Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021
River Flood Warning 35, NWS Fort Worth, TX
NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this river flood warning at May 11, 2021, 4:04 PM CDT for Dallas County, Texas. It took effect at May 11, 2021, 7:30 PM CDT. It was in force for 37 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 11, 2021, 4:04 PM CDT (21:04 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 11, 2021, 7:30 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 13, 2021, 8:05 AM CDT
- In force
- 37 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fort Worth, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Dallas County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Trinity River at Dallas (DALT2). The gauge peaked at 33.01 ft at May 12, 2021, 9:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 29 ft
- Minor stage
- 30 ft
- Moderate stage
- 38 ft
- Major stage
- 40 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08057000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
120
WGUS44 KFWD 112104
FLWFWD
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
404 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth TX has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
&&
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.
TXC113-121515-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0035.210512T0030Z-210513T0430Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210512T0030Z.210512T0900Z.210512T1630Z.NO/
404 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* From this evening to Wednesday evening.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening to
31.3 feet late tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late
tomorrow morning to 23.7 feet and remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used
for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river
will begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
05/6 follow-up statements
119
WGUS84 KFWD 120154
FLSFWD
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
854 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
&&
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.
TXC113-122000-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210513T1330Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210511T2222Z.210512T1300Z.210513T0130Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.7 feet
tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
evening.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used
for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river
will begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
Garcia900
WGUS84 KFWD 120609
FLSFWD
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
109 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton affecting Denton and
Dallas Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
&&
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.
TXC113-130015-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210513T1248Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210511T2222Z.210512T1200Z.210513T0048Z.NO/
109 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 12:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 31.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to to near 33 feet this morning. It
will then fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used
for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river
will begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
TXC113-121-122100-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-210512T2100Z/
/CART2.1.ER.210511T0005Z.210511T0900Z.210512T0900Z.NO/
109 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 12:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected has crested and continues to fall
toward the lower end of minor flood stage. By sunrise, the river
will likely fall below flood stage.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet, Minor flooding will occur upstream from the
gauge, near the city golf course.
&&
LAT...LON 3300 9688 3286 9687 3286 9699 3300 9700
$$
Bain132
WGUS84 KFWD 121338
FLSFWD
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
838 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton affecting Denton and
Dallas Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
&&
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.
TXC113-121-121445-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-210512T1338Z/
/CART2.1.ER.210511T0005Z.210511T0900Z.210512T0900Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning for the Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton
has been cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.9 feet Monday
morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3300 9688 3286 9687 3286 9699 3300 9700
$$
TXC113-130745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210513T1310Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210511T2222Z.210512T1500Z.210513T0110Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 32.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain fairly constant through
this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used
for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river
will begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
TXC213-349-130745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0037.210513T0000Z-210517T1500Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210513T0000Z.210515T0600Z.210517T0300Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* From this evening to Monday morning.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 30.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening to a crest of 36.0 feet early Saturday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land
areas will occur on the right bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626
$$
Hernandez149
WGUS84 KFWD 121851
FLSFWD
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
151 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
&&
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.
TXC113-131300-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210513T1436Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210511T2222Z.210512T1445Z.210513T0236Z.NO/
151 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 32.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
this evening and continue falling to 22.1 feet early Monday
afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used
for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river
will begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
TXC213-349-131300-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0037.210512T2102Z-210517T1930Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210512T2102Z.210515T1200Z.210517T0730Z.NO/
151 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 32.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 36.8 feet Saturday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land
areas will occur on the right bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626
$$421
WGUS84 KFWD 130232
FLSFWD
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
932 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan affecting Kaufman, Hunt and
Rockwall Counties.
Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson
Counties.
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
&&
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.
TXC213-349-132045-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210518T0400Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210512T2200Z.210515T1800Z.210517T1600Z.NO/
932 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 33.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of near 36
feet early Saturday afternoon. It should then fall below flood
stage late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land
areas will occur on the right bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626
$$
TXC113-131715-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210513T1712Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210511T2222Z.210512T1445Z.210513T0512Z.NO/
932 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and is expected to fall
below flood stage just after midnight tonight. It will continue
falling and settle around 22 feet late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding will begin. The
pasture lands near the river will flood. Trails along the river
begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
TXC231-257-397-131500-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-210513T1455Z/
/QLAT2.1.ER.210512T0333Z.210512T1330Z.210513T0255Z.NO/
932 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and is expected to fall
below flood stage within the next few hours. It will continue
falling and settle around 4 feet by Monday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3297 9627 3293 9615 3283 9620 3286 9634
$$
Bonnette550
WGUS84 KFWD 131305
FLSFWD
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
805 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.
