River Flood Warning 227, NWS New Orleans, LA

638 
WGUS84 KLIX 150201
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
901 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County.

For the West Hobolochitto Creek...including McNeill...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the East Hobolochitto Creek...including Caesar...Minor flooding 
is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


MSC109-152015-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0227.210916T0421Z-210917T2100Z/
/CREM6.1.ER.210916T0421Z.210916T1800Z.210917T1500Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* From Wednesday evening to Friday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 16.0 feet early 
  Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Water over a few roads in the city of 
  Picayune will cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need 
  alternate routes. A few homes on Northwood Drive will be 
  threatened. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches is subject to flooding in 
  low places.


&&

LAT...LON 3052 8957 3053 8969 3082 8960 3082 8948

$$

MSC109-152015-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0228.210916T0840Z-210917T2200Z/
/MNLM6.1.ER.210916T0840Z.210917T0000Z.210917T1600Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* From late Wednesday night to Friday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning and continue rising to a crest of 17.0 feet 
  Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Some roads in the county inundated but 
  passable. Homes in Westchester Subdivision, Picayune will be 
  threatened. Water over a few roads in the city of Picayune will 
  cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need alternate 
  routes. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches will be subject to 
  flooding in low places.


&&

LAT...LON 3066 8971 3079 8966 3080 8961 3066 8959

$$

PG

058 
WGUS44 KLIX 151357
FLWLIX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
857 AM CDT Wed Sep 15 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County.

  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County.

For the West Hobolochitto Creek...including McNeill...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.
For the East Hobolochitto Creek...including Caesar...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


MSC109-160800-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0228.210915T2236Z-210918T1255Z/
/MNLM6.2.ER.210915T2236Z.210916T1800Z.210918T0655Z.NO/
857 AM CDT Wed Sep 15 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* From this afternoon to Saturday morning.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 18.5 feet early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Some roads in the county inundated but 
  passable. Homes in Westchester Subdivision, Picayune will be 
  threatened. Water over a few roads in the city of Picayune will 
  cause traffic problems. School bus traffic may need alternate 
  routes. Beech Street and Westchester Subdivision below the 
  confluence of the east and west branches will be subject to 
  flooding in low places.


&&

LAT...LON 3066 8971 3079 8966 3080 8961 3066 8959

$$

MSC109-160800-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0227.210916T0234Z-210918T1900Z/
/CREM6.2.ER.210916T0234Z.210917T0000Z.210918T1300Z.NO/
857 AM CDT Wed Sep 15 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until early Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* From this evening to early Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 17.5 feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Moderate flooding in areas near the stream 
  in Picayune. Water will be in garages of several homes between MS 
  Highway 43 and Beech Street bridge. Northwood Drive will be 
  impassable with some homes flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3052 8957 3053 8969 3082 8960 3082 8948

$$

JFL

251 
WGUS84 KLIX 160210
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
910 PM CDT Wed Sep 15 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County.

For the East Hobolochitto Creek...including Caesar...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


MSC109-162015-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0227.210916T0750Z-210918T1708Z/
/CREM6.2.ER.210916T0750Z.210917T0600Z.210918T1108Z.NO/
910 PM CDT Wed Sep 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* From late tonight to early Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 17.5 feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Moderate flooding in areas near the stream 
  in Picayune. Water will be in garages of several homes between MS 
  Highway 43 and Beech Street bridge. Northwood Drive will be 
  impassable with some homes flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3052 8957 3053 8969 3082 8960 3082 8948

$$

KO

345 
WGUS84 KLIX 161722
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Mobile AL
1222 PM CDT Thu Sep 16 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County.

For the East Hobolochitto Creek...including Caesar...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.

&&


MSC109-171730-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0227.000000T0000Z-210918T1030Z/
/CREM6.2.ER.210916T1051Z.210917T0000Z.210918T0430Z.NO/
1222 PM CDT Thu Sep 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* Until early Saturday morning.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.5 feet 
  this evening and is forecast to fall below flood stage by late 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Moderate flooding in areas near the stream 
  in Picayune. Water will be in garages of several homes between MS 
  Highway 43 and Beech Street bridge. Northwood Drive will be 
  impassable with some homes flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3052 8957 3053 8969 3082 8960 3082 8948

$$

21/CLL

950 
WGUS84 KLIX 171430
FLSLIX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
930 AM CDT Fri Sep 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill affecting Pearl River County.

  East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar affecting Pearl River County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Wolf River Above Gulfport affecting Harrison County.

For the Wolf River...including Landon, Gulfport...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lix.  Click 
on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates are needed.

&&


MSC109-171530-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0228.000000T0000Z-210917T1430Z/
/MNLM6.1.ER.210915T1700Z.210916T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Fri Sep 17 2021

...The Flood Warning for the West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill 
has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the West Hobolochitto Creek Near McNeill.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.8 feet Wednesday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3066 8971 3079 8966 3080 8961 3066 8959

$$

MSC109-171530-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0227.000000T0000Z-210917T1430Z/
/CREM6.2.ER.210916T1051Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Fri Sep 17 2021

...The Flood Warning for the East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the East Hobolochitto Creek Near Caesar.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.0 feet Wednesday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3052 8957 3053 8969 3082 8960 3082 8948

$$

MSC047-180830-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0230.000000T0000Z-210918T2100Z/
/GLFM6.1.ER.210916T0801Z.210917T0745Z.210918T1500Z.NO/
930 AM CDT Fri Sep 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Wolf River Above Gulfport.
* Until tomorrow afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM CDT Friday was 8.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 4.1 feet Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Bells Ferry Road will be impassable with 
  deep water on the east bridge approach.


