Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 36, NWS Binghamton, NY

October 30, 2021Chemung County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this river flood warning at Oct 30, 2021, 3:43 AM EDT for Chemung County, New York. It took effect at Oct 30, 2021, 6:22 AM EDT. It was in force for 26 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 30, 2021, 3:43 AM EDT (07:43 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 30, 2021, 6:22 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 31, 2021, 8:33 AM EDT
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Chemung County, NY

The river

Written for the forecast point Chemung River at Elmira (CHEN6). The gauge peaked at 13.38 ft at Oct 30, 2021, 12:00 PM EDT.

actionminormoderate5101510/3010/3111/01
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01530332, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

594 
WGUS41 KBGM 300743
FLWBGM

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
343 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The National Weather Service in Binghamton NY has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in New York...

  Chemung River At Elmira affecting Chemung County.

For the Chemung River Basin...including Campbell, West Cameron, 
Lindley, Corning, Elmira, Chemung...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


NYC015-301945-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FL.W.0036.211030T1022Z-211031T1233Z/
/CHEN6.1.ER.211030T1022Z.211030T1200Z.211031T0032Z.NO/
343 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Chemung River At Elmira.
* Until tomorrow morning.
* At 2:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river has risen several feet overnight in response to heavy 
  rain from Friday evening.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning to a crest of 13.3 feet this morning. It will then fall 
  below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding develops outside the area of 
  levees and flood protection. Portions of Lower Maple Avenue (Route 
  427) in the Town of Ashland may be closed. The Lowman Crossover 
  floods. Route 352 in Big Flats floods. The City of Elmira is 
  protected by levees to 25 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4208 7695 4212 7693 4209 7678 4205 7673
      4201 7676 4206 7678

$$

MDP
4 follow-up statements
569 
WGUS81 KBGM 301404
FLSBGM

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New 
York...Pennsylvania...

  Cohocton River Near Campbell affecting Steuben County.

  Chemung River At Elmira affecting Chemung County.

  Chemung River At Chemung affecting Bradford and Chemung Counties.

  Onondaga Lake At Liverpool affecting Onondaga County.

  Cayuga Lake At Ithaca affecting Tompkins County.

For the Chemung River Basin...including Campbell, West Cameron, 
Lindley, Corning, Elmira, Chemung...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Finger Lakes/seneca/oswego River...including Nedrow, Ithaca, 
Auburn, Ithaca, Geneva, Oneida, Liverpool, Auburn...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


NYC101-310215-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-211031T0600Z/
/CMPN6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.211030T1300Z.211030T1800Z.NO/
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until just after midnight 
tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cohocton River Near Campbell.
* Until just after midnight tonight.
* At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM EDT Saturday was 10.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon and continue falling to 5.7 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Main Street near Campbell-Savona schools 
  covered with about 1 foot of water. Parking lot at school begins 
  to flood. Basement flooding in Hamlet of Campbell becomes 
  widespread at this point.


&&

LAT...LON 4228 7724 4229 7721 4219 7712 4217 7713
      4222 7722

$$

NYC015-310215-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-211031T0900Z/
/CHEN6.1.ER.211030T1040Z.211030T1800Z.211030T2100Z.NO/
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chemung River At Elmira.
* Until late tonight.
* At 9:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EDT Saturday was 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.4 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding develops outside the area of 
  levees and flood protection. Portions of Lower Maple Avenue (Route 
  427) in the Town of Ashland may be closed. The Lowman Crossover 
  floods. Route 352 in Big Flats floods. The City of Elmira is 
  protected by levees to 25 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4208 7695 4212 7693 4209 7678 4205 7673
      4201 7676 4206 7678

$$

NYC015-PAC015-310215-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0037.211030T1900Z-211031T0905Z/
/CMGN6.1.ER.211030T1900Z.211030T2000Z.211030T2105Z.NO/
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chemung River At Chemung.
* From this afternoon to late tonight.
* At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 16.3 feet late this afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4201 7675 4205 7673 4201 7654 4193 7652

$$

NYC067-310215-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LVRN6.1.ER.211027T1415Z.211030T1330Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Onondaga Lake At Liverpool.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 366.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 366.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The water level of the lake has persisted at 
  slightly above 366 feet during the last few days.
* Forecast...The lake will remain nearly steady at around 366.5 feet 
  through the next several days.
* Impact...At 366.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Trails at Onondaga Lake 
  Park are flooded. Marina usage is also impacted. Areas downstream 
  of the lake, in the vicinity of Hayes Road, may be affected by 
  flood waters.


