Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 30, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jun 30, 2021, 12:39 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 30, 2021, 12:39 PM MST (19:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 30, 2021, 3:45 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-06-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-06-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1530 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

923 
WGUS55 KFGZ 301939
FFWFGZ
AZC025-302245-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0004.210630T1939Z-210630T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1239 PM MST Wed Jun 30 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Goodwin Fire scar in...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 345 PM MST.

* At 1238 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Goodwin Fire scar. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of 
  rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Goodwin
           Fire scar.

  SOURCE...Doppler radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Goodwin Fire scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Poland Junction and Mayer.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 69 between mile markers 268 and 280.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Agua Fria River, Chaparral Gulch, Hackberry Creek, Little Wolf 
  Creek, Grapevine Creek, Lynx Creek, Wolf Creek and Big Bug Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around, Don't Drown! Flash flooding is occurring or imminent 
and could affect roadways in Mayer near Big Bug Creek!

&&

LAT...LON 3452 11223 3447 11223 3444 11224 3438 11219
      3436 11219 3436 11228 3436 11232 3445 11238
      3452 11232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

MCT
2 follow-up statements
963 
WGUS75 KFGZ 302115
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
215 PM MST Wed Jun 30 2021

AZC025-302245-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-210630T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
215 PM MST Wed Jun 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GOODWIN FIRE SCAR REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 345 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 214 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain has moved out of 
the area but light rain continues to fall over the Goodwin Fire 
scar. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding 
is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Goodwin Fire scar.

SOURCE...Doppler radar.

IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Goodwin Fire scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Poland Junction and Mayer.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 69 between mile markers 268 and 280.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Agua Fria River, Cedar Creek, Chaparral Gulch, Hackberry Creek, 
  Little Wolf Creek, Grapevine Creek, Lynx Creek, Wolf Creek and Big 
  Bug Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn Around, Don't Drown! Flash flooding is occurring or imminent 
and could affect roadways in Mayer near Big Bug Creek!

&&

LAT...LON 3452 11223 3447 11223 3444 11224 3438 11219
      3436 11219 3436 11228 3436 11232 3445 11238
      3452 11232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

MCT
229 
WGUS75 KFGZ 302242
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
342 PM MST Wed Jun 30 2021

AZC025-302252-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-210630T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
342 PM MST Wed Jun 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GOODWIN FIRE SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 345 
PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3452 11223 3447 11223 3444 11224 3438 11219
      3436 11219 3436 11228 3436 11232 3445 11238
      3452 11232

$$

MCT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 11:54 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai4 hr
Jun 30, 12:23 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ52 min
Jun 30, 12:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai28 min
Jun 30, 2:38 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila, Yavapai2 hr
Jun 30, 3:20 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.