Gale Warning 250, NWS Juneau, AK

047 
FZAK52 PAJK 051543 AAB
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-060945-
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low moves into the SE gulf Friday  morning and
moves N along the gulf coast through Friday night.  

$$

PKZ041-060945-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Showers and 
slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW late. Seas 16 ft. Showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-060945-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers and slight chance of 
thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming S late. Seas 15 ft. Showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-060945-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers late. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-060945-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft late. Rain
showers in the evening. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-060945-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
743 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. SW
swell early in the morning. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 



$$

621 
FZAK52 PAJK 060003
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-061815-
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low weakens as it moves along the gulf coast through
Friday night into Saturday. Weak high pressure over the panhandle
develops Saturday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ041-061815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming W 30 kt late. Seas 16 ft. 
Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 
ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...Variable winds 10 kt becoming E 15 kt late. Seas 8 
ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-061815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SW 30 kt late. Seas 8 ft building
to 14 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the 
evening. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-061815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 
8 ft building to 13 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the 
evening, then rain showers late. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt late. Seas
10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-061815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft late. Rain
showers in the evening. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-061815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
403 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas 7 ft. Rain 
showers.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. 
Rain showers in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

827 
FZAK52 PAJK 061213
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-070615-
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weakening low tracks north along the gulf coast through
Saturday. Weak high pressure over the panhandle develops 
Saturday afternoon. A low moves into the southern gulf Sunday.  

$$

PKZ041-070615-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas building to 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt becoming S. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-070615-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas building to 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-070615-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming SW. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers early
in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas subsiding to 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 9 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-070615-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-070615-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
413 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas subsiding to 7 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
251 PM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.SHORT TERM.../ Thru Saturday night / A weakening low moves
northward into the southern panhandle returning rain to the area.
The area of rain will spread into the northern panhandle by Friday
morning. With this low, an easterly mountain wave event has
formed in the Juneau area, with gusts to 35 to 45 mph. The
pressure gradient has also increased, which has north winds of
roughly 30 kt in the Lynn Canal marine zone. There is a potential
for some of the winds to reach 35 kt (gale force).

About 400 nm Southwest of Haida Gwaii a low in the eastern
pacific Thursday afternoon will travel east and northeast curling
northward to pass west of Haida Gwaii Friday morning, with a depth
in the mid 980s. the low then continue along follow the coastline
to be west of the Cross Sound area Saturday morning. From here
the low weakens and drifts north-northwest. Model solutions did
part ways as the low was getting this way. Stayed more near the
NAM solution as the GFS was the outlier in the grouping today.

While the second low tracks north through the eastern gulf. Winds
of 25 to 35 kt for the coastal waters and into the inside waters
with 25 to 35 kt winds. Starting Friday afternoon, outer coastal
communities south of Sitka will see gusts increasing above 30 mph
and lasting overnight for the southwest part of the panhandle.
Gusts to 40 mph are likely and have already posted a strong wind
for the west side of Prince of Wales Island for late Friday
afternoon.

Saturday the weather should see the PoPs slowly decreasing in a
south to north progression. The other thing that will cooler air
will be spreading across the gulf aloft so that ptype in the
northern gulf may be flipping to a Snow label. Will need to watch
this, however the drying PoP values should keep significant snows
away.

.LONG TERM.../Saturday through Thursday as of 10 PM Wednesday/...
After a passing area of low pressure Friday, rain chances will
linger around Saturday.

Afterwards, a 500mb trough over the gulf looks to transition to a
cutoff low over the gulf then move southeast. This would
translate to a dry few days for the northern half of the panhandle
while the south would still have some chances for rain.

So while Sunday is looking mostly dry with potential for some
breaks, once that cutoff low starts to move southeast late
Sunday, clouds and chances for light rain move back in for the
start to the week for the far southern areas.

The northern half, however, will see offshore flow. This would
translate to dry conditions, fewer clouds, and cold, below normal
temps. Lows early next week could be in the teens to 20s for the
northern half, with lower 30s for lows in the southern half. Highs
would be in the 20s to 30s.

Inner channel wind speeds will, overall, decrease Saturday before
increasing to around 10 to 15 kts on Sunday. Winds speeds for
early next looks to be around 10 to 20 kts on average.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind Friday afternoon for AKZ027.
     Strong Wind until 10 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind until 7 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ018.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ036-041.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-031-032-035-042-043-051-052.

&&

Bezenek/GJS

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau