Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
258 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

The upper level low slowly weakens as it shifts east across the
southern Ohio Valley through the forecast period, while the
southeast remains on the west side of surface high pressure.  This
pattern will keep good moisture across the area with PWATs of 1.5-2
inches this afternoon and again tomorrow.  With mostly sunny skies
expect the diurnally driven convection to increase in coverage
through early this evening and wind down after sunset.  Overnight
low clouds will develop across the area by sunrise, however do
not expect that they will linger as long as they did yesterday or
today. With good heating tomorrow, the better chances for
convection will be across north Georgia in proximity to the upper
low.  Have stayed close to guidance temperatures through the
period.

Atwell

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

An abnormally moist extended period is begrudgingly expected for the
forecast area as PWATs should run between 1.5-2 inches until early
next week. This is roughly a quarter to three quarters above the
climatological average for this time of year as the Bermuda High
over the Atlantic advects the tropical Gulf airmass over the eastern
CONUS. This invasive warm, moist airmass will litter the forecast
area in scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms each day
through the extended. Higher chances will be likely in North Georgia
through the end of the week with as a little added support from a
weak mid-level trough before it kicks out over the weekend. Highs
will remain in the upper 80s and low 90s, with morning lows capped
by dewpoints around 70 degrees with patchy fog possible anywhere
rain fell the day before.

Thiem

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
MVFR and VFR CIGs will persist through overnight with lower
MVFR/IFR setting up between 08-09Z, before beginning to improve to
MVFR/VFR after 14Z. Winds will remain SW around 5kts, becoming
light with periods of calm winds between 03-09Z. Showers are
currently developing across the area with -TSRA possible 21-01Z.
Variable winds with gusts 25-35kts will be possible with any
storm that does develop.

//ATL Confidence...
18Z Update...
Medium confidence in timing and height of IFR development in
morning. Otherwise Medium to high confidence all other elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  88  69  90 /  30  30  20  50
Atlanta         69  87  71  88 /  30  30  20  50
Blairsville     64  81  64  81 /  30  50  40  80
Cartersville    68  85  69  86 /  30  40  30  70
Columbus        69  90  71  92 /  30  20  10  30
Gainesville     68  85  69  86 /  30  40  30  60
Macon           68  92  69  94 /  30  30  20  20
Rome            69  85  70  86 /  30  40  30  70
Peachtree City  67  88  69  89 /  30  30  20  50
Vidalia         71  90  72  92 /  40  40  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...Atwell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1153 AM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-091600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1153 AM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected, primarily this
afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rain, frequent lightning, and
gusty winds will be the primary threats with the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

There will be chances for thunderstorms each day through Monday,
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. A few strong to
severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out on any of these days;
however, no organized or widespread severe weather is expected.
The primary threat from any thunderstorms will be frequent
lightning, gusty winds and brief heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
357 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ105-106-108-082030-
Crisp GA-Dooly GA-Wilcox GA-
357 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CRISP...SOUTHEASTERN
DOOLY AND SOUTHWESTERN WILCOX COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 357 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over East Crisp, or 7 miles
east of Cordele...moving northeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cordele, Rochelle, Pitts, East Crisp, Pleasant View, Tippettville,
Tremont, Wenona, Seville and Hatley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3193 8378 3214 8367 3197 8341 3185 8359
      3185 8361 3184 8361 3182 8364
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 223DEG 9KT 3193 8365

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
402 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ053-054-067-082030-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Meriwether GA-
402 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN FAYETTE...
SOUTHEASTERN COWETA AND NORTHERN MERIWETHER COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM
EDT...

At 402 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Haralson, or 12 miles
southeast of Newnan...moving north at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Peachtree City, Senoia, Sharpsburg, Turin and Haralson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3319 8460 3321 8471 3339 8467 3341 8457
      3335 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 201DEG 14KT 3326 8463

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
412 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ110-111-082045-
Wheeler GA-Telfair GA-
412 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WHEELER AND SOUTHEASTERN
TELFAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 411 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Snipesville, or 10
miles west of Hazlehurst...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lumber City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3182 8284 3195 8287 3200 8277 3198 8264
      3192 8266 3192 8268 3191 8268 3190 8269
      3190 8270 3186 8276 3186 8278 3185 8279
      3184 8279 3181 8282
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 177DEG 7KT 3183 8278

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
416 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ080-081-093-094-082045-
Macon GA-Peach GA-Taylor GA-Crawford GA-
416 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MACON...SOUTHWESTERN
PEACH...EASTERN TAYLOR AND SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 445
PM EDT...

At 416 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Hicks, or 9 miles west
of Fort Valley...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail and frequent
           cloud to ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Fort Valley, Marshallville, Reynolds, Nakomis, Lee Pope, Hicks and
Potterville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3242 8399 3245 8417 3268 8414 3267 8397
      3259 8381
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 197DEG 8KT 3251 8405

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
432 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ072-082-082100-
Bibb GA-Jones GA-
432 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BIBB AND SOUTHEASTERN JONES
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

At 432 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Macon...moving north
at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Macon, Payne, Payne City, Cross Keys, Wesleyan, Postell, Skipperton,
Arkwright, Rutland, Mountain Springs, Griswoldville and Franklinton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3275 8377 3292 8377 3294 8373 3295 8373
      3295 8371 3296 8371 3295 8342 3286 8347
      3285 8351 3283 8349 3279 8352 3274 8358
      3274 8360 3273 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 188DEG 14KT 3282 8366

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
439 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

GAZ076-082115-
Jefferson GA-
439 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM
EDT...

At 439 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Stapletons Crossroads,
or near Louisville...moving north at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Louisville, Stapleton, Avera and Stapletons Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3299 8242 3300 8255 3317 8258 3322 8247
      3317 8237
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 176DEG 6KT 3306 8249

WIND...40MPH