Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 20, 2021Erie County, Niagara County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 20, 2021, 6:21 PM EDT for Erie County, Niagara County, New York. It was in force for 4 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2021, 6:21 PM EDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2021, 10:15 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Erie County, NY, Niagara County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 20, 7:03 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 E Niagara Falls, NYFLASH FLOODING ON MILITARY RD IN NIAGARA FALLS.
Jul 20, 8:10 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 S Lockport, NYSTATE OF EMERGENCY AND TRAVEL BAN ISSUED FOR ALL OF NIAGARA COUNTY DUE TO WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING.
Jul 20, 9:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Nne Niagara Falls, NYONE MILE OF ROUTE 265 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN ROUTE 182 AND LOCKPORT RD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 574 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
574 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
893 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

279 
WGUS51 KBUF 202221
FFWBUF
NYC029-063-210215-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0016.210720T2221Z-210721T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
621 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Erie County in western New York...
  Southern Niagara County in western New York...

* Until 1015 PM EDT.

* At 621 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Niagara Falls, North Tonawanda, Amherst, Tonawanda, Grand Island, 
  Pendleton, Akron, Lewiston, Sanborn, Pendleton Center, East 
  Amherst, Rapids, Clarence Center, Wolcottsville and Model City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4319 7905 4320 7905 4312 7859 4321 7850
      4299 7847 4305 7900 4306 7900 4307 7901
      4308 7907 4311 7906 4312 7907 4313 7906
      4314 7904 4317 7905

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Apffel
2 follow-up statements
847 
WGUS71 KBUF 210031
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
831 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

NYC029-063-210215-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210721T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie NY-Niagara NY-
831 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN NIAGARA COUNTIES...

At 831 PM EDT, trained weather spotters and law enforcement have 
reported areas of flash flooding due to earlier thunderstorms that 
produced heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches 
of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported and law enforcement.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas is ongoing.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Niagara Falls, North Tonawanda, Amherst, Tonawanda, Grand Island, 
  Pendleton, Akron, Lewiston, Sanborn, Pendleton Center, East 
  Amherst, Rapids, Clarence Center, Wolcottsville and Model City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4319 7905 4320 7905 4312 7859 4321 7850
      4299 7847 4305 7900 4306 7900 4307 7901
      4308 7907 4311 7906 4312 7907 4313 7906
      4314 7904 4317 7905

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

SJW
670 
WGUS71 KBUF 210221
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1021 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

NYC029-063-210231-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210721T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie NY-Niagara NY-
1021 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR NORTHEASTERN ERIE AND 
SOUTHERN NIAGARA COUNTIES...

The flash flood warning has been replaced by another flood warning 
since there still are remaining impacts from the flash flooding.

LAT...LON 4319 7905 4320 7905 4312 7859 4321 7850
      4299 7847 4305 7900 4306 7900 4307 7901
      4308 7907 4311 7906 4312 7907 4313 7906
      4314 7904 4317 7905

$$

Apffel

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 2:13 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF62 min
Jul 20, 2:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara48 min
Jul 20, 3:14 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF61 min
Jul 20, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFNiagara67 min
Jul 20, 3:39 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF81 min
Jul 20, 3:48 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF87 min
Jul 20, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis67 min
Jul 20, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans67 min
Jul 20, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFNiagara48 min
Jul 20, 4:46 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF59 min
Jul 20, 4:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFNiagara6 hr
Jul 20, 4:55 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF48 min
Jul 20, 4:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF92 min
Jul 20, 5:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee30 min
Jul 20, 5:10 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF2 hr
Jul 20, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego62 min
Jul 20, 5:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego47 min
Jul 20, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans60 min
Jul 20, 5:43 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF92 min
Jul 20, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFOswego62 min
Jul 20, 5:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee, Monroe, Ontario, Orleans34 min
Jul 20, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego, Wayne38 min
Jul 20, 6:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF34 min
Jul 20, 6:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee30 min
Jul 20, 6:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara46 min
Jul 20, 6:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLewis29 min
Jul 20, 6:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF67 min
Jul 20, 7:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie, Genesee, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming36 min
Jul 20, 7:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne31 min
Jul 20, 7:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston, Wyoming92 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.