&&

LAT...LON 4311 7626 4312 7624 4308 7617 4306 7619

$$

NYC109-310215-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ICYN6.2.ER.211026T1951Z.211101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1004 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cayuga Lake At Ithaca.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 384.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 383.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum lake stage in the 24 hours ending at 
  9:00 AM EDT Saturday was 384.4 feet.
* Forecast...The water level of the lake is expected to very slowly 
  creep higher to about 384.6 feet over the next few days.
* Impact...At 385.0 feet, Significant flooding occurs around the 
  lake. This level is approximately the same as the April 1916 and 
  March 1936 floods. Wind waves will cause unusual land erosion and 
  damage docks.


&&

LAT...LON 4298 7678 4297 7672 4272 7669 4246 7649
      4245 7653 4270 7677

$$

MJM
886 
WGUS81 KBGM 301855
FLSBGM

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
255 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New 
York...Pennsylvania...

  Cohocton River Near Campbell affecting Steuben County.

  Chemung River At Chemung affecting Bradford and Chemung Counties.

  Chemung River At Elmira affecting Chemung County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Onondaga Lake At Liverpool affecting Onondaga County.

  Cayuga Lake At Ithaca affecting Tompkins County.

For the Chemung River Basin...including Campbell, West Cameron, 
Lindley, Corning, Elmira, Chemung...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Finger Lakes/seneca/oswego River...including Nedrow, Ithaca, 
Auburn, Ithaca, Geneva, Oneida, Liverpool, Auburn...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


NYC101-310700-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-211031T0900Z/
/CMPN6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.211030T1300Z.211030T2100Z.NO/
255 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cohocton River Near Campbell.
* Until late tonight.
* At 2:00 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:00 PM EDT Saturday was 10.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue falling to 5.6 feet early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Minor flooding starts. Flood waters exit 
  the river channel at Main Street near the Campbell-Savona schools 
  and begin to inundate fields and low spots along the 
  Savona-Campbell Road.


&&

LAT...LON 4228 7724 4229 7721 4219 7712 4217 7713
      4222 7722

$$

NYC015-PAC015-310700-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0037.211030T1855Z-211031T1000Z/
/CMGN6.1.ER.211030T1830Z.211030T2000Z.211030T2200Z.NO/
255 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chemung River At Chemung.
* From this afternoon to tomorrow morning.
* At 2:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.3 feet 
  late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4201 7675 4205 7673 4201 7654 4193 7652

$$

NYC015-310700-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-211031T1300Z/
/CHEN6.1.ER.211030T1040Z.211030T1615Z.211031T0100Z.NO/
255 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chemung River At Elmira.
* Until late tomorrow morning.
* At 2:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:30 PM EDT Saturday was 13.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 5.9 feet early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding develops outside the area of 
  levees and flood protection. Portions of Lower Maple Avenue (Route 
  427) in the Town of Ashland may be closed. The Lowman Crossover 
  floods. Route 352 in Big Flats floods. The City of Elmira is 
  protected by levees to 25 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4208 7695 4212 7693 4209 7678 4205 7673
      4201 7676 4206 7678

$$

NYC067-310700-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LVRN6.1.ER.211027T1415Z.211031T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
255 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Onondaga Lake At Liverpool.
* Until further notice.
* At 2:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 366.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 366.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum lake stage in the 24 hours ending at 
  2:30 PM EDT Saturday was 366.7 feet.
* Forecast...The lake is expected to rise to a crest of 366.9 feet 
  just after midnight tonight and hold steady at that level until 
  Monday.
* Impact...At 366.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Trails at Onondaga Lake 
  Park are flooded. Marina usage is also impacted. Areas downstream 
  of the lake, in the vicinity of Hayes Road, may be affected by 
  flood waters.


