Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2021
Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 14, 2021, 4:15 PM EST for 11 counties in New York; Bradford County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Feb 15, 2021, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2021, 4:15 PM EST (21:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 15, 2021, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 16, 2021, 3:54 AM EST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
Counties Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Madison County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 8:00 PM EST | SNOW 0.8 | Homer, NY | |
| Feb 15, 9:00 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.01 | Elmira Arpt, NY | PLANAR MEASUREMENT FROM KELM ASOS. |
| Feb 15, 9:30 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.01 | Homer, NY | |
| Feb 16, 12:07 AM EST | SNOW 3 | Corning, NY | MIXED WITH SLEET. |
| Feb 16, 1:30 AM EST | SNOW 3.8 | 4 N Liverpool, NY | CHANGED OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. |
| Feb 16, 3:00 AM EST | SNOW 3.8 | Ovid, NY |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 562 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 95 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
759 WWUS41 KBGM 142115 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 415 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-152115- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.W.0005.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 415 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Yates, Seneca, Southern Cayuga, Onondaga, Steuben, Schuyler, Tompkins, Madison, Southern Oneida and Cortland counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM Monday to 4 PM EST Tuesday. The heaviest snow will be from late Monday night into Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ PAZ043-044-047-048-072-152115- /O.EXA.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 415 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to one quarter of an inch possible. * WHERE...Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow and sleet Monday afternoon with steadier and possibly heavier precipitation late Monday night into Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NYZ062-152115- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Sullivan- Including the city of Monticello 415 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one quarter of an inch possible. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford, Susquehanna and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Sullivan, Broome and Delaware counties. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow and sleet Monday afternoon with steadier and possibly heavier precipitation late Monday night into Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NYZ024-045-046-055>057-PAZ038>040-152115- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Chemung-Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Bradford- Susquehanna-Northern Wayne- Including the cities of Elmira, Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, and Equinunk 415 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to and around one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford, Susquehanna and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Sullivan, Broome and Delaware counties. The highest snow amounts possible across southern and central New York with the highest amounts of ice in northeastern Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow and sleet Monday afternoon with steadier and possibly heavier precipitation late Monday night into Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
6 follow-up statements
817 WWUS41 KBGM 150237 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 937 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-160245- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 937 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Cortland, Tompkins, Schuyler, Steuben, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Yates, Seneca and Southern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM Monday to 4 PM EST Tuesday. The heaviest snow will be from late Monday night into Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ062-PAZ043-044-047-048-072-160245- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Sullivan-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Monticello, Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 937 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to one quarter of an inch possible. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Southern Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna, Luzerne and Wyoming counties. In New York, Sullivan county. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow and sleet Monday afternoon with steadier and possibly heavier precipitation late Monday night into Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NYZ024-045-046-055>057-PAZ038>040-160245- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Chemung-Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Bradford- Susquehanna-Northern Wayne- Including the cities of Elmira, Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, and Equinunk 937 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of around two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford, Susquehanna and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Otsego, Chenango, Chemung, Tioga, Broome and Delaware counties. The highest snow amounts possible across southern and central New York with the highest amounts of ice in northeastern Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow and sleet Monday afternoon with steadier and possibly heavier precipitation late Monday night into Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
650 WWUS41 KBGM 150755 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 255 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 NYZ024-PAZ038-160800- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.EXA.KBGM.WS.W.0005.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Chemung-Bradford- Including the cities of Elmira, Sayre, and Towanda 255 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches and ice accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford county. In New York, Chemung county. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow beginning Monday morning with heavier precipitation Monday night into early Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorist to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-160800- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 255 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 12 inches and a few hundredths of an inch of ice south of I-90. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Cortland, Tompkins, Schuyler, Steuben, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Yates, Seneca and Southern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM Monday to 4 PM EST Tuesday. The heaviest snow will be from late Monday night into Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow beginning Monday morning with heavier precipitation Monday night into early Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ045-046-055>057-062-PAZ039-040-160800- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne- Including the cities of Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Monticello, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, and Equinunk 255 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around a tenth of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Chenango, Otsego, Tioga, Broome, Delaware and Sullivan counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions will impact commuting times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow beginning Monday morning with heavier snow, sleet, and freezing rain Monday night into early Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ043-044-047-048-072-160800- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 255 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to one quarter of an inch. * WHERE...Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions will impact commuting times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two rounds of precipitation possible. The first being a period of light snow and sleet beginning Monday morning with heavier sleet and freezing rain Monday night into early Tuesday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$
