Severe Thunderstorm Warning 198, NWS Amarillo, TX

121 
WWUS54 KAMA 050606
SVSAMA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
106 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

TXC011-065-050700-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0198.000000T0000Z-210705T0700Z/
Armstrong TX-Carson TX-
106 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN ARMSTRONG AND SOUTHEASTERN CARSON COUNTIES...

At 106 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles northeast of
Claude, moving southwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to roofs, siding, and trees is possible. 
         People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Claude and Washburn. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 10127 3524 10109 3486 10132 3515 10162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0606Z 040DEG 17KT 3517 10133 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DGW

667 
WWUS54 KAMA 050625
SVSAMA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
125 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

TXC011-065-050700-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0198.000000T0000Z-210705T0700Z/
Armstrong TX-Carson TX-
125 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ARMSTRONG AND SOUTH CENTRAL CARSON COUNTIES...

At 124 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Claude, moving
southwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect some tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. Hail damage to vehicles is 
         expected.

Locations impacted include...
Claude and Washburn. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3530 10126 3522 10114 3495 10140 3515 10162
      3533 10132
TIME...MOT...LOC 0624Z 040DEG 17KT 3510 10140 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

DGW

164 
WWUS54 KAMA 050632
SVSAMA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
132 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

TXC011-065-050700-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0198.000000T0000Z-210705T0700Z/
Armstrong TX-Carson TX-
132 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ARMSTRONG AND SOUTH CENTRAL CARSON COUNTIES...

At 132 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles southwest of
Claude, moving southwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect some tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. People and animals outdoors will 
         be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, 
         and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Claude and Washburn. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 10132 3513 10128 3504 10150 3515 10162
      3528 10141
TIME...MOT...LOC 0632Z 040DEG 17KT 3507 10143 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

DGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1232 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

.AVIATION...
06Z Issuance...Current look at radar suggests TAF sites will miss
further showers and thunderstorms tonight. Confidence is low on if
any would see storms tomorrow, so have left mention out. Sites are
currently VFR, but may see some low cigs during the morning hours.
This may bring AMA and DHT to MVFR, possibly lower. Winds should
be fairly light overnight and tomorrow and generally be
southeasterly.

Beat

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 146 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021/

SHORT TERM...
Cluster of thunderstorms in the southeast Texas Panhandle should
exit the area by late this afternoon.  These storms have aided by a
short wave trough moving southeast into western Oklahoma.

The main area of showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
near the Raton Mesa and off the mountains of southern Colorado and
northern New Mexico.  These storms will be moving into an
environment of increasing instability and shear as interact with a
short wave trough moving through western Kansas.  These storms may
be discrete at first and some may be supercells across the
northwest CWA, before they form into a line later this evening and
move southeast through the rest of the Panhandles.  Large hail and
damaging winds will be the main threats from these storms. A
landspout tornado can not be ruled out.  Heavy rain from these
storms may also cause localized areas of flooding.

Thunderstorms will again be possible on Monday, mainly across the
western areas.  The northerly flow aloft will tend to mitigate the
eastward progression of any mountain convection.  There are a couple
of minor short wave troughs moving through the flow that may also
tough off a few showers and storms.

Highs on Monday will still remain below normal with readings mainly
in the 80's.

LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday...
An upper high will continue to spin over the Great Basin Region
with northwesterly flow aloft for the Panhandles. By Wednesday
night into Thursday, the high shifts slightly east towards the
Four Corners and puts the Panhandles in northeasterly flow aloft
for a brief period. By Friday the high heads back towards the
Great Basin Region as a trough digs down into the Upper Midwest
with northwesterly flow returning aloft through the weekend. With
embedded shortwaves and south southeasterly winds at the surface
continuing to provide 60s dewpoints, precipitation chances
continue Tuesday and Wednesday, then halt Thursday before
returning again through the weekend.

The best chance for severe weather will be on Tuesday with the
greatest instability present and a more defined shortwave to
potentially ramp up storms later through the evening. MLCAPE
values are around 1000-2000 J/kg with 0-6 km effective bulk shear
around 20-25 knots so large hail and damaging wind gusts are
possible. As the evening goes on, there is a potential for storms
to become more linear with a surface trough. By Wednesday, the
instability parameters do not look as good and the chance for
severe storms becomes less likely. However, strong thunderstorms
are still a possibility with another surface trough to help
enhance storm development. Thursday will remain dry before
precipitation chances return for the weekend. A weak frontal
passage late Friday night may keep the precipitation chances
continuing into Saturday morning.

Temperatures will remain in the 80s Tuesday and Wednesday before
warming a bit into the lower 90s Thursday and Friday. Breezy
southwest winds are possible Friday with daytime mixing of 25-30
knot 850mb winds extending across the Panhandles. North winds will
follow behind the weak front late Friday night and this will keep
temperatures from warming above the upper 80s to lower 90s into
the weekend.

Rutt

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

16/89

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1111 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-051100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
1111 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles
the rest of tonight. A storm or two may become severe, with
damaging winds the primary hazard. In addition, heavy rain may
also lead to localized flooding or flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms remain possible Monday through Wednesday and again
Friday night into Saturday across much of the Panhandles. A
severe storm cannot be ruled out on Tuesday. Storms could be
capable of heavy rain leading to localized flooding or flash
flooding Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1028 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

TXZ006-011-050430-
Hartley TX-Oldham TX-
1028 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OLDHAM AND
SOUTHEASTERN HARTLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

At 1027 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Channing, or 24 miles southwest of Dumas, moving southwest at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Channing and Boys Ranch.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
the Panhandle of Texas.

LAT...LON 3576 10238 3568 10218 3544 10225 3555 10263
TIME...MOT...LOC 0327Z 035DEG 10KT 3568 10233

Guerrero

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1128 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

TXZ016-050515-
Deaf Smith TX-
1128 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN DEAF SMITH COUNTY UNTIL
1215 AM CDT...

At 1128 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles north of Simms to 7 miles south of
Glenrio. Movement was south at 20 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Simms and Bootleg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3511 10304 3516 10252 3475 10247 3475 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 018DEG 18KT 3510 10263 3507 10301

DGW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1136 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

TXZ014-050500-
Gray TX-
1136 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL GRAY COUNTY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1135 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northwest of Lefors, or 7 miles southeast of Pampa, moving
south at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pampa and Lefors.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3557 10097 3560 10076 3529 10066 3526 10097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0435Z 352DEG 19KT 3549 10085

DGW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1139 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

TXZ012-016-017-050515-
Potter TX-Randall TX-Deaf Smith TX-
1139 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN RANDALL...EASTERN DEAF
SMITH AND SOUTHWESTERN POTTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

At 1139 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles east of Simms to near Bushland.
Movement was south at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Hereford, Canyon, Umbarger, Bushland, Buffalo Lake and Dawn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 10247 3505 10251 3519 10219 3518 10217
      3520 10217 3525 10204 3475 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 345DEG 27KT 3503 10257 3519 10211

DGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1235 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1219 AM     TSTM WND GST     11 WNW BOOTLEG          34.89N 102.99W
07/05/2021  M68 MPH          DEAF SMITH         TX   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 69 BOOTLEG 11WNW.

&&

FOX

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1235 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

TXZ014-015-019-050600-
Gray TX-Wheeler TX-Donley TX-
1235 AM CDT Mon Jul 5 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN WHEELER...SOUTHEASTERN
GRAY AND NORTH CENTRAL DONLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

At 1235 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Alanreed, or 22 miles southeast of Pampa, moving
southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mclean and Alanreed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take shelter in a sturdy building if threatening weather approaches.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3532 10083 3542 10064 3527 10045 3512 10072
TIME...MOT...LOC 0535Z 325DEG 7KT 3531 10069

DGW