&&

LAT...LON 4311 7626 4312 7624 4308 7617 4306 7619

$$

NYC109-310700-
/O.CON.KBGM.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ICYN6.2.ER.211026T1951Z.211102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
255 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cayuga Lake At Ithaca.
* Until further notice.
* At 2:00 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 384.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 383.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum lake stage in the 24 hours ending at 
  2:00 PM EDT Saturday was 384.5 feet.
* Forecast...The lake is expected to remain steady above flood stage 
  at 384.5 feet until Monday.
* Impact...At 385.0 feet, Significant flooding occurs around the 
  lake. This level is approximately the same as the April 1916 and 
  March 1936 floods. Wind waves will cause unusual land erosion and 
  damage docks.


&&

LAT...LON 4298 7678 4297 7672 4272 7669 4246 7649
      4245 7653 4270 7677

$$

MJM
106 
WGUS81 KBGM 310022
FLSBGM

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
822 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Chemung River At Elmira affecting Chemung County.

For the Chemung River Basin...including Campbell, West Cameron, 
Lindley, Corning, Elmira, Chemung...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


NYC015-310130-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-211031T0100Z/
/CHEN6.1.ER.211030T1040Z.211030T1615Z.211031T0100Z.NO/
822 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chemung River At Elmira.
* Until late this evening.
* At 7:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 11.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river stage has just fallen below minor flood levels. 
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:30 PM EDT Saturday was 13.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to 5.9 feet early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding develops outside the area of 
  levees and flood protection. Portions of Lower Maple Avenue (Route 
  427) in the Town of Ashland may be closed. The Lowman Crossover 
  floods. Route 352 in Big Flats floods. The City of Elmira is 
  protected by levees to 25 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4208 7695 4212 7693 4209 7678 4205 7673
      4201 7676 4206 7678

$$

MWG
705 
WGUS81 KBGM 310127
FLSBGM

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
927 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is expired for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Chemung River At Elmira affecting Chemung County.

NYC015-310230-
/O.EXP.KBGM.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-211031T0100Z/
/CHEN6.1.ER.211030T1040Z.211030T1615Z.211031T0100Z.NO/
927 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Chemung River At Elmira has expired...

The Flood Warning has expired for
  the Chemung River At Elmira.
* At 9:15 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:30 PM EDT Saturday was 13.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river has fallen below flood stage and will 
  continue falling to 5.9 feet early Tuesday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4208 7695 4212 7693 4209 7678 4205 7673
      4201 7676 4206 7678

$$

MWG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 30, 3:25 AM EDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 3:25 AM EDT, 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
325 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
On and off rain showers are expected today through tonight as a
low pressure system passes through the area. Some lingering
showers will also be possible on Sunday, mainly in Central New
York. Temperatures will be near normal through Monday, then
below normal temperatures are expected for the remainder of the
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
200 AM Update...
The Flash Flood Watch that had been in effect for Steuben,
Chemung, and Bradford counties has been cancelled as the threat
for flash flooding is now over. While flash flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat, there is still water and in
some cases debris on several roadways and streams remain
elevated. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures in
these areas.

1230 AM Update...
Updated PoPs as the rain has moved further north. Very little
precipitation is falling in the dry slot but there is some
drizzle occurring. Some showers try and redevelop late tonight
though confidence was lower in that so the PoPs were lowered
from Likely to Chance across NE PA into the southern Tier. Wind
was also edited to focus more on higher elevations since many
valley locations have not seen much in the way of any wind.

930 PM Update...
Drier air continues to hang in tough across areas from I-81
eastward late this evening. As a result, timing of the showers
looks a little slower for these locations tonight. Still a few
rounds of rainfall are anticipated. Rainfall amounts so far in
the watch area are from 1/2 to 1 inch. The HRRR and Hires NAM
both bring the heaviest rainfall during the mid and late evening
hours with the forecasted totals on track around 1.5 inches. We
have received several reports of flooded roadways and flash
flood warnings have been issued into the overnight. Turn around
don't drown. The good news is a dry slot is still advancing
northward this evening as expected which will lead to more
showery rainfall overnight. Previous discussion below.