TXC113-131415-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-210513T1305Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210511T2222Z.210512T1445Z.210513T0512Z.NO/
805 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021
...The Flood Warning for the Trinity River At Dallas has been
cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Trinity River At Dallas.
* At 7:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 21.9 feet Tuesday
morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
3269 9676 3278 9687
$$
BradshawWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 11, 4:01 PM CDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 11, 4:01 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 401 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1218 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021/ /Through Wednesday/ A persistent and deep upper-level trough remains anchored over much of the CONUS this morning. At the surface, a 1005 mb low is centered near Truth or Consequences with a stationary front extending from this low across the Trans-Pecos to near San Antonio, then eastward across the TX/LA coastal plains. The warm sector south of the stationary front is characterized by temperatures in the lower 80s and dewpoints in the lower 70s. The cool sector north of the stationary front consists of temperatures in the upper 50s and dewpoints in the lower 50s. Through the rest of the afternoon, widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected across much of the FWD CWA, with these thunderstorms occurring within two regimes: 1. Ongoing convection across western North TX being driven by an approaching upper-level shortwave trough. 2. Developing convection across Central TX near the stationary front. The first of these two regimes, as noted above, is being driven by an approaching upper-level shortwave trough evident on GOES-E water vapor channel imagery. This convection is rooted above the boundary layer owing to the sharp frontal inversion noted on the 12Z FWD RAOB. Despite the elevated nature of this convection, it is nevertheless able to tap into MUCAPE values in excess of 1,000 J/kg given the exceptionally steep mid-level lapse rates. Some of the stronger cores within the widespread precipitation shield may be capable of producing large and severe hail. The second convective regime, developing across Central TX, is being driven by convergence along the stationary front. GOES-E visible channel imagery already shows agitated Cu near the stationary front with IR channel imagery showing cooling cloud tops. Some surface-based instability does exist in the vicinity of the stationary front with LAPS analysis indicating 1,000+ J/kg SBCAPE just south of the front. While thunderstorms that form just north of the front are unlikely to be surface-based, parcels will likely be rooted fairly low in the troposphere and will have access to more than 2,000 J/kg MUCAPE. This will mean severe hail will be possible in these areas well. Perhaps more significantly, the large CAPE profiles and PWAT values approaching 1.75" will support heavy rainfall, especially if convection begins to train near the stationary front. This potential certainly exists as backward-propagating Corfidi vectors are oriented nearly parallel to the stationary front. HREF probability-matched mean QPF shows a potential for 3-5 inches of rainfall possible near the stationary front. For this reason, the Flash Flood Watch will continue through 12Z (0700 CDT) Wednesday. In addition to the flash flood potential, there will be a possibility of minor river flooding within the Trinity River basin below Trinidad, with minor to moderate flooding possible within the Neches basin. Convection should end from northwest to southeast late tonight as the axis of the upper-level trough begins to move east of the region. Cloudy and seasonably cool conditions will persist through Wednesday however, with some light rain showers likely continuing across parts of Central TX. Godwin && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Late Week Into Early Next Week/ Dry northwest flow will evolve over the Southern Plains late this week in response to our rapidly departing and dampening trough and increasing shortwave ridging across the Southwest U.S. Surface high pressure building in behind Wednesday's cold front will result in mostly sunny and mild conditions Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. As the surface ridge shifts east on Friday and lee side cyclogenesis deepens across E CO/W KS, breezy southeasterly winds will slowly draw modified moisture back northward from the Gulf of Mexico with a slight increase in humidity. High temperatures will warm to near 80 degrees across parts of Central Texas and western North Texas. Flow aloft will dampen with brief shortwave ridging aloft occurring Friday night and early Saturday, before a weak mid level impulse arrives across the area Saturday afternoon and night. Breezy southerly winds 15 to 20 mph will continue to pull rich surface moisture up from the Gulf with surface dew points in the 60s across the CWA. This rich moisture will combine with highs warming well into the 80s to increase instability across the area on Saturday. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase across the southwest half of the area in the afternoon, then continue Saturday night with the addition of strong warm advection within the 925mb-850mb layer. Though better surface-based instability will remain across the Permian Basin, West-Central Texas and the Big Country, mid level lapse rates of around 7 deg C/km are forecast across the western counties. This may lead to a few strong storms with hail and gusty winds. A stronger, but progressive mid level wave arrives on Sunday with continued warm temperatures in the lower-mid 80s and plenty of Gulf moisture around within the surface-boundary layer. Though details are very difficult to determine 5 days out, this sneaky system could provide a risk for a few strong to severe storms across at least the western half of the area where models are currently forecasting steep mid level lapse rates and plenty of surface-based instability. The one mitigating factor will be the very marginal deep layer flow and shear being advertised by the GFS/European models only 25-35 knots from the northwest. This would likely result in a low coverage severe weather threat on Sunday and Sunday night. The longwave mid level pattern early next week does appear to show a fairly wet and stormy signal for Monday and Tuesday, but details remain very murky and uncertain. The deterministic European model and its ensemble are much deeper with an approaching mean longwave trough over the Rockies and Great Basin, while the GFS is much more progressive, open, and less amplified. Anytime I see such discrepancies, I tend to lean toward the European model for its recognition of deeper energy within the mid-upper levels and its better track record in the Day 5-7 period. This has me leaning toward the wetter NBM and WPC PoPs for the early part of next week with seasonably warm and humid conditions continuing. Being we're in one of our two peak wet seasons, this isn't anything out of the ordinary. Any severe weather threat will remain uncertain considering precise environmental analysis is very difficult this far out, though the lift and kinematics are present. What is more certain may be the potential for rounds of heavier rainfall and potential flooding, as soil moisture continues to remain elevated. We'll continue to expound on these extended periods in more detail as model confidence becomes higher with subsequent sampling with future upper air runs as we move through the end of the week into next week. Stay tuned! 05/ && .AVIATION... /Issued 1218 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021/ /18Z TAFs/ Metroplex... Widespread TSRA expected to impact the D10 TRACON shortly. For this reason...TSRA will be prevailed at D10 TAF sites through the next few hours. TSRA will then begin to shift east and away from D10 TAF sites later this evening with impacts continuing to the Bonham and Cedar Creek arrival gates as well as eastbound departures. IFR will prevail through the TAF period with intermittent LIFR CIGs possible during SHRA/TSRA. N-NE winds 10-13 KT will continue. Convective impacts will begin to diminish after 06Z. KACT... Convective timing is a bit more uncertain at KACT, but at least intermittent TSRA can be expected through the evening. Amendments may be required as the convective evolution across Central TX becomes more clear. IFR will continue through the TAF period with LIFR CIGs likely by Wednesday morning. Winds will be N-NE 8-11 KT. Godwin && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 55 65 54 73 56 / 40 10 10 0 0 Waco 58 65 55 73 54 / 60 20 10 0 0 Paris 54 64 50 71 51 / 50 10 10 0 0 Denton 52 64 51 72 53 / 30 10 10 0 0 McKinney 54 65 51 73 53 / 40 10 10 0 0 Dallas 57 65 55 74 57 / 40 10 10 0 0 Terrell 54 65 52 73 53 / 60 20 10 0 0 Corsicana 57 65 55 73 54 / 70 20 10 0 0 Temple 58 65 55 73 54 / 70 30 10 0 0 Mineral Wells 53 63 53 71 53 / 30 20 5 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for TXZ095-105>107- 121>123-135-146>148-162. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 3:11 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 311 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-121245- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 311 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected the rest of this afternoon and through mid evening, generally along and southeast of a of a line from Sherman, to Weatherford, to Comanche. A few severe storms capable of producing large hail and damaging winds are possible across eastern Central Texas. A tornado cannot be ruled out across this area as well. Elsewhere, small hail may occur with stronger storms. In addition, locally heavy rainfall and flooding are possible along and east of Interstate 35. The heaviest rain may lead to localized flash flooding across these areas, particularly those that experienced heavier rainfall the past few days. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Widely scattered thunderstorms will continue across Central Texas on Wednesday morning. A strong storm or two with small hail will be possible. Low thunderstorm chances return to mainly areas along and west of Interstate 35 Saturday, with better chances arriving Sunday and Monday. Details regarding the potential for severe weather or flooding remain unclear. Individuals are advised to continue monitoring forecasts through next weekend for for updates to the forecast. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Limited spotter activation may be requested southeast of an Athens, to Mexia, to Hearne line this afternoon.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 11, 12:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1238 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
TXZ130-111815-
Erath TX-
1238 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ERATH COUNTY UNTIL 115 PM
CDT...
At 1238 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Dublin, moving northeast at 40 mph.
Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Stephenville and Dublin.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
This storm may intensify, so closely monitor for additional
information or possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3248 9806 3221 9794 3211 9788 3201 9837
3216 9848 3217 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 227DEG 36KT 3215 9836
GodwinSpecial weather statement, May 11, 2:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
202 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
TXZ162-111930-
Leon TX-
202 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEON COUNTY UNTIL
230 PM CDT...
At 202 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Centerville, or 12 miles north of Madisonville, moving
east at 15 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Centerville and Leona.
