Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 106, NWS Jackson, MS

July 19, 2021Clarke County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jul 19, 2021, 9:53 AM CDT for Clarke County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jul 20, 2021, 4:25 PM CDT. It was in force for 65 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2021, 9:53 AM CDT (14:53 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 20, 2021, 4:25 PM CDT
Expired
Jul 23, 2021, 9:01 AM CDT
In force
65 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clarke County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Chickasawhay River at Enterprise (ENSM6). The gauge peaked at 30.66 ft at Jul 21, 2021, 8:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203007/1907/2007/2107/2207/2307/24
Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
41 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02477000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

996 
WGUS44 KJAN 191453
FLWJAN

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
953 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...The National Weather Service in Jackson MS has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

.Heavy rainfall from 3 to 5 inches has fallen across upper portions 
of the Chunky River Basin. This will cause a sharp rise at Chunky 
and will produce a rise to above flood on the Chickasawhay at 
Enterprise.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Forecast includes rainfall on the ground and 24 hours of additional 
rainfall.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued this evening at 8 PM CDT.

&&


MSC023-200300-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0106.210720T2125Z-210723T0235Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.210720T2125Z.210721T1200Z.210722T0834Z.NO/
953 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* From Tuesday afternoon to Thursday evening.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 26.0 feet on Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  11.8  Mon 9 am CDT 21.2  26.0  24.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$

2
8 follow-up statements
127 
WGUS84 KJAN 200027
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
727 PM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Forecast includes rainfall on the ground and 24 hours of additional 
rainfall.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 9 AM CDT.

&&


MSC023-201230-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.210720T2015Z-210723T0234Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.210720T2015Z.210721T1200Z.210722T0834Z.NO/
727 PM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* From Tuesday afternoon to Thursday evening.
* At 6:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 26.0 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  19.0  Mon 6 pm CDT 25.5  25.7  20.8         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$

SB
742 
WGUS84 KJAN 201554
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1054 AM CDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Forecast includes rainfall on the ground and 24 hours of additional 
rainfall.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued this evening at 8 PM CDT.

&&


MSC023-210400-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.210721T0210Z-210724T0000Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.210721T0210Z.210722T0000Z.210723T0600Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* From this evening to Friday evening.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 27.0 feet tomorrow evening.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  23.0  Tue 10 am CD 26.9  26.6  20.9         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$

2
047 
WGUS84 KJAN 210058
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
758 PM CDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Forecast includes rainfall on the ground and 24 hours of additional 
rainfall.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 9 AM CDT.

&&


MSC023-211300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.210721T0058Z-210724T1617Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.210720T2204Z.210722T1200Z.210723T2217Z.NO/
758 PM CDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* From this evening to Saturday morning.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday was 25.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.5 feet 
  Thursday morning.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  25.4  Tue 7 pm CDT 28.9  29.1  24.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$

SB
589 
WGUS44 KJAN 211612
FLWJAN

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1112 AM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Forecast includes rainfall on the ground and 24 hours of additional 
rainfall.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued this evening at 8 PM CDT.

&&


MSC023-220415-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-210726T0112Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.210720T2204Z.210722T1200Z.210725T0712Z.NO/
1112 AM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 28.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  28.9  Wed 10 am CD 31.0  28.7  26.2         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$

2
161 
WGUS84 KJAN 220037
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
737 PM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Forecast includes rainfall on the ground and 24 hours of additional 
rainfall.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 900 AM CDT.

&&


MSC023-221245-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-210726T0112Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.210720T2204Z.210722T1200Z.210725T0712Z.NO/
737 PM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 30.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  30.6  Wed 7 pm CDT 30.7  27.9  25.5         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$
842 
WGUS84 KJAN 221515
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
Issued by National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1015 AM CDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1115 PM CDT.

&&


MSC023-230415-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-210724T0020Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.210720T2204Z.210722T0245Z.210723T1220Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 29.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM CDT Thursday was 30.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning and continue falling to 14.1 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...Flooding to diminish and end through Friday morning.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  29.5  Thu 9 am CDT 23.3  18.0  15.9         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3215 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3204 8868

$$

VIII/KSHV
703 
WGUS84 KJAN 230034
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
734 PM CDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at 
www.water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 900 AM CDT.

&&


MSC023-231245-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-210724T0620Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.210720T2204Z.210722T0245Z.210723T1220Z.NO/
734 PM CDT Thu Jul 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 13.8 feet Tuesday evening.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  27.5  Thu 7 pm CDT 21.6  17.5  15.4         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$
499 
WGUS84 KJAN 231401 RRA
FLSJAN

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
901 AM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County.