200 PM Update...

Clouds are overspreading in the area with light rain finally
starting to work into the western Twin Tiers. A vertically
stacked low continues to slowly move northward through the Ohio
valley. An occluded front extends from the center of the
cyclone (approximately over Ohio/WV/northern KY) eastward to the
mid- Atlantic coast. The satellite-derived total precipitable
water product indicates a plume of PWATs up to 1-1.5in extending
inland towards the center of the low, courtesy of a
strengthening low-level jet that is helping us tap into some
Atlantic moisture.

Models continue to move the main area of steady, moderate to
locally-heavy rain through rather quickly this evening. That,
along with wind shadowing/downsloping east of the Poconos-
Catskills, is supporting the continued downtrending of rainfall
expectations for areas along and east of I-81. Expect totals
generally under an inch for most of the area, with the burnt of
the activity between 00Z and 06Z.

That said, steadier, occasionally heavier rainfall will be
possible for a longer duration west of I-81 and south of the
Finger Lakes tonight. The axis of deeper moisture pivots
westward as the low continues to slowly move northward.
Meanwhile, the low level jet will cause orographic enhancement
as it upslopes against the Allegheny plateau. Thus, rainfall
amounts could exceed an inch for the southern Finger Lakes, as
well as Steuben, Chemung, and Bradford counties These areas are
already very wet and sensitive to additional rainfall; new rain
will almost immediately run off into creeks/small streams. That
is where there is a bit more concern for a somewhat organized
flooding potential, compared to a more marginal threat
elsewhere. A Flash Flood Watch has been issues for Steuben,
Bradford, and Chemung counties.

The stacked low will continue its northward track, moving into
western NY and PA into early Saturday. This more northerly than
northeasterly track means a dry slot aloft is likely to lift
over our region Saturday. Showers can still be expected, but
they will tend to be scattered/on- and- off and with limited
amounts. Responses to the heavier rainfall, from overnight, will
still be ongoing for the main stem rivers. There is a small
chance of a couple river points going back to near minor flood
stage, but most will stay below. Meanwhile, the persistently
high water levels on Cayuga and Onondaga Lake will continue.
After lows of mostly 40s tonight, highs of 50s-near 60 are
anticipated for Saturday.

Stray showers continue through Saturday night with the upper low
directly overhead. Chances will be better across our
northeastern zones as a low closes off along the mid Atlantic
coast and quickly tracks into New England by early Sunday
morning. Otherwise, expect lows to drop back into the mid and
upper 40s under cloudy skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
315 PM Update:
Upper level troughing will slowly lift northeast on Sunday
(Halloween), with most of the steadier rainfall moving out of
the far eastern counties early in the morning. While this may be
followed by a few breaks of sunshine, it'll be brief, with
cyclonic flow aloft and weak cool advection with winds off the
Great Lakes promoting increased cloud cover and some spotty
light showers or sprinkles again in the afternoon as a weak
shortwave trough rotates through. Showers will diminish again
around sunset, and while a brief shower can't be completely
ruled out in the evening, it will be mostly dry, with seasonal
temperatures.

An upper trough moving across southern Ontario into Quebec will
drop a weak cold front through the area late Sunday night, with
additional light showers possible starting after midnight,
mainly west of I-81. The front itself will be near the Hudson
Valley by Monday morning, with slightly cooler and drier air
spreading across the area in its wake. Partly Sunny skies will
prevail for most areas on Monday, except for parts of Oneida
County, where lake effect clouds will linger.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
325 AM Update...
A cool yet not cold pattern is anticipated for the middle to
late portion of next week, with small chances for occasional
showers.

Models continue to depict the periphery of cyclonic flow over
the Great Lakes to Northeast next week, yet with upper level low
pressure and most of the truly cold air staying bottled up in
Canada. For our region, our pattern will be out of the west or
even west-southwest at times; yet with shallow cool air placing
temperatures slightly below average. Generally speaking, highs
will be lower 40s-lower 50s with lows of upper 20s-mid 30s.
Some locations which have not yet had a hard freeze, will have
a few opportunities to do so.