LAT...LON 3131 9568 3130 9567 3129 9570 3127 9573
3123 9573 3120 9575 3116 9573 3114 9578
3109 9577 3109 9598 3107 9602 3107 9605
3125 9600 3134 9566 3132 9566
TIME...MOT...LOC 1902Z 259DEG 11KT 3113 9593
79Special weather statement, May 11, 2:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
209 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
TXZ135-148-111945-
Anderson TX-Henderson TX-
209 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HENDERSON AND
NORTHWESTERN ANDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...
At 208 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles south of Athens, moving east at 30 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Athens, Frankston, Berryville, Coffee City, Poynor and Moore Station.
LAT...LON 3199 9545 3195 9545 3196 9590 3220 9591
3226 9547 3225 9547 3223 9549 3220 9546
3218 9546 3215 9548 3214 9546 3211 9546
3209 9544 3204 9543 3203 9544 3201 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 267DEG 26KT 3209 9582
79Special weather statement, May 11, 3:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
301 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
TXZ148-112030-
Anderson TX-
301 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 330 PM CDT...
At 300 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles south of Frankston, or 13 miles northeast of Palestine, moving
east at 25 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Palestine, Frankston and Berryville.
LAT...LON 3169 9571 3207 9552 3209 9543 3206 9544
3204 9542 3203 9544 3201 9543 3199 9545
3196 9545 3193 9542 3185 9545 3182 9540
3176 9540 3175 9536 3173 9537 3173 9534
3172 9534 3171 9531 3169 9530
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 255DEG 23KT 3193 9553
79Special weather statement, May 11, 3:16 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
316 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
TXZ158-112045-
Bell TX-
316 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BELL COUNTY UNTIL
345 PM CDT...
At 316 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Morgan's Point Resort, or near Belton, moving northeast at 35 mph.
Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Temple, Belton, Morgan's Point Resort and Troy.
LAT...LON 3123 9759 3132 9742 3124 9734 3127 9729
3106 9712 3102 9752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 242DEG 29KT 3114 9749
79Special weather statement, May 11, 3:35 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 335 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021 TXZ158>160-112100- Falls TX-McLennan TX-Bell TX- 335 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MCLENNAN... NORTHEASTERN BELL AND WEST CENTRAL FALLS COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT... At 335 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Troy, or 10 miles northeast of Temple, moving northeast at 40 mph. Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Temple, Hewitt, Robinson, Lorena, Troy, Bruceville-Eddy, Moody, Lott and Golinda. LAT...LON 3148 9713 3125 9695 3107 9728 3130 9745 TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 243DEG 35KT 3122 9725 79
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Fannin, Grayson | 55 min |
| May 10, 7:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hunt | 26 min |
| May 10, 7:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Dallas | 23 min |
| May 10, 7:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Dallas | 24 min |
| May 10, 7:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Johnson | 37 min |
| May 10, 8:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Erath | 32 min |
| May 10, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Erath | 43 min |
| May 10, 8:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Tarrant | 28 min |
| May 10, 8:56 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Hood, Johnson, Parker, Tarrant | 3 hr |
| May 10, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas, Tarrant | 30 min |
| May 10, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas, Kaufman | 63 min |
| May 10, 9:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Fannin | 45 min |
| May 10, 9:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hunt | 25 min |
| May 10, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Hunt, Rockwall | 42 min |
| May 10, 10:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Fannin | 49 min |
| May 10, 10:26 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Dallas | 3 hr |
| May 10, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas, Kaufman | 61 min |
| May 10, 11:00 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas, Denton | 37 hr |
| May 10, 11:00 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt | 46 hr |
| May 10, 11:00 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall | 57 hr |
| May 10, 11:32 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Kaufman | 43 min |
| May 11, 12:42 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas | 2 hr |
| May 11, 12:51 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Kaufman, Van Zandt | 3 hr |
| May 11, 1:10 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Van Zandt | 50 min |
| May 11, 3:20 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | FWD | Anderson, Delta, Freestone, Henderson, Hopkins, Hunt and 6 more | 15 hr |
| May 11, 11:12 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Cherokee | 18 min |
| May 11, 12:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Erath | 37 min |
| May 11, 12:48 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Dallas, Ellis, Johnson, Tarrant | 3 hr |
| May 11, 1:42 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Comanche, Hamilton, Mills | 3 hr |
| May 11, 1:52 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas | 11 hr |
| May 11, 2:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Leon | 28 min |
| May 11, 2:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Henderson | 36 min |
| May 11, 2:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Leon | 28 min |
| May 11, 2:37 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Kaufman | 3 hr |
| May 11, 3:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Anderson | 29 min |
| May 11, 3:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Bell | 29 min |
| May 11, 3:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Falls | 25 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.