Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 10, 2021Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 10, 2021, 4:51 PM MST for Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2021, 4:51 PM MST (23:51 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2021, 5:15 PM MST
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 110 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
110 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-242 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2626 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

316 
WUUS55 KFGZ 102351
SVRFGZ
AZC005-025-110015-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SV.W.0023.210710T2351Z-210711T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
451 PM MST Sat Jul 10 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...
  Coconino County in north central Arizona...

* Until 515 PM MST.

* At 450 PM MST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from Dairy Springs Campground to Happy Jack, moving
  southwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
           roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Stoneman Lake, Mormon Lake, Dairy Springs Campground, Happy Jack
  and Double Springs Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground
lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately.
Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. Remember, if you can
hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3488 11165 3455 11146 3468 11129 3497 11146
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 030DEG 8KT 3493 11148 3475 11138 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

RR
1 follow-up statement
823 
WWUS55 KFGZ 110006
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
506 PM MST Sat Jul 10 2021

AZC005-025-110015-
/O.CON.KFGZ.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210711T0015Z/
Yavapai-Coconino-
506 PM MST Sat Jul 10 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MST
FOR YAVAPAI AND COCONINO COUNTIES...

At 506 PM MST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Dairy Springs Campground to Happy Jack, moving
southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Stoneman Lake and Happy Jack. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3455 11146 3488 11165 3494 11149 3467 11132
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 030DEG 8KT 3491 11150 3473 11140 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

RR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 5:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai45 min
Jul 9, 5:11 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ34 min
Jul 9, 5:21 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai39 min
Jul 9, 5:32 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo43 min
Jul 9, 5:40 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai35 min
Jul 9, 6:14 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo46 min
Jul 9, 7:14 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZGila46 min
Jul 10, 12:36 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZApache24 min
Jul 10, 1:29 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZApache2 hr
Jul 10, 1:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai31 min
Jul 10, 1:57 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ33 min
Jul 10, 2:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai39 min
Jul 10, 2:40 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila4 hr
Jul 10, 2:55 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai50 min
Jul 10, 3:40 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 10, 4:18 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila27 min
Jul 10, 4:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo48 min
Jul 10, 4:40 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila3 hr
Jul 10, 4:40 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Navajo50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.