Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

October 15, 2021Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Oct 15, 2021, 11:53 PM EDT for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2021, 11:53 PM EDT (03:53 UTC)
Expired
Oct 16, 2021, 12:30 AM EDT
In force
37 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Hail
0.00 in
Wind
30

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-10-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-10-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-123 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
987 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

850 
WWUS81 KBUF 160353
SPSBUF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1153 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021
 
NYZ007-008-160430-
Jefferson NY-Lewis NY-
1153 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...An area of strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Jefferson 
and north central Lewis Counties through 1230 AM EDT...

At 1152 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms 
along a line from Chaumont Bay to Perch Lake to Antwerp, moving 
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around 
         unsecured objects. Heavy rains could cause flooding.

Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Fort Drum, Dexter, Glen Park, Redwood, Henderson Harbor,
Sackets Harbor, Henderson, Black River, Smithville, Philadelphia,
Brownville, Theresa, Antwerp, Chaumont, Evans Mills, Deferiet, Three
Mile Bay, Calcium and La Fargeville.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 44 and 49.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. 

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to 
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded 
roadways.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4417 7535 4378 7626 4390 7632 4392 7628
      4394 7633 4402 7636 4404 7638 4438 7580
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 226DEG 41KT 4410 7600 

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

$$

Welch

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 9:01 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF29 min
Oct 15, 9:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara45 min
Oct 15, 9:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF38 min
Oct 15, 10:31 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF59 min
Oct 16, 1:42 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF42 min
Oct 16, 2:11 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie49 min
Oct 16, 6:48 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF87 min
Oct 16, 8:03 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego27 min
Oct 16, 8:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego44 min
Oct 16, 9:13 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis92 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.