069 WWUS41 KBGM 151621 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-161630- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Cortland, Tompkins, Schuyler, Steuben, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Yates, Seneca and Southern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. The heaviest snow will occur late Monday evening until around sunrise Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow today will produce around an inch or less. The bulk of the heavy snow will fall later this evening and overnight tonight. Snowfall rates tonight may reach around 1 inch per hour at times tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ024-PAZ038-161630- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Chemung-Bradford- Including the cities of Elmira, Sayre, and Towanda 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford county. In New York, Chemung county. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute today and the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow today will produce around an inch or less. The bulk of the heavy snow will fall later this evening and overnight tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorist to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ NYZ045-046-055>057-062-PAZ039-040-161630- /O.CON.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne- Including the cities of Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Monticello, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, and Equinunk 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations up to a tenth of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Sullivan, Otsego, Chenango, Tioga, Broome and Delaware counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult and may impact the evening commute today and the Tuesday morning commute. Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The first round of snow today will produce light amounts around an inch or so. The heavier snow...along with sleet and freezing rain is expected late this evening and into the early Tuesday morning period. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ043-044-047-048-072-161630- /O.CON.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2 inches and ice accumulations up a quarter of an inch. * WHERE...Southern Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna, Luzerne and Wyoming counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute today and the Tuesday morning commute tomorrow. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow and sleet, mixed with freezing drizzle this morning will taper off this afternoon before intensifying again this evening and through the overnight hours with freezing rain, rain and sleet likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$
393 WWUS41 KBGM 152023 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 323 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 NYZ062-PAZ044-047-048-072-162030- /O.UPG.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.IS.W.0001.210215T2023Z-210216T1500Z/ Sullivan-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Monticello, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 323 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of two tenths to one half of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. In New York, Sullivan county. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Ice accumulation in the valley locations will range from a tenth to a quarter of an inch...but locations above 1500 feet elevation are expected to see as much as one half of an inch. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-162030- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 323 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and light mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 7 to 11 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Cortland, Tompkins, Schuyler, Steuben, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Yates, Seneca and Southern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy snow will begin this evening with snowfall rates as high as 1 to 2 inches per hour tonight. There may be light freezing drizzle or sleet mixed in at times as well. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ024-PAZ038-162030- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Chemung-Bradford- Including the cities of Elmira, Sayre, and Towanda 323 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford county. In New York, Chemung county. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute today or the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heavy snow will begin this evening and continue through tonight with brief periods of snowfall rates around 1 inch per hour. Light freezing drizzle or sleet may mix in at times as well. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorist to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ NYZ045-046-055>057-PAZ039-040-043-162030- /O.CON.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne- Wyoming- Including the cities of Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, Equinunk, and Tunkhannock 323 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of up to one quarter of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna, Wyoming and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Otsego, Chenango, Tioga, Broome and Delaware counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation will start out as snow this evening and then mix with sleet and freezing rain through the overnight hours. Drizzle or freezing drizzle will be possible into Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$
