Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 1, 2021Apache County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 1, 2021, 4:38 PM MST for Apache County, Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2021, 4:38 PM MST (23:38 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2021, 5:15 PM MST
In force
37 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Apache County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 74 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
74 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1273 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

597 
WUUS55 KFGZ 012338
SVRFGZ
AZC001-017-020015-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SV.W.0086.210801T2338Z-210802T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
538 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Apache County in northeastern Arizona...
  Navajo County in north central Arizona...

* Until 615 PM MDT.

* At 537 PM Navajo Nation time, a severe thunderstorm was located 12 
  miles south of Greasewood Springs, or 38 miles southeast of Keams 
  Canyon, moving northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Greasewood Springs and Greasewood. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 10965 3526 10977 3537 11005 3556 10983
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 124DEG 7KT 3536 10979 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TM
2 follow-up statements
458 
WWUS55 KFGZ 012356
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
556 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

AZC001-017-020015-
/O.CON.KFGZ.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-210802T0015Z/
Apache-Navajo-
556 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM MDT
FOR THE GREASEWOOD AREA IN APACHE AND NAVAJO COUNTIES...

At 556 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 13 miles southeast
of Greasewood Springs, or 40 miles southeast of Keams Canyon, and is
nearly stationary.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
Apache and Navajo Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 10965 3526 10977 3535 10992 3556 10983
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 245DEG 1KT 3535 10976 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TM
093 
WWUS55 KFGZ 020015
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
615 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

AZC001-017-020025-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-210802T0015Z/
Apache-Navajo-
615 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE GREASEWOOD AREA IN APACHE 
AND NAVAJO COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However small
hail is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3537 10965 3526 10977 3535 10992 3556 10983
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 124DEG 7KT 3537 10979 

$$

TM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 5:22 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai113 min
Jul 31, 6:08 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Aug 1, 12:03 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ27 min
Aug 1, 12:15 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ30 min
Aug 1, 12:53 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZCoconino22 min
Aug 1, 1:08 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ22 min
Aug 1, 1:14 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ31 min
Aug 1, 1:30 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZNavajo30 min
Aug 1, 1:38 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZCoconino22 min
Aug 1, 1:53 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ37 min
Aug 1, 2:03 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZNavajo27 min
Aug 1, 2:26 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZNavajo34 min
Aug 1, 2:55 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ35 min
Aug 1, 3:12 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ33 min
Aug 1, 3:15 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ30 min
Aug 1, 3:21 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ24 min
Aug 1, 3:58 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZGila, Navajo3 hr
Aug 1, 4:18 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 1, 4:24 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ51 min
Aug 1, 4:51 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZGila, Navajo3 hr
Aug 1, 4:52 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.