Though it is difficult to time the fairly weak waves embedded
within the flow, one appears probable to pass through with
limited moisture Tuesday, followed by another one around
Thursday or Thursday night. Shower chances for now have been
maintained on the low side; in the 20-40 percent range which
really is around or below climatology for this time of year.
When the showers do occur, higher elevations and nighttime/early
morning periods could feature wet snowflakes mixing in.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
While rain is becoming more showery/lighter in nature early
this morning, plenty of low level moisture in place is allowing
for widespread MVFR to Fuel Alternate ceiling restrictions, with
occasional IFR restrictions as well. Expecting this trend to
continue through most of the morning, before ceilings gradually
improve during the afternoon to MVFR and possibly VFR at some
terminals. Ceilings begin to lower once again late tonight/early
Sunday morning.

Outlook...

Sunday through Sunday night...Scattered rain showers and
occasional restrictions possible; mainly Central NY terminals.

Monday through Monday night...Mainly VFR.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Restrictions possible in passing
showers, which may mix with snow during the overnight hours.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BJG
NEAR TERM...AJG/BJG/HLC/MDP/MWG
SHORT TERM...MPH
LONG TERM...MDP
AVIATION...BJG
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 30, 2:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
210 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-310615-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-
Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
210 AM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 30, 12:30 AM EDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1230 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PRATTSBURG              42.53N 77.29W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGH WATER IMPACTING A FEW TRAILERS AT
            WHITMORE PARK, INCLUDING SOME DAMAGE TO
            TRAILER SKIRTING.

&&

MDP
Local storm report, Oct 30, 12:32 AM EDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1232 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1127 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E BATH                42.33N 77.25W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER FREEMAN HOLLOW ROAD AT
            HUTCHES ROAD.

&&

MDP
Local storm report, Oct 30, 12:35 AM EDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1235 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     FLOOD            2 S SAVONA              42.26N 77.22W
10/30/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER BEGINNING TO FLOOD SAVONA-CAMPBELL
            ROAD ALONG COHOCTON RIVER.

&&

MDP
Local storm report, Oct 30, 12:53 AM EDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1253 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSE TYRONE            42.40N 77.06W
10/29/2021                   SCHUYLER           NY   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER STATE ROUTE 226 IN MULTIPLE
            LOCATIONS, INCLUDING SOME DEBRIS AND
            WASHOUTS.

&&

MDP
Local storm report, Oct 30, 1:49 AM EDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
149 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1259 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE SAVONA            42.27N 77.18W
10/30/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TOWN OF CAMPBELL HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT
            RESPONDING TO A LANDSLIDE ON WOLF RUN ROAD.

&&

MDP
Local storm report, Oct 30, 2:00 AM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 PM     FLOOD            3 E BURLINGTON          41.78N 76.56W
10/29/2021                   BRADFORD           PA   911 CALL CENTER

            6-10 INCHES OF WATER CROSSING ROUTE 6 IN
            BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP.

0952 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E BURLINGTON          41.78N 76.58W
10/29/2021                   BRADFORD           PA   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOWING WATER ACROSS RT 6 JUST OUTSIDE OF
            BURLINGTON.

1020 PM     FLOOD            1 S TOWANDA             41.76N 76.45W
10/29/2021                   BRADFORD           PA   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODED BASEMENT WITH 3 FEET OF WATER.

0900 PM     FLOOD            BRANCHPORT              42.60N 77.15W
10/29/2021                   YATES              NY   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODED BASEMENT ON AUMICK ROAD.

0930 PM     FLOOD            2 W DUNDEE              42.52N 77.02W
10/29/2021                   YATES              NY   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING ON ROUTES 5 AND 8.

1015 PM     FLOOD            1 NW MILO CENTER        42.68N 77.02W
10/29/2021                   YATES              NY   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING ON TOWNLINE ROAD.

