of
precipitation.

Cold front starts to push across the county warning area later this
evening and overnight pushing the precipitation off to the
southeast. Most of the instability will have moved out of the area
with just generally light rain showers during the overnight hours.

.Long Term...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 320 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

Fortunately, the long term forecast beginning Monday looks much
drier than the current soggy pattern. Low-level CAA and NW flow will
be in place Monday morning post-fropa. Significant dry air advection
occurs Monday in the mid-levels, but lingering stratus as well as a
cirrus shield should keep skies mostly cloudy to begin the day.
Southern IN should be seeing a clearing trend by mid to late
morning, while central KY sees a gradual clearing trend from north
to south through the afternoon and evening hours. Temperatures will
dip into the mid 30s to mid 40s Monday morning, and afternoon
readings will likely recover into the upper 40s to lower 50s.

1030 mb sfc high builds in from the northwest Mon night, centered
over IL/IN. Winds turn from the NW to NE early Tue. Tue morning will
be chilly with lows in the mid 20s to around 30. Tue will feature
some sunshine with increasing clouds late in the day. Highs should
reach the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Latest trend with the 28.00z guidance is to suppress the Tue night
upper level shortwave and mid-level closed low further south. A
slightly slower trend appears to allow a northern stream shortwave
trough suppress the mid-level closed low near the TN/AL border Tue
night. Have lowered PoPs and QPF as a result, and southern KY has
the best chance at light rain. Lows Tue night should range through
the 30s. Wednesday looks quiet with modest height rises in the wake
of the southern stream low. Highs Wed will likely reach the mid 50s
for most.

Medium-range guidance suggest the development of a deep upper trough
over the Great Lakes and Northeast Thu into the weekend, but sfc
high pressure moving across the Ohio Valley during that time keeps
us dry. Thursday should be the nicest day with sunshine and highs
around 60 possible. The deep upper low dropping south across the
eastern Great Lakes and Northeast may suppress low-level thicknesses
and lead to a cooling trend Fri and Sat.

&&

.Aviation...(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 655 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

Radar showing heavy to moderate rain across the I-64 corridor from
HNB, SDF to LEX. There was even some thunder around SDF/HNB at the
start of the period. Strong LLJ of 50-60kts will begin to work
across KY this morning providing some LLWS from HNB over to LEX.
This will also to continue to generate more precipitation from BWG
to SDF along with potential for isolated thunderstorms embedded in
these heavy rain showers. Expect rain for the bulk of the TAF period
with conditions ranging from MVFR to IFR and occasionally down to
LIFR due to VIS/CIG from heavier rain and thunderstorms.

Winds will be out of the southwest between 10-15kts for most of the
day and likely gust to around 25kts at times, higher gusts are
possible near any passing thunderstorm.

Cold front will being to work through later this evening and we will
see winds shift from the southwest to the west later this evening
and then out of the northwest overnight. Precipitation will slowly
taper off from the northwest to the southwest overnight into Monday
morning.

&&

.Hydrology...
Issued at 1130 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

Major hydrologic event is unfolding across the region this morning.
In the past 24 hours, 1 to 3 inches of rain has fallen along and
just north of the Ohio River with a general 1-2 inches south of the
Ohio River down to about the Cumberland Parkway areas.  Amounts of
around 1 inch have been seen down in the Lake Cumberland region.

This rainfall has led to rapid runoff and we're seeing plenty of
reports of water covering roads and the river basins filling up.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are likely through the
overnight period which will result in more flooding across the
region.

On the rivers, the smaller basins are filling up and will flood
later this afternoon and into the overnight period.  Pretty much
every forecast point will be going into flood, except and handful of
sites.   The smaller basins will see the rapid rises and then fairly
quick falls into late Mon/Tue while the larger basins will continue
to slowly rises as the smaller basins empty out and additional water
upstream of here rolls on through.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flood Watch through Monday morning for INZ083-084-089>092.

KY...Flood Watch through Monday morning for KYZ023>043-045>049-
     053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.

&&

Mesoscale....CJP
Short Term...BTN
Long Term....EBW
Aviation.....BTN
Hydrology....MJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 11:23 AM EST, 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1123 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

INZ083-084-089>092-KYZ023>040-045-011630-
Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-
Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-
Shelby-Franklin-Scott-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Nelson-
Including the cities of Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon,
New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg,
Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville,
Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville,
Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg,
Versailles, and Bardstown
1123 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 /1023 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021/

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Several waves of moderate/heavy rainfall are expected to continue
through Sunday evening, resulting in flooding or flash flooding. If
you see a flooded roadway, turn around!

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Rivers are rising...with the Green, Kentucky, Licking, have the
greatest threat of going into flood.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report heavy rainfall amounts and
flooding through Sunday night.

INZ076>079-011630-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, and Madison
1123 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Several waves of moderate/heavy rainfall are expected to continue
through Sunday evening, resulting in flooding or flash flooding. If
you see a flooded roadway, turn around!

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report heavy rainfall amounts and
flooding through Sunday night.

KYZ041>043-046>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-011630-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-Larue-
Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Springfield,
Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon,
Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave,
Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville,
Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow,
Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville,
and Albany
1123 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 /1023 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021/

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Several waves of moderate/heavy rainfall are expected to continue
through Sunday evening, resulting in flooding or flash flooding. If
you see a flooded roadway, turn around!

A few stronger thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening could
also produce some damaging winds...with the best chance south of the
Cumberland Parkway.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Excessive rainfall and runoff could lead to flooding. Rivers such as
the Green, Kentucky, and Licking, have the greatest threat of going
into flood.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report heavy rainfall amounts and
flooding through Sunday night, as well as any damaging winds this
afternoon and evening.

JDG/CJP

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 28, 9:24 AM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
924 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     FLOOD            CYNTHIANA               38.39N 84.30W
02/28/2021                   HARRISON           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GRAYS RUN IN CYNTHIANA IS OUT OF ITS BANKS.
            ON THE SOUTH SIDE LOOKING TOWARD TOWN ON
            RIVER ROAD.

&&

CJP
Local storm report, Feb 28, 9:49 AM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
949 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0948 AM     FLOOD            3 SW DAVIS              38.34N 84.51W
02/28/2021                   SCOTT              KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            DOUBLE CULVERT RD AND ROGERS GAP RD
            IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

RAS
Local storm report, Feb 28, 9:52 AM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
952 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 AM     FLOOD            3 ENE STAMPING GROUND   38.29N 84.64W
02/28/2021                   SCOTT              KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEBREE RD AT LONGLICK PIKE IMPASSABLE DUE TO
            HIGH WATER.

&&

CJP
Local storm report, Feb 28, 9:57 AM EST, 1 hour 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
957 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0953 AM     FLOOD            1 E SADIEVILLE          38.39N 84.53W
02/28/2021                   SCOTT              KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            LUKE ROAD IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER AT
            EAGLE CREEK.

&&

RAS
Local storm report, Feb 28, 10:01 AM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1001 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0959 AM     FLOOD            3 N MOUNT WASHINGTON    38.08N 85.55W
02/28/2021                   JEFFERSON          KY   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            BARDSTOWN ROAD ENTRANCE TO BROAD RUN PARK
            CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

0957 AM     FLOOD            1 SSE SAINT MATTHEWS    38.24N 85.63W
02/28/2021                   JEFFERSON          KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BROWNS LANE CLOSED BETWEEN BOWLING BLVD AND
            SHERBURN LANE DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&
Special weather statement, Feb 28, 10:31 AM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
931 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

KYZ070>072-281600-
Warren-Logan-Simpson-
931 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE 40 MPH WINDS IN LOGAN...SIMPSON AND
WARREN COUNTIES...

At 930 AM CST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 15 miles west of Memphis Junction to near
Russellville. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Bowling Green, Russellville, Plum Springs, Crestmoor, Memphis
Junction, Mount Victor, Auburn, Woodburn, Hardcastle and Dennis.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. A Flood Warning is also in effect for
this area. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

LAT...LON 3705 8626 3675 8643 3674 8694 3697 8682
TIME...MOT...LOC 1530Z 265DEG 40KT 3696 8676 3681 8683

RAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 10:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLMKClinton44 min
Feb 27, 11:01 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKClinton119 min
Feb 28, 5:20 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKBreckinridge, Bullitt, Hancock, Jefferson, Meade, Ohio and 2 more3 hr
Feb 28, 8:09 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKBullitt, Jefferson, Shelby, Spencer4 hr
Feb 28, 8:30 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryLMKBreckinridge, Hancock, Henry, Meade, Oldham, Trimble4 hr
Feb 28, 9:25 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKFranklin, Harrison, Scott3 hr
Feb 28, 10:27 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKButler, Edmonson, Logan, Simpson, Warren6 hr
Feb 28, 10:31 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLMKWarren29 min
Feb 28, 10:33 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKHardin, Nelson5 days
Feb 28, 10:35 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryLMKBullitt25 hr
Feb 28, 10:38 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Logan, Simpson, Warren22 min
Feb 28, 10:41 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKWarren45 hr
Feb 28, 10:43 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryLMKWarren17 hr
Feb 28, 10:48 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKHart4 days
Feb 28, 10:49 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKButler, Warren8 days
Feb 28, 10:51 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKButler, Muhlenberg, Ohio11 days
Feb 28, 10:54 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKOhio21 days
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningLMKButler, Logan, Warren8 hr
Feb 28, 10:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKFranklin42 hr
Feb 28, 10:59 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKClark, Madison6 days
Feb 28, 11:00 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKGarrard, Jessamine6 days
Feb 28, 11:01 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKGarrard, Jessamine, Mercer6 days
Feb 28, 11:02 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Woodford7 days
Feb 28, 11:04 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKCarroll, Henry, Owen8 days
Feb 28, 11:06 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKBreckinridge, Bullitt, Grayson, Hardin, Nelson, Spencer6 hr
Feb 28, 11:06 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKBourbon48 hr
Feb 28, 11:39 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKBarren, Green, Hart, Metcalfe, Taylor6 hr
Feb 28, 11:47 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLMKNicholas, Robertson21 days
Feb 28, 11:55 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKBreckinridge, Bullitt, Jefferson, Meade, Oldham, Shelby and 1 more6 hr
Feb 28, 12:20 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKFranklin, Harrison, Scott, Shelby6 hr
Feb 28, 2:15 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLMKLogan30 min
Feb 28, 3:23 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLMKBarren37 min
Feb 28, 3:43 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Garrard, Lincoln, Madison6 hr
Feb 28, 3:47 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Larue, Marion and 3 more6 hr
Feb 28, 5:20 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLMKAdair, Allen, Barren, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland and 6 more6 hr
Feb 28, 6:07 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLMKRussell38 min
Feb 28, 6:19 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLMKHancock41 min
Feb 28, 6:40 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningLMKButler, Logan, Warren4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.