River Flood Warning 17, NWS Jackson, KY

317 
WGUS83 KJKL 020711
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
211 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd 
  County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Paintsville affecting Johnson 
  County.

For the Big Sandy River...including Elkhorn City, Pikeville, 
Prestonsburg, Paintsville...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 11 AM. 

&&


KYC071-021915-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210302T1910Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.210302T0242Z.210302T0645Z.210302T1310Z.NO/
211 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Prestonsburg.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 1:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 40.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 40.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is nearing its crest and is expected to fall 
  to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, minor flooding affects low lying areas. 

&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256

$$

KYC115-021915-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210303T0042Z/
/PTVK2.2.ER.210301T0610Z.210301T1715Z.210302T1842Z.NO/
211 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Paintsville.
* Until this evening.
* At 1:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 39.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet, water has entered houses along Bridge 
  Street, Frank Street, and Euclid Avenue.

&&

LAT...LON 3769 8285 3778 8290 3802 8267 3797 8257
      3778 8277 3774 8276

$$

GEOGERIAN

754 
WGUS83 KJKL 021508
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1008 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd 
  County.

  Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Paintsville affecting Johnson 
  County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 4 PM.

&&


KYC071-022230-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210302T2222Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.210302T0242Z.210302T1100Z.210302T1622Z.NO/
1008 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Prestonsburg.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 40.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 40.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage by 
  early this afternoon.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, minor flooding affects low lying areas. 
  &&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256

$$

KYC115-030315-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210303T1842Z/
/PTVK2.2.ER.210301T0610Z.210301T1715Z.210303T1242Z.NO/
1008 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Paintsville.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 39.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near current levels through this 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet, water has entered houses along Bridge 
  Street, Frank Street, and Euclid Avenue.
  &&

LAT...LON 3769 8285 3778 8290 3802 8267 3797 8257
      3778 8277 3774 8276

$$

GEERTSON

302 
WGUS83 KJKL 021954
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
254 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd 
  County.

KYC071-022100-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210302T1954Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.700119T1630Z.700119T1631Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
254 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at 
Prestonsburg has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Levisa Fork Big Sandy River at Prestonsburg.
* At 12:45 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 39.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 40.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is falling, but will continue to run high 
  through Wednesday.
  &&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256

$$

GEOGERIAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
626 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 406 PM EST MON MAR 1 2021

A ridge of high pressure will gradually take control of area
weather in the short term. Lingering cloud cover will steadily
scatter out and clear off this evening and tonight, giving way to
mostly clear to partly cloudy skies around eastern Kentucky. A
much cooler air mass will settle over the region tonight, which
will make for a very cold night. Light winds and the clearing
skies will set the stage for a decent ridge valley temperature
split tonight, especially in our deeper and normally colder
eastern valley locations. Tonights lows are forecast to fall into
the mid to upper teens in our colder valleys, while the
surrounding valleys only fall into the mid 20s. We may experience
periods of strong, gusty winds this afternoon from time to time,
but these should slacken quickly after sunset and as a cold front
continues to pull away to our east. Highs on Tuesday will not be
too bad, generally in the upper 40s to lower 50s, which will be
similar to what we saw yesterday. The best news is that very
little precipitation is in the near term part of the forecast. A
fast moving area of low pressure is progged to move through the
Tennessee Valley Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. This
system may track just far enough north, and have just enough
moisture with it, to allow scattered rain and snow showers to move
into the southern third of our forecast area. Little if any snow
accumulation is expected, and only very light rainfall amounts are
anticipated. Rivers, creeks, and streams will continue to run
high the next couple of days, but we should see gradual decreases
in water levels, as run off from recent rains finally makes its
way through our river systems and out of our area.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 603 PM EST MON MAR 1 2021

It would appear that a well deserved stretch of quiet weather will
grace the area during the long term period, with models in
unusually good agreement considering the time range. The
aforementioned system (from the short term section) which grazes
our southern counties will be departing to the east early
Wednesday, with surface ridging building in from the west under
dry west northwest flow aloft through Thursday. The flow aloft is
expected to send a dry cold front through on Thursday, but
nothing too extreme. Another system, a large closed upper low
currently well offshore of the California coast, should make its
way east across the southeast CONUS at the end of the week. At
this point, models keep its precip just to our south as it passes
by on Saturday. Although, it would not take much of a jog north
for the situation to change. Ridging at all levels then builds in
from the west and northwest on Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
ISSUED AT 626 PM EST MON MAR 1 2021

A ridge of high pressure will bring dry and pleasant weather to
eastern Kentucky through the end of the TAF period. BKN to OVC
cirrus clouds will stream across the skies over eastern Kentucky
this evening, before gradually scattering out overnight. Winds
should go near calm as well. VFR conditions will prevail through
the end of the period, with light and variable winds on tap for
Tuesday.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...HAL
AVIATION...AR

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
915 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-021100-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
915 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Flooding will continue along rivers, creeks, and streams through
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Flooding will continue along the Kentucky, Red, Cumberland, and
Big Sandy river basins through at least Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of flooding.

KAS/HAL/AR