&&

LAT...LON 3039 8917 3037 8922 3041 8922 3042 8919

$$

CAB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
403 AM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

.SHORT TERM (Today through Thursday) It is not important to just
focus on the eventual dissipation of any tropical cyclone. Some of
the most damaging and life threatening variables can still be associated
with it. Flooding rains and tornadic conditions will still be an
issue with this system as it creeps east hugging the I10 corridor
over the next few days. The fetch over the gulf will also increase
along with wind speeds to around 15-25kt and remain there for
about 24 hours maybe a bit longer while we are in a spring tide
cycle. This will be enough to bring up a Coastal Flood advisory
for values around 1-2ft above normal from SW Pass westward. We
will need to see how these winds play out east of the river to add
more locations to the coastal flood advisory but at the moment
most areas to the east look around 1-1.5 above normal for this
event. As with any very slowly moving tropical system, rainfall
amounts will be high and should be a common 5-10 inch storm
totals along and south of the 1-10/1-12 corridor with isolated
higher amounts. North of this area amounts are expected to be
lower but still enough to bring a Flash Flood Watch over all the
CWA. And if any higher total rainfall values or if they shift
slightly northward, this would become a problem for people in SW
Miss as well, so will go that far north with the watch but there
will be a precip gradient over southern Miss that lowers as one
moves north. Heavy rain potential will be slow to move out and we
could see this linger into Thursday.

.Long Term (Thursday night and beyond)...

Still some uncertainty in the extended portion of the forecast
regarding the eventual disposition of Hurricane Nicholas. Current
NHC forecast (10 PM CDT Monday) has it dissipating over southcentral
or southwest Louisiana Thursday. That being said, at this time,
don't see much in the way of drying forecast in the column as a
whole into and through the weekend. Convective development will
likely occur during the more usual diurnally favored hours
(afternoon over land) over the weekend. May see some decrease in
areal coverage by Monday or so.

Don't see much day to day change in temperatures until the expected
decrease in areal coverage around Monday or so, at which time temps
may creep upward a degree or two. 35

&&

AVIATION...

MVFR ceilings will become predominant after sunrise as Hurricane
Nicholas moves inland over the Texas coast and the rain shield moves
closer to the area. Conditions will deteriorate by this afternoon to
low end MVFR or high end IFR and continue there through the end of
the period. Rain will become rather widespread with iso/sct TSRA
through the afternoon and evening hours. Winds will gradually shift
southeast today with potential winds above 20 knots at most
terminals toward evening. These conditions will be prevalent
through the night hours as well. 35/17

&&

MARINE...

SE winds with speeds 15-25kt will continue mainly west of the river
but winds could have frequent gusts at or above 20kt even east of
the river. These higher winds will mainly be in convective bands.
With this, will continue the smal craft advisory. Seas should come
to be more in line with a wind driven sea as Nicholas moves inland.
Any thunderstorms will be capable of bringing rapidly higher winds
and seas. Wind direction should shift to S and finally SW Wed
through Thu and weaken further.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  79  70  79  70 /  90 100 100  50
BTR  79  71  81  70 / 100 100 100  50
ASD  83  72  84  72 / 100 100 100  60
MSY  84  75  85  75 / 100 100 100  60
GPT  83  72  83  73 /  90  80 100  60
PQL  84  71  83  72 /  80  70  90  70

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flash Flood Watch from 7 AM CDT this morning through Thursday
     morning for LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-075>078.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ066>069.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for GMZ550-552-555-
     557-570-572-575-577.

MS...Flash Flood Watch from 7 AM CDT this morning through Thursday
     morning for MSZ068>071-077-080>082.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for GMZ552-555-557-
     570-572-575-577.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
507 AM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

LAZ047>050-141100-
Livingston LA-Ascension LA-West Baton Rouge LA-East Baton Rouge LA-
507 AM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Ascension, east central West Baton Rouge, west central Livingston and
central East Baton Rouge Parishes through 600 AM CDT...

At 507 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Port Vincent, or near Denham Springs, moving northwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Baton Rouge, Zachary, Baker, Denham Springs, Port Allen, Oak Hills
Place, Walker, French Settlement, Port Vincent, Westminster, Old
Jefferson, Merrydale, Inniswold, Watson, Shenandoah, Brownfields,
Greenwell Spring, Village St. George and Baton Rouge Airport.

This includes the following Interstates...
 Interstate 10 in Louisiana between mile markers 155 and 166.
 Interstate 12 between mile markers 1 and 18.
 Interstate 110 in Louisiana between mile markers 1 and 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 9075 3027 9087 3048 9128 3069 9109
TIME...MOT...LOC 1007Z 126DEG 19KT 3040 9090

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
652 AM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

LAZ048-050-141230-
Livingston LA-East Baton Rouge LA-
652 AM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Livingston
and central East Baton Rouge Parishes through 730 AM CDT...

At 651 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Springfield, or 12 miles southwest of Hammond, moving west at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Baton Rouge, Zachary, Baker, Denham Springs, Port Allen, Walker,
Livingston, Springfield, Merrydale, Watson, Brownfields, Greenwell
Spring, Shenandoah, Killian and Baton Rouge Airport.

This includes the following Interstates...
 Interstate 12 between mile markers 4 and 33.
 Interstate 110 in Louisiana between mile markers 2 and 7.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3071 9108 3047 9055 3043 9055 3042 9053
      3029 9059 3046 9120
TIME...MOT...LOC 1151Z 112DEG 34KT 3041 9064

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH