Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Albany, NY

601 
WWUS41 KALY 232108
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
408 PM EST Sat Jan 23 2021


NYZ032-033-042-241100-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0001.210124T0400Z-210124T1500Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Northern Warren-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, and Hague
408 PM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 
  25 below zero.

* WHERE...Northern Warren, Northern Herkimer and Hamilton 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on 
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a
hat, and gloves. 

&&

$$

420 
WWUS41 KALY 240839
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
339 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021

NYZ032-033-042-241500-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210124T1500Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Northern Warren-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, and Hague
339 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 25 below 
  zero.

* WHERE...Northern Warren, Northern Herkimer and Hamilton 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on 
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while outdoors. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and
gloves.


&&

$$

403 
WWUS41 KALY 241422
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
922 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021


NYZ032-033-042-241530-
/O.CAN.KALY.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210124T1500Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Northern Warren-
Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, 
Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, 
Hoffmeister, Wells, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, 
North River, Warrensburg, and Hague
922 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind chills this morning are currently above -20F. Wind Chill
Advisory has been canceled as a result. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
322 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
An arctic air mass will settle southward this weekend. This will
keep temperatures below normal with a brisk northwesterly wind.
Combination of chilly temperatures and winds will result in even
colder wind chill values. High pressure builds in later this
weekend and into the start of the new work and school week. We
continue to monitor a storm developing across the center of the
nation as this system tracks eastward through the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EST...A couple of lake effect bands this early
Saturday morning continue to drift southward as low level wind
trajectories back in the wake of the arctic frontal boundary. In
fact, per hires HRRR/NAM3km and HREF guidance, given the
increase instability over Lake Ontario, occasional light lake
effect snow showers will continue to impact southern portions of
Herkimer County, into Schoharie and eastern Catskills today.
Elsewhere, mountain clouds and valley breaks in the overcast
will continue through the day. Brisk northwesterly winds are
expected as mixing layer heights near 3k feet point toward 20+kt
wind transfer to the surface. Under the mix of clouds and
sunshine, high temperatures generally into the lower 20s for
Hudson Valley locations with teens for most other areas...around
10F for the Dacks.

Tonight, given the combination of below normal temperatures and
brisk northwesterly winds, wind chill impacts will become
increasingly apparent. As H850 temperatures plunge back into the
negative mid-teens under increasing subsidence and dry
advection, temperatures overnight will be cold. Lows below zero
across the Dacks to mid-teens for the mid-Hudson River Valley
and southern Litchfield County. Wind chills below -20F across
the Dacks where we will place Wind Chill Advisories, between -5F
to -15F for most other locations overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Sunday, ridge axis both at the surface and aloft approach. This
should make for a tranquil end to the weekend but chilly under
plenty of sunshine, with some increase in high clouds during the
afternoon. Highs range from near 30F for the mid-Hudson Valley
to mid-teens for the higher terrain.

These aforementioned clouds are associated with a weakening
short wave as it approaches our ridge axis and confluence over
the eastern conus. So some additional cloud coverage, partly
cloudy, Sunday night with not as cold temperatures. Lows into
the teens south of Albany with near zero across the Dacks. As
winds are expected to be lighter in magnitude and some cloud
coverage, this should preclude mention of wind chill headlines.

The ridge axis slides overhead Monday as surface high from
eastern Canada extends its influence southward. This should
result in a tranquil start to the work/school week with a return
toward seasonable temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A weakening area of low pressure will be moving from the Midwest
towards the northern mid-Atlantic States for Monday night into
Tuesday.  As this occurs, another weak area of low pressure will be
developing offshore the mid Atlantic Coast for Tuesday afternoon,
before exiting offshore for Tuesday night.

With isentropic lift in place ahead of this storm system, some snow
light may spread across our area for late Monday night into Tuesday.
The best chance is mainly for areas south of the Capital Region and
I-90.  Models still don't agree totally on the northern extent of
precip and exact amounts, but most guidance agrees that any amounts
will be fairly light (sub-advisory levels), as limited moisture and
surface high pressure just north of the area, will keep a dry,
northerly flow in place over the area.  Overnight lows will mainly
be in the teens, with daytime temps generally in the 20s.

Behind this departing storm, continued cold and dry weather is
expected for Tuesday night through the rest of the week.  Another
storm system is expected to pass across the mid Atlantic for
Thursday into Thursday night, but most of the model and ensemble
guidance keeps this storm well to the south of the region.  Temps
will be below normal, with highs only in the 20s and overnight lows
in the single digits and teens.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A secondary cold front is making its way across the region.  There
are a few light snow showers near KALB/KPSF, which may briefly allow
for MVFR conditions over the next hour or two.  Otherwise, this
front will move through the region, allowing winds to shift from the
west to the northwest by the late night hours.  Outside of any brief
snow showers, flying conditions will be VFR with bkn-ovc cigs of 4-6
kft. West winds around 10 kts will become northwest towards daybreak
Saturday.

During the day on Saturday, flying conditions will be VFR.  BKN cigs
around 3500-5000 ft will gradually sct out by the late day hours. No
additional snow showers are anticipated through the day Saturday
behind the Arctic boundary.  Northwest winds will increase to 10 to
20 kts within daytime mixing.  Some gusts approaching 30 kts are
possible, especially for KALB/KPSF.  Winds may gradually start to
diminish for Saturday night with clearing skies.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.
Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No widespread hydrological issues are expected during the
weekend and upcoming week. A few periods of light snow and lake
effect snow are possible which will have little impact on the
rivers.

Cold temperatures will persist through the middle of next week.
Cold air will support river and lake ice development, especially
this weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs
on our website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Wind Chill Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EST
     Sunday for NYZ032-033-042.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BGM
NEAR TERM...BGM
SHORT TERM...BGM
LONG TERM...Frugis
AVIATION...Frugis
HYDROLOGY...SND/BGM

www.weather.gov/albany

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albany NY
324 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

NYZ032-033-042-241200-
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Northern Warren-
324 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Adirondack Park.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084-
VTZ013>015-241200-
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire-
Southern Berkshire-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-
Northern Saratoga-Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady-
Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-
Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-
Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham-
324 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut,
western Massachusetts, most of east central New York and not
including the Adirondack Park, all of southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1035 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1014 PM     SNOW             AMSTERDAM               42.94N  74.19W
01/22/2021  M1.0 INCH        MONTGOMERY         NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2100772

JPV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1215 AM EST SAT JAN 23 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     SNOW             AMSTERDAM               42.94N  74.19W
01/22/2021  M2.0 INCH        MONTGOMERY         NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY2100773

FRUGIS