1025 PM     FLOOD            DUNDEE                  42.53N 76.98W
10/29/2021                   YATES              NY   911 CALL CENTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS FLOOD REPORT FROM DUNDEE.
            FLOODING ON MILLARD STREET. ROAD HAS BEEN
            CLOSED.

1050 PM     FLOOD            2 S DUNDEE              42.49N 76.97W
10/29/2021                   YATES              NY   911 CALL CENTER

            CRAWFORD ROAD NEAR ROUTE 14A FLOODED.

0845 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CANISTEO                42.27N 77.60W
10/29/2021  M1.30 INCH       STEUBEN            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STILL HEAVY RAIN FALLING.

0950 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N BATH                42.35N 77.32W
10/29/2021  M1.68 INCH       STEUBEN            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1017 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW WAYNE             42.45N 77.13W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CULVERT OVERWHELMED WITH WATER FLOWING OVER
            ROAD AT COUNTY ROAD 87 AND PLAISTED ROAD
            INTERSECTION.

1030 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HORNELL                 42.32N 77.66W
10/29/2021  M1.78 INCH       STEUBEN            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1030 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE HAMMONDSPORT      42.40N 77.21W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER ROAD WITH CLOSURE OF
            COUNTY ROUTE 87 AT STATE ROUTE 54. TOWN OF
            URBANA.

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S CATON               42.02N 77.03W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MARSH ROAD AT CHURCH CREEK ROAD. WATER OVER
            ROAD WITH DEBRIS.

1052 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE URBANA            42.43N 77.17W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RUNNING INTO HOUSE ALONG CORYELL ROAD.
            TOWN OF WAYNE.

1052 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE URBANA            42.44N 77.16W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER ROADWAY IN MULTIPLE
            LOCATIONS NEAR GROVE SPRINGS ROAD AND ROSE
            ROAD. TOWN OF WAYNE.

1100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ADDISON                 42.11N 77.23W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER ROUTE 417 NEAR EAGLE INN.

1100 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N BATH                42.35N 77.32W
10/29/2021  M2.05 INCH       STEUBEN            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PRATTSBURG              42.53N 77.29W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGH WATER IMPACTING A FEW TRAILERS AT
            WHITMORE PARK, INCLUDING SOME DAMAGE TO
            TRAILER SKIRTING.

1115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CAMPBELL                42.23N 77.21W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER COUNTY ROUTE 333.

1115 PM     HEAVY RAIN       AVOCA                   42.41N 77.42W
10/29/2021  M2.04 INCH       STEUBEN            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1127 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E BATH                42.33N 77.25W
10/29/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER FREEMAN HOLLOW ROAD AT
            HUTCHES ROAD.

1210 AM     FLOOD            2 S SAVONA              42.26N 77.22W
10/30/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER BEGINNING TO FLOOD SAVONA-CAMPBELL
            ROAD ALONG COHOCTON RIVER.

1259 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE SAVONA            42.27N 77.18W
10/30/2021                   STEUBEN            NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TOWN OF CAMPBELL HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT
            RESPONDING TO A LANDSLIDE ON WOLF RUN ROAD.

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSE TYRONE            42.40N 77.06W
10/29/2021                   SCHUYLER           NY   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER STATE ROUTE 226 IN MULTIPLE
            LOCATIONS, INCLUDING SOME DEBRIS AND
            WASHOUTS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 8:09 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMChemung, Schuyler, Steuben4 hr
Oct 29, 9:28 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMChemung, Tioga4 hr
Oct 29, 9:47 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMSchuyler, Steuben, Yates3 hr
Oct 29, 10:04 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMSchuyler, Seneca, Tompkins4 hr
Oct 29, 10:45 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMSteuben3 hr
Oct 29, 11:00 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMCayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Seneca, Tompkins3 hr
Oct 30, 12:48 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningBGMSchuyler, Steuben, Yates6 hr
Oct 30, 3:45 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBGMChemung23 hr
Oct 30, 6:30 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningBGMSteuben11 hr
Oct 30, 6:39 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningBGMYates3 hr
Oct 30, 9:20 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMSteuben, Yates5 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.