829 WWUS41 KBGM 160323 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1023 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 NYZ062-PAZ044-047-048-072-161500- /O.CON.KBGM.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/ Sullivan-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Monticello, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 1023 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one quarter to four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Southern Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna and Luzerne counties. In New York, Sullivan county. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Ice accumulation in the valley locations will generally fall below a quarter inch...but locations above 1500 feet elevation may see as much as one half of an inch. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-162100- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 1023 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches from the Finger Lakes to northern Oneida county, and up to 2 to 4 inches from the central Southern Tier northeast to the western Mohawk valley. A light glaze of ice is possible. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Cortland, Tompkins, Schuyler, Steuben, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Yates, Seneca and Southern Cayuga counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow will occur across west central NY, with snowfall rates as high as 1 to 2 inches per hour tonight. There may be light freezing drizzle or sleet mixed in at times as well. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ024-PAZ038-162100- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Chemung-Bradford- Including the cities of Elmira, Sayre, and Towanda 1023 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to two to four inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford county. In New York, Chemung county. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow or mixed precipitation could turn heavy at times with reduced visibility and quick accumulations. A light glaze of ice is also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorist to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ NYZ045-046-055>057-PAZ039-040-043-162100- /O.CON.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne- Wyoming- Including the cities of Norwich, Oneonta, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, Equinunk, and Tunkhannock 1023 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to one to three inches and ice accumulations of up to one quarter of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna, Wyoming and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Otsego, Chenango, Tioga, Broome and Delaware counties. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is starting mainly as snow and sleet tonight, with some freezing rain mixing in. A change almost entirely over to freezing rain is expected late tonight. Higher ice accumulations are possible over the higher terrain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$
986 WWUS41 KBGM 160854 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 354 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-161800- /O.CAN.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T1800Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Madison-Southern Oneida- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, and Utica 354 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow and sleet accumulations under one inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Yates, Seneca, Southern Cayuga, Onondaga, Steuben, Madison and Southern Oneida counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain will taper off from southwest to northeast through sunrise. Patchy freezing rain and freezing drizzle will linger during the morning. However, a transition to rain or drizzle will allow for icy conditions to slowly improve as temperatures gradually rise above freezing from south to north during the day. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ023>025-044-PAZ038-161500- /O.CAN.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/ Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Cortland-Bradford- Including the cities of Watkins Glen, Elmira, Ithaca, Cortland, Sayre, and Towanda 354 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional sleet accumulations up to a few tenths of an inch and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Bradford county. In New York, Schuyler, Chemung, Tompkins and Cortland counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on icy road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Freezing rain, occasionally mixing with sleet, will taper off from southwest to northeast prior to sunrise. Patchy freezing rain and freezing drizzle may linger in colder spots at higher elevations during the morning commute. However, conditions will slowly improve as temperatures rise above freezing and precipitation transitions to drizzle. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ NYZ062-PAZ044-047-048-072-161500- /O.CON.KBGM.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/ Sullivan-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Monticello, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, Milford, and Honesdale 354 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Significant icing. Additional ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch at elevations above 1,200 feet. This will result in event total ice amounts between one-quarter and one- half inch along the highest ridges in the Poconos and western Catskills. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Southern Wayne, Pike, Lackawanna and Luzerne counties. In New York, Sullivan county. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Icy conditions will lead to very dangerous travel, especially at higher elevations, and along bridges, overpasses, and untreated secondary roads. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Freezing rain will taper off from southwest to northeast toward daybreak. However, patchy freezing rain or freezing drizzle may linger in colder spots at the highest elevations in the western Catskills through mid morning. Conditions will improve much faster in the valleys as temperatures rise above freezing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ NYZ045-055>057-PAZ039-040-043-161500- /O.EXT.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/ Chenango-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming- Including the cities of Norwich, Owego, Waverly, Binghamton, Delhi, Walton, Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, Equinunk, and Tunkhannock 354 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional sleet accumulations up to a few tenths of an inch and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Susquehanna, Wyoming and Northern Wayne counties. In New York, Chenango, Tioga, Broome and Delaware counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on icy roads. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Freezing rain, occasionally mixing with sleet, will taper off from southwest to northeast just before sunrise. Patchy freezing rain and freezing drizzle may linger in colder spots at higher elevations during the morning commute. However, conditions will slowly improve as temperatures rise above freezing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. && $$ NYZ046-161800- /O.EXT.KBGM.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210216T1800Z/ Otsego- Including the city of Oneonta 354 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional sleet accumulations up to a few tenths of an inch and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Otsego county. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain will taper off from southwest to northeast around sunrise. Patchy freezing rain or freezing drizzle will linger through the morning. However, conditions will slowly improve as temperatures rise above freezing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ JRK
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 14, 4:07 PM EST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 4:07 PM EST, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
407 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Multiple rounds of snow and mixed precipitation are expected,
with the first one being Monday, bringing light snow across the
region. Monday night into Tuesday, a heavier round of snow is
expected across CNY with the Southern Tier into the Catskills seeing
a wintery mix. A wintry mix and freezing rain is expected across
northeast Pennsylvania. After a break midweek, another storms
will impact the region Thursday and Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
