Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
351 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Convection has become more widespread as expected given the
daytime heating destabilization coupled with the PVA along the
southern extent of the persistent upper low. Given the marginal
instability and weakly sheared env, thinking most development will
stay as general thunder intensity though a few have shown some
strong outflows and cannot rule out isolated severe. Overnight we
should expect some isolated showers or thunderstorms and possible
patchy fog in the morning from any spots having received heavier
precip.

For Saturday have confined likely pops to mainly central GA with
decreased chances to the north and west as main trough axis and
deeper moisture gets a bit farther push SE. Temps Saturday
afternoon look to moderate about 5 deg warmer than today in much
of the north and parts of the west given overall less convective
coverage and some drier mid/upper level columns advecting
southward.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

A "cold" front will enter our CWA on Sunday, but given the abundant
moisture across the SE, it will take until Monday for the mid and
lower levels to dry out. When it finally does though, northern
Georgia will see some relief from the humidity for a few days with
minimum RH values dropping into the low 40s and upper 30s by
Wednesday as NW flow dominates the long term. The same can't be said
about south and central Georgia as the humidity returns to the area
toward the late part of the next week. Afternoon thunderstorms will
likely stay south of Macon as warm humid air gets pushed up from the
gulf again on Thursday.

This warm moist air will be driven by a potential tropical
disturbance. Both the EURO and the GFS are indicating that
conditions could be favorable to fire up the tropics, but given how
far out the forecast is there is still a great deal of uncertainty.
Regardless of development or not, the dry spell will likely be
broken late next week as the flow becomes more southerly.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Some lingering high end MVFR to low end VFR stratocu at 2500-3500
ft this afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms with
greatest chance generally now through 00z. Any TSRA could have VRB
gusts or 3-4SM vsbys. Some lingering showers or isolated storms
could persist this evening or overnight. MVFR cigs should return
after about 08z tonight for most sites. Showers and thunderstorm
chances pick up again tomorrow but should be overall a bit less
coverage. Winds mainly out of SW to west 8-10 kts this afternoon,
decreasing some overnight then NW 6-9 kts for Saturday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on overnight precip coverage/potential.
High on all else.

Baker

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  90  68  90 /  30  50  40  30
Atlanta         70  89  70  89 /  40  40  20  30
Blairsville     66  84  63  85 /  40  30  20  40
Cartersville    69  88  68  90 /  50  20  10  30
Columbus        71  90  71  92 /  50  60  30  30
Gainesville     70  88  69  88 /  30  30  20  40
Macon           70  91  69  91 /  30  60  40  30
Rome            70  90  69  91 /  40  20  20  30
Peachtree City  69  88  69  89 /  40  50  20  30
Vidalia         73  90  72  88 /  30  70  50  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baker
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1155 AM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-121600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1155 AM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across North and Central
Georgia today into tonight. Widespread severe weather is not
expected, but an isolated strong to severe storm could occur. The
primary threats will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, and a few
strong winds gusts in any stronger storms that occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

There will be a chance of thunderstorms across north and central
Georgia Saturday and Sunday, then mainly confined to parts of
central Georgia Monday through Wednesday. The greatest chance will
be during the afternoon and evening hours. A few stronger
thunderstorms cannot be ruled out on any of these days, however no
organized or widespread severe weather is expected. The primary
threat from any thunderstorms will be frequent lightning, gusty
winds and brief heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
504 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

GAZ060-072-073-112130-
Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Jones GA-
504 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM...
NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN AND NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM
EDT...

At 503 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was centered near Ethridge, or
11 miles southwest of Eatonton...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Meriwether, Ethridge, Resseaus Crossroads, Plant Harlee Branch,
Stanfordville and Blountsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3305 8338 3315 8357 3317 8356 3317 8355
      3320 8354 3325 8352 3328 8333 3317 8328
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 272DEG 17KT 3318 8347

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
507 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE GREEN ISLAND HILL 32.55N  85.00W
06/11/2021                   MUSCOGEE           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A COUPLE OF TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN THE DOUBLE
            CHURCHES ROAD AND RIVER ROAD AREA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2100392

RWILLIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
509 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

GAZ090-091-102-103-112145-
Chattahoochee GA-Stewart GA-Marion GA-Webster GA-
509 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHATTAHOOCHEE...
NORTHEASTERN STEWART...MARION AND WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM
EDT...

At 509 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Juniper to Westville...and moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Lumpkin, Buena Vista, Preston, Richland, Weston, Putnam, Brantley,
Seminole, Christopher, Kimbrough, Westville, Brooklyn, Renfroe,
Oakland, Draneville, Manta, Zellobee, Tazewell, Marion Estates and
Doyle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3202 8483 3252 8468 3253 8465 3252 8458
      3255 8455 3254 8451 3256 8449 3256 8445
      3254 8445 3252 8443 3249 8443 3248 8441
      3245 8441 3243 8439 3230 8439 3229 8441
      3223 8441 3223 8443 3218 8442 3193 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 270DEG 27KT 3250 8462 3203 8476

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
511 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

GAZ093>095-112145-
Macon GA-Peach GA-Houston GA-
511 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MACON...SOUTHEASTERN
PEACH AND HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 511 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Fort Valley...moving
east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Perry, Fort Valley, Warner Robins, Marshallville, Saint Louis,
Hayneville, Meadowdale, Sand Bed, Houston Lake, Grovania, Grove Park,
Moss Oak, Bonaire, Kathleen, Klondike and Clinchfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3243 8396 3253 8394 3258 8355 3254 8354
      3253 8354 3252 8353 3243 8351 3233 8359
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 275DEG 28KT 3247 8386

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
519 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

GAZ073-112145-
Baldwin GA-
519 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY UNTIL 545
PM EDT...

At 519 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Meriwether, or 7
miles northwest of Milledgeville...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include Lake Oconee,
Milledgeville, Midway-Hardwick, Meriwether, Allenwood, Underwood and
Hardwick.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3313 8310 3313 8311 3312 8311 3306 8313
      3301 8328 3312 8341 3317 8338 3317 8337
      3318 8336 3318 8335 3317 8333 3319 8329
      3318 8320 3315 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 287DEG 19KT 3313 8333

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
532 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

GAZ083-084-112200-
Wilkinson GA-Twiggs GA-
532 PM EDT Fri Jun 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WILKINSON AND EASTERN TWIGGS
COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

At 532 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near McIntyre to near Jeffersonville...and moving east
at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Jeffersonville, Irwinton, McIntyre, Toomsboro, Allentown and
Nicklesville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3272 8301 3260 8322 3270 8339 3290 8318
      3289 8305 3288 8305 3288 8304 3287 8304
      3287 8303 3285 8303 3285 8299 3284 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 288DEG 18KT 3287 8316 3274 8329

WIND...40MPH