MSC023-231515-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-210723T1401Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.210720T2204Z.210722T0245Z.210723T0720Z.NO/
901 AM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.8 feet by next 
  Wednesday morning.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Chickasawhay River
Enterprise        25.0  21.9  Fri 8 am CDT 16.0  13.5  12.5         





&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868

$$

2

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 19, 6:37 AM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 6:37 AM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
637 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:

MVFR/IFR ceilings associated with scattered SHRA/isolated TS
prevail this morning for northern and central sites, with
prevailing VFR for HBG/PIB. Shower and storm coverage is expected
to become more widespread through the day before diminishing
between 03z and 12z Tuesday. With warming day time temperatures,
low ceilings this morning will improve with prevailing VFR for
most. Overnight and into Tuesday morning, ceilings will likely
lower with MVRF/IFR conditions particularly in the east and south
where low stratus and fog will be possible. /86/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Through tonight: A weak surface low is moving along the TN/MS border
this morning and will creep into the Tennessee Valley today. A
trailing theta-e axis and convergence band extends back across
portions of central MS into the ArkLaMiss Delta and has been helping
to spark showers with embedded thunder activity overnight. This
region will need to be watched for flash flood potential through the
morning hours, especially the longer this band trains over the same
areas. Through the day, it is expected to become more progressive,
shifting southward through the afternoon. It is possible convection
along this axis may die down for a period before redeveloping with
the increasing instability later in the day. As in recent days,
localized flooding cannot be ruled out just about any location in
the area due to the abundantly moist airmass; however, highest
confidence in localized flooding will be in the corridor of training
convection early today. HWO/graphics will be updated to reflect this
thinking.

Overall convective coverage is expected to decrease tonight, but
with the lingering upper trough and moist airmass, scattered showers
and a few storms will remain possible through the overnight hours.
Temps today will be tricky, as they will be heavily influenced by
placement and timing of the abundant clouds and precip. Opted not to
stray far from the NBM, which is keeping most areas in the mid 80s.
However, as we saw yesterday, any area that receives a solid period
of sun could easily zip up to around 90. /DL/

Tuesday through Saturday...

A few things are almost a given in mid-July for the Arklamiss: warm
if not hot and humid conditions with some chance of showers and
storms particularly in the afternoons and early evenings. This week
into the upcoming weekend isn't too dissimilar from climatological
expectation in that regard, and conditions at the surface are not
especially deviant from the mean. However, a persistent trough of
lower heights aloft has been a real specter in terms of forecast
consideration for a number of forecast cycles. Guidance continues to
suggest that this extremely positively tilted trough, oriented at
times almost west-east and occasionally ending up underneath/south
of an unusually strong western Conus-centered upper ridge, will
weaken and that the parent upper trough will slowly slide north
and east away. The guidance indicates that the tail end of this
trough may become trapped underneath the ridge axis that will be
building in behind the exiting long wave trough axis. This would
leave a weak cut off upper low retrograding west into Texas and
ridging increasing for the Arklamiss towards the end of the week.
This scenario would significantly raise upper heights (8-12 dam at
500 mb) and would dramatically reduce daily rain chances as well
as significantly raise daily maximum temperatures. This currently
looks to be the most likely scenario but as noted before, this
evolution has been modeled to occur for several forecast cycles
and global deterministic guidance has continued to "push back" the
time line. This offers lesser than normal confidence and it is
possible that the cut off low may linger longer than current
guidance suggests. How this evolves will be the primary
consideration driving most forecast adjustments in coming days.

The going forecast is largely unchanged from previous cycles, and
while greater than typical forecast uncertainty exists, will
continue to advertise some degree of warming each day over the
last in addition to decreasing rain chances as we move into the
latter half of the week. Should the upper heights not rebound as
much as advertised (some guidance showing 500 mb heights > 594
dam) then would expect temperatures may be a bit cooler than
forecast with somewhat higher daily rain chances. Given the lack
of significant airmass change and the antecedent widespread rain,
boundary layer humidity will likely remain high in either
scenario. Should upper heights rise as much as, for example, the
GFS suggests, then could see heat stress issues with apparent heat
values exceeding 100 F by end of the week.

As the flow becomes a bit weaker with a weakening upper trough that
begins to cut off, the Corfidi vectors that have favored back
building thunderstorms as well as boundary parallel flow will
begin to become less pronounced which should result in a lessening
threat for flash flooding. With PWs remaining high, likely 2+",
efficient rainfall would still be a possible driver for some
isolated and particularly urban flash flooding concerns primarily
due to rainfall rates that could readily exceed 2"/hr. This threat
will be increasingly local and while nonzero does not seem to
warrant any specific hazard products at this time.

Of higher confidence, the tropics will continue to see a lull in
activity and no impacts from tropical weather makers are expected
through at least the weekend and likely beyond. /86/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       84  71  85  70 /  91  67  85  42
Meridian      83  70  84  69 /  92  69  92  46
Vicksburg     85  71  85  71 /  91  65  67  36
Hattiesburg   86  72  84  71 /  92  79  93  51
Natchez       85  70  84  70 /  92  77  79  38
Greenville    85  70  84  70 /  72  40  57  27
Greenwood     85  70  86  70 /  84  45  70  30

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

LP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 3:10 AM CDT, 6 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
310 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ019-034>053-055>058-
200815-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Sunflower-Washington-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-
Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-
Claiborne-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
310 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Through midday

Slow moving showers and thunderstorms early today may produce
localized rainfall amounts of 3-5 inches. As a result, localized
flash flooding especially in urban and low lying areas.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Sunday.

LAZ024-026-MSZ018-025>033-054-059>066-072>074-200815-
Catahoula-Concordia-Bolivar-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Copiah-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
310 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, northern portions of central Mississippi, and portions
of south Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Sunday.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 4:01 AM CDT, 5 hours 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
401 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

MSZ035-042-191000-
Humphreys MS-Yazoo MS-
401 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL YAZOO AND SOUTHEASTERN
HUMPHREYS COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

At 401 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of Yazoo City, moving southeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Yazoo City, Benton, Myrleville, Little Yazoo, Vaughan and Eden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3303 9038 3301 9037 3301 9036 3283 9000
      3282 9002 3275 9004 3270 9010 3270 9013
      3269 9014 3268 9018 3267 9020 3266 9028
      3264 9029 3264 9031 3290 9068 3292 9066
      3292 9064 3308 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 0901Z 300DEG 33KT 3293 9051

DL
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 4:44 AM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
444 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

MSZ045-046-051-052-191045-
Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS-Newton MS-Neshoba MS-
444 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN NEWTON...SOUTHERN
KEMPER...SOUTHEASTERN NESHOBA AND NORTHERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES
THROUGH 545 AM CDT...

At 443 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Duffee, or 16 miles northwest of Meridian, moving
east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lauderdale, Meridian, Meridian Station, Marion, Blackwater, Herbert
Springs, Tamola, Damascus, House, Martin, Toomsuba, Prismatic,
Suqualena, Kewanee, Alamucha, Daleville, Duffee and Little Rock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through
flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8842 3245 8910 3267 8903 3264 8838
TIME...MOT...LOC 0943Z 277DEG 20KT 3253 8893

DL
Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:15 AM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
615 AM CDT MON JUL 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW COLLINSVILLE       32.52N 88.88W
07/19/2021                   LAUDERDALE         MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 19 IN THE
            NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jul 19, 6:16 AM CDT, 3 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
616 AM CDT MON JUL 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WNW RUSSELL           32.41N 88.60W
07/19/2021                   LAUDERDALE         MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING REPORTED ON MARION RUSSELL RD.

&&

DL
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 7:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
715 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

MSZ052-058-191300-
Lauderdale MS-Clarke MS-
715 AM CDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MERIDIAN...

At 714 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a thunderstorms
producing locally heavy rainfall over Meridian, moving southeast at
25 mph.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
localized flooding.

Locations impacted include...
Meridian, Nellieburg, Zero, Sable, Alamucha, Middleton, Increase,
Meehan, Savoy and Snell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3210 8845 3223 8892 3240 8891 3240 8869
      3239 8841
TIME...MOT...LOC 1214Z 294DEG 21KT 3235 8871

DL
Local storm report, Jul 19, 9:25 AM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
925 AM CDT MON JUL 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 AM     FLASH FLOOD      UNION                   32.57N 89.12W
07/19/2021                   NEWTON             MS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            W WALNUT STREET IMPASSABLE FROM HWY 492 TO
            GUM STREET.

&&

AJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 7:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson49 min
Jul 19, 3:18 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey57 min
Jul 19, 4:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo59 min
Jul 19, 4:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANWashington3 hr
Jul 19, 4:44 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale61 min
Jul 19, 5:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton3 hr
Jul 19, 7:15 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale45 min
Jul 19, 9:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANScott2 hr
Jul 19, 9:30 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Jul 19, 2:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLincoln26 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.