240 PM Update...
We are seeing low level moisture mixing out a bit this
afternoon, especially across the western Southern Tier, where
skies have cleared. However, any break in the clouds will be
short-lived to just this afternoon and evening, as high clouds
move back in tonight as our next storm approaches from the SW.
Other than the increase in clouds, any precipitation will likely
hold off until Monday morning, as a deep layer of cold, dry air
above the surface should keep precipitation from reaching the
ground until after 12Z Monday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Several waves of low pressure will travel northeastward along a
frontal boundary south of our region. Quite a temperature
contrast will be present along the boundary but for the most
part our region should be on the colder side of the front.
However, models have strengthened a 700 mb low across the Ohio
Valley with this model cycle increasing the low level jet also
know as more warmer air being transported northward. As a
result, more mixing looks to occur further north and west into
our region.
The first wave of low pressure should have enough moisture with
it to develop an area of light precipitation during the day
tomorrow as it passes through. Temperatures will be cold enough
for snow but a warm layer at about 800 mb should sneak into
northeastern PA leading to a mixture of snow and sleet in this
area. We get a brief break in the action Monday evening.
The main area of low pressure looks to track northeast up the
east coast Monday night and Tuesday. Considerable moisture looks
to overrun the boundary and lead to the development of
widespread snow and mixed precipitation. However, the warm
layer aloft should slowly nudge northwestward through the night
as well while surface temperatures stay below freezing.
While modeling has trended northward with the warm nose
uncertainty is still present on how far northward it goes. The
NAM 12Z 2/14 is the warmest while the ECMWF 12Z 2/14 is
considerably colder. For many in this zone from the Wyoming
Valley, into the Southern Tier and Western Catskills the
difference between mainly snow or mainly sleet/freezing rain
exists between these models. Confidence is higher that the
Poconos and Scranton areas change to mainly freezing rain and
perhaps even rain for a time. The winter storm watch has been
expanded into all of NE PA and upgraded to a warning from the
Finger Lakes to Syracuse where confidence is highest for an all
snow event. In terms of temperatures, quite a complex blend was
used which leaned This gradient could end up being sharper than
what we show now depending on where the mix line sets up
Temperatures generally in the 20's and low 30's. A winter storm
watch has been issued for most of the region based on the
current forecast. Confidence is lower in the Poconos where more
mixing is anticipated. RGEM and previous forecast but also
factored in the much warmer NAM with values generally in the
20's and 30's.
As for QPF amounts modeled ensemble means are currently from 3/4
inch to 1 inch of QPF. However, snow ratios should vary
considerably across the region. Quite a bit of wind looks to be
present aloft regionwide which could limit the ratios. Where
mixing occurs with sleet and freezing rain ratios will lower
perhaps down to 5:1 with sleet being much harder to accumulate.
While more traditional values with a coastal low of around
8-15:1 should occur further north across the NY thruway
corridor where less warm aloft is present. This yields snowfall
of 8-12 inches across the Finger Lakes and NY Thruway area by
early afternoon Tuesday with a sharp gradient to just less than
6 inches in the Northern Tier of PA to an inch or so around
Scranton. In terms of ice, concern is present for 1/2 inch QPF
or slightly more to fall as freezing rain potentially yielding a
1/4 inch of ice in spots adding to the potential impacts.
A few more subtle things to keep an eye on is that FGEN forcing
around 700 MB should ramp up for a time overnight Monday night
leading to some moderate to heavy precipitation rates. These
rates may offset the changeover area progression going further
north for a time as well. Also, low level cold air may hang on a
bit longer in the Western Catskills more than modeled which
could prolong any freezing rain. Wind gusts Tuesday afternoon
based on Bufkit soundings could reach 20 mph, potentially making
any impacts from ice more significant.
This looks to be a fairly high impact for most of the region and
with the uncertainty still present minor shifts with the
temperatures or tracks could result in notable changes to the
amount of snow and ice forecasted.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
255 PM Update...
Made just some minor changes to the forecast for the end of the
workweek. All guidance is in very good agreement that a storm
system will impact the region Thursday into Friday, so have gone
with categorical PoPs this time period. However, there is still
quite a bit of uncertainty, similar to the system at the
beginning of the week, in how far north warm air will infiltrate
into the region. This will have huge implications on the
forecast, as any p-type is on the table at this point. Snow
will be most likely at the beginning of the event on Thursday,
but a transition to a wintry mix or a plain rain in some areas
is going to be possible, especially further south across NE PA.
Previous Discussion...
High pressure will bring a brief break
Wednesday before another storm moves through the Appalachian
Mountains Wednesday night. This storm will track over NY and PA
through Friday, bringing an elongated period of snow and mixed
precipitation.
Snow will fall through the day Thursday before a warm layer
aloft works into the Wyoming Valley of PA. This will cause the
snow to mix with, or change over to sleet or freezing rain.
Temperatures will rise Thursday night from the upper 20s into
the lower or middle 30s as warm air surges northward. The mixed
precipitation will stretch into Upstate NY by sunrise Friday.
Mixed precipitation will continue Friday, though colder air
aloft suggests a rain/snow mix at the surface instead of
freezing rain and sleet.
The storm will taper off to scattered snow showers Friday night
into Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MVFR ceilings expected until this evening and then some
improvement with a period of VFR likely overnight. However, MVFR
to IFR conditions will return Monday morning as light snow
overspreads the region from SW to NE through the day.
Outlook...
Monday afternoon...Front end of developing system brings period
of light snow/associated restrictions. Sleet or freezing rain
possible KAVP in afternoon.
Monday night through Tuesday...Winter storm expected with
moderate to heavy accumulating snow across the north with sleet
and then freezing rain expected KAVP Monday night - early
Tuesday and freezing rain may also impact BGM early Tuesday
morning.
Tuesday night through Wednesday night...Mainly VFR.
Thursday through Friday...Another large system moves in with
wintry mix and likely restrictions.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Storm Watch from Monday morning through Tuesday
afternoon for PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Winter Storm Watch from Monday morning through Tuesday
afternoon for NYZ024-045-046-055>057-062.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM Monday to 4 PM EST Tuesday for
NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...AJG/MPK
SHORT TERM...MWG
LONG TERM...DJP/MPK
AVIATION...MPKHazardous weather outlook, Feb 14, 3:46 AM EST, 12 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Binghamton NY 346 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044>046-150900- Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego- 346 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. In addition, another winter storm is forecast to move through our region Thursday and Friday with snow and possibly a wintry mix. Please monitor our forecasts for updates. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any information about severe weather to the NWS while following local, state and CDC guidelines. PAZ043-044-047-048-072-150900- Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- 346 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A powerful winter storm could bring several inches of snow and a wintry mix to the area Monday into Tuesday. In addition, another winter storm is forecast to move through our region Thursday and Friday with snow and possibly a wintry mix again. Please monitor our forecasts for updates. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay any information about severe weather to the NWS while following local, state and CDC guidelines. NYZ024-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-150900- Chemung-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne- 346 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. In addition, another winter storm is forecast to move through our region Thursday and Friday with snow and possibly a wintry mix. Please monitor our forecasts for updates. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any information about severe weather to the NWS while following local, state and CDC guidelines.
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2021Winter Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2021